Weekly Market Digest
Top trades, whale moves, and market insights every Monday
T
Treadmilled
0xf4baccff188321440a1ed01a5d5fd89c3e1f5933
SharpshooterHot Streak
Trader Score
Win Rate: 93.3%
ROI: 0.0%
Trades: 15
Win Rate
93.3%
14W1L15 total
No PnL history available
Not enough data for rank history
Open Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Current | PnL |
|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Yes | $207K | $0.25 | $0.18 | $-14K |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | Yes | $161K | $0.47 | $0.51 | $6K |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | $109K | $0.47 | $0.00 | $-51K |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025? | Yes | $61K | $0.19 | $0.00 | $-11K |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | Yes | $49K | $0.23 | $0.00 | $-11K |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No |
Recent Activity (15)
SoldUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Yes
$-80K@ 0.002d ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes
+$207K@ 0.202d ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes
+$161K@ 0.502d ago
BoughtNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes
+$109K@ 0.002d ago
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? | Yes | $27K | $0.20 | $0.00 | $-5K |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? | Yes | $20K | $0.21 | $0.00 | $-4K |
| Bears vs. Ravens | Bears | $10K | $0.43 | $0.00 | $-4K |
| Will Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk? | Yes | $4K | $0.15 | $0.00 | $-600 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027? | No | $1K | $0.70 | $0.00 | $-1K |
| Will no one dissent September Fed decision? | Yes | $1K | $0.32 | $0.00 | $-468 |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? | No | $1K | $0.65 | $0.76 | $154 |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | $968 | $0.29 | $0.00 | $-281 |
| Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 7, 2026? | Yes | $618 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-43 |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? | Yes | $200 | $0.19 | $0.00 | $-38 |
| Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | Yes | $0 | $0.61 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.50 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election? | Trump | $0 | $0.44 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31? | No | $0 | $0.68 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump cut military spending? | Yes | $0 | $0.25 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump create a DOGE dividend in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.31 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | $0 | $0.76 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? | No | $0 | $0.35 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | No | $0 | $0.49 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Tim Walz replaced as Democratic VP nominee? | No | $0 | $0.93 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election? | Yes | $0 | $0.48 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Taylor Swift engaged in 2024? | No | $0 | $0.66 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.42 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump and Harris debate before election? | Yes | $0 | $0.73 | $1.00 | $0 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.87 | $1.00 | $0 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.19 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Fed emergency rate cut in 2024? | Yes | $0 | $0.26 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | Yes | $0 | $0.73 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Curtis Sliwa drop out? | Yes | $0 | $0.16 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | No | $0 | $0.40 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $0 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-0 |
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?Yes
+$80K@ 0.002d ago
BoughtWill Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?Yes
+$61K@ 0.002d ago
BoughtUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes
+$49K@ 0.002d ago
BoughtWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No
+$27K@ 0.782d ago
BoughtUS strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?Yes
+$27K@ 0.002d ago
BoughtSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes
+$20K@ 0.002d ago
BoughtBears vs. RavensBears
+$10K@ 0.002d ago
BoughtWill Ukraine agree to give up Russian territory in Kursk?Yes
+$4K@ 0.002d ago
BoughtWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?No
+$1K@ 0.002d ago
BoughtWill no one dissent September Fed decision?Yes
+$1K@ 0.002d ago
BoughtGTA 6 launch postponed again?No
+$1K@ 0.772d ago