Weekly Market Digest
Top trades, whale moves, and market insights every Monday
betwick
0xc851cd9bee7d262afd78674f861f9f576a12cd2a
@Betwick1SharpshooterHot Streak
Trader Score
Win Rate: 83.3%
ROI: 0.0%
Trades: 12
Win Rate
83.3%
10W2L12 total
No PnL history available
Not enough data for rank history
Open Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Current | PnL |
|---|
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | No | $231K | $0.95 | $0.99 | $10K |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | $158K | $0.43 | $0.55 | $19K |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31? | Yes | $127K | $0.31 | $0.04 | $-34K |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | $123K | $0.88 | $0.98 | $13K |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | No | $123K | $0.37 | $0.39 | $2K |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | No |
Recent Activity (12)
SoldUS forces enter Iran by March 31?No
$-10K@ 0.861d ago
SoldUS forces enter Iran by March 31?No
$-2K@ 0.881d ago
BoughtWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?Yes
+$127K@ 0.042d ago
BoughtWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No
+$123K@ 0.982d ago
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | $19K | $0.12 | $0.29 | $3K |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | $17K | $0.63 | $0.81 | $3K |
| Avatar 4 greenlit by March 31? | No | $5K | $0.20 | $0.88 | $3K |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Yes | $2K | $0.38 | $0.32 | $-100 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026? | No | $870 | $0.77 | $1.00 | $197 |
| Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Yes | $526 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-17 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | No | $335 | $0.62 | $0.73 | $39 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026? | No | $266 | $0.76 | $0.99 | $63 |
| Zendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30? | Yes | $70 | $0.29 | $0.08 | $-15 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.40 | $0.63 | $0 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.60 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | No | $0 | $0.82 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | $0 | $0.82 | $0.91 | $0 |
| Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.22 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.10 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15? | No | $0 | $0.68 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US military action against Iran by Friday? | No | $0 | $0.74 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.42 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will 'The Fantastic Four: First Steps' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 150m and 163m? | Yes | $0 | $0.67 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.68 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31? | No | $0 | $0.36 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? | No | $0 | $0.39 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross more than $170m opening weekend? | Yes | $0 | $0.40 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m? | No | $0 | $0.81 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? | Yes | $0 | $0.44 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.12 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.36 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.17 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by July 31? | No | $0 | $0.19 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.44 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Israel military action against Iran in July? | No | $0 | $0.53 | $1.00 | $0 |
| SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027? | Yes | $0 | $0.30 | $0.83 | $0 |
| Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during July Press Conference? | No | $0 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway? | Yes | $0 | $0.88 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31? | No | $0 | $0.28 | $0.99 | $0 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.81 | $1.00 | $0 |
| India-Pakistan declare war before June? | No | $0 | $0.92 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland? | Yes | $0 | $0.74 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.69 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.37 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.43 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will France recognize Palestine in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.11 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: June | No | $0 | $0.45 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | No | $0 | $0.48 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? | Yes | $0 | $0.43 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Quiroga and Rodríguez advance to the Bolivian presidential runoff? | Yes | $0 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.10 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July? | Yes | $0 | $0.85 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July? | No | $0 | $0.80 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.50 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Pakistan air/missile strike on Indian soil by Friday? | Yes | $0 | $0.57 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5? | Yes | $0 | $0.95 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Eric Adams win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | $0 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Adrienne Adams win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | No | $0 | $0.91 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran before September? | Yes | $0 | $0.11 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Maduro out in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.84 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m? | No | $0 | $0.84 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $125-135m? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election? | Yes | $0 | $0.28 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.50 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by Friday? | No | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | No | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran first? | Israel | $0 | $0.46 | $0.50 | $0 |
| Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July? | No | $0 | $0.32 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will GPT-5 be released on August 7? | No | $0 | $0.61 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Lisa Cook vote at the next FOMC meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.89 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Lee Jun-seok win between 5% and 8% of the vote in the South Korea election? | Yes | $0 | $0.26 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025? | No | $0 | $0.91 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%? | No | $0 | $0.62 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will "Fantastic Four: The First Steps" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $125-135m? | No | $0 | $0.74 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Trump trade deal in April? | Yes | $0 | $0.67 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.22 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in January 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.89 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Fed cut-cut-cut in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.42 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will George Simion win by 0–6%? | Yes | $0 | $0.18 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June? | Yes | $0 | $0.68 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | No | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.27 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will 'Zootopia 2' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? | Yes | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | Yes | $0 | $0.49 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | No | $0 | $0.40 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors? | Yes | $0 | $0.20 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will AI be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist? | No | $0 | $0.74 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday? | No | $0 | $0.86 | $1.00 | $0 |
| India military action against Pakistan before June? | No | $0 | $0.64 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.29 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday? | Yes | $0 | $0.13 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October? | Yes | $0 | $0.21 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before July? | No | $0 | $0.83 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.27 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday? | Yes | $0 | $0.53 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo? | No | $0 | $0.58 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June? | No | $0 | $0.66 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 15? | Yes | $0 | $0.19 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Coinbase acquire Circle before September? | No | $0 | $0.85 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will 'Final Destination: Bloodlines' gross more than $52m opening weekend? | No | $0 | $0.84 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.51 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.17 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Lee Jun-seok win 3rd place in the South Korean presidential election? | Yes | $0 | $0.89 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross less than $140m opening weekend? | Yes | $0 | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 50-55% of the vote in the South Korea election? | Yes | $0 | $0.53 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| TikTok sale announced in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.61 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | No | $0 | $0.77 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20m views on day 1? | No | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway? | Yes | $0 | $0.11 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | No | $0 | $0.87 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? | No | $0 | $0.65 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | $0 | $0.43 | $0.38 | $-0 |
| Will Mike Waltz leave the Trump administration in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.13 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.08 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28? | No | $0 | $0.22 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election? | No | $0 | $0.53 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $124m? | No | $0 | $0.50 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election? | Yes | $0 | $0.10 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 137m? | Yes | $0 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | Simion | $0 | $0.82 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Israel military action against Iran before July? | No | $0 | $0.47 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Jensen Huang be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist? | No | $0 | $0.60 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $116-124m? | Yes | $0 | $0.13 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Charlie Kirk be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings? | Yes | $0 | $0.83 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.46 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $124m? | Yes | $0 | $0.38 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.24 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | No | $0 | $0.51 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.93 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| TikTok sale announced by September 30? | Yes | $0 | $0.32 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US military action against Iran before July? | Yes | $0 | $0.47 | $1.00 | $0 |
| ECB rate cut in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.80 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15? | No | $0 | $0.87 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | No | $0 | $0.28 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will 'Final Destination: Bloodlines' gross between $48-52m opening weekend? | Yes | $0 | $0.71 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | Yes | $0 | $0.69 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Jurassic World: Rebirth be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? | Yes | $0 | $0.92 | $1.00 | $0 |
| U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown? | Yes | $0 | $0.40 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Ryan Searle win the PDC World Darts Championship? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.08 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.85 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m? | Yes | $0 | $0.29 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will JD Vance clap fewer than 20 times during the State of the Union? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m? | Yes | $0 | $0.37 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | $0 | $0.16 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Pope Francis be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will LeBron James be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will JD Vance clap between 30–39 times during the State of the Union? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.48 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will JD Vance clap 100 times or more during the State of the Union? | No | $0 | $0.58 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.66 | $1.00 | $0 |
BoughtUS forces enter Iran by December 31?No
+$123K@ 0.412d ago
BoughtWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?No
+$50K@ 0.992d ago
BoughtNetanyahu out by March 31?No
+$231K@ 0.992d ago
BoughtWill no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes
+$19K@ 0.342d ago
BoughtAvatar 4 greenlit by March 31?No
+$5K@ 0.872d ago
BoughtUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes
+$2K@ 0.282d ago
BoughtUS forces enter Iran by March 31?No
+$30K@ 0.882d ago
BoughtUS forces enter Iran by April 30?No
+$158K@ 0.562d ago