| # | Trader | PnL | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| # | Trader | PnL | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| # | Trader | PnL | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
0xa58d4f278d7953cd38eeb929f7e242bfc7c0b9b8
PnL
$78K
Volume
$228.9M
Open Positions
500
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | $245K | $123 |
| Will Adrienne Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | $23K | $-65 |
| Will Rudy Giuliani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | $20K | $-57 |
| Will Scott Stringer win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | $20K | $-57 |
| Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | $20K | $-57 |
| Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? |
| Yes |
| $20K |
| $-57 |
| Will Michael Bloomberg win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | $20K | $-57 |
| Will Andrew Yang win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | $20K | $-57 |
| Will Zellnor Myrie win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | $20K | $-57 |
| Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | $17K | $-51 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | Yes | $14K | $-126 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | Yes | $13K | $-312 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | Yes | $13K | $64 |
| Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $10K | $-3 |
| Will Trump nominate Philip Jefferson as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $10K | $-3 |
| Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $10K | $-3 |
| Will Trump nominate Larry Lindsey as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $10K | $-3 |
| Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $10K | $-3 |
| Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $10K | $-3 |
| Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $10K | $-3 |
| Will Trump nominate David Zervos as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $10K | $-3 |
| Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $10K | $-3 |
| Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $10K | $-3 |
| Will Trump nominate Marc Sumerlin as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $10K | $-3 |
| Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $10K | $-3 |
| Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $10K | $-3 |
| Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $10K | $-3 |
| Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $10K | $-3 |
| Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Best Game You Suck At in the 2025 Steam Awards? | Yes | $10K | $-11 |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31? | No | $6K | $-15 |
| Will ZachXBT release his investigation on February 24? | Yes | $5K | $-36 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | Yes | $5K | $-25 |
| Will Evelyn Matthei win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election? | Yes | $5K | $-1 |
| Will Franco Parisi win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election? | Yes | $5K | $-1 |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026? | Yes | $5K | $-20 |
| Will Michelle Bachelet win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election? | Yes | $5K | $-1 |
| Will Marco Enríquez-Ominami win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election? | Yes | $5K | $-1 |
| Will Ximena Rincón win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election? | Yes | $5K | $-1 |
| Will Gonzalo Winter win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election? | Yes | $5K | $-1 |
| Will Eduardo Artés win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election? | Yes | $5K | $-1 |
| Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Yes | $4K | $-152 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | Yes | $4K | $-21 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | No | $4K | $-40 |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? | Yes | $3K | $-24 |
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? | Yes | $3K | $-7 |
| US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026? | Yes | $3K | $-8 |
| US strikes Iran by January 27, 2026? | Yes | $3K | $-21 |
| US strikes Iran by January 28, 2026? | Yes | $3K | $-18 |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Yes | $3K | $-21 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | Yes | $3K | $-25 |
| Will Applied Materials Inc (AMAT) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $2K | $-265 |
| Will Carolina Tohá win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election? | Yes | $2K | $-0 |
| Will Félix González win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election? | Yes | $2K | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | Yes | $2K | $-10 |
| US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026? | Yes | $2K | $-4 |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? | Yes | $2K | $-8 |
| US strikes Iran by January 29, 2026? | Yes | $2K | $-8 |
| US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026? | Yes | $2K | $-4 |
| US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026? | Yes | $2K | $-22 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 16? | No | $2K | $-64 |
| Will Thunder Parley advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? | Yes | $2K | $-132 |
| Will Bank of America (BAC) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $2K | $-368 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.5% at the end of 2026? | Yes | $2K | $-51 |
| Will Allstate (ALL) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $2K | $-297 |
| Will GPT-5 be released on August 13? | Yes | $2K | $-13 |
| Will Johannes Kaiser win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election? | Yes | $2K | $-0 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 8? | Yes | $2K | $-5 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026? | Yes | $2K | $-60 |
| Will Marco Rubio be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | Yes | $2K | $-95 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | Yes | $1K | $9 |
| Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ? | Yes | $1K | $8 |
| Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | $1K | $-26 |
| Will D.K. Metcalf be traded? | Yes | $1K | $-16 |
| Will GPT-5 be released on August 10? | Yes | $1K | $-10 |
| Will Shane Steichen be the next coach fired? | Yes | $1K | $-6 |
| Will GPT-5 be released on August 11? | Yes | $1K | $-10 |
| Will Tim Cyr win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election? | Yes | $1K | $-140 |
| Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $1K | $-26 |
| Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $1K | $-26 |
| Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $1K | $-26 |
| Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $1K | $-26 |
| Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $1K | $-26 |
| Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $1K | $-26 |
| Will the Dallas Cowboys win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $1K | $-26 |
| Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $1K | $-26 |
| Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $1K | $-26 |
| Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $1K | $-26 |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $1K | $-26 |
| Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $1K | $-26 |
| Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $1K | $-26 |
| Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $1K | $-26 |
| Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $1K | $-26 |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $1K | $-26 |
| Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $1K | $-26 |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $1K | $-26 |
| Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $1K | $-26 |
| Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $1K | $-26 |
| Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $1K | $-26 |
| Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $1K | $-26 |
| Will the Minnesota Vikings win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $1K | $-26 |
| Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $1K | $-26 |
| Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $1K | $-26 |
| Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $1K | $-26 |
| Will the Atlanta Falcons win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $1K | $-26 |
| Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $1K | $-26 |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $1K | $-26 |
| Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $1K | $-26 |
| Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? | Yes | $1K | $-6 |
| Will the Republicans win the West Virginia Senate race in 2026? | No | $1K | $-2 |
| Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | $1K | $-10 |
| Will Israel strike Yemen on September 22 ET? | Yes | $1K | $-3 |
| Will Israel strike Yemen on September 21 ET? | Yes | $1K | $-2 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $1K | $-116 |
| Will Israel strike Yemen on September 20 ET? | Yes | $1K | $-2 |
| Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? | Yes | $1K | $6 |
| Will Israel strike Yemen on September 23 ET? | Yes | $1K | $-2 |
| Will Cisco Systems (CSCO) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $1K | $-154 |
| Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | $1K | $-35 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $1K | $-45 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | No | $1K | $-465 |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | Yes | $1K | $12 |
| Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30? | Yes | $1K | $-10 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting? | Yes | $1K | $-5 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026? | Yes | $1K | $1 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80K in September? | Yes | $1K | $-27 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in September? | Yes | $1K | $-6 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2400 in September? | Yes | $1K | $-16 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | $1000 | $-163 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in August? | Yes | $1000 | $-24 |
| Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | $1000 | $-3 |
| Will the Democrats win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? | Yes | $1000 | $6 |
| Will the Republicans win the Alabama Senate race in 2026? | No | $954 | $10 |
| Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? | Yes | $949 | $10 |
| Will Kathryn Bigelow win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $918 | $-2 |
| Will Kleber Mendonça Filho win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $918 | $-2 |
| Will Hikari win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $918 | $-2 |
| Will Derek Cianfrance win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $918 | $-2 |
| Will Jafar Panahi win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $918 | $-2 |
| Will Benny Safdie win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $918 | $-2 |
| Will Guillermo del Toro win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $918 | $-2 |
| Will Jon M. Chu win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $918 | $-2 |
| Will Yorgos Lanthimos win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $918 | $-2 |
| Will Park Chan-wook win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $918 | $-2 |
| KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30? | Yes | $887 | $-30 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | $882 | $-13 |
| Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 16, 2026? | Yes | $871 | $-14 |
| Will Ralph Lauren (RL) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $869 | $-148 |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? | Yes | $857 | $-17 |
| Will Raheem Morris be the next coach fired? | Yes | $820 | $-9 |
| Will Bill Cosby be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | Yes | $805 | $-23 |
| Will Ro Khanna advance from the CA-17 primary? | No | $802 | $-41 |
| Will Generate Biomedicines' market cap be less than $1.9B at market close on IPO day? | No | $787 | $-25 |
| Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026? | Yes | $776 | $-7 |
| Will "Stray Kids: The dominATE Experience" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 1.75m? | Yes | $772 | $-4 |
| Will Miguel Uribe Turbay win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | $769 | $-29 |
| Will the Democrats win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026? | Yes | $767 | $4 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $745 | $-141 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 30, 2026? | Yes | $734 | $-18 |
| Will The Walt Disney Company (DIS) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $707 | $-105 |
| Will Qualcomm (QCOM) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $700 | $-128 |
| Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last less than 2 seconds by February 13, 2026? | Yes | $696 | $-30 |
| Will Mastercard (MA) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $686 | $-138 |
| US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026? | Yes | $654 | $-9 |
| Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 15 seconds or longer by February 13, 2026? | Yes | $647 | $-45 |
| Will Allstate (ALL) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $643 | $-128 |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 26? | Yes | $637 | $-5 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026? | Yes | $625 | $-15 |
| Will Waymo launch in Washington DC by June 30 2026? | Yes | $616 | $-22 |
| Will Elon Musk be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | Yes | $600 | $-13 |
| Will Roblox (RBLX) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $600 | $-167 |
| Will Penguin Solutions (PENG) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $587 | $-68 |
| Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET? | Yes | $574 | $1 |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | $548 | $-17 |
| Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | $546 | $-1 |
| Will Hillary Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | Yes | $544 | $-8 |
| Clavicular sentenced to prison? | Yes | $542 | $-60 |
| Will Starmer say "Labour" during the next Prime Minister's Questions? | No | $536 | $-44 |
| Will Occidental Petroleum (OXY) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $528 | $-110 |
| Will Democrats win between 55 and 59 seats in the 2025 Virginia House of Delegates election? | Yes | $528 | $-254 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? | Yes | $520 | $-7 |
| Will SanDisