Weekly Market Digest
Top trades, whale moves, and market insights every Monday
C
cqs
0xdfe3fedc5c7679be42c3d393e99d4b55247b73c4
SharpshooterHot Streak
Trader Score
Win Rate: 100.0%
ROI: 0.0%
Trades: 58
Win Rate
100.0%
58W0L58 total
No PnL history available
Not enough data for rank history
Open Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Current | PnL |
|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | No | $218K | $0.53 | $0.67 | $29K |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | $203K | $0.62 | $0.80 | $36K |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | $171K | $0.77 | $0.84 | $13K |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | No | $165K | $0.81 | $1.00 | $31K |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | $114K | $0.83 | $0.90 | $8K |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Recent Activity (50)
BoughtRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No
+$218K@ 0.671h ago
BoughtZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No
+$203K@ 0.801h ago
BoughtWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No
+$171K@ 0.841h ago
BoughtRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No
+$165K@ 1.001h ago
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | No | $95K | $0.76 | $0.88 | $11K |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | No | $87K | $0.60 | $0.79 | $16K |
| Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | No | $50K | $0.35 | $0.00 | $-17K |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | No | $38K | $0.77 | $0.86 | $4K |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $36K | $0.44 | $0.00 | $-16K |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | $28K | $0.82 | $0.91 | $3K |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | $28K | $0.67 | $0.65 | $-748 |
| ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31? | No | $25K | $0.88 | $0.99 | $3K |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | No | $25K | $0.63 | $0.49 | $-3K |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | $24K | $0.73 | $0.83 | $2K |
| Maduro out by March 31, 2026? | No | $20K | $0.61 | $0.00 | $-12K |
| Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? | No | $20K | $0.92 | $0.94 | $500 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | No | $20K | $0.65 | $0.88 | $5K |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31? | No | $18K | $0.30 | $0.00 | $-5K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | $16K | $0.77 | $0.83 | $1K |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | $14K | $0.82 | $0.86 | $590 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | No | $13K | $0.48 | $0.46 | $-265 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | $11K | $0.64 | $0.54 | $-1K |
| Will Israel invade Syria in 2024? | No | $11K | $0.40 | $0.00 | $-4K |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August? | No | $10K | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-765 |
| Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30? | No | $10K | $0.80 | $0.88 | $810 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | $10K | $0.94 | $0.95 | $125 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Yes | $10K | $0.41 | $0.23 | $-2K |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | No | $10K | $0.97 | $0.99 | $185 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | $10K | $0.37 | $0.32 | $-550 |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Yes | $10K | $0.75 | $0.49 | $-3K |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | No | $8K | $0.83 | $0.49 | $-3K |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31? | No | $8K | $0.42 | $0.00 | $-3K |
| Azerbaijan blames Russia for downing plane? | No | $7K | $0.90 | $0.00 | $-6K |
| Will Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway? | Yes | $6K | $0.10 | $0.00 | $-580 |
| Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election? | No | $5K | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-364 |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026? | No | $5K | $0.79 | $0.95 | $866 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31? | No | $5K | $0.63 | $0.92 | $1K |
| Will Trump cut off trade with Spain? | No | $5K | $0.87 | $0.99 | $617 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $5K | $0.12 | $0.25 | $643 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10? | No | $4K | $0.57 | $0.00 | $-2K |
| Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | Yes | $4K | $0.53 | $0.00 | $-2K |
| Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? | No | $3K | $0.80 | $0.94 | $428 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31? | No | $3K | $0.16 | $0.97 | $2K |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party win 250 or more seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election? | No | $2K | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-122 |
| ICE shooter charged by March 31? | No | $2K | $0.90 | $0.99 | $189 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | $2K | $0.54 | $0.66 | $230 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | $2K | $0.65 | $0.67 | $30 |
| Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)? | No | $2K | $0.89 | $0.92 | $60 |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31? | No | $2K | $0.48 | $0.00 | $-960 |
| Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025? | No | $2K | $0.50 | $0.00 | $-755 |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | No | $1K | $0.69 | $0.83 | $157 |
| Israel strikes Iran before 2026? | Yes | $1K | $0.09 | $0.00 | $-94 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | $1K | $0.14 | $0.12 | $-20 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | $1K | $0.42 | $0.42 | $5 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31? | No | $1K | $0.33 | $0.99 | $660 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Yes | $1K | $0.29 | $0.40 | $105 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31? | No | $1000 | $0.63 | $0.00 | $-630 |
| Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026? | No | $1000 | $0.72 | $0.89 | $165 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30? | No | $1000 | $0.72 | $0.76 | $35 |
| Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? | Yes | $1000 | $0.17 | $0.38 | $205 |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? | Yes | $716 | $0.65 | $0.67 | $16 |
| Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30? | No | $560 | $0.62 | $0.67 | $29 |
| LA curfew enacted by Friday? | No | $500 | $0.79 | $0.00 | $-395 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | Yes | $500 | $0.52 | $0.41 | $-55 |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Yes | $400 | $0.18 | $0.00 | $-71 |
| More EU sanctions on Russia by September 30? | Yes | $200 | $0.33 | $0.00 | $-66 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | $104 | $0.35 | $0.73 | $40 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026? | No | $100 | $0.60 | $0.00 | $-60 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | $96 | $0.64 | $0.99 | $33 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | No | $65 | $0.85 | $0.99 | $9 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | No | $0 | $0.80 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will a Democrat win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.86 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? | Yes | $0 | $0.64 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | No | $0 | $0.41 | $0.34 | $-0 |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.61 | $0.14 | $-0 |
