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ScottyNooo
0xbacd00c9080a82ded56f504ee8810af732b0ab35
SharpshooterHot Streak
Trader Score
Win Rate: 92.9%
ROI: 0.0%
Trades: 183
Win Rate
92.9%
170W13L183 total
No PnL history available
Not enough data for rank history
Open positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg | Current | PnL |
|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | $361K | $0.75 | $0.81 | $21K |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes |
Recent Activity (50)
SoldWill LaGuardia Airport (LGA) be open to departures by 2:00 PM ET on March 23, 2026?Yes
$-16K@ 1.0048d ago
SoldUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No
$-6K@ 0.6648d ago
BoughtWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes
+$5K@ 0.9948d ago
SoldUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes
$-6K
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | No | $300K | $0.95 | $0.99 | $13K |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $292K | $0.04 | $0.05 | $3K |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | $180K | $0.96 | $0.98 | $3K |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | $125K | $0.86 | $0.92 | $7K |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $111K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $500 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | No | $100K | $0.32 | $0.39 | $7K |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $92K | $0.47 | $0.37 | $-9K |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | Yes | $68K | $0.97 | $0.99 | $2K |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $63K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $206 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $63K | $0.05 | $0.04 | $-754 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | $61K | $0.50 | $0.41 | $-5K |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | Yes | $50K | $0.43 | $0.34 | $-4K |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $48K | $0.02 | $0.02 | $178 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $45K | $0.30 | $0.20 | $-4K |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $41K | $0.02 | $0.03 | $267 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31? | Yes | $38K | $0.28 | $0.10 | $-7K |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | $37K | $0.60 | $0.69 | $3K |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | Yes | $36K | $0.24 | $0.15 | $-3K |
| US strike on Mexico by March 31? | Yes | $34K | $0.04 | $0.01 | $-994 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | Yes | $30K | $0.10 | $0.07 | $-795 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | $28K | $0.77 | $0.84 | $2K |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | $26K | $0.30 | $0.39 | $2K |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | No | $26K | $0.97 | $0.97 | $-55 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | Yes | $24K | $0.55 | $0.56 | $318 |
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $23K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $32 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | Yes | $21K | $0.10 | $0.01 | $-2K |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | Yes | $21K | $0.31 | $0.23 | $-2K |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $19K | $0.06 | $0.05 | $-188 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | $18K | $0.33 | $0.48 | $3K |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? | Yes | $18K | $0.67 | $0.70 | $555 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31? | No | $18K | $0.97 | $0.99 | $319 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | $17K | $0.94 | $0.95 | $223 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | Yes | $17K | $0.62 | $0.63 | $94 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | $16K | $0.22 | $0.15 | $-1K |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? | No | $16K | $0.94 | $0.96 | $239 |
| European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? | Yes | $15K | $0.29 | $0.14 | $-2K |
| Iran leadership change by March 31? | Yes | $15K | $0.14 | $0.09 | $-745 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | No | $14K | $0.85 | $0.84 | $-6 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | No | $14K | $0.86 | $0.81 | $-597 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | $13K | $0.41 | $0.35 | $-713 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | Yes | $13K | $0.58 | $0.57 | $-57 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | Yes | $12K | $0.50 | $0.56 | $800 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | $10K | $0.35 | $0.47 | $1K |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $10K | $0.12 | $0.27 | $1K |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | $10K | $0.57 | $0.64 | $651 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $10K | $0.04 | $0.04 | $7 |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | $9K | $0.15 | $0.13 | $-216 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $9K | $0.02 | $0.02 | $27 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | No | $9K | $0.97 | $0.94 | $-251 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | $9K | $0.25 | $0.34 | $724 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31? | Yes | $8K | $0.04 | $0.07 | $194 |
| Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31? | Yes | $8K | $0.46 | $0.04 | $-3K |
| Tim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31? | Yes | $7K | $0.20 | $0.01 | $-1K |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | $7K | $0.35 | $0.47 | $851 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | No | $6K | $0.90 | $0.89 | $-111 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | Yes | $6K | $0.16 | $0.15 | $-57 |
