Weekly Market Digest
Top trades, whale moves, and market insights every Monday
M
MrMarket
0xf769c6390f6d564fe4859effbddb682c62660114
SharpshooterHot Streak
Trader Score
Win Rate: 100.0%
ROI: 0.0%
Trades: 102
Win Rate
100.0%
102W0L102 total
No PnL history available
Not enough data for rank history
Open Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Current | PnL |
|---|
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | No | $224K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-5K |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $181K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-147 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | $158K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-475 |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $152K | $0.02 | $0.01 | $-872 |
| Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $115K | $0.01 | $0.02 | $428 |
|
Recent Activity (50)
BoughtWill Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes
+$15K@ 0.0216h ago
BoughtWill Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes
+$13K@ 0.0116h ago
BoughtWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes
+$12K@ 0.2516h ago
BoughtS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?Up
+$11K@ 0.00
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $86K | $0.03 | $0.04 | $220 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $80K | $0.04 | $0.04 | $-254 |
| Will Vanderbilt win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | $79K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-859 |
| Trump announces military action against Iran durring SOTU? | Yes | $56K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-780 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $54K | $0.06 | $0.05 | $-484 |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $51K | $0.02 | $0.02 | $-384 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $35K | $0.09 | $0.08 | $-146 |
| Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | Yes | $30K | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-2K |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $22K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-38 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | Yes | $21K | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-749 |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | Yes | $21K | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-848 |
| Will Drake perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | Yes | $20K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-55 |
| Will Justin Bieber perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | Yes | $20K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-42 |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $19K | $0.02 | $0.03 | $85 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | $19K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-246 |
| Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $19K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-106 |
| US evacuates Guadalajara consulate by Feb 28? | Yes | $18K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-364 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $17K | $0.04 | $0.06 | $320 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $17K | $0.03 | $0.02 | $-82 |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $15K | $0.02 | $0.02 | $-22 |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $13K | $0.02 | $0.01 | $-86 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $12K | $0.26 | $0.24 | $-246 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | Up | $11K | $0.18 | $0.00 | $-2K |
| Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? | No | $11K | $0.97 | $0.99 | $204 |
| Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30? | Yes | $11K | $0.13 | $0.12 | $-101 |
| Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $10K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $15 |
| Will Trump pardon SBF in his first 100 days? | Yes | $9K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-253 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | $8K | $0.25 | $0.23 | $-216 |
| Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28? | Yes | $8K | $0.08 | $0.00 | $-574 |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? | No | $7K | $0.71 | $0.71 | $33 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $7K | $0.16 | $0.11 | $-330 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Yes | $7K | $0.07 | $0.17 | $756 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | Yes | $5K | $0.14 | $0.13 | $-82 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | No | $5K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-173 |
| US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026? | No | $5K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-151 |
| Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | Yes | $4K | $0.02 | $0.01 | $-23 |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026? | No | $4K | $0.02 | $0.05 | $142 |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $4K | $0.02 | $0.02 | $6 |
| Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | Yes | $4K | $0.12 | $0.00 | $-469 |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $4K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-14 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $650b and $660b on March 31? | Yes | $4K | $0.11 | $0.15 | $149 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | No | $4K | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-218 |
| Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30? | Yes | $4K | $0.11 | $0.09 | $-102 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026? | Yes | $3K | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-136 |
| Will Matt Goodwin – Reform win the Gorton and Denton by-election? | Yes | $3K | $0.19 | $0.00 | $-599 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | Yes | $3K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-49 |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $3K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-5 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on March 31? | Yes | $3K | $0.09 | $0.18 | $303 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | $3K | $0.84 | $0.84 | $25 |
| Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | Yes | $3K | $0.05 | $0.02 | $-75 |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | Yes | $3K | $0.61 | $0.68 | $162 |
| Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | Yes | $3K | $0.16 | $0.06 | $-271 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $670b on March 31? | Yes | $3K | $0.12 | $0.13 | $10 |
| Will Grupo Frontera perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | Yes | $2K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-67 |
| Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | Yes | $2K | $0.06 | $0.11 | $109 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on March 31? | Yes | $2K | $0.09 | $0.07 | $-42 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez applaud during Trump's State of the Union? | Yes | $2K | $0.09 | $0.00 | $-195 |
| Will Rosalia perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | Yes | $2K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-20 |
| Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | Yes | $2K | $0.02 | $0.01 | $-7 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on February 28? | Yes | $2K | $0.25 | $0.00 | $-487 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January? | Yes | $2K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-10 |
| Labour leadership election scheduled by March 31? | No | $2K | $0.94 | $0.98 | $88 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $680b and $690b on March 31? | Yes | $2K | $0.06 | $0.06 | $4 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31? | Yes | $2K | $0.26 | $0.05 | $-376 |
| Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | No | $2K | $0.92 | $0.91 | $-14 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | No | $2K | $0.91 | $0.99 | $146 |
| Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | Yes | $2K | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-105 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | Yes | $2K | $0.15 | $0.15 | $0 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | Yes | $2K | $0.08 | $0.07 | $-27 |
| Trump out as President by March 31? | No | $2K | $0.97 | $1.00 | $43 |
| Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026? | Yes | $2K | $0.26 | $0.35 | $143 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $2K | $0.20 | $0.19 | $-29 |
| UK Cabinet Minister resigns by February 28, 2026? | Yes | $2K | $0.34 | $0.00 | $-550 |
| Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more? | Yes | $2K | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-61 |
| Will Marco Rubio visit Israel by March 2? | Yes | $2K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-13 |
| Will Trump say "BLM" or "Black Lives Matter" during the Black History Month reception? | Yes | $2K | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-80 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 23? | Up | $1K | $0.37 | $0.00 | $-550 |
| Will Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? | Yes | $1K | $0.19 | $0.18 | $-6 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | No | $1K | $0.16 | $0.05 | $-147 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | $1K | $0.10 | $0.14 | $56 |
| Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 50% by March 31? | Yes | $1K | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-54 |
| Will Canada strike Iran by March 31? | No | $1K | $0.97 | $1.00 | $31 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $690b and $700b on March 31? | Yes | $1K | $0.06 | $0.03 | $-44 |
| Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | $1K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-6 |
| Will the 2026 State of the Union address be between 60 and 70 minutes long? | Yes | $1K | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-73 |
| Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | Yes | $1K | $0.66 | $0.76 | $118 |
| Will Trump say "Canada" during the State of the Union address? | Yes | $1K | $0.56 | $0.00 | $-659 |
| Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election? | Yes | $1K | $0.52 | $0.47 | $-58 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | Yes | $1K | $0.41 | $0.07 | $-386 |
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | Yes | $1K | $0.62 | $0.84 | $238 |
| Will Green Day perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | Yes | $1K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-31 |
| Les Wexner charged by June 30? | Yes | $1K | $0.12 | $0.12 | $-9 |
| Will Iran claim responsibility for Oslo Embassy attack? | Yes | $1K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-2 |
| Will Benson Boone perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | Yes | $1K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-13 |
| Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? | Yes | $1K | $0.07 | $0.08 | $10 |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | Yes | $1K | $0.11 | $0.12 | $5 |
| Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $1000 | $0.02 | $0.01 | $-9 |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | $992 | $0.03 | $0.02 | $-16 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $680b and $690b on February 28? | Yes | $943 | $0.20 | $0.00 | $-187 |
| Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more? | No | $900 | $0.09 | $0.00 | $-77 |
| Will J Balvin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | Yes | $856 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-17 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $650b and $660b on February 28? | Yes | $844 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-16 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | Yes | $833 | $0.03 | $0.02 | $-14 |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2026? | No | $824 | $0.49 | $0.58 | $78 |
| Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31? | Yes | $800 | $0.11 | $0.02 | $-79 |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026? | No | $799 | $0.89 | $0.89 | $-4 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | $783 | $0.64 | $0.55 | $-74 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | Yes | $772 | $0.28 | $0.58 | $238 |
| Will Bernie Sanders applaud during Trump's State of the Union? | Yes | $752 | $0.42 | $0.00 | $-312 |
