Weekly Market Digest
Top trades, whale moves, and market insights every Monday
XAEA12Archangel
0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029
@polymarketbetEliteWhaleHot Streak$100K Club
Trader Score
Win Rate: 48.1%
ROI: 0.1%
Trades: 52
Win Rate
48.1%
25W27L52 total
Open Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Current | PnL |
|---|
| Will Kanye West win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $15.5M | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-418K |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $15.5M | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-418K |
| Will Chris Christie win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $15.5M | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-418K |
| Will Elizabeth Warren win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $15.5M | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-418K |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $15.5M | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-418K |
| Will AOC win the 2024 US Presidential Election? |
Recent Activity (50)
BoughtWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No
+$1K@ 0.972h ago
BoughtWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No
+$3K@ 0.973h ago
BoughtWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?No
+$1K@ 1.005h ago
BoughtWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?No
+$1K@ 1.00
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $13.7M | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-369K |
| Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $10.5M | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-291K |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $9.1M | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-245K |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $7.7M | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-210K |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $7.4M | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-203K |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $5.3M | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-162K |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $5.3M | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-158K |
| Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $5.3M | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-158K |
| Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $1.5M | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-48K |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | $1.5M | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-2K |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | Yes | $1.5M | $0.13 | $0.00 | $-195K |
| Will Elizabeth Warren win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? | Yes | $319K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-10K |
| Will Kanye West win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? | Yes | $313K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-10K |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? | Yes | $189K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-6K |
| Will Chris Christie win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? | Yes | $187K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-6K |
| Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $142K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-3K |
| Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $142K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-3K |
| Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $142K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-3K |
| Will Trump nominate David Zervos as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $142K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-3K |
| Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $142K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-3K |
| Will Trump nominate Larry Lindsey as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $142K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-3K |
| Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $142K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-3K |
| Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $142K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-3K |
| Will Trump nominate Marc Sumerlin as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $142K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-3K |
| Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $142K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-3K |
| Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $142K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-3K |
| Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $142K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-3K |
| Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $142K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-3K |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? | Yes | $129K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-4K |
| Will AOC win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? | Yes | $129K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-4K |
| Will Trump nominate Philip Jefferson as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $116K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-2K |
| Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $109K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-2K |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | No | $48K | $0.98 | $1.00 | $635 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting? | Yes | $46K | $0.32 | $0.00 | $-15K |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? | Yes | $35K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-1K |
| Biden wins the Popular Vote? | Yes | $35K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-1K |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | No | $28K | $0.96 | $0.97 | $157 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | $15K | $0.32 | $0.00 | $-5K |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | $15K | $0.32 | $0.01 | $-5K |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March? | No | $14K | $0.99 | $0.99 | $103 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | $8K | $0.88 | $0.92 | $244 |
| Japan wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics? | Yes | $5K | $0.15 | $0.00 | $-758 |
| Another country wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics? | Yes | $5K | $0.15 | $0.00 | $-758 |