| U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? | Yes | $6K | $0.25 | $0.15 | $-635 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | $6K | $0.96 | $0.96 | $-18 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | Yes | $6K | $0.73 | $0.77 | $232 |
| Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026? | Yes | $6K | $0.77 | $0.81 | $250 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | $6K | $0.18 | $0.20 | $161 |
| US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026? | No | $6K | $0.76 | $0.81 | $298 |
| Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31? | Yes | $6K | $0.21 | $0.03 | $-1K |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | Yes | $6K | $0.35 | $0.27 | $-462 |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by March 31, 2026? | Yes | $6K | $0.07 | $0.06 | $-77 |
| Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? | Yes | $5K | $0.39 | $0.26 | $-681 |
| SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027? | No | $5K | $0.25 | $0.17 | $-466 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | Yes | $5K | $0.51 | $0.55 | $182 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | $5K | $0.58 | $0.65 | $346 |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | Yes | $5K | $0.32 | $0.09 | $-1K |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026? | Yes | $5K | $0.35 | $0.17 | $-839 |
| Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by March 31? | Yes | $5K | $0.08 | $0.04 | $-176 |
| Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026? | Yes | $5K | $0.19 | $0.01 | $-873 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Yes | $5K | $0.33 | $0.29 | $-184 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | $5K | $0.53 | $0.50 | $-160 |
| US strike on Colombia by March 31? | Yes | $5K | $0.07 | $0.01 | $-296 |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31? | Yes | $5K | $0.21 | $0.12 | $-468 |
| Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | $5K | $0.02 | $0.01 | $-63 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026? | Yes | $5K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-126 |
| Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? | Yes | $5K | $0.31 | $0.00 | $-1K |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31? | Yes | $5K | $0.25 | $0.01 | $-1K |
| Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31? | Yes | $4K | $0.54 | $0.04 | $-2K |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | $4K | $0.96 | $0.98 | $122 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $4K | $0.07 | $0.12 | $210 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | Yes | $4K | $0.11 | $0.24 | $514 |
| Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2026? | Yes | $4K | $0.08 | $0.23 | $549 |
| US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026? | Yes | $3K | $0.42 | $0.45 | $91 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | $3K | $0.77 | $0.84 | $239 |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $3K | $0.01 | $0.05 | $102 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? | Yes | $3K | $0.25 | $0.14 | $-378 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | $3K | $0.87 | $0.78 | $-279 |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | No | $3K | $0.20 | $0.43 | $717 |
| Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30? | Yes | $3K | $0.19 | $0.13 | $-175 |
| Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election? | Yes | $3K | $0.30 | $0.42 | $353 |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31? | No | $3K | $0.96 | $0.98 | $39 |
| Will Meta acquire TikTok? | No | $3K | $0.96 | $0.86 | $-276 |
| Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31? | Yes | $3K | $0.18 | $0.02 | $-434 |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay | Yes | $3K | $0.21 | $0.20 | $-49 |
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? | No | $3K | $0.80 | $0.88 | $214 |
| Will Trump create a tariff dividend by March 31? | No | $3K | $0.96 | $0.99 | $80 |
| Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | Yes | $3K | $0.54 | $0.83 | $760 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | $3K | $0.90 | $0.87 | $-73 |
| Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | No | $2K | $0.86 | $0.99 | $306 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | $2K | $0.98 | $0.98 | $-1 |
| Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? | Yes | $2K | $0.75 | $0.80 | $115 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | Yes | $2K | $0.39 | $0.45 | $119 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | $2K | $0.02 | $0.01 | $-7 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | $2K | $0.83 | $0.91 | $177 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Yes | $2K | $0.54 | $0.26 | $-606 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | $2K | $0.19 | $0.07 | $-247 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31? | Yes | $2K | $0.10 | $0.02 | $-167 |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | Yes | $2K | $0.03 | $0.01 | $-37 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | No | $2K | $0.83 | $0.85 | $45 |
| Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? | Yes | $2K | $0.20 | $0.17 | $-49 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027? | Yes | $2K | $0.50 | $0.17 | $-642 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | $2K | $0.36 | $0.45 | $171 |
| Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $2K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-7 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30? | Yes | $2K | $0.67 | $0.10 | $-1K |
| Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026? | No | $2K | $0.03 | $0.02 | $-7 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | $2K | $0.51 | $0.47 | $-87 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31? | Yes | $2K | $0.20 | $0.02 | $-311 |
| Robinhood launches prediction market through MIAXdx by March 31? | Yes | $2K | $0.35 | $0.03 | $-555 |
| US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31? | Yes | $2K | $0.44 | $0.10 | $-573 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | No | $2K | $0.43 | $0.43 | $8 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | $2K | $0.65 | $0.55 | $-178 |
| US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? | Yes | $2K | $0.34 | $0.24 | $-151 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | $2K | $0.81 | $0.83 | $36 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | $2K | $0.17 | $0.17 | $11 |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31? | Yes | $2K | $0.48 | $0.07 | $-630 |
| Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | Yes | $2K | $0.67 | $0.76 | $125 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | Yes | $1K | $0.11 | $0.05 | $-85 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | $1K | $0.08 | $0.07 | $-22 |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31? | Yes | $1K | $0.20 | $0.02 | $-259 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | $1K | $0.82 | $0.66 | $-237 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | No | $1K | $0.92 | $1.00 | $107 |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | Yes | $1K | $0.32 | $0.19 | $-190 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | No | $1K | $0.88 | $0.89 | $9 |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026? | Yes | $1K | $0.28 | $0.28 | $-9 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $1K | $0.09 | $0.08 | $-13 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026? | Yes | $1K | $0.12 | $0.01 | $-149 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? | Yes | $1K | $0.81 | $0.86 | $77 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? | Yes | $1K | $0.16 | $0.20 | $45 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | No | $1K | $0.77 | $0.69 | $-91 |
| Epstein client list released by June 30? | Yes | $1K | $0.19 | $0.10 | $-103 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? | Yes | $1K | $0.15 | $0.22 | $85 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31? | Yes | $1K | $0.13 | $0.10 | $-36 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026? | Yes | $1K | $0.07 | $0.06 | $-12 |
| Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026? | No | $1K | $0.09 | $1.00 | $1K |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $1K | $0.54 | $0.56 | $28 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | $1K | $0.82 | $0.74 | $-76 |
| US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026? | No | $1K | $0.50 | $0.56 | $57 |
| Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026? | Yes | $1K | $0.27 | $0.12 | $-159 |
| Trump out as President by June 30? | No | $1K | $0.93 | $0.94 | $9 |
| Fact Check: Maduro capture staged? | No | $994 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $22 |
| Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | No | $967 | $0.68 | $0.77 | $82 |
| Will UAE strike Iran by March 31? | Yes | $948 | $0.13 | $0.07 | $-57 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027? | Yes | $943 | $0.03 | $0.02 | $-8 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Yes | $902 | $0.17 | $0.15 | $-14 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | Yes | $901 | $0.39 | $0.39 | $-2 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | Yes | $900 | $0.08 | $0.09 | $5 |
| Will Germany strike Iran by March 31? | No | $874 | $0.99 | $0.99 | $5 |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | $866 | $0.81 | $0.85 | $38 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026? | Yes | $865 | $0.14 | $0.06 | $-74 |
| Will UK strike Iran by March 31? | No | $848 | $0.95 | $0.97 | $14 |
| Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? | Yes | $845 | $0.19 | $0.06 | $-110 |
| Will Iran strike Cyprus in March? | Yes | $800 | $0.03 | $0.03 | $-3 |
| Will Trump visit China by June 30? | No | $800 | $0.32 | $0.33 | $4 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | Yes | $777 | $0.27 | $0.01 | $-206 |
| US strike on Cuba by March 31? | Yes | $751 | $0.07 | $0.02 | $-34 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | No | $748 | $0.54 | $0.55 | $7 |
| Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? | Yes | $747 | $0.20 | $0.17 | $-17 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | No | $746 | $0.45 | $0.42 | $-19 |
| Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30? | Yes | $740 | $0.26 | $0.13 | $-97 |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $720 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $3 |
| Will France strike Iran by March 31? | Yes | $716 | $0.08 | $0.01 | $-47 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | Yes | $687 | $0.10 | $0.14 | $32 |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? | No | $679 | $0.72 | $0.81 | $60 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | No | $670 | $0.85 | $0.86 | $7 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | $666 | $0.03 | $0.03 | $1 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? | No | $666 | $0.14 | $0.14 | $-3 |
| Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30? | No | $660 | $0.78 | $0.85 | $46 |
| Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by March 31? | Yes | $646 | $0.04 | $0.01 | $-23 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | $644 | $0.98 | $0.98 | $-1 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country? | Yes | $627 | $0.70 | $0.03 | $-419 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | $616 | $0.11 | $0.12 | $3 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | $611 | $0.05 | $0.02 | $-19 |
| Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election? | No | $610 | $0.39 | $0.44 | $33 |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90%? | No | $608 | $0.92 | $0.97 | $27 |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | $600 | $0.97 | $0.98 | $9 |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | No | $600 | $0.85 | $0.92 | $39 |
| Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? | Yes | $585 | $0.24 | $0.20 | $-25 |
| US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026? | Yes | $582 | $0.27 | $0.14 | $-75 |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | Yes | $581 | $0.31 | $0.26 | $-33 |
| Military action against Iran ends by March 31, 2026? | No | $581 | $0.91 | $0.81 | $-63 |
| Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31? | Yes | $564 | $0.27 | $0.01 | $-147 |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Yes | $556 | $0.44 | $0.43 | $-2 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? | Yes | $549 | $0.50 | $0.20 | $-166 |
| Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility? | No | $546 | $0.09 | $0.58 | $268 |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | Yes | $532 | $0.87 | $0.66 | $-112 |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by March 31? | No | $525 | $0.95 | $0.99 | $23 |
| Iran coup attempt by June 30? | No | $522 | $0.69 | $0.74 | $24 |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | $505 | $0.93 | $0.97 | $22 |
| U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31? | Yes | $505 | $0.20 | $0.04 | $-80 |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15? | Yes | $504 | $0.76 | $0.47 | $-145 |
| Robinhood self-certifies sports event contract by March 31? | Yes | $500 | $0.74 | $0.04 | $-351 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | $496 | $0.37 | $0.23 | $-70 |
| Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | $484 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $1 |
| Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30? | No | $481 | $0.94 | $0.94 | $1 |
| Will Microsoft acquire TikTok? | No | $479 | $0.94 | $0.69 | $-121 |
| Weed rescheduled by March 31? | No | $466 | $0.74 | $0.99 | $118 |
| Kash Patel out by March 31? | Yes | $463 | $0.02 | $0.01 | $-6 |
| Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | $444 | $0.96 | $0.99 | $14 |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | $444 | $0.38 | $0.14 | $-102 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | $428 | $0.52 | $0.66 | $61 |
| Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31? | No | $426 | $0.95 | $1.00 | $18 |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? | Yes | $423 | $0.09 | $0.07 | $-6 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | $422 | $0.81 | $0.83 | $10 |
| Will Trump visit China by June 30? | Yes | $404 | $0.75 | $0.68 | $-32 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | $400 | $0.59 | $0.56 | $-16 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | $400 | $0.83 | $0.88 | $16 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | Yes | $394 | $0.16 | $0.07 | $-36 |
| Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026? | Yes | $390 | $0.11 | $0.07 | $-14 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | No | $375 | $0.16 | $0.23 | $29 |
| SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? | No | $370 | $0.72 | $0.88 | $59 |
| Will the DHS shutdown last 70 days or more? | No | $370 | $0.75 | $0.72 | $-10 |
| US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31? | No | $369 | $0.83 | $0.97 | $52 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | $368 | $0.04 | $0.05 | $4 |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30? | Yes | $366 | $0.51 | $0.22 | $-106 |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? | Yes | $357 | $0.26 | $0.21 | $-19 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026? | Yes | $352 | $0.06 | $0.01 | $-16 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | $351 | $0.45 | $0.51 | $18 |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31? | Yes | $349 | $0.59 | $0.03 | $-196 |
| Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March? | Yes | $345 | $0.23 | $0.14 | $-29 |
| Will the DHS shutdown end between March 28-31, 2026? | Yes | $343 | $0.01 | $0.25 | $81 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $333 | $0.07 | $0.14 | $23 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? | Yes | $333 | $0.04 | $0.02 | $-7 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | $331 | $0.46 | $0.38 | $-27 |
| Will Republican Senate incumbents win all their nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? | Yes | $329 | $0.11 | $0.23 | $39 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by December 31? | No | $328 | $0.27 | $0.27 | $-1 |
| Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility? | Yes | $322 | $0.38 | $0.42 | $12 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | $322 | $0.72 | $0.76 | $14 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | $317 | $0.57 | $0.72 | $48 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? | Yes | $312 | $0.33 | $0.29 | $-11 |
| Will Trump issue a Gold Card by March 31? | No | $312 | $0.71 | $0.99 | $89 |
| Will UK strike Iran by March 31? | Yes | $300 | $0.03 | $0.03 | $-0 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | $300 | $0.65 | $0.66 | $2 |
| Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026? | Yes | $300 | $0.15 | $0.17 | $6 |