| Will there be 14–16 inches of snow in NYC this weekend? | Yes | $742 | $0.17 | $0.00 | $-126 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31? | No | $730 | $0.96 | $0.99 | $22 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | $722 | $0.02 | $0.03 | $7 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | Yes | $700 | $0.13 | $0.00 | $-91 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $640b on March 31? | No | $695 | $0.58 | $0.63 | $35 |
| Will Yvette Cooper be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | Yes | $678 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $2 |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | $674 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-4 |
| Will Dua Lipa perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | Yes | $667 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-27 |
| Will JD Vance clap between 50–59 times during the State of the Union? | Yes | $622 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-31 |
| Will Anthropic have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Yes | $620 | $0.24 | $0.00 | $-147 |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | $616 | $0.12 | $0.20 | $52 |
| Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | No | $609 | $0.46 | $0.49 | $19 |
| US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026? | No | $604 | $0.53 | $0.00 | $-320 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $700b and $710b on March 31? | Yes | $593 | $0.05 | $0.03 | $-13 |
| Will the 2026 State of the Union address be between 70 and 80 minutes long? | Yes | $586 | $0.14 | $0.00 | $-81 |
| Will Larry Page be 3rd richest person on March 31? | Yes | $580 | $0.05 | $0.01 | $-24 |
| Will the 2026 State of the Union address be between 80 and 90 minutes long? | Yes | $549 | $0.16 | $0.00 | $-90 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | $546 | $0.77 | $0.56 | $-118 |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 20% in 2026? | No | $542 | $0.91 | $0.97 | $30 |
| Will Trump's approval rating be at least 42.0 on January 30, 2026? | Yes | $532 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-6 |
| Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? | No | $524 | $0.75 | $0.82 | $38 |
| Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of February 2026? | Yes | $519 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-38 |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2026? | No | $515 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-35 |
| US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026? | Yes | $513 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-5 |
| Will Jensen Huang be 3rd richest person on March 31? | Yes | $510 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-8 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | $503 | $0.84 | $0.00 | $-423 |
| Will Ye say something antisemitic before March? | Yes | $500 | $0.17 | $0.00 | $-85 |
| Will Iran strike Cyprus in March? | No | $500 | $0.73 | $0.97 | $123 |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | Yes | $500 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-2 |
| Will Iran strike Yemen in March? | Yes | $500 | $0.04 | $0.02 | $-9 |
| Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | $486 | $0.25 | $0.12 | $-63 |
| European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? | No | $479 | $0.75 | $0.88 | $62 |
| Will Trump & Elon reduce the deficit in 2025? | Yes | $478 | $0.11 | $0.00 | $-54 |
| Will Santa deliver fewer than 7,900,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025? | Yes | $435 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-2 |
| Will Trump be impeached by June 30? | No | $428 | $0.96 | $0.95 | $-1 |
| Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027? | No | $410 | $0.84 | $0.88 | $16 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | Yes | $409 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-22 |
| Starmer out by April 30, 2026? | No | $400 | $0.87 | $0.93 | $20 |
| Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more? | Yes | $400 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-28 |
| Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more? | Yes | $400 | $0.10 | $0.00 | $-40 |
| Will Iran strike Afghanistan in March? | Yes | $400 | $0.04 | $0.02 | $-9 |
| World Cup game relocated away from Mexico? | Yes | $400 | $0.14 | $0.04 | $-40 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | $400 | $0.82 | $0.86 | $16 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | $400 | $0.63 | $0.85 | $90 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | $400 | $0.73 | $0.80 | $26 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | $394 | $0.46 | $0.35 | $-41 |
| Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | No | $390 | $0.36 | $0.00 | $-140 |
| Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? | Yes | $383 | $0.57 | $0.71 | $56 |
| Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 24? | No | $373 | $0.24 | $0.00 | $-89 |
| Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? | No | $371 | $0.86 | $0.89 | $9 |
| Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam? | Yes | $369 | $0.22 | $0.66 | $161 |
| Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30? | Yes | $342 | $0.09 | $0.08 | $-5 |
| Will Jara win by less than 5%? | Yes | $339 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-3 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on February 28? | Yes | $328 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-3 |
| Will Anthropic have the third-best AI model at the end of February 2026? | Yes | $320 | $0.24 | $0.00 | $-77 |
| Will Trump's approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on January 30, 2026? | Yes | $320 | $0.09 | $0.00 | $-29 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Yes | $316 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-21 |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? | Yes | $316 | $0.24 | $0.00 | $-75 |
| Bill Clinton divorce by June 30? | No | $303 | $0.97 | $0.97 | $1 |
| Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | Yes | $300 | $0.02 | $0.20 | $55 |
| Will Rachel Reeves be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | Yes | $300 | $0.02 | $0.01 | $-2 |
| Will Robert Jenrick be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | Yes | $300 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-4 |