| Great Britain wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics? | Yes | $5K | $0.15 | $0.00 | $-758 |
| France wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics? | Yes | $5K | $0.15 | $0.00 | $-758 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? | Yes | $5K | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-195 |
| Will any other Democrat Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? | Yes | $5K | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-195 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? | Yes | $5K | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-195 |
| Will Nikki Haley win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? | Yes | $5K | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-195 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? | No | $3K | $0.88 | $0.78 | $-265 |
| Trump out as President by March 31? | No | $2K | $0.97 | $1.00 | $48 |
| Will MrBeast hit 490 Million subscribers by March 31? | No | $2K | $0.93 | $1.00 | $115 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting? | No | $2K | $0.10 | $0.00 | $-177 |
| Will Bernie Sanders be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | Yes | $2K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-37 |
| Will Raphael Warnock be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | Yes | $2K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-37 |
| Will Tammy Baldwin be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | Yes | $2K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-37 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | Yes | $2K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-37 |
| Will Joe Biden be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | Yes | $2K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-37 |
| Will Amy Klobuchar be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | Yes | $2K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-37 |
| Will Tammy Duckworth be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | Yes | $2K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-37 |
| Will Barack Obama be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | Yes | $2K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-37 |
| Will Elizabeth Warren be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | Yes | $1K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-30 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025? | Yes | $1K | $0.15 | $0.00 | $-188 |
| Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? | No | $1K | $0.61 | $0.79 | $213 |
| Will Silver (SI) settle over $70 on the final trading day of January 2026? | No | $1K | $0.36 | $0.00 | $-387 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025? | Yes | $1K | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-60 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025? | Yes | $1K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-35 |
| Will MrBeast hit 125 billion views by March 31? | No | $881 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $22 |
| Megaquake by March 31? | No | $800 | $0.84 | $0.97 | $110 |
| Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election? | No | $773 | $0.14 | $0.00 | $-108 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $450 end of January? | Yes | $750 | $0.45 | $0.00 | $-339 |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | No | $701 | $0.92 | $0.79 | $-89 |
| Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? | No | $600 | $0.84 | $0.95 | $67 |
| 2026 U.S. House election: Republicans flip the Democrats by March 31? | No | $586 | $0.94 | $0.99 | $29 |
| Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 5% on any day in Q1? | No | $502 | $0.88 | $0.99 | $56 |
| XRP all time high by June 30, 2026? | No | $500 | $0.83 | $0.95 | $61 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January? | No | $485 | $0.41 | $0.00 | $-199 |
| Netanyahu arrested by March 31? | No | $455 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $14 |
| Will Trump say "Elon" during Michigan rally on October 18? | No | $380 | $0.14 | $0.00 | $-53 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? | No | $359 | $0.86 | $0.67 | $-68 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027? | Yes | $349 | $0.94 | $0.65 | $-103 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027? | No | $332 | $0.93 | $0.97 | $13 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31? | No | $331 | $0.98 | $0.99 | $4 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31? | No | $329 | $0.13 | $0.00 | $-43 |
| XRP all time high by March 31, 2026? | No | $328 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $20 |
| Obama federally charged before 2027? | No | $300 | $0.89 | $0.83 | $-19 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model for coding on March 31? | No | $300 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $8 |
| Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027? | No | $300 | $0.80 | $0.91 | $33 |
| Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? | No | $300 | $0.60 | $0.71 | $35 |
| Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30? | No | $300 | $0.93 | $0.97 | $12 |
| Jerome Powell arrested by March 31? | No | $289 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $5 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027? | No | $273 | $0.60 | $0.12 | $-131 |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? | No | $271 | $0.89 | $0.72 | $-46 |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | $266 | $0.65 | $0.30 | $-93 |
| Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026? | No | $250 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $10 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027? | No | $241 | $0.93 | $0.96 | $6 |
| Will MrBeast hit 472 Million subscribers by March 31? | Yes | $230 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $4 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | $217 | $0.09 | $0.13 | $8 |
| Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027? | No | $213 | $0.86 | $0.90 | $8 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027? | No | $212 | $0.97 | $0.96 | $-1 |
| Will the U.S. national debt hit $40 trillion before 2027? | Yes | $211 | $0.95 | $0.98 | $6 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027? | No | $209 | $0.95 | $0.97 | $5 |
| Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31? | No | $200 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $6 |
