Weekly Market Digest
Top trades, whale moves, and market insights every Monday
W
wan123
0xde7be6d489bce070a959e0cb813128ae659b5f4b
Trader Score
Win Rate: 25.0%
ROI: 0.0%
Trades: 4
No PnL history available
Not enough data for rank history
Open Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Current | PnL |
|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Yes | $552K | $0.23 | $0.18 | $-26K |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | Yes | $430K | $0.16 | $0.00 | $-67K |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | $293K | $0.06 | $0.05 | $-2K |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6? | Yes | $271K | $0.09 | $0.00 | $-24K |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | $226K | $0.58 | $0.80 | $50K |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | Yes | $191K | $0.39 | $0.53 |
Recent Activity (4)
SoldUS forces enter Iran by March 31?No
$-32K@ 0.811d ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes
+$2K@ 0.171d ago
SoldUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes
$-91K@ 0.181d ago
SoldUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes
$-2K@ 0.171d ago
| Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | No | $150K | $0.31 | $0.00 | $-46K |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | $140K | $0.41 | $0.68 | $37K |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31? | Yes | $124K | $0.05 | $0.01 | $-5K |
| Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | No | $117K | $0.23 | $0.24 | $1K |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15? | Yes | $109K | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-7K |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | Yes | $103K | $0.11 | $0.13 | $2K |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | No | $103K | $0.50 | $0.00 | $-51K |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | $99K | $0.46 | $0.51 | $5K |
| Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tide | Hofstra Pride | $85K | $0.15 | $0.00 | $-13K |
| Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Storm | Northern Iowa Panthers | $85K | $0.18 | $0.00 | $-15K |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | Yes | $78K | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-4K |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | $77K | $0.19 | $0.39 | $15K |
| Iran Strike on Israel by February 28? | No | $75K | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-3K |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | No | $64K | $0.60 | $0.88 | $17K |
| Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers | Vanderbilt Commodores | $64K | $0.24 | $0.00 | $-15K |
| Will the State of the Union be 130 minutes or longer? | Yes | $64K | $0.14 | $0.00 | $-9K |
| Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs | Texas Longhorns | $60K | $0.30 | $1.00 | $42K |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | No | $58K | $0.26 | $0.00 | $-15K |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | Yes | $53K | $0.43 | $0.65 | $11K |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | No | $53K | $0.34 | $0.39 | $2K |
| Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders | Akron Zips | $50K | $0.27 | $0.00 | $-13K |
| Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclones | Kentucky Wildcats | $50K | $0.33 | $0.00 | $-16K |
| South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals | South Florida Bulls | $50K | $0.35 | $0.00 | $-17K |
| UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies | UCLA Bruins | $50K | $0.36 | $0.00 | $-18K |
| TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyes | Ohio State Buckeyes | $50K | $0.58 | $0.00 | $-29K |
| US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026? | Yes | $50K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-595 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | $48K | $0.68 | $0.99 | $15K |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | $47K | $0.78 | $0.89 | $5K |
| Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | $47K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $111 |
| Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | $47K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $64 |
| Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | $47K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-5 |
| Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | $47K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $111 |
| Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | $47K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $134 |
| Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | $47K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $41 |
| Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | Yes | $46K | $0.30 | $0.00 | $-14K |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | Yes | $43K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-766 |
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks | Kansas Jayhawks | $40K | $0.39 | $0.00 | $-16K |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | No | $37K | $0.15 | $0.00 | $-6K |
| Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-12.5) | Troy Trojans | $35K | $0.47 | $0.00 | $-16K |
| Spread: Saint Mary's Gaels (-3.5) | Saint Marys Gaels | $35K | $0.49 | $0.00 | $-17K |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | Yes | $34K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-621 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | Yes | $33K | $0.12 | $0.18 | $2K |
| Queens (NC) Royals vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 163.5 | Over | $33K | $0.42 | $1.00 | $19K |
| Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcats | Santa Clara Broncos | $33K | $0.42 | $0.00 | $-14K |
| Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | $32K | $0.00 | $0.02 | $456 |
| California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 138.5 | Under | $31K | $0.46 | $1.00 | $17K |
| Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-11.5) | Hofstra Pride | $30K | $0.49 | $0.00 | $-15K |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | Yes | $30K | $0.24 | $0.15 | $-3K |
| Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliers | Virginia Cavaliers | $30K | $0.49 | $0.00 | $-15K |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $30K | $0.36 | $0.40 | $1K |
| McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodores: O/U 150.5 | Over | $26K | $0.45 | $0.00 | $-12K |
| Will UAE strike Iran by March 31? | Yes | $25K | $0.19 | $0.10 | $-2K |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | $24K | $0.62 | $0.65 | $589 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Yes | $23K | $0.20 | $0.29 | $2K |
| Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-9.5) | Northern Iowa Panthers | $22K | $0.45 | $0.00 | $-10K |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31? | No | $20K | $0.71 | $0.97 | $5K |
| Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | $20K | $0.54 | $0.00 | $-11K |
| Will Trump say "Obama" during the State of the Union address? | No | $20K | $0.16 | $0.00 | $-3K |
| Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-10.5) | Northern Iowa Panthers | $20K | $0.51 | $0.00 | $-10K |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | $18K | $0.29 | $0.44 | $3K |
| Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $12K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-142 |
| Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $12K | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-808 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | $12K | $0.65 | $0.66 | $58 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $11K | $0.39 | $0.37 | $-160 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31? | No | $11K | $0.82 | $0.92 | $1K |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | Yes | $10K | $0.31 | $0.28 | $-291 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | $10K | $0.61 | $0.64 | $252 |
| Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-15.5) | Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | $10K | $0.50 | $0.00 | $-5K |
| Utah State Aggies vs. Villanova Wildcats: O/U 147.5 | Under | $9K | $0.53 | $0.00 | $-5K |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Yes | $9K | $0.28 | $0.39 | $981 |
| Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | No | $9K | $0.36 | $0.39 | $249 |
| Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $8K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-43 |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31? | Yes | $8K | $0.28 | $0.03 | $-2K |
| Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $8K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-110 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | Yes | $7K | $0.48 | $0.57 | $713 |
| Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $7K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-206 |
| Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | Yes | $7K | $0.23 | $0.24 | $70 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | No | $6K | $0.80 | $0.92 | $773 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | Yes | $5K | $0.38 | $0.47 | $493 |
| Hezbollah strike on Israel by February 28? | Yes | $5K | $0.13 | $0.00 | $-658 |
| GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026? | Yes | $5K | $0.26 | $0.00 | $-1K |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | No | $4K | $0.65 | $0.78 | $540 |
| Will Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois? | Yes | $4K | $0.48 | $0.00 | $-2K |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Yes | $4K | $0.24 | $0.53 | $1K |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 10? | No | $4K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-122 |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 7? | Yes | $4K | $0.16 | $0.00 | $-574 |
| Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31? | Yes | $3K | $0.46 | $0.04 | $-1K |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | No | $3K | $0.88 | $0.90 | $55 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th? | Yes | $3K | $0.08 | $0.00 | $-238 |
| Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois? | No | $3K | $0.49 | $0.00 | $-1K |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | No | $2K | $0.46 | $0.53 | $150 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31? | Yes | $2K | $0.27 | $0.13 | $-361 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8? | No | $2K | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-147 |
| Will Jordan strike Iran by March 31? | Yes | $2K | $0.11 | $0.02 | $-207 |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | $2K | $0.00 | $0.02 | $31 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March? | No | $2K | $0.50 | $0.00 | $-983 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | $1K | $0.66 | $0.78 | $165 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | Yes | $1K | $0.41 | $0.21 | $-276 |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency? | No | $1K | $0.49 | $0.69 | $264 |
| Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility? | No | $1K | $0.15 | $0.00 | $-199 |
| Will Israel strike Iraq by February 28? | Yes | $1K | $0.45 | $0.00 | $-572 |
| Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026? | No | $1K | $0.28 | $0.91 | $675 |
| Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 5% and 10.00%? | No | $1000 | $0.32 | $0.00 | $-320 |
| SAVE America Act becomes law by June 30, 2026? | No | $679 | $0.74 | $0.92 | $123 |
| Will Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana? | Yes | $538 | $0.16 | $0.10 | $-34 |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | No | $522 | $0.30 | $0.30 | $3 |
| Spread: Iowa Hawkeyes (-2.5) | Iowa Hawkeyes | $324 | $0.47 | $1.00 | $172 |
| Will Trump talk to Reza Pahlavi in March? | No | $311 | $0.73 | $0.94 | $67 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by February 28? | Yes | $241 | $0.08 | $0.00 | $-18 |
| Will Mark Lynch be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? | Yes | $56 | $0.07 | $0.07 | $-0 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | No | $1 | $0.95 | $0.99 | $0 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | No | $1 | $0.84 | $0.99 | $0 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | No | $0 | $0.55 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $0 | $0.54 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.75 | $1.00 | $0 |