Weekly Market Digest
Top trades, whale moves, and market insights every Monday
risk-manager
0xa61ef8773ec2e821962306ca87d4b57e39ff0abd
Top 1%EliteWhaleHot Streak$100K Club
Trader Score
Win Rate: 48.3%
ROI: 0.0%
Trades: 174
Win Rate
48.3%
84W90L174 total
Open Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Current | PnL |
|---|
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $1.4M | $0.01 | $0.01 | $1K |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $541K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $300 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | $196K | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-10K |
| Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | $119K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $178 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $114K | $0.32 | $0.24 | $-9K |
|
Recent Activity (50)
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes
+$5K@ 0.1421m ago
BoughtTrump out as President by June 30?No
+$4K@ 0.9221m ago
SoldWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes
$-2K@ 0.1521m ago
SoldWill Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes
$-4K@ 0.0021m ago
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | $62K | $0.16 | $0.15 | $-304 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | $45K | $0.10 | $0.09 | $-446 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | Yes | $38K | $0.08 | $0.09 | $192 |
| Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $34K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $34 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | $33K | $0.81 | $0.83 | $927 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | No | $30K | $0.51 | $0.51 | $105 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | No | $27K | $0.51 | $0.52 | $133 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $24K | $0.08 | $0.08 | $23 |
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $17K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $26 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | No | $16K | $0.97 | $0.99 | $310 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | No | $15K | $0.99 | $0.99 | $80 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | $14K | $0.94 | $0.95 | $148 |
| Trump out as President by June 30? | No | $11K | $0.91 | $0.92 | $16 |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $7K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $3 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | Yes | $5K | $0.41 | $0.34 | $-375 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Yes | $5K | $0.13 | $0.14 | $23 |
| T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealand | South Africa | $5K | $0.61 | $0.00 | $-3K |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30? | No | $3K | $0.95 | $0.97 | $59 |
| Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | $3K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $13 |
| Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | $3K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $10 |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win a calendar Grand Slam in 2026? | No | $2K | $0.89 | $0.88 | $-16 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | Yes | $2K | $0.43 | $0.09 | $-685 |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $2K | $0.00 | $0.01 | $4 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | No | $2K | $0.82 | $0.88 | $83 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | $2K | $0.91 | $0.92 | $8 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison? | Yes | $1K | $0.15 | $0.13 | $-37 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | No | $1K | $0.95 | $0.95 | $-2 |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1? | No | $790 | $0.47 | $0.92 | $352 |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $755 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $1 |
| Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | $686 | $0.01 | $0.02 | $11 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | $500 | $0.96 | $0.99 | $15 |
| Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | No | $150 | $0.88 | $0.94 | $9 |
| Trump out as President by June 30? | Yes | $66 | $0.07 | $0.09 | $1 |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $51 | $0.00 | $0.02 | $1 |
| Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Storm | Northern Iowa Panthers | $35 | $0.17 | $0.00 | $-6 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | Yes | $3 | $0.00 | $0.13 | $0 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | $2 | $0.91 | $0.91 | $0 |
| Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tide | Hofstra Pride | $0 | $0.14 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.02 | $0 |
| Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.05 | $0 |
| Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $1.00 | $0 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | $0 | $0.87 | $0.91 | $0 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | $0 | $0.65 | $0.76 | $0 |
| Trump out as President by March 31? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Jack Doohan be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | No | $0 | $0.92 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | Yes | $0 | $0.26 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.49 | $0.37 | $-0 |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.02 | $0 |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.02 | $0 |
| Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | $0 | $0.89 | $0.84 | $-0 |
| Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5? | Yes | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealand | India | $0 | $0.88 | $1.00 | $0 |
| SpaceX Flight 7 launch before February 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.64 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million? | No | $0 | $0.89 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Elon Musk arrested in 2024? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31? | No | $0 | $0.90 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October? | No | $0 | $0.88 | $1.00 | $0 |
| 2025 July hottest on record? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the government shutdown end November 21 or later? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| T20 World Cup: India vs Pakistan (Game 1) | India | $0 | $0.79 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the government shutdown end November 12? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1600 in May? | No | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner | T1 | $0 | $0.17 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Matt Gaetz be Trump's Attorney General? | Yes | $0 | $0.32 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Maduro out by January 31, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.05 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.03 | $0 |
| Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.25 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | No | $0 | $0.89 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $0 | $0.23 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the December 2024 temperature increase be greater than 1.34°C? | No | $0 | $0.86 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump deport less than 250,000? | Yes | $0 | $0.12 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | Yes | $0 | $0.48 | $0.49 | $0 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase more Bitcoin in 2024? | Yes | $0 | $0.81 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Texans win Super Bowl 2025? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | No | $0 | $0.65 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Lando Norris win the 2024 F1 season? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.02 | $0 |
| Will global temperature increase by less than 1.22ºC in March 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.02 | $0 |
| Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.22 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.29 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%? | Yes | $0 | $0.25 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Ravens win Super Bowl 2025? | No | $0 | $0.83 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Was Kanye hacked? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%? | Yes | $0 | $0.25 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more? | Yes | $0 | $0.25 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.03 | $0 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Yes | $0 | $0.94 | $0.27 | $-0 |
| Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people? | Yes | $0 | $0.12 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump deport 1,750,000-2,000,000 people? | Yes | $0 | $0.12 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump deport 1,250,000-1,500,000 people? | Yes | $0 | $0.12 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump deport 1,500,000-1,750,000 people? | Yes | $0 | $0.12 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people? | Yes | $0 | $0.12 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump deport 1,000,000-1,250,000 people? | Yes | $0 | $0.12 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick for Treasury Secretary? | Yes | $0 | $0.50 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.02 | $0 |
| Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| 2024 December hottest on record? | No | $0 | $0.95 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will global temperature increase by more than 1.39ºC in February 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.76 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30? | No | $0 | $0.68 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.13 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Yes | $0 | $0.21 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | No | $0 | $0.32 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.02 | $0 |
| Will Trump deport 2,000,000 or more people? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | Yes | $0 | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Ronaldo x MrBeast video get >20m views on day 1? | Yes | $0 | $0.62 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Racing Bulls be the 2025 Constructors Champion? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Jamal Musiala win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Sauber be the 2025 Constructors Champion? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Haas be the 2025 Constructors Champion? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70K in September? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Yuki Tsunoda be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Ronaldo x MrBeast video get >20m views on day 1? | No | $0 | $0.75 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.11 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $91m? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in October? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Virgil van Dijk win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | No | $0 | $0.79 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | Patriots | $0 | $0.31 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.93 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting? | No | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Lance Stroll be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | No | $0 | $0.86 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30? | No | $0 | $0.87 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0 |
| Will the December 2024 temperature increase be less than 1.20°C? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.27-1.31ºC in March 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | $0 | $0.61 | $0.84 | $0 |
| Will Kanye launch a coin in February? | No | $0 | $0.73 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | No | $0 | $0.54 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.11 | $0 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.02 | $0 |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.05 | $0 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.02 | $0 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.02 | $0 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.02 | $0 |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.02 | $0 |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will no leader be out in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.22-1.26ºC in March 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people? | Yes | $0 | $0.12 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026? | No | $0 | $0.86 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Erling Haaland win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Latvia win Eurovision 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Braves vs. Reds | Braves | $0 | $0.40 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | Yes | $0 | $0.06 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| 2025 May hottest on record? | No | $0 | $0.86 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0 |
| Will Armenia win Eurovision 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open? | Yes | $0 | $0.50 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1400 in April? | No | $0 | $0.76 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Oliver Bearman be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League? | Yes | $0 | $0.18 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.49 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | No | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? | Yes | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Chrystia Freeland be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | Yes | $0 | $-0.00 | $0.00 | $0 |
| Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Jack Doohan be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 26? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Justin Trudeau be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Zellnor Myrie win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy? | Yes | $0 | $0.81 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Rockets vs. Suns | Rockets | $0 | $0.83 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $0 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.88 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| 2025 January hottest on record? | No | $0 | $0.33 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| India military action against Pakistan before June? | No | $0 | $0.56 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Global heat increase between 1.25°C and 1.27°C for 2024? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200K in August? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Cole Palmer win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will de Goes Rodrygo win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Slovenia win Eurovision 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Esteban Ocon be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | $0 | $0.93 | $0.99 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.57 | $1.00 | $0 |
| French Open: Sabalenka vs. Gauff | Sabalenka | $0 | $0.66 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | No | $0 | $0.25 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Alexander Isak win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General? | Yes | $0 | $0.29 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.31 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Fernando Alonso be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0 |
| Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0 |
| Will Iceland win Eurovision 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m? | Yes | $0 | $0.45 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? | No | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Texans win Super Bowl 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting? | No | $0 | $0.79 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Robert Lewandowski win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Jude Bellingham win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Federico Valverde win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | No | $0 | $0.40 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open? | Yes | $0 | $0.49 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | $0 | $0.54 | $0.57 | $0 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Saints win the NFC Championship? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.02 | $0 |