| Russian strike on a NATO member by March 31? | No | $200 | $0.96 | $0.97 | $3 |
| Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? | No | $200 | $0.87 | $0.81 | $-13 |
| Will MrBeast hit 465 Million subscribers by January 31? | No | $199 | $0.25 | $0.00 | $-49 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | $186 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? | No | $185 | $0.94 | $0.89 | $-11 |
| Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026? | No | $170 | $0.65 | $0.84 | $32 |
| Will Phantom launch a token by March 31, 2026? | No | $159 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $8 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027? | No | $156 | $0.94 | $0.84 | $-15 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? | No | $154 | $0.92 | $0.88 | $-6 |
| Will XRP reach $4.20 by December 31, 2026? | No | $153 | $0.93 | $0.89 | $-6 |
| Obama arrested before 2027? | No | $151 | $0.93 | $0.92 | $-1 |
| Tim Walz in jail by December 31? | No | $150 | $0.94 | $0.94 | $1 |
| XRP all time high by December 31, 2026? | No | $150 | $0.66 | $0.80 | $21 |
| Will MrBeast hit 120 billion views by March 31? | No | $150 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $3 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31? | No | $150 | $0.92 | $0.99 | $10 |
| Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026? | No | $150 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $3 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? | No | $144 | $0.92 | $0.76 | $-24 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30? | No | $128 | $0.48 | $0.92 | $56 |
| Nicolas Sarkozy in jail by March 31? | No | $126 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $2 |
| Will XRP reach $3.80 by December 31, 2026? | No | $121 | $0.92 | $0.86 | $-7 |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26? | No | $112 | $0.79 | $0.00 | $-88 |
| Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30? | No | $100 | $0.80 | $0.92 | $12 |
| Will Trump create a tariff dividend by March 31? | No | $100 | $0.89 | $0.99 | $10 |
| Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 5.0% by March 31? | No | $100 | $0.98 | $0.98 | $-0 |
| Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? | No | $100 | $0.65 | $0.92 | $27 |
| XRP all time high by September 30, 2026? | No | $100 | $0.72 | $0.86 | $14 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | No | $97 | $0.87 | $0.96 | $8 |
| Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027? | No | $81 | $0.72 | $0.79 | $6 |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the March Meeting? | No | $68 | $0.93 | $1.00 | $5 |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | $50 | $0.78 | $0.84 | $3 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027? | Yes | $50 | $0.68 | $0.40 | $-14 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET | Up | $50 | $0.47 | $0.00 | $-23 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET | Up | $49 | $0.51 | $0.00 | $-25 |
| Will Citigroup fail by June 30, 2026? | No | $48 | $0.98 | $0.98 | $0 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of January? | No | $47 | $0.29 | $0.00 | $-14 |
| Will MrBeast hit 480 Million subscribers by March 31? | Yes | $46 | $0.48 | $0.00 | $-22 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% before 2027? | No | $31 | $0.82 | $0.41 | $-13 |
| Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.5% by March 31? | No | $30 | $0.95 | $0.97 | $1 |
| Will Phantom launch a token by September 30, 2026? | No | $26 | $0.68 | $0.81 | $3 |
| Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.6% by March 31? | No | $25 | $0.95 | $0.96 | $0 |
| Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? | Yes | $21 | $0.60 | $0.10 | $-11 |
| Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) close over $24,000 on the final trading day of December 2026? | Yes | $20 | $0.73 | $0.46 | $-5 |
| Will Nasdaq 100 (NDX) close at <$23,500 in December? | No | $20 | $0.73 | $0.55 | $-4 |
| Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.8% by March 31? | No | $19 | $0.97 | $0.97 | $0 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027? | Yes | $13 | $0.62 | $0.42 | $-3 |
| Will MrBeast hit 500 Million subscribers by March 31? | No | $10 | $0.92 | $1.00 | $1 |
| Will Jupiter be accused of insider trading? | Yes | $5 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Base be accused of insider trading? | Yes | $5 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Ethena be accused of insider trading? | Yes | $5 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Robinhood be accused of insider trading? | Yes | $5 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will OKX be accused of insider trading? | Yes | $5 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will MEXC be accused of insider trading? | Yes | $5 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will OpenSea be accused of insider trading? | Yes | $5 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-02-01? | No | $5 | $0.61 | $0.00 | $-3 |
| Will Bybit be accused of insider trading? | Yes | $5 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Upbit be accused of insider trading? | Yes | $5 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will another company be accused of insider trading? | Yes | $5 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will XRP reach $3.40 by December 31, 2026? | No | $5 | $0.86 | $0.80 | $-0 |
| Will Binance be accused of insider trading? | Yes | $5 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will AAVE be accused of insider trading? | Yes | $5 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Helius be accused of insider trading? | Yes | $5 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Kraken be accused of insider trading? | Yes | $5 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Gemini be accused of insider trading? | Yes | $5 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Tether be accused of insider trading? | Yes | $5 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Coinbase be accused of insider trading? | Yes | $5 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Wintermute be accused of insider trading? | Yes | $5 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading? | Yes | $5 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Hyperliquid be accused of insider trading? | Yes | $5 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Flashbots be accused of insider trading? | Yes | $5 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Jito be accused of insider trading? | Yes | $5 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Grayscale be accused of insider trading? | Yes | $5 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Dexscreener be accused of insider trading? | Yes | $5 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading? | Yes | $5 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Moonshot be accused of insider trading? | Yes | $5 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027? | No | $5 | $0.95 | $0.94 | $-0 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | Yes | $1 | $0.17 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? | Yes | $1 | $0.17 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election? | No | $1 | $0.44 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? | No | $0 | $0.60 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days? | Yes | $0 | $0.70 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.32 | $0.95 | $0 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | No | $0 | $0.42 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Tesla reach $608 in January? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump visit Russia before July? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | $0 | $0.88 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,000 by end of February? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will XRP dip to $1.50 in September? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Solana dip to $100 in November? | No | $0 | $0.95 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $0.00 end of February? | Yes | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | $0 | $0.81 | $0.84 | $0 |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the next German election? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Google reach $405 in February? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Dogecoin all time high before 2026? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $190 by end of February? | No | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Trump meets Xi, Putin, and Kim by December 31? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | $0 | $0.89 | $0.91 | $0 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will MrBeast hit 125 billion views by January 31? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the February Meeting? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| 5% GDP contraction in Q3 2025? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 18? | Up | $0 | $0.46 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will a candidate from another party win Pennsylvania Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will a Democrat win North Carolina Presidential Election? | No | $0 | $0.56 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of January? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | $0 | $0.13 | $0.15 | $0 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? | Yes | $0 | $0.62 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1800 in June? | No | $0 | $0.88 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.33 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics? | Yes | $0 | $0.18 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | $0 | $0.49 | $0.48 | $-0 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30? | No | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Solana dip to $80 in June? | No | $0 | $0.95 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | No | $0 | $0.86 | $0.93 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July? | No | $0 | $0.80 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.70 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will a Democrat win Arizona Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.19 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will $ETH reach 3.7k in July? | Yes | $0 | $0.27 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.24 | $0.03 | $-0 |
| Will Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of January 2026? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.79 | $0.91 | $0 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.81 | $0.99 | $0 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in January? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Doge ETF approved in 2024? | Yes | $0 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Union win the most seats in the next German election? | No | $0 | $0.09 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will a candidate from another party win Michigan Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election? | Yes | $0 | $0.54 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.95 | $0.99 | $0 |
| Biden drops out of presidential race? | Yes | $0 | $0.36 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Iran response to Israel by April 19? | No | $0 | $0.56 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Yes | $0 | $0.79 | $0.27 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics? | No | $0 | $0.74 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election? | No | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Ethereum above $3,500 on April 5? | Yes | $0 | $0.34 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will $ETH reach 3.9k in July? | Yes | $0 | $0.14 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Ethereum above $3,000 on April 19? | Yes | $0 | $0.51 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga? | Yes | $0 | $0.20 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Israel claims responsibility for Hezbollah pager attack? | Yes | $0 | $0.11 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | No | $0 | $0.85 | $0.83 | $-0 |