| Will Ed Davey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | Yes | $300 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-4 |
| Will Darren Jones be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | Yes | $300 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-4 |
| Will Bridget Phillipson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | Yes | $300 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-4 |
| Will James Cleverly be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | Yes | $300 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-4 |
| Will Boris Johnson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | Yes | $300 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-4 |
| Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | Yes | $300 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-4 |
| Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | Yes | $300 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-4 |
| Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | Yes | $300 | $0.02 | $0.04 | $7 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $300 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $1 |
| Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by March 31? | No | $300 | $0.89 | $0.99 | $31 |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | Yes | $300 | $0.05 | $0.05 | $1 |
| Will Trump say "Palestine" or "Palestinian" this week? (December 29 - January 4) | Yes | $300 | $0.15 | $0.00 | $-45 |
| Tim Walz in jail by March 31? | No | $300 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $5 |
| Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? | Yes | $300 | $0.70 | $0.65 | $-17 |
| Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026? | No | $300 | $0.91 | $0.95 | $11 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | Yes | $300 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-10 |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31? | No | $300 | $0.42 | $0.00 | $-127 |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15? | Yes | $300 | $0.75 | $0.48 | $-79 |
| Will Iran strike Pakistan in March? | Yes | $300 | $0.07 | $0.03 | $-11 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | No | $299 | $0.55 | $0.48 | $-18 |
| Iran leadership change by March 31? | Yes | $295 | $0.22 | $0.07 | $-45 |
| Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people? | Yes | $295 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-5 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on February 20, 2026? | Yes | $283 | $0.29 | $0.00 | $-82 |
| Will Marc Anthony perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | Yes | $282 | $0.15 | $0.00 | $-42 |
| Will Mark Zuckerberg be 2nd richest person on March 31? | Yes | $250 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-2 |
| Gemini 3.5 released by June 30? | Yes | $243 | $0.56 | $0.42 | $-33 |
| Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | No | $240 | $0.65 | $0.76 | $26 |
| Will Prince Andrew record an interview by March 31? | No | $238 | $0.97 | $0.98 | $0 |
| Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by March 31, 2026? | No | $226 | $0.94 | $0.99 | $12 |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | No | $221 | $0.13 | $0.14 | $3 |
| Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026? | No | $218 | $0.95 | $1.00 | $10 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | No | $213 | $0.28 | $0.94 | $142 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | Yes | $208 | $0.09 | $0.03 | $-12 |
| Will Mark Zuckerberg be 3rd richest person on March 31? | Yes | $200 | $0.04 | $0.02 | $-5 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Yes | $200 | $0.10 | $0.01 | $-17 |
| Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%? | Yes | $200 | $0.06 | $0.05 | $-1 |
| Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | No | $200 | $0.95 | $0.96 | $2 |
| Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more? | Yes | $200 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-4 |
| Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026? | Yes | $200 | $0.93 | $0.98 | $10 |
| Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30? | No | $200 | $0.95 | $0.97 | $3 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | Yes | $200 | $0.37 | $0.00 | $-74 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026? | Yes | $200 | $0.11 | $0.07 | $-8 |
| Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? | No | $200 | $0.74 | $0.91 | $34 |
| Will the 2026 State of the Union address be between 90 and 100 minutes long? | Yes | $200 | $0.22 | $0.00 | $-44 |
| Will Ozuna perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | Yes | $200 | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-12 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | No | $200 | $0.93 | $1.00 | $13 |
| Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30? | No | $200 | $0.93 | $0.93 | $-0 |
| Will the 2026 State of the Union address last 100 minutes or longer? | No | $200 | $0.58 | $0.00 | $-116 |
| Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on February 19? | Down | $200 | $0.13 | $0.00 | $-26 |
| Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28? | No | $200 | $0.26 | $0.00 | $-53 |
| Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | $199 | $0.10 | $0.17 | $14 |
| Will Prince Andrew apologize by Feb 28? | Yes | $198 | $0.08 | $0.00 | $-16 |
| Will GBP/USD hit 1.70 (High) in 2026? | No | $178 | $0.90 | $0.86 | $-6 |
| Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30? | Yes | $176 | $0.44 | $0.53 | $14 |
| Will Jeff Bezos be 3rd richest person on March 31? | Yes | $169 | $0.22 | $0.18 | $-5 |
| Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | Yes | $162 | $0.21 | $0.27 | $10 |
| Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? | Yes | $155 | $0.53 | $0.54 | $2 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | No | $150 | $0.94 | $0.96 | $3 |
| Will DeepSeek have the third-best AI model at the end of February 2026? | Yes | $150 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-5 |
| Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be less than 0%? | Yes | $145 | $0.48 | $0.93 | $65 |
| State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30? | No | $138 | $0.84 | $0.88 | $5 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Elon Edition | Yes | $136 | $0.96 | $0.98 | $3 |
