Weekly Market Digest
Top trades, whale moves, and market insights every Monday
SwissMiss
0xdbade4c82fb72780a0db9a38f821d8671aba9c95
SharpshooterHot Streak
Trader Score
Win Rate: 100.0%
ROI: 0.0%
Trades: 60
Win Rate
100.0%
60W0L60 total
No PnL history available
Not enough data for rank history
Open Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Current | PnL |
|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | $273K | $0.85 | $0.99 | $38K |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | No | $259K | $0.78 | $0.99 | $54K |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | No | $221K | $0.53 | $0.67 | $31K |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | $172K | $0.69 | $0.80 | $18K |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | No | $119K | $0.76 | $0.85 | $12K |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No |
Recent Activity (50)
BoughtWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No
+$273K@ 0.981d ago
BoughtRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?No
+$259K@ 0.991d ago
BoughtRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No
+$221K@ 0.661d ago
BoughtWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No
+$172K@ 0.811d ago
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | $100K | $0.50 | $0.98 | $49K |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $100K | $0.50 | $0.01 | $-49K |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | $90K | $0.85 | $0.92 | $6K |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | No | $69K | $0.69 | $0.86 | $12K |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | $63K | $0.80 | $0.84 | $3K |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | $55K | $0.54 | $0.69 | $8K |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | $54K | $0.94 | $0.95 | $218 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | $46K | $0.60 | $0.65 | $2K |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | No | $40K | $0.56 | $0.85 | $12K |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31? | No | $37K | $0.64 | $0.91 | $10K |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | No | $32K | $0.86 | $0.94 | $2K |
| Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026? | Yes | $31K | $0.71 | $0.82 | $3K |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | No | $30K | $0.53 | $0.56 | $755 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31? | No | $30K | $0.83 | $0.97 | $4K |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Yes | $28K | $0.74 | $0.56 | $-5K |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31? | No | $26K | $0.81 | $0.98 | $4K |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | No | $23K | $0.98 | $0.99 | $265 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | No | $21K | $0.59 | $0.72 | $3K |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | $15K | $0.90 | $0.95 | $875 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | No | $15K | $0.86 | $0.87 | $151 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | No | $15K | $0.34 | $0.47 | $2K |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $12K | $0.16 | $0.16 | $-7 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | No | $10K | $0.53 | $0.70 | $2K |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | $10K | $0.57 | $0.63 | $501 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | No | $9K | $0.43 | $0.42 | $-68 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | No | $8K | $0.25 | $0.45 | $2K |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | No | $8K | $0.76 | $0.88 | $920 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | No | $8K | $0.70 | $0.97 | $2K |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | No | $7K | $0.15 | $0.24 | $676 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | No | $7K | $0.33 | $0.38 | $293 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | $6K | $0.48 | $0.41 | $-427 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | No | $6K | $0.95 | $0.99 | $273 |
| Will Russia join the Board of Peace? | No | $5K | $0.67 | $1.00 | $2K |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | No | $5K | $0.46 | $0.58 | $673 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | $5K | $0.69 | $0.67 | $-125 |
| Starmer out by March 31, 2026? | No | $5K | $0.85 | $0.98 | $667 |
| Iran leadership change by March 31? | No | $5K | $0.78 | $0.93 | $685 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? | No | $5K | $0.24 | $0.34 | $428 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | No | $4K | $0.57 | $0.56 | $-69 |
| Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? | No | $4K | $0.68 | $1.00 | $1K |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | No | $4K | $0.64 | $0.74 | $420 |
| U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31? | No | $4K | $0.75 | $0.95 | $790 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | No | $3K | $0.78 | $0.91 | $445 |
| Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30? | No | $3K | $0.87 | $0.97 | $304 |
| Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | Yes | $3K | $0.55 | $0.76 | $586 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31? | No | $3K | $0.28 | $0.99 | $2K |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31? | No | $2K | $0.74 | $0.88 | $289 |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | Yes | $2K | $0.61 | $0.67 | $120 |
| Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? | Yes | $2K | $0.21 | $0.36 | $299 |
| Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack? | No | $2K | $0.88 | $0.98 | $151 |
| Will Ukraine join the Board of Peace? | No | $1K | $0.85 | $0.99 | $218 |
| Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | Yes | $1K | $0.52 | $0.63 | $137 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | No | $1K | $0.70 | $0.78 | $97 |
| US recession by end of 2026? | No | $1K | $0.69 | $0.66 | $-44 |
| US confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31? | No | $611 | $0.90 | $0.98 | $49 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026? | No | $500 | $0.60 | $0.95 | $176 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | No | $266 | $0.83 | $0.77 | $-17 |
| Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026 | No | $200 | $0.35 | $0.69 | $69 |
| Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31? | No | $28 | $0.82 | $0.97 | $4 |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 27-30? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08? | No | $0 | $0.38 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will anyone audibly fart during Trump's WEF 2026 speech? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.93 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $0 | $0.13 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election? | No | $0 | $0.39 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea before April? | Yes | $0 | $0.64 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election? | No | $0 | $0.92 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.93 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority? | Yes | $0 | $0.65 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more? | Yes | $0 | $0.34 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Anthony Joshua win by KO/TKO/DQ? | No | $0 | $0.23 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.15 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| UFC 325: Elliott vs. Micallef (Welterweight, Early Prelims) | Micallef | $0 | $0.53 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.91 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? | Yes | $0 | $0.63 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 20% in February? | No | $0 | $0.27 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.75 | $1.00 | $0 |
| UFC 325: Tuivasa vs. Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card) | Teixeira | $0 | $0.73 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 5–10%? | Yes | $0 | $0.77 | $1.00 | $0 |
| UFC 325: Brundage vs. Rowston (Middleweight, Prelims) | Rowston | $0 | $0.76 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative majority? | No | $0 | $0.95 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.91 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Liberals win majority in Canadian election? | Yes | $0 | $0.64 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 3-6%? | No | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election? | Yes | $0 | $0.12 | $0.05 | $-0 |
| UFC 325: Mullarkey vs. Salkilld (Lightweight, Prelims) | Salkilld | $0 | $0.88 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | $0 | $0.62 | $0.57 | $-0 |
| US government shutdown by October 1? | Yes | $0 | $0.63 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | No | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.40 | $0.45 | $0 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the next leader out in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.82 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28? | No | $0 | $0.43 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Bobby Portis Jr. win the 2026 NBA 3-point contest? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.07 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31? | No | $0 | $0.40 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | $0 | $0.17 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.77 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-24? | No | $0 | $0.45 | $1.00 | $0 |
BoughtRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No
+$119K@ 0.841d ago
BoughtUS forces enter Iran by March 31?No
+$104K@ 0.811d ago
BoughtWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No
+$100K@ 0.981d ago
BoughtWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes
+$100K@ 0.021d ago
BoughtWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No
+$90K@ 0.921d ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No
+$69K@ 0.851d ago
BoughtWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No
+$63K@ 0.841d ago
BoughtWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No
+$55K@ 0.691d ago
BoughtWill Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes
+$54K@ 0.951d ago
BoughtUS forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes
+$46K@ 0.611d ago
BoughtTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?No
+$40K@ 0.811d ago
BoughtUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?No
+$37K@ 0.901d ago
BoughtKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?No
+$32K@ 0.921d ago
BoughtMilitary action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?Yes
+$31K@ 0.821d ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No
+$30K@ 0.551d ago
Bought Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?No
+$30K@ 0.931d ago
BoughtWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes
+$28K@ 0.561d ago
BoughtWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?No
+$26K@ 0.971d ago
BoughtNetanyahu out by March 31?No
+$23K@ 0.991d ago
BoughtUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No
+$21K@ 0.721d ago
BoughtRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No
+$15K@ 0.951d ago
BoughtWill the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?No
+$15K@ 0.871d ago
BoughtIran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No
+$15K@ 0.431d ago
BoughtWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes
+$12K@ 0.171d ago
BoughtIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No
+$10K@ 0.691d ago
BoughtStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No
+$10K@ 0.671d ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by May 31?No
+$9K@ 0.431d ago
BoughtTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No
+$8K@ 0.431d ago
BoughtWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No
+$8K@ 0.881d ago
BoughtUS-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?No
+$8K@ 0.941d ago
BoughtTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?No
+$7K@ 0.231d ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by June 30?No
+$7K@ 0.391d ago
BoughtNothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes
+$6K@ 0.411d ago
BoughtWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?No
+$6K@ 0.991d ago
BoughtWill Russia join the Board of Peace?No
+$5K@ 0.981d ago
BoughtIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No
+$5K@ 0.561d ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No
+$5K@ 0.661d ago
BoughtStarmer out by March 31, 2026?No
+$5K@ 0.981d ago
BoughtIran leadership change by March 31?No
+$5K@ 0.921d ago
BoughtIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No
+$5K@ 0.291d ago
BoughtStarmer out by June 30, 2026?No
+$4K@ 0.561d ago
BoughtTrump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?No
+$4K@ 1.001d ago
Bought Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No
+$4K@ 0.731d ago
BoughtU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?No
+$4K@ 0.951d ago
BoughtIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No
+$3K@ 0.881d ago
BoughtJerome Powell federally charged by June 30?No
+$3K@ 0.971d ago