| Will XRP dip to $1.50 in October? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | No | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference? | No | $0 | $0.81 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in October? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | No | $0 | $0.62 | $0.73 | $0 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | No | $0 | $0.65 | $0.95 | $0 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | Up | $0 | $0.50 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.32 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will France win? | Yes | $0 | $0.42 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump say "Solana" during the X space? | Yes | $0 | $0.10 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by February 28, 2025? | No | $0 | $0.51 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Bitcoin above $60,000 on August 30? | Yes | $0 | $0.29 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024? | Yes | $0 | $0.23 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Speed/Kai beat hardcore Minecraft by Friday? | No | $0 | $0.42 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US military action against Iran before July? | Yes | $0 | $0.64 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in November? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will $ETH reach 4.1k in July? | Yes | $0 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Ethereum above $3,500 on June 28? | Yes | $0 | $0.34 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency? | No | $0 | $0.73 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.10 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Israel invade Lebanon before September? | Yes | $0 | $0.60 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Ethereum hit $4,200.00 in December? | Yes | $0 | $0.74 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Solana dip to $90 in November? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| $EIGEN transferable before CZ gets out of prison? | Yes | $0 | $0.48 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December? | Yes | $0 | $0.62 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on March 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.97 | $0.99 | $0 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting? | No | $0 | $0.40 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | $0 | $0.14 | $0.17 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31? | No | $0 | $0.75 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5PM ET | Up | $0 | $0.28 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election? | No | $0 | $0.36 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will William McRaven be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Michelle Obama be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Andy Beshear be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Tim Ryan be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Wes Moore be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Kamala Harris be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Roy Cooper be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Mark Cuban be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will J. B. Pritzker be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Hillary Clinton be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will another woman be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will another man be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Gavin Newsom be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| $BTC dips below $50k before August? | Yes | $0 | $0.38 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.37 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the debate? | Yes | $0 | $0.32 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the US strike Iran next? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $25 by end of February? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.73 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Ethereum above $3,400 on June 21? | Yes | $0 | $0.66 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Kanye launch a coin in February? | No | $0 | $0.50 | $1.00 | $0 |
| NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.78 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Powell says "inflation" 15+ times in FOMC statement? | No | $0 | $0.15 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024? | No | $0 | $0.68 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Bitcoin above $61,000 on July 5? | No | $0 | $0.54 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump say "Fake News" during the debate? | Yes | $0 | $0.71 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? | No | $0 | $0.36 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in November? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Ethereum dips below $2,000 by Sept 30? | Yes | $0 | $0.21 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.89 | $0.76 | $-0 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.33 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Ethereum spot ETF approved by June 30? | Yes | $0 | $0.76 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Kamala say "Palestine" or "Palestinian" at debate? | No | $0 | $0.22 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | $0 | $0.89 | $0.79 | $-0 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | No | $0 | $0.78 | $0.91 | $0 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6PM ET | Down | $0 | $0.32 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Biden nominated before Democratic convention? | No | $0 | $0.58 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Bitcoin above $63,000 on September 27? | No | $0 | $0.17 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will XRP reach $3.50 in March? | No | $0 | $0.80 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December? | No | $0 | $0.54 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will XRP reach $4.0 in July? | No | $0 | $0.78 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | No | $0 | $0.04 | $0.05 | $0 |
| Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31? | No | $0 | $0.86 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80K in August? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump say "Hunter" during the debate? | No | $0 | $0.32 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will another man win the 2024 Republican VP nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.12 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in October? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will any other Republican Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will RFK Jr. win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Israel ground offensive in Rafah by April 30? | Yes | $0 | $0.17 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say "Dementia" during the debate? | Yes | $0 | $0.33 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Fulham wins the Premier League? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the FED change rates to another level after Nov meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will BNB dip to $500 in January? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,600 by end of February? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.20 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.03 | $0 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5PM ET | Down | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | $0 | $0.11 | $0.47 | $0 |