| Will Trump say "Love Trump" during the Black History Month reception? | Yes | $120 | $0.24 | $0.00 | $-29 |
| Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? | No | $119 | $0.84 | $0.87 | $4 |
| Prince Andrew charged by March 31? | Yes | $118 | $0.12 | $0.04 | $-10 |
| Will JD Vance clap 100 times or more during the State of the Union? | Yes | $112 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-8 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026? | No | $105 | $0.94 | $0.99 | $6 |
| Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026? | No | $102 | $0.45 | $0.00 | $-46 |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | $101 | $0.85 | $0.90 | $5 |
| Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by March 31? | No | $101 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-4 |
| Will António José Seguro win the second round by 20–30%? | Yes | $100 | $0.36 | $0.00 | $-36 |
| Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | $100 | $0.01 | $0.10 | $9 |
| Will Mohsen Araki be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | $100 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-1 |
| Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | $100 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| Will Massoud Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | $100 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-1 |
| Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | $100 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | $100 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-1 |
| Will Navid Shomali be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | $100 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-1 |
| Will Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | $100 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-1 |
| Will Chris Madel win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? | Yes | $100 | $0.03 | $0.03 | $0 |
| Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? | Yes | $100 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-1 |
| Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | $100 | $0.01 | $0.04 | $4 |
| Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | $100 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-1 |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | $100 | $0.01 | $0.04 | $3 |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | $100 | $0.01 | $0.05 | $5 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | No | $100 | $0.53 | $0.43 | $-10 |
| Will Reza Pirzadeh be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | $100 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-1 |
| Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | $100 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-1 |
| Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | $100 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will GBP/USD hit 1.00 (Low) in 2026? | No | $100 | $0.87 | $0.85 | $-2 |
| Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | $100 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | $100 | $0.82 | $0.86 | $5 |
| Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | $100 | $0.01 | $0.02 | $1 |
| Will Ali Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | $100 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-1 |
| Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | $100 | $0.01 | $0.03 | $2 |
| Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027? | No | $100 | $0.92 | $0.91 | $-1 |
| Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | $100 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-1 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | $100 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-4 |
| Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027? | Yes | $100 | $0.13 | $0.12 | $-2 |
| Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | $100 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | $100 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $1 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | Yes | $100 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-5 |
| Will Mohammad Pakpour be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | $100 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-1 |
| Will Mustafa Hijri be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | $100 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-1 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | $100 | $0.01 | $0.03 | $2 |
| Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | $100 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | $100 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | $100 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-1 |
| Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | $100 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| Will turnout in the 2026 Japanese snap election be between 52% and 54%? | Yes | $100 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-7 |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30? | No | $100 | $0.26 | $0.00 | $-26 |
| Will Christina Aguilera perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | Yes | $93 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will turnout in the 2026 Japanese snap election be 60% or higher? | Yes | $90 | $0.12 | $0.00 | $-11 |
| Will Elvis Crespo perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | Yes | $87 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-2 |
| Will JD Vance clap between 60–69 times during the State of the Union? | Yes | $84 | $0.08 | $0.00 | $-7 |
| Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026? | Yes | $81 | $0.31 | $0.00 | $-25 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Get out and vote" on Truth Social this week? | No | $77 | $0.09 | $0.00 | $-7 |
| Will Sabrina Carpenter perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | Yes | $72 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-3 |
| Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ? | Yes | $67 | $0.07 | $0.07 | $-0 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $690b and $700b on February 28? | Yes | $66 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-5 |
| Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? | No | $65 | $0.77 | $0.53 | $-15 |
| Will António José Seguro win the second round by 40–50%? | Yes | $63 | $0.12 | $0.00 | $-8 |
| Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | $55 | $0.06 | $0.06 | $-0 |
| Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 16 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000? | Yes | $52 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-2 |
| Maduro guilty of all counts? | No | $44 | $0.68 | $0.69 | $0 |
| State of the Union Bingo - Card 3 | Yes | $43 | $0.08 | $0.00 | $-3 |
| Will Trump say "Dell" this week? (March 1) | No | $40 | $0.43 | $0.00 | $-17 |
| Will turnout in the 2026 Japanese snap election be between 54% and 56%? | Yes | $40 | $0.22 | $0.00 | $-9 |
| Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%? | No | $40 | $0.53 | $0.00 | $-21 |
| Will turnout in the 2026 Japanese snap election be between 58% and 60%? | Yes | $40 | $0.10 | $0.00 | $-4 |
| Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | $38 | $0.87 | $0.85 | $-1 |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2026? | No | $36 | $0.92 | $0.95 | $1 |
| Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027? | No | $30 | $0.79 | $0.90 | $3 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | No | $27 | $0.51 | $0.57 | $2 |
| Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? | No | $26 | $0.77 | $0.78 | $0 |
| Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 5% on any day in Q1? | Yes | $25 | $0.03 | $0.02 | $-0 |
| Will Matt Goodwin – Reform finish third in the Gorton and Denton by-election? | Yes | $24 | $0.29 | $0.00 | $-7 |
| Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? (February 1) | No | $20 | $0.73 | $0.00 | $-15 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | Yes | $20 | $0.21 | $0.05 | $-3 |
| Will any 2026 FIFA World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad? | No | $17 | $0.73 | $0.85 | $2 |
| US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026? | No | $17 | $0.74 | $0.00 | $-13 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | $17 | $0.21 | $0.29 | $1 |
| US downs a Mexican cartel drone by March 31? | No | $16 | $0.72 | $0.96 | $4 |
| Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | Yes | $15 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? | No | $12 | $0.69 | $0.85 | $2 |
| Will GBP/USD hit 1.30 (Low) in 2026? | No | $10 | $0.32 | $0.31 | $-0 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $100B and $200B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | No | $2 | $0.72 | $0.99 | $0 |
| Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by June 30, 2026? | No | $2 | $0.88 | $0.93 | $0 |
| Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | $1 | $0.03 | $0.06 | $0 |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | Yes | $0 | $0.52 | $0.52 | $-0 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | $0 | $0.87 | $0.86 | $-0 |
| Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31? | No | $0 | $0.82 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.93 | $0.94 | $0 |
| Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | Yes | $0 | $0.91 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | $0 | $0.77 | $0.74 | $-0 |
| Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? | No | $0 | $0.95 | $0.93 | $-0 |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Prince Andrew mugshot released by February 28? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.50 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.14 | $0.13 | $-0 |
| Will Ricky Martin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | Yes | $0 | $0.81 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $630b on February 28? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.94 | $0.99 | $0 |
| S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.38 | $0.02 | $-0 |
| Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027? | No | $0 | $0.26 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | $0 | $0.79 | $0.84 | $0 |
| Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by March 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | $0 | $0.16 | $0.15 | $-0 |
| Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30? | Yes | $0 | $0.21 | $0.06 | $-0 |
| Will there be no US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | No | $0 | $0.78 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Angeliki Stogia - Labour win the Gorton and Denton by-election? | Yes | $0 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Starmer out by March 31, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.87 | $0.99 | $0 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027? | Yes | $0 | $0.71 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | $0 | $0.89 | $0.89 | $0 |
| Will Angeliki Stogia - Labour win the Gorton and Denton by-election? | No | $0 | $0.84 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Yes | $0 | $0.29 | $0.20 | $-0 |
| Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | No | $0 | $0.34 | $0.41 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30? | No | $0 | $0.91 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $630b and $640b on February 28? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $0.96 | $-0 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.39 | $0.37 | $-0 |
| Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished? | No | $0 | $0.92 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? | No | $0 | $0.82 | $0.87 | $0 |
| Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? | No | $0 | $0.82 | $0.65 | $-0 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.48 | $0.56 | $0 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.02 | $0 |
| Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election? | No | $0 | $0.29 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition | Yes | $0 | $0.95 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | Yes | $0 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.13 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | $0 | $0.79 | $0.87 | $0 |
| Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%? | No | $0 | $0.93 | $0.78 | $-0 |
| Fact Check: Maduro capture staged? | No | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.08 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.03 | $0 |