| Will Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026? | Yes | $286 | $0.03 | $0.03 | $-1 |
| Will 60 or more of senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee? | No | $279 | $0.80 | $0.64 | $-47 |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | No | $278 | $0.34 | $0.53 | $50 |
| Will Trump endorse Ken Paxton for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? | No | $265 | $0.89 | $0.57 | $-84 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Yes | $264 | $0.28 | $0.28 | $-1 |
| US forces in Venezuela again by March 31, 2026? | No | $258 | $0.86 | $0.93 | $18 |
| Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? | Yes | $250 | $0.56 | $0.58 | $5 |
| Will Israel or the US target Fordow nuclear facility? | Yes | $250 | $0.39 | $0.10 | $-71 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | No | $244 | $0.90 | $0.93 | $6 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | $240 | $0.66 | $0.76 | $22 |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? | No | $238 | $0.46 | $0.67 | $51 |
| Will Amazon acquire TikTok? | No | $222 | $0.84 | $0.88 | $10 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | $222 | $0.96 | $0.96 | $-0 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? | No | $222 | $0.79 | $0.74 | $-11 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027? | Yes | $222 | $0.02 | $0.02 | $0 |
| Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | $222 | $0.10 | $0.03 | $-16 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | $222 | $0.98 | $0.98 | $-2 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | $222 | $0.85 | $0.87 | $5 |
| US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31? | Yes | $222 | $0.48 | $0.17 | $-70 |
| Kash Patel out by June 30? | Yes | $222 | $0.11 | $0.10 | $-1 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | $222 | $0.79 | $0.80 | $1 |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85%? | No | $222 | $0.82 | $0.79 | $-7 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | $222 | $0.60 | $0.57 | $-6 |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | $222 | $0.46 | $0.48 | $6 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | $200 | $0.53 | $0.54 | $1 |
| Will Railbird self-certify sports event contracts by March 31, 2026? | Yes | $200 | $0.33 | $0.17 | $-34 |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | No | $200 | $0.87 | $0.92 | $9 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31? | Yes | $200 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $1 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31? | No | $200 | $0.64 | $0.92 | $56 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | Yes | $200 | $0.35 | $0.35 | $1 |
| Will Iran strike UAE again in March? | Yes | $200 | $0.91 | $0.93 | $3 |
| Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | Yes | $200 | $0.24 | $0.17 | $-15 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30? | Yes | $200 | $0.31 | $0.23 | $-17 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | No | $200 | $0.36 | $0.36 | $1 |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | Yes | $200 | $0.25 | $0.24 | $-2 |
| Will the DHS shutdown end between March 24-27, 2026? | Yes | $198 | $0.18 | $0.16 | $-3 |
| Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by June 30? | Yes | $191 | $0.08 | $0.07 | $-2 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | No | $190 | $0.93 | $0.99 | $12 |
| Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | $177 | $0.46 | $0.64 | $32 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026? | No | $173 | $0.25 | $0.37 | $21 |
| Will Israel strike 3 countries in March 2026? | Yes | $156 | $0.28 | $0.67 | $59 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | $153 | $0.70 | $0.66 | $-7 |
| Will Trump and Xi not shake hands during the day of their next meeting in 2026? | Yes | $151 | $0.03 | $0.07 | $5 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026? | Yes | $150 | $0.07 | $0.10 | $3 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | $135 | $0.29 | $0.42 | $18 |
| Will Iga Świątek win the 2026 Women’s French Open? | Yes | $117 | $0.29 | $0.28 | $-2 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison? | Yes | $115 | $0.12 | $0.14 | $3 |
| Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | Yes | $111 | $0.14 | $0.84 | $77 |
| Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027? | No | $102 | $0.87 | $0.95 | $8 |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open? | Yes | $102 | $0.42 | $0.41 | $-1 |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | $100 | $0.31 | $0.30 | $-1 |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | Yes | $100 | $0.11 | $0.09 | $-3 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026? | No | $100 | $0.89 | $0.91 | $2 |
| Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | $100 | $0.94 | $0.99 | $4 |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1? | No | $100 | $0.62 | $0.89 | $27 |
| Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026? | Yes | $100 | $0.57 | $0.13 | $-44 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? | Yes | $100 | $0.44 | $0.38 | $-6 |
| Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Yes | $100 | $0.02 | $0.03 | $1 |
| Military action against Iran ends on March 31, 2026? | Yes | $100 | $0.02 | $0.08 | $5 |
| U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30? | Yes | $100 | $0.47 | $0.29 | $-18 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | $100 | $0.91 | $0.91 | $0 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026? | Yes | $100 | $0.48 | $0.36 | $-12 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela by March 31? | Yes | $86 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-1 |