| Will Xi Jinping be the first leader out in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.93 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | $0 | $0.85 | $0.91 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.46 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with India before July? | Yes | $0 | $0.86 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates? | No | $0 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31? | No | $0 | $0.33 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.48 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.38 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Han Dong-hoon be elected the next president of South Korea? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will 7-8 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May? | No | $0 | $0.51 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Centrist Reform Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election? | Yes | $0 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | No | $0 | $0.88 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.11 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day? | Yes | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | $0 | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics? | Yes | $0 | $0.77 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad Schimel | Crawford | $0 | $0.86 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election? | No | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.20 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Maduro out in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.83 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by March 31? | No | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28? | No | $0 | $0.33 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31? | No | $0 | $0.91 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 22? | Yes | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit and tie at the World Economic Forum? | No | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31? | No | $0 | $0.71 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US recession in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.48 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.75 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? | Yes | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates? | Yes | $0 | $0.84 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.33 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | No | $0 | $0.39 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election? | Yes | $0 | $0.71 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Xi Jinping out before October? | No | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.95 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30? | Yes | $0 | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by March 31? | No | $0 | $0.87 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.11 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August? | Yes | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.51 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? | Yes | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Kamala Harris drop out in August? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.34 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | Yes | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.67 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.20 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? | No | $0 | $0.70 | $0.99 | $0 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet? | Yes | $0 | $0.38 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | No | $0 | $0.70 | $0.00 | $-0 |
BoughtWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No
+$114K@ 0.901h ago
BoughtWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes
+$100K@ 0.171h ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No
+$95K@ 0.901h ago
BoughtWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No
+$87K@ 0.791h ago
BoughtWill María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No
+$50K@ 0.001h ago
BoughtRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No
+$38K@ 0.861h ago
BoughtWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes
+$36K@ 0.001h ago
BoughtXi Jinping out before 2027?No
+$28K@ 0.911h ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No
+$28K@ 0.681h ago
BoughtICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?No
+$25K@ 0.991h ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No
+$25K@ 0.531h ago
BoughtWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes
+$24K@ 0.831h ago
BoughtMaduro out by March 31, 2026?No
+$20K@ 0.001h ago
BoughtWill China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No
+$20K@ 0.941h ago
BoughtTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?No
+$20K@ 0.881h ago
BoughtWill Russia capture Pokrovsk by December 31?No
+$18K@ 0.001h ago
BoughtWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No
+$16K@ 0.841h ago
BoughtWill Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No
+$14K@ 0.861h ago
BoughtTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No
+$13K@ 0.471h ago
BoughtWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No
+$11K@ 0.541h ago
BoughtWill Israel invade Syria in 2024?No
+$11K@ 0.001h ago
BoughtWill Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?No
+$10K@ 0.001h ago
BoughtUkraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?No
+$10K@ 0.891h ago
BoughtWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes
+$10K@ 0.951h ago
BoughtWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes
+$10K@ 0.231h ago
BoughtNetanyahu out by March 31?No
+$10K@ 0.991h ago
BoughtWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes
+$10K@ 0.331h ago
BoughtWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes
+$10K@ 0.491h ago
BoughtWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No
+$8K@ 0.491h ago
BoughtWill Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?No
+$8K@ 0.001h ago
BoughtAzerbaijan blames Russia for downing plane?No
+$7K@ 0.001h ago
BoughtWill Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway?Yes
+$6K@ 0.001h ago
BoughtWill LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election?No
+$5K@ 0.001h ago
BoughtUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?No
+$5K@ 0.951h ago
BoughtUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?No
+$5K@ 0.921h ago
BoughtWill Trump cut off trade with Spain?No
+$5K@ 0.991h ago
BoughtWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes
+$5K@ 0.251h ago
BoughtIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?No
+$4K@ 0.001h ago
BoughtWill Israel invade Lebanon in September?Yes
+$4K@ 0.001h ago
BoughtUkraine election held by June 30, 2026?No
+$3K@ 0.941h ago
BoughtWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?No
+$3K@ 0.971h ago
BoughtWill the Liberal Democratic Party win 250 or more seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?No
+$2K@ 0.001h ago
BoughtICE shooter charged by March 31?No
+$2K@ 0.991h ago
BoughtWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No
+$2K@ 0.661h ago
BoughtUS forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes
+$2K@ 0.661h ago
BoughtWill the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?No
+$2K@ 0.921h ago