Weekly Market Digest
Top trades, whale moves, and market insights every Monday
R
rdba
0xc4d1a863e9cc45d02ba22d3a1ae9ba7822018ce8
Get embed widgetSharpshooterHot Streak
Trader Score
Win Rate: 100.0%
ROI: 0.0%
Trades: 55
Win Rate
100.0%
55W0L55 total
No PnL history available
Not enough data for rank history
Open Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Current | PnL |
|---|
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | No | $750K | $0.96 | $0.99 | $20K |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | Yes | $556K | $1.00 | $1.00 | $833 |
| Will Michael Bloomberg win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | $305K | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-15K |
| Will Andrew Yang win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | $305K | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-15K |
| Will Rudy Giuliani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | $305K | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-15K |
| Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? |
Recent Activity (50)
BoughtWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?No
+$3K@ 0.629h ago
BoughtWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?No
+$7K@ 0.889h ago
BoughtWill Andrew Yang win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes
+$305K@ 0.0013h ago
BoughtWill Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes
+$305K@ 0.0013h ago
Trader rdba — PolyTracker| Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | $305K | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-15K |
| Will Zellnor Myrie win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | $305K | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-15K |
| Will Scott Stringer win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | $305K | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-15K |
| Will Adrienne Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | $305K | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-15K |
| Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | $305K | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-15K |
| Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | $228K | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-13K |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026? | Yes | $226K | $0.13 | $0.00 | $-29K |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | No | $81K | $0.42 | $0.85 | $36K |
| Arizona vs. SMU Mustangs | Arizona | $40K | $0.45 | $0.00 | $-18K |
| Panthers vs. Cardinals | Panthers | $31K | $0.15 | $0.00 | $-5K |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%? | Yes | $24K | $0.34 | $0.00 | $-8K |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies | Grizzlies | $24K | $0.24 | $0.00 | $-6K |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $22K | $0.05 | $0.02 | $-788 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025? | Yes | $22K | $0.14 | $0.00 | $-3K |
| Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election? | Yes | $22K | $0.20 | $0.00 | $-4K |
| US Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Jan Lennard Struff | Tiafoe | $20K | $0.70 | $0.00 | $-14K |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | Yes | $20K | $0.69 | $0.68 | $-388 |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | No | $19K | $0.70 | $0.62 | $-1K |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more? | Yes | $19K | $0.22 | $0.00 | $-4K |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $16K | $0.03 | $0.03 | $17 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in December? | Yes | $10K | $0.25 | $0.00 | $-3K |
| Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election? | No | $9K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-295 |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | Yes | $8K | $0.45 | $0.52 | $488 |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | $7K | $0.95 | $0.98 | $266 |
| Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026? | No | $7K | $0.88 | $0.88 | $-14 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | $6K | $0.91 | $0.95 | $279 |
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | $6K | $0.53 | $0.57 | $292 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | $6K | $0.94 | $0.75 | $-1K |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | $5K | $0.96 | $0.94 | $-110 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $4K | $0.50 | $0.24 | $-1K |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | No | $4K | $0.95 | $0.96 | $30 |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31? | No | $4K | $0.36 | $0.00 | $-1K |
| Will Team Falcons win The International 2025 Tournament? | No | $4K | $0.45 | $0.00 | $-2K |
| Will Zohran Mamdani get between 40% and 50% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | $4K | $0.09 | $0.00 | $-330 |
| Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $4K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-19 |
| Will XRP dip to $1.70 in December? | Yes | $3K | $0.48 | $0.00 | $-2K |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | $3K | $0.99 | $0.99 | $8 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? | Yes | $3K | $0.26 | $0.00 | $-837 |
| Will Australia win Eurovision 2026? | Yes | $3K | $0.10 | $0.06 | $-130 |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $3K | $0.01 | $0.02 | $33 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? | Yes | $3K | $0.09 | $0.00 | $-225 |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | $2K | $0.98 | $0.99 | $30 |
| Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026? | No | $2K | $0.94 | $0.96 | $46 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $2K | $0.04 | $0.11 | $143 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17? | No | $2K | $0.52 | $0.00 | $-1K |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | $2K | $0.50 | $0.63 | $253 |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | $2K | $0.96 | $0.99 | $61 |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | $1K | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-91 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $917 | $0.07 | $0.04 | $-29 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | $873 | $0.84 | $0.83 | $-4 |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | $700 | $0.95 | $0.98 | $23 |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $695 | $0.02 | $0.01 | $-8 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $523 | $0.04 | $0.05 | $3 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | $498 | $0.98 | $0.99 | $3 |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $463 | $0.02 | $0.01 | $-5 |
| Will Matt Goodwin – Reform win the Gorton and Denton by-election? | Yes | $405 | $0.17 | $0.00 | $-67 |
| Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-19? | No | $253 | $0.38 | $0.00 | $-96 |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | $201 | $0.96 | $0.99 | $6 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | $197 | $0.94 | $0.97 | $6 |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31? | No | $170 | $0.41 | $0.00 | $-70 |
| League of Legends: BNK FEARX vs. DRX | DRX | $150 | $0.38 | $0.00 | $-57 |
| Will France win Eurovision 2026? | Yes | $150 | $0.06 | $0.12 | $8 |
| Iowa vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers | Nebraska Cornhuskers | $111 | $0.32 | $0.00 | $-36 |
| Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-10-18? | Yes | $100 | $0.11 | $0.00 | $-11 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | $100 | $0.96 | $0.98 | $2 |
| Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election? | No | $62 | $0.28 | $0.00 | $-17 |
| Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $20 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.52 | $0.57 | $0 |
| Will Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025 | Yes | $0 | $0.20 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Brewers vs. Rangers | Brewers | $0 | $0.53 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August? | No | $0 | $0.93 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | No | $0 | $0.87 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Angeliki Stogia - Labour win the Gorton and Denton by-election? | No | $0 | $0.95 | $1.00 | $0 |
BoughtWill Zellnor Myrie win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes
+$305K@ 0.0013h ago
BoughtWill Rudy Giuliani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes
+$305K@ 0.0013h ago
BoughtWill Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes
+$305K@ 0.0013h ago
BoughtWill Michael Bloomberg win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes
+$305K@ 0.0013h ago
BoughtWill Adrienne Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes
+$305K@ 0.0013h ago
BoughtWill Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes
+$305K@ 0.0013h ago
BoughtWill Scott Stringer win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes
+$305K@ 0.0013h ago
BoughtWill Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes
+$228K@ 0.0013h ago
BoughtWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?Yes
+$226K@ 0.0013h ago
BoughtWill another country strike Iran by March 31?No
+$81K@ 0.8513h ago
BoughtArizona vs. SMU MustangsArizona
+$40K@ 0.0013h ago
BoughtPanthers vs. CardinalsPanthers
+$31K@ 0.0013h ago
BoughtWill Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?Yes
+$24K@ 0.0013h ago
BoughtNuggets vs. GrizzliesGrizzlies
+$24K@ 0.0013h ago
BoughtWill Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes
+$22K@ 0.0213h ago
BoughtWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?Yes
+$22K@ 0.0013h ago
BoughtWill Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?Yes
+$22K@ 0.0013h ago
BoughtUS Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Jan Lennard StruffTiafoe
+$20K@ 0.0013h ago
BoughtStarmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes
+$20K@ 0.6813h ago
BoughtWill Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?Yes
+$19K@ 0.0013h ago
BoughtWill Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes
+$16K@ 0.0313h ago
BoughtWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?No
+$16K@ 0.6113h ago
BoughtWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in December?Yes
+$10K@ 0.0013h ago
BoughtWill Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?No
+$9K@ 0.0013h ago
BoughtWill China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?Yes
+$8K@ 0.5213h ago
BoughtWill Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No
+$7K@ 0.9813h ago
BoughtWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No
+$6K@ 0.9513h ago
BoughtWill the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No
+$6K@ 0.5713h ago
BoughtWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No
+$6K@ 0.7413h ago
BoughtWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No
+$5K@ 0.9413h ago
BoughtWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes
+$4K@ 0.2513h ago
BoughtWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?No
+$4K@ 0.9613h ago
BoughtWill Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?No
+$4K@ 0.0013h ago
BoughtWill Team Falcons win The International 2025 Tournament?No
+$4K@ 0.0013h ago
BoughtWill Zohran Mamdani get between 40% and 50% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes
+$4K@ 0.0013h ago
BoughtWill Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes
+$4K@ 0.0113h ago
BoughtWill XRP dip to $1.70 in December?Yes
+$3K@ 0.0013h ago
BoughtWill Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No
+$3K@ 0.9913h ago
BoughtNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes
+$3K@ 0.0013h ago
BoughtWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?Yes
+$3K@ 0.0513h ago
BoughtWill Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes
+$3K@ 0.0213h ago
BoughtWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Yes
+$3K@ 0.0013h ago
BoughtWill Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No
+$2K@ 0.9913h ago
BoughtWill Sweden win Eurovision 2026?No
+$2K@ 0.9613h ago
BoughtNetanyahu out by March 31?No
+$750K@ 0.9913h ago
BoughtIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?No
+$2K@ 0.0013h ago