Weekly Market Digest
Top trades, whale moves, and market insights every Monday
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0xFc2F4f50ce2F6045d35558A5E2D8d4b2aC6610c7-1769097007451
0xfc2f4f50ce2f6045d35558a5e2d8d4b2ac6610c7
Get embed widgetSharpshooterHot Streak
Trader Score
Win Rate: 100.0%
ROI: 0.0%
Trades: 197
Win Rate
100.0%
197W0L197 total
No PnL history available
Not enough data for rank history
Open Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Current | PnL |
|---|
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | Yes | $400K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-8K |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | Yes | $164K | $0.10 | $0.01 | $-14K |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 21, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $153K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-2K |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 20, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $143K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-2K |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 2? | Yes | $117K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-723 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 27, 2026 (ET)? |
Recent Activity (50)
BoughtUS strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?Yes
+$400K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?Yes
+$164K@ 0.011d ago
BoughtWill the US next strike Iran on March 21, 2026 (ET)?Yes
+$153K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtWill the US next strike Iran on March 20, 2026 (ET)?Yes
+$143K@ 0.001d ago
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 28, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $103K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-1K |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 6, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $101K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-1K |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 14, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $98K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-1K |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 13, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $97K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-2K |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Yes | $97K | $0.11 | $0.17 | $6K |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 13, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $92K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-1K |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 11, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $91K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-879 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 17, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $89K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-863 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 14, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $88K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-1K |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 7, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $88K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-1K |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | Yes | $85K | $0.09 | $0.14 | $5K |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 1, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $82K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-993 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 16, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $82K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-993 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 2, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $82K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-993 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 10, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $82K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-993 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 9, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $82K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-993 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 8, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $82K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-993 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 5, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $82K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-993 |
| Will the US next strike Iran in January 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $82K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-993 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 15, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $82K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-993 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 12, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $82K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-993 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 11, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $82K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-993 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 3, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $82K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-993 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 4, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $82K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-993 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6? | Yes | $81K | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-5K |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 6, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $79K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-1K |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 17, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $78K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-941 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 30, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $77K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-787 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 22, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $76K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-884 |
| US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026? | No | $75K | $0.71 | $0.00 | $-53K |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 18, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $74K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-795 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $72K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-1K |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 26, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $71K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-790 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 15, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $70K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-751 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 19, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $69K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-797 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 12, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $69K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-758 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 25, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $69K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-783 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 23, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $68K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-776 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 29, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $67K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-769 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Yes | $65K | $0.10 | $0.02 | $-5K |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 7, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $65K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-969 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 16, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $65K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-759 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31? | Yes | $65K | $0.14 | $0.05 | $-6K |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 24, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $64K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-756 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 31, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $63K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-759 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 18, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $61K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-725 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 5, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $60K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-592 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 9, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $58K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-725 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 7? | Yes | $58K | $0.10 | $0.00 | $-6K |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 10, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $58K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-740 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $51K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-682 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 7th? | Yes | $50K | $0.08 | $0.00 | $-4K |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 4, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $46K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-588 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $43K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-526 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | No | $43K | $0.34 | $0.00 | $-15K |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $41K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-483 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March? | Yes | $40K | $0.07 | $0.01 | $-2K |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $38K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-419 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 8, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $37K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-567 |
| US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026? | Yes | $36K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-699 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | Yes | $33K | $0.17 | $0.20 | $974 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 20, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $32K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-358 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | Yes | $30K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-395 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 3, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $28K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-414 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? | No | $28K | $0.63 | $0.73 | $3K |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 2nd? | Yes | $28K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-259 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March? | Yes | $28K | $0.04 | $0.06 | $626 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | Yes | $28K | $0.15 | $0.07 | $-2K |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $28K | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-1K |
| Will Mohammad Yasrebi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $27K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-55 |
| Will Mohsen Qomi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $27K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-60 |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | No | $25K | $0.45 | $0.00 | $-11K |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $25K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-310 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 25, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $25K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-310 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $24K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-438 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | No | $23K | $0.87 | $0.94 | $2K |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | $23K | $0.38 | $0.42 | $1K |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6? | Yes | $21K | $0.44 | $0.00 | $-9K |
| US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026? | No | $20K | $0.71 | $0.00 | $-14K |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $20K | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-1K |
| Will Hassan Shariatmadari be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $20K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-38 |
| Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished? | Yes | $19K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-498 |
| US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | $19K | $0.25 | $0.00 | $-5K |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | No | $19K | $0.31 | $0.00 | $-6K |
| Will Hashem Hosseini Bushehri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $18K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-58 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 2, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $17K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-306 |
| Will Khalil Mobasher Kashani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $17K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-40 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | $17K | $0.46 | $0.51 | $751 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Yes | $17K | $0.34 | $0.30 | $-558 |
| Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $16K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-27 |
| Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $15K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-40 |
| US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026? | No | $14K | $0.57 | $0.00 | $-8K |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March? | Yes | $14K | $0.16 | $0.02 | $-2K |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th? | Yes | $14K | $0.18 | $0.00 | $-2K |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March? | Yes | $13K | $0.11 | $0.07 | $-500 |
| Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $12K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-116 |
| Will Iran strike Turkey in March? | Yes | $11K | $0.18 | $0.06 | $-1K |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? | No | $11K | $0.78 | $0.00 | $-9K |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | Yes | $11K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-181 |
| Will Ahmad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $11K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-27 |
| Will Massoud Rajavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $11K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-22 |
| US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026? | No | $10K | $0.68 | $0.00 | $-7K |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March? | Yes | $10K | $0.04 | $0.09 | $538 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | No | $10K | $0.27 | $0.00 | $-3K |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | No | $10K | $0.84 | $0.90 | $598 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14? | Yes | $9K | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-601 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5? | Yes | $9K | $0.08 | $0.00 | $-716 |
| Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $9K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-206 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2? | Yes | $9K | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-381 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3? | Yes | $9K | $0.09 | $0.00 | $-770 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March? | Yes | $8K | $0.12 | $0.09 | $-269 |
| Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $8K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-103 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | Yes | $7K | $0.16 | $0.00 | $-1K |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28? | Yes | $7K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-43 |
| Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | Yes | $7K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-32 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | $7K | $0.70 | $0.79 | $541 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31? | No | $7K | $0.11 | $0.00 | $-720 |
| Iran leadership change by March 31? | No | $7K | $0.84 | $0.92 | $492 |
| US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31? | No | $6K | $0.53 | $0.83 | $2K |
| Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $6K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-37 |
| Will Sadegh Mahsouli be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $6K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-18 |
| Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $6K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-18 |
| Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $6K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-18 |
| Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $6K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-18 |
| Will Mohammad-Reza Modarresi Yazdi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $6K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-18 |
| Will Mohsen Araki be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $6K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-18 |
| Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $6K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-18 |