| Will Jasmine Crockett and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election? | No | $75 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31? | No | $74 | $0.83 | $0.77 | $-4 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | No | $71 | $0.43 | $0.43 | $0 |
| Will Tim Walz announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | $65 | $0.06 | $0.06 | $0 |
| Will Dick Durbin vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026? | Yes | $62 | $0.19 | $0.26 | $4 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | Yes | $62 | $0.11 | $0.11 | $0 |
| Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in more than four nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? | No | $61 | $0.94 | $0.96 | $1 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by March 31? | No | $59 | $0.96 | $0.97 | $1 |
| Luigi Mangione tried before 2027? | Yes | $56 | $0.83 | $0.79 | $-3 |
| Will Israel strike 3 countries in March 2026? | No | $50 | $0.33 | $0.34 | $0 |
| Venezuela coup attempt by March 31? | Yes | $50 | $0.16 | $0.01 | $-8 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | Yes | $50 | $0.04 | $0.04 | $0 |
| Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more? | No | $48 | $0.67 | $0.67 | $-0 |
| US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China? | Yes | $40 | $0.52 | $0.55 | $1 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31? | Yes | $40 | $0.46 | $0.03 | $-17 |
| Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31? | No | $40 | $0.91 | $0.95 | $2 |
| Another Elon baby by June 30? | Yes | $37 | $0.20 | $0.19 | $-0 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? | Yes | $34 | $0.82 | $0.23 | $-20 |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31? | No | $33 | $0.97 | $0.97 | $-0 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | $33 | $0.94 | $0.95 | $1 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? | Yes | $32 | $0.16 | $0.30 | $5 |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? | Yes | $30 | $0.02 | $0.82 | $24 |
| Will Elena Rybakina win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026? | Yes | $23 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? | Yes | $20 | $0.64 | $0.32 | $-6 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | $20 | $0.81 | $0.86 | $1 |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? | Yes | $20 | $0.15 | $0.14 | $-0 |
| Will Chris Coons vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026? | Yes | $20 | $0.59 | $0.12 | $-9 |
| Military action against Iran ends by March 26, 2026? | No | $19 | $0.34 | $0.89 | $10 |
| U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026? | Yes | $18 | $0.52 | $0.30 | $-4 |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | No | $15 | $0.95 | $0.94 | $-0 |
| Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly four nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? | No | $12 | $0.86 | $0.94 | $1 |
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | Yes | $5 | $0.46 | $0.47 | $0 |
| Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | $5 | $0.99 | $0.99 | $0 |
| NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down - October 15 | Up | $0 | $0.50 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Rudy Giuliani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Adrienne Adams win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? | No | $0 | $0.62 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump try to fire Powell by September 30? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus? | No | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Germany recognize Palestine in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.92 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90%? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.03 | $0 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 27? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30? | No | $0 | $0.90 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Bad Bunny perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | Yes | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025? | No | $0 | $0.91 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Over $1.1B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | No | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on November 12? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Jasmine Crockett receive the most votes in the first round of the Democratic Senate primary in Texas? | Yes | $0 | $0.09 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? | No | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| IDF Chief Eyal Zamir out by December 31, 2025? | No | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan"? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| 100% tariff on China in effect by November 1? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | No | $0 | $0.39 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | No | $0 | $0.24 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Zelensky resigns in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30? | Yes | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Government shutdown end by November 30? | Yes | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Mikie Sherrill win by less than 3%? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will AppLovin acquire TikTok? | No | $0 | $0.91 | $0.93 | $0 |
| Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Israel x Turkey military clash in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.94 | $0.99 | $0 |
| Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.24 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani get less than 30% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.86 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Government shutdown end by January 31? | Yes | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina"? | No | $0 | $0.89 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US civil war in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Atlas global browser market share 1%+ on October 31? | No | $0 | $0.90 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Jair Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | No | $0 | $0.94 | $0.97 | $0 |
| Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in October? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the government shutdown end November 16? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m? | Yes | $0 | $0.33 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November? | No | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31? | No | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| John Thune out as Senate Majority leader by October 31? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 1-2? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | No | $0 | $0.82 | $1.00 | $0 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | No | $0 | $0.98 | $0.99 | $0 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.49 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | $0 | $0.82 | $0.91 | $0 |
| Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | No | $0 | $0.95 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok? | No | $0 | $0.95 | $0.96 | $0 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea"? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Epstein client list released by June 30? | No | $0 | $0.78 | $0.90 | $0 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2025 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the government shutdown last 60 days or more? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.88 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Government shutdown end by December 31? | Yes | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump visit Gaza by Oct 31? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will there be no US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.28 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Bolsonaro leave Brazil in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Maduro in U.S. custody by December 31? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win Staten Island? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Taylor Swift release a new original album by August 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| James Comey arrested by October 31? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.13 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands? | Yes | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | $0 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Syria join the Abraham Accords in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan"? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by October 31? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani get between 60% and 70% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | $0 | $0.13 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will exactly 56 U.S. senators vote "Yea" on the next funding bill by November 30? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the government shutdown end November 21 or later? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the government shutdown end November 18? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Kraken IPO in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo get between 20% and 25% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Fed rate cut by October 2025 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Over $1.3B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | No | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani get less than 45% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | No | $0 | $0.84 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Chuck Schumer out as Senate Minority Leader by October 31? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Grok 5 released by December 31? | No | $0 | $0.82 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US tariff revenue up in Q3 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.90 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.79 | $0.96 | $0 |
| Over $4B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the government shutdown end November 20? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump visit the Western Wall by October 31? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? | No | $0 | $0.63 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the government shutdown end November 19? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the government shutdown end November 17? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the U.S. House of Representatives session be announced by November 30? | Yes | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.82 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Linda McMahon be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 20–30 years in prison? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the US strike Iraq next? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will no government funding bill be passed by January 31, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.77 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win 4th place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | Yes | $0 | $0.12 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)? | No | $0 | $0.84 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | $0 | $0.89 | $0.88 | $-0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open? | Yes | $0 | $0.82 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the next leader out in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.14 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.04 | $-0 |
