Weekly Market Digest
Top trades, whale moves, and market insights every Monday
Get embed widgetEliteSharpshooterWhaleHot Streak$100K Club
Trader Score
Win Rate: 90.9%
ROI: 12.7%
Trades: 22
Win Rate
90.9%
20W2L22 total
Open Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Current | PnL |
|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | Yes | $1.0M | $0.42 | $0.34 | $-72K |
| Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $1000K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-500 |
| Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $300K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-7K |
| Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $294K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-441 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | Yes | $225K | $0.04 | $0.01 | $-6K |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? |
Recent Activity (22)
SoldUS forces enter Iran by April 30?No
$-200K@ 0.561d ago
BoughtWill Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes
+$2K@ 0.011d ago
BoughtWill Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes
+$1K@ 0.011d ago
SoldWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes
$-31K@ 0.101d ago
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $191K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $96 |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $93K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $416 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | Yes | $91K | $0.15 | $0.12 | $-3K |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | $63K | $0.22 | $0.29 | $4K |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay | Yes | $63K | $0.24 | $0.20 | $-3K |
| Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | $51K | $0.12 | $0.07 | $-3K |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | $14K | $0.05 | $0.07 | $289 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | No | $10K | $0.27 | $0.23 | $-350 |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | $2K | $0.01 | $0.02 | $7 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | No | $1K | $0.42 | $0.38 | $-64 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | $732 | $0.69 | $0.80 | $77 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | $646 | $0.21 | $0.00 | $-136 |
| Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | $97 | $0.15 | $0.18 | $3 |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | $6 | $0.02 | $0.03 | $0 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | No | $0 | $0.59 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 30? | Yes | $0 | $0.18 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | $0 | $0.42 | $0.54 | $0 |
| Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.30 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Rick Scott be the next Senate Majority Leader? | Yes | $0 | $0.27 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.57 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | No | $0 | $0.11 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | No | $0 | $0.34 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.07 | $0 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.10 | $0.12 | $0 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
BoughtNetanyahu out by March 31?Yes
+$225K@ 0.012d ago
BoughtUS forces enter Iran by April 30?No
+$200K@ 0.562d ago
BoughtRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes
+$198K@ 0.012d ago
BoughtWill Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes
+$187K@ 0.012d ago
BoughtWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes
+$93K@ 0.012d ago
BoughtNetanyahu out by June 30?Yes
+$91K@ 0.102d ago
BoughtWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No
+$63K@ 0.292d ago
BoughtRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes
+$1.0M@ 0.362d ago
BoughtWill Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes
+$51K@ 0.072d ago
BoughtWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes
+$31K@ 0.092d ago
BoughtWill the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes
+$14K@ 0.072d ago
BoughtTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?No
+$10K@ 0.222d ago
BoughtWill the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes
+$2K@ 0.022d ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by June 30?No
+$1K@ 0.332d ago
BoughtRussia x Ukraine Peace ParlayYes
+$63K@ 0.202d ago
BoughtWill Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes
+$1000K@ 0.012d ago
BoughtWill Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?Yes
+$300K@ 0.002d ago
BoughtWill John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes
+$294K@ 0.012d ago