| Will Mohammad Hadi Ghazanfari Khansari be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $6K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-18 |
| Will Navid Shomali be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $6K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-18 |
| Will Mustafa Hijri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $6K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-18 |
| Will Reza Pirzadeh be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $6K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-18 |
| Will Ali Motahari be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $6K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-18 |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $6K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-18 |
| Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $6K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-18 |
| Will Nasir Hosseini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $6K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-18 |
| Will Mohammad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $6K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-18 |
| Will Saeed Jalili be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $6K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-18 |
| Will Ahmad Vahidi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $6K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-18 |
| Will Maryam Rajavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $6K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-18 |
| Will Abbas Araghchi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $6K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-18 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $5K | $0.08 | $0.00 | $-441 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | Yes | $5K | $0.42 | $0.09 | $-2K |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | Yes | $5K | $0.20 | $0.09 | $-550 |
| US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026? | No | $4K | $0.67 | $0.00 | $-3K |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | Yes | $4K | $0.08 | $0.01 | $-303 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | No | $4K | $0.52 | $0.51 | $-60 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 8? | No | $4K | $0.32 | $0.00 | $-1K |
| Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $4K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-14 |
| US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026? | Yes | $4K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-124 |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? | Yes | $4K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-132 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | $4K | $0.78 | $0.88 | $366 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? | Yes | $4K | $0.25 | $0.05 | $-734 |
| Will Israel strike Iraq by February 28? | Yes | $3K | $0.18 | $0.00 | $-578 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of March? | Yes | $3K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $19 |
| Will Iran strike Lebanon in March? | Yes | $3K | $0.45 | $0.89 | $1K |
| Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)? | No | $3K | $0.79 | $0.00 | $-2K |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | No | $3K | $0.20 | $0.32 | $360 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by February 28? | Yes | $3K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-24 |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31? | Yes | $3K | $0.11 | $0.03 | $-249 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | No | $3K | $0.35 | $0.00 | $-1K |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of March? | Yes | $3K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-26 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | $3K | $0.43 | $0.67 | $599 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026? | No | $3K | $0.55 | $0.83 | $729 |
| Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $3K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-8 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | No | $2K | $0.21 | $0.00 | $-523 |
| US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026? | No | $2K | $0.64 | $0.86 | $543 |
| Will UAE strike Iran by March 31? | No | $2K | $0.86 | $0.93 | $155 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026? | Yes | $2K | $0.21 | $0.07 | $-308 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31? | Yes | $2K | $0.21 | $0.09 | $-250 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 7? | No | $2K | $0.13 | $0.00 | $-241 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | No | $2K | $0.73 | $0.73 | $9 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 11? | No | $2K | $0.32 | $0.00 | $-560 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | $2K | $0.55 | $0.65 | $164 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $2K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-6 |
| Will Iran strike Iraq in March? | No | $2K | $0.09 | $0.00 | $-130 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Yes | $1K | $0.38 | $0.27 | $-170 |
| Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman? | No | $1K | $0.33 | $0.00 | $-473 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? | Yes | $1K | $0.22 | $0.23 | $16 |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31? | Yes | $1K | $0.35 | $0.06 | $-351 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March? | Yes | $1K | $0.17 | $0.10 | $-83 |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026? | Yes | $1K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-41 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 1? | Yes | $1K | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-68 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31? | Yes | $1K | $0.10 | $0.05 | $-50 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Yes | $1K | $0.85 | $0.40 | $-489 |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? | No | $1K | $0.39 | $0.67 | $283 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 1st? | Yes | $1K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-9 |
| Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31? | Yes | $1K | $0.14 | $0.03 | $-112 |
| Will Iran claim responsibility for Oslo Embassy attack? | Yes | $1K | $0.04 | $0.01 | $-34 |
| Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31? | Yes | $1K | $0.11 | $0.04 | $-65 |
| Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31? | Yes | $1K | $0.16 | $0.56 | $394 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | No | $1K | $0.69 | $0.68 | $-10 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March? | No | $971 | $0.59 | $0.69 | $99 |
| Will Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by March 31? | Yes | $837 | $0.28 | $0.21 | $-54 |
| US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31? | No | $734 | $0.72 | $0.95 | $172 |
| Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Turkey? | Yes | $720 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-17 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15? | No | $700 | $0.14 | $0.00 | $-98 |
| Will the US next strike Iran during the week of March 15-21, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $692 | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-42 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30? | No | $600 | $0.66 | $0.77 | $63 |
| Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30? | Yes | $563 | $0.11 | $0.08 | $-16 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7? | Yes | $515 | $0.12 | $0.00 | $-60 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31? | No | $461 | $0.86 | $0.92 | $25 |
| Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23? | Yes | $409 | $0.23 | $0.09 | $-59 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | No | $402 | $0.70 | $0.86 | $66 |
| US announces military support of Iran oppostion by March 31? | No | $400 | $0.31 | $0.94 | $249 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | $321 | $0.60 | $0.80 | $64 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | $300 | $0.29 | $0.00 | $-87 |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | Yes | $285 | $0.15 | $0.09 | $-19 |
| US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026? | Yes | $245 | $0.17 | $0.00 | $-41 |
| Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | Yes | $241 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-8 |
| Military action against Iran ends on March 30, 2026? | No | $200 | $0.92 | $0.96 | $7 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | Yes | $173 | $0.34 | $0.15 | $-33 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | $161 | $0.64 | $0.58 | $-9 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 9? | No | $129 | $0.23 | $0.00 | $-30 |
| Will the US next strike Iran during the week of March 8-14, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $112 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-6 |
| Will Iran strike UAE again in March? | Yes | $111 | $0.97 | $0.93 | $-5 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31? | No | $100 | $0.63 | $0.91 | $28 |
| US strikes Iran by March 12, 2026? | No | $100 | $0.62 | $0.00 | $-62 |
| US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31? | No | $100 | $0.50 | $0.90 | $40 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 20? | Yes | $100 | $0.32 | $0.00 | $-32 |
| Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | $100 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-2 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | $99 | $0.56 | $0.82 | $25 |
| Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16? | No | $73 | $0.61 | $0.96 | $26 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | No | $66 | $0.35 | $0.00 | $-23 |
| Will the US next strike Iran during the week of March 1-7, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $57 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-4 |
| Will Iran strike Abqaiq oil processing facility by March 31? | No | $53 | $0.74 | $0.81 | $4 |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31? | Yes | $51 | $0.48 | $0.12 | $-18 |
| Houthis successfully target shipping by March 31? | No | $46 | $0.80 | $0.78 | $-1 |
| Will the US next strike Iran during the week of March 22-28, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $20 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-1 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | No | $14 | $0.86 | $0.99 | $2 |
| Will Trump say "Tariff" 6+ times during meetings with Chancellor Merz? | No | $10 | $0.50 | $0.00 | $-5 |
| Will Iran strike Cyprus in March? | No | $5 | $0.61 | $0.97 | $2 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 10? | No | $5 | $0.43 | $0.00 | $-2 |
| Will the US not strike Iran by March 31, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.60 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.14 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.82 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 6? | No | $0 | $0.70 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | No | $0 | $0.53 | $0.82 | $0 |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? | Yes | $0 | $0.72 | $0.34 | $-0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 20, 2026 (ET)? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 1? | No | $0 | $0.84 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.39 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | No | $0 | $0.87 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.71 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)? | No | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.89 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | No | $0 | $0.39 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.58 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)? | No | $0 | $0.95 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $0 | $0.91 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6? | No | $0 | $0.38 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | No | $0 | $0.53 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished? | No | $0 | $0.82 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $0 | $0.69 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14? | No | $0 | $0.79 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the US not strike Iran by March 31, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.66 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.58 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)? | No | $0 | $0.95 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)? | No | $0 | $0.86 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman? | Yes | $0 | $0.78 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.49 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.80 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 23, 2026 (ET)? | No | $0 | $0.95 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2? | No | $0 | $0.78 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.85 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the US strike Iran next? | No | $0 | $0.86 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.91 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the US strike Iran next? | No | $0 | $0.83 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)? | No | $0 | $0.91 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by March 2?Yes
+$117K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtWill the US next strike Iran on March 27, 2026 (ET)?Yes
+$111K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtWill the US next strike Iran on March 28, 2026 (ET)?Yes
+$103K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtWill the US next strike Iran on February 6, 2026 (ET)?Yes
+$101K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtWill the US next strike Iran on March 14, 2026 (ET)?Yes
+$98K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtWill the US next strike Iran on March 13, 2026 (ET)?Yes
+$97K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes
+$97K@ 0.171d ago
BoughtWill the US next strike Iran on February 13, 2026 (ET)?Yes
+$92K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtWill the US next strike Iran on March 11, 2026 (ET)?Yes
+$91K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtWill the US next strike Iran on March 17, 2026 (ET)?Yes
+$89K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtWill the US next strike Iran on February 14, 2026 (ET)?Yes
+$88K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtWill the US next strike Iran on February 7, 2026 (ET)?Yes
+$88K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?Yes
+$85K@ 0.141d ago
BoughtWill the US next strike Iran on February 1, 2026 (ET)?Yes
+$82K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtWill the US next strike Iran on February 16, 2026 (ET)?Yes
+$82K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtWill the US next strike Iran on February 2, 2026 (ET)?Yes
+$82K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtWill the US next strike Iran on February 10, 2026 (ET)?Yes
+$82K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtWill the US next strike Iran on February 9, 2026 (ET)?Yes
+$82K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtWill the US next strike Iran on February 8, 2026 (ET)?Yes
+$82K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtWill the US next strike Iran on February 5, 2026 (ET)?Yes
+$82K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtWill the US next strike Iran in January 2026 (ET)?Yes
+$82K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtWill the US next strike Iran on February 15, 2026 (ET)?Yes
+$82K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtWill the US next strike Iran on February 12, 2026 (ET)?Yes
+$82K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtWill the US next strike Iran on February 11, 2026 (ET)?Yes
+$82K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtWill the US next strike Iran on February 3, 2026 (ET)?Yes
+$82K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtWill the US next strike Iran on February 4, 2026 (ET)?Yes
+$82K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Yes
+$81K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtWill the US next strike Iran on March 6, 2026 (ET)?Yes
+$79K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtWill the US next strike Iran on February 17, 2026 (ET)?Yes
+$78K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtWill the US next strike Iran on March 30, 2026 (ET)?Yes
+$77K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtWill the US next strike Iran on March 22, 2026 (ET)?Yes
+$76K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtUS strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?No
+$75K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtWill the US next strike Iran on March 18, 2026 (ET)?Yes
+$74K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtWill the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?Yes
+$72K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtWill the US next strike Iran on March 26, 2026 (ET)?Yes
+$71K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtWill the US next strike Iran on March 15, 2026 (ET)?Yes
+$70K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtWill the US next strike Iran on March 19, 2026 (ET)?Yes
+$69K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtWill the US next strike Iran on March 12, 2026 (ET)?Yes
+$69K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtWill the US next strike Iran on March 25, 2026 (ET)?Yes
+$69K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtWill the US next strike Iran on March 23, 2026 (ET)?Yes
+$68K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtWill the US next strike Iran on March 29, 2026 (ET)?Yes
+$67K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes
+$65K@ 0.021d ago
BoughtWill the US next strike Iran on March 7, 2026 (ET)?Yes
+$65K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtWill the US next strike Iran on March 16, 2026 (ET)?Yes
+$65K@ 0.001d ago
Bought Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Yes
+$65K@ 0.051d ago
BoughtWill the US next strike Iran on March 24, 2026 (ET)?Yes
+$64K@ 0.001d ago
Trader 0xFc2F4f50ce2F6045d35558A5E2D8d4b2aC6610c7-1769097007451 — PolyTracker