| Will Trump deport less than 250,000? | No | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 7, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.15 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.13 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 13, 2026 (ET)? | No | $0 | $0.92 | $1.00 | $0 |
| U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? | No | $0 | $0.64 | $0.85 | $0 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | No | $0 | $0.67 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.44 | $0.63 | $0 |
| Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.19 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strike on Mexico by March 31? | No | $0 | $0.91 | $0.99 | $0 |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.14 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | No | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Yes | $0 | $0.13 | $0.14 | $0 |
| Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 31, 2026? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 29? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.22 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Weed rescheduled by March 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.28 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election? | No | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum finish in second place in the 2025 Honduras presidential election? | Yes | $0 | $0.83 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Lady Gaga win 2 Grammys? | No | $0 | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.88 | $1.00 | $0 |
@ 0.35
48d ago
SoldWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No
$-7K@ 0.8148d ago
SoldIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?Yes
$-2K@ 0.4548d ago
SoldUCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut HuskiesUCLA Bruins
$-1K@ 0.0048d ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No
+$14K@ 0.8448d ago
BoughtWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes
+$2K@ 0.0648d ago
SoldTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Yes
$-2K@ 0.1848d ago
BoughtTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?No
+$1K@ 0.8148d ago
BoughtNetanyahu out by April 30?No
+$9K@ 0.9648d ago
SoldUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes
$-2K@ 0.4548d ago
SoldUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No
$-2K@ 0.5348d ago
SoldUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes
$-1K@ 0.1748d ago
BoughtIran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No
+$1K@ 0.4248d ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes
+$3K@ 0.3548d ago
BoughtNetanyahu out by June 30?No
+$1K@ 0.8848d ago
SoldWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No
$-2K@ 0.0049d ago
SoldIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?Yes
$-2K@ 0.3249d ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes
+$2K@ 0.3649d ago
BoughtWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes
+$52K@ 1.0049d ago
BoughtWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No
+$4K@ 0.7949d ago
SoldIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No
$-2K@ 0.6949d ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No
+$1K@ 0.8349d ago
BoughtWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes
+$92K@ 0.3749d ago
BoughtWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes
+$26K@ 0.3949d ago
BoughtWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No
+$28K@ 0.8449d ago
BoughtWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No
+$26K@ 0.9749d ago
BoughtIran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?Yes
+$24K@ 0.5649d ago
BoughtUS forces enter Iran by December 31?No
+$100K@ 0.3949d ago
BoughtWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No
+$363K@ 0.7949d ago
BoughtKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Yes
+$30K@ 0.0749d ago
BoughtUS strike on Mexico by March 31?Yes
+$34K@ 0.0149d ago
BoughtWill Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes
+$111K@ 0.0149d ago
BoughtRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes
+$36K@ 0.1549d ago
BoughtWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No
+$38K@ 0.6949d ago
BoughtWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No
+$125K@ 0.9249d ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Yes
+$17K@ 0.6449d ago
BoughtIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Yes
+$18K@ 0.7249d ago
BoughtUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?Yes
+$39K@ 0.1049d ago
BoughtWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes
+$10K@ 0.6449d ago
BoughtWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes
+$10K@ 1.0049d ago
BoughtWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes
+$41K@ 0.0349d ago
BoughtWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes
+$10K@ 0.2749d ago
BoughtWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes
+$10K@ 0.0449d ago
BoughtWill María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes
+$9K@ 0.1349d ago
BoughtWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes
+$9K@ 0.0249d ago
BoughtStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes
+$9K@ 0.3849d ago
BoughtWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No
+$181K@ 0.9849d ago