| Les Wexner charged by June 30? | No | $0 | $0.85 | $0.89 | $0 |
| Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.79 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | Yes | $0 | $0.11 | $0.10 | $-0 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $700b on February 28? | No | $0 | $0.79 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on February 28? | No | $0 | $0.71 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $670b on February 28? | Yes | $0 | $0.23 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | No | $0 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.91 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.05 | $0.13 | $0 |
| Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day? | No | $0 | $0.44 | $0.88 | $0 |
| Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.85 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? | Yes | $0 | $0.13 | $0.12 | $-0 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.45 | $0.45 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027? | No | $0 | $0.62 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Prince Andrew charged by March 31? | No | $0 | $0.90 | $0.96 | $0 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 23? | Down | $0 | $0.55 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | $0 | $0.90 | $0.92 | $0 |
| Will DeepSeek have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump deport 2,000,000 or more people? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | No | $0 | $0.50 | $0.48 | $-0 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | $0 | $0.89 | $0.99 | $0 |
| Will Trump's approval rating be less than 40.0 on January 30, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.57 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Trump out as President by March 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say "Canada" during the State of the Union address? | No | $0 | $0.16 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on February 20, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.87 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.35 | $0.33 | $-0 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? | Yes | $0 | $0.14 | $0.14 | $-0 |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | No | $0 | $0.85 | $0.89 | $0 |
16h ago
BoughtTrump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?No
+$11K@ 0.9916h ago
BoughtWill any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?Yes
+$11K@ 0.1216h ago
BoughtWill Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes
+$10K@ 0.0116h ago
BoughtWill Trump pardon SBF in his first 100 days?Yes
+$9K@ 0.0016h ago
BoughtWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Yes
+$8K@ 0.2316h ago
BoughtMoltbook shutdown by Feb 28?Yes
+$8K@ 0.0016h ago
BoughtWill Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?No
+$7K@ 0.7116h ago
BoughtWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes
+$7K@ 0.1216h ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes
+$7K@ 0.1816h ago
BoughtWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?Yes
+$5K@ 0.1316h ago
BoughtWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No
+$5K@ 0.0016h ago
BoughtUS strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?No
+$5K@ 0.0016h ago
BoughtWill Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes
+$4K@ 0.0116h ago
BoughtWill Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?No
+$4K@ 0.0516h ago
BoughtWill Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes
+$4K@ 0.0216h ago
BoughtWill Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?Yes
+$4K@ 0.0016h ago
BoughtWill Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes
+$4K@ 0.0116h ago
BoughtWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $650b and $660b on March 31?Yes
+$4K@ 0.1416h ago
BoughtWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No
+$4K@ 0.0016h ago
BoughtWill any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30?Yes
+$4K@ 0.0916h ago
BoughtWill the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes
+$3K@ 0.0016h ago
BoughtWill Matt Goodwin – Reform win the Gorton and Denton by-election?Yes
+$3K@ 0.0016h ago
BoughtWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes
+$3K@ 0.0016h ago
BoughtWill Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes
+$3K@ 0.0116h ago
BoughtWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on March 31?Yes
+$3K@ 0.1816h ago
BoughtWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No
+$3K@ 0.8416h ago
BoughtWill Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes
+$3K@ 0.0216h ago
BoughtStarmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes
+$3K@ 0.6816h ago
BoughtWill Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes
+$3K@ 0.0616h ago
BoughtWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $670b on March 31?Yes
+$3K@ 0.1216h ago
BoughtWill Grupo Frontera perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?Yes
+$2K@ 0.0016h ago
BoughtWill Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes
+$2K@ 0.1116h ago
BoughtWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on March 31?Yes
+$2K@ 0.0516h ago
BoughtWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez applaud during Trump's State of the Union?Yes
+$2K@ 0.0016h ago
BoughtWill Rosalia perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?Yes
+$2K@ 0.0016h ago
BoughtWill Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes
+$2K@ 0.0116h ago
BoughtWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on February 28?Yes
+$2K@ 0.0016h ago
BoughtWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?Yes
+$2K@ 0.0016h ago
BoughtLabour leadership election scheduled by March 31?No
+$2K@ 0.9816h ago
BoughtWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $680b and $690b on March 31?Yes
+$2K@ 0.0416h ago
BoughtWill Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?Yes
+$2K@ 0.0516h ago
BoughtWill Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?No
+$2K@ 0.9116h ago
BoughtWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?No
+$2K@ 0.9916h ago
BoughtWill there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes
+$2K@ 0.0016h ago
BoughtRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes
+$2K@ 0.1516h ago
BoughtWill Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes
+$17K@ 0.0216h ago