| Bitcoin above $70,000 on April 5? | Yes | $0 | $0.29 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | No | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.58 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Biden wins the Popular Vote? | No | $0 | $0.70 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump nominate no one before 2027? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say "Abortion" during the debate? | No | $0 | $0.34 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| NVIDIA largest company before June 15? | No | $0 | $0.41 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will MAGA reach $1b first? | Yes | $0 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5800 in August? | No | $0 | $0.93 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will XRP reach $3.20 in January? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.33 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Ethereum above $3,000 on May 24? | Yes | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Tim Scott win the 2024 Republican VP nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.23 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET | Up | $0 | $0.52 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| LayerZero airdrop by June 30? | No | $0 | $0.27 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) <$10b one day after launch? | Yes | $0 | $0.09 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will ETH hit $4k by Friday? | Yes | $0 | $0.49 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Solana dip to $20 in February? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.44 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | No | $0 | $0.50 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.32 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Speed/Kai beat hardcore Minecraft by Friday? | Yes | $0 | $0.58 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Ethereum above $3,100 on July 19? | Yes | $0 | $0.63 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.19 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Ethereum all time high in Q3 2024? | Yes | $0 | $0.37 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | No | $0 | $0.88 | $0.99 | $0 |
| Blast airdrop by June 30? | No | $0 | $0.10 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.09 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | No | $0 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)? | Yes | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | No | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
6h ago
BoughtWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?No
+$9K@ 1.007h ago
SoldWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?No
$-5K@ 1.007h ago
SoldWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
$-20K@ 0.007h ago
SoldWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
$-1K@ 0.959h ago
SoldWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
$-5K@ 0.9510h ago
SoldWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
$-1K@ 0.9511h ago
BoughtWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No
+$4K@ 0.9617h ago
SoldUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes
$-5K@ 0.1717h ago
BoughtWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No
+$4K@ 0.9618h ago
BoughtWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No
+$9K@ 0.9623h ago
SoldWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
$-3K@ 0.9523h ago
SoldWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No
$-6K@ 0.971d ago
BoughtWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
+$15K@ 0.011d ago
BoughtWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
+$13K@ 0.951d ago
BoughtWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
+$15K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes
+$5K@ 0.131d ago
BoughtWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?No
+$3K@ 0.991d ago
BoughtWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No
+$3K@ 0.971d ago
SoldWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No
$-4K@ 0.971d ago
SoldWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
$-2K@ 0.951d ago
SoldWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No
$-2K@ 0.971d ago
SoldWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
$-3K@ 0.951d ago
SoldWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
$-10K@ 0.011d ago
SoldWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No
$-6K@ 0.961d ago
SoldWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No
$-2K@ 0.971d ago
BoughtWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No
+$5K@ 0.971d ago
SoldWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
$-1K@ 0.951d ago
SoldWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No
$-4K@ 0.471d ago
BoughtWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No
+$1K@ 0.971d ago
SoldWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No
$-10K@ 0.971d ago
BoughtWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
+$10K@ 0.011d ago
BoughtWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
+$5K@ 0.951d ago
SoldWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No
$-3K@ 0.521d ago
SoldWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No
$-1K@ 0.471d ago
BoughtWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
+$10K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No
+$28K@ 0.971d ago
SoldWill the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?No
$-24K@ 0.992d ago
SoldWill the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?No
$-5K@ 0.992d ago
BoughtWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?No
+$13K@ 0.992d ago
SoldWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
$-2K@ 0.952d ago
SoldWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No
$-4K@ 0.962d ago
SoldWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
$-5K@ 0.012d ago
BoughtWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
+$5K@ 0.942d ago
BoughtWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
+$5K@ 0.002d ago
SoldWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No
$-5K@ 0.952d ago
BoughtWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
+$5K@ 0.002d ago