| Will Red Bull have the highest Constructor score at the Australian GP? | No | $0 | $0.92 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.06 | $0 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET | Up | $0 | $0.39 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? | No | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60K in July? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump resign today? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | No | $0 | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will the Falcons win the NFC Championship? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Isack Hadjar be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will the Rams win Super Bowl 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | Yes | $0 | $0.49 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Alexander Albon be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | No | $0 | $0.89 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | $0 | $0.91 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6? | Yes | $0 | $0.82 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Yes | $0 | $0.75 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Yes | $0 | $0.23 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | $0 | $0.81 | $0.83 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.49 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200K in September? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will the Giants win the 2026 NFC Championship? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.03 | $0 |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: December | No | $0 | $0.13 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open? | No | $0 | $0.84 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | $0 | $0.87 | $0.90 | $0 |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Miami Heat win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $115K in June? | Yes | $0 | $0.20 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET | Up | $0 | $0.22 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Denmark win Eurovision 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Cardinals win the NFC Championship? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0 |
| Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Adrienne Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Michael Bloomberg win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Scott Stringer win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Rudy Giuliani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Andrew Yang win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will the Commanders win Super Bowl 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will global temperature increase by more than 1.10ºC in August 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.33 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? | No | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Prairie View A&M Panthers vs. Florida Gators | Prairie View A&M Panthers | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women's Australian Open? | No | $0 | $0.39 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League? | Yes | $0 | $0.17 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.16 | $0.07 | $-0 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200K in July? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025? | No | $0 | $0.35 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election? | Yes | $0 | $0.25 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.27 | $0.39 | $0 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women's Australian Open? | No | $0 | $0.58 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Vikings vs. Steelers | Vikings | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting? | No | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.33 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.18 | $0.17 | $-0 |
| Will Portugal win Eurovision 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.25 | $0.18 | $-0 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | $0 | $0.48 | $0.63 | $0 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: December | Yes | $0 | $0.87 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | Seahawks | $0 | $0.67 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | $0 | $0.89 | $0.92 | $0 |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.32 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | Yes | $0 | $0.48 | $0.48 | $0 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | No | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.68 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | No | $0 | $0.62 | $0.00 | $-0 |
SoldWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes
$-2K@ 0.0121m ago
SoldWill Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes
$-1K@ 0.0121m ago
BoughtWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes
+$2K@ 0.151h ago
SoldWill Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes
$-4K@ 0.001h ago
BoughtWill Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes
+$5K@ 0.012h ago
SoldWill Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes
$-6K@ 0.002h ago
BoughtWill Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes
+$9K@ 0.013h ago
SoldWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes
$-1K@ 0.153h ago
SoldWill Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes
$-2K@ 0.003h ago
SoldWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes
$-4K@ 0.013h ago
SoldWill Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes
$-2K@ 0.013h ago
SoldWill Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes
$-29K@ 0.014h ago
SoldWill Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes
$-4K@ 0.004h ago
SoldWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes
$-3K@ 0.014h ago
BoughtWill Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes
+$2K@ 0.014h ago
SoldWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes
$-55K@ 0.155h ago
SoldWill Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes
$-4K@ 0.005h ago
BoughtWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes
+$2K@ 0.015h ago
SoldWill Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes
$-1K@ 0.015h ago
SoldWill Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes
$-11K@ 0.006h ago
BoughtWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes
+$4K@ 0.016h ago
SoldWill Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes
$-4K@ 0.016h ago
BoughtWill Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes
+$1K@ 0.017h ago
BoughtWill Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes
+$1K@ 0.017h ago
BoughtWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes
+$6K@ 0.157h ago
SoldWill Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes
$-2K@ 0.007h ago
SoldWill Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes
$-3K@ 0.017h ago
BoughtWill Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes
+$2K@ 0.018h ago
SoldWill Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes
$-4K@ 0.008h ago
BoughtWill Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes
+$5K@ 0.018h ago
SoldTrump out as President by March 31?No
$-7K@ 1.009h ago
SoldWill Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes
$-7K@ 0.009h ago
SoldWill Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes
$-3K@ 0.019h ago
SoldTrump out as President by March 31?No
$-3K@ 1.0010h ago
SoldWill Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes
$-1K@ 0.0010h ago
BoughtWill Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes
+$3K@ 0.0110h ago
SoldTrump out as President by March 31?No
$-5K@ 1.0011h ago
SoldWill Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes
$-23K@ 0.0111h ago
BoughtWill Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes
+$7K@ 0.0111h ago
SoldWill Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes
$-2K@ 0.0011h ago
BoughtWill Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes
+$7K@ 0.0112h ago
SoldWill Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes
$-5K@ 0.0012h ago
BoughtWill Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes
+$1K@ 0.0113h ago
SoldWill Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes
$-1K@ 0.0013h ago
SoldWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes
$-4K@ 0.0113h ago
SoldWill Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes
$-2K@ 0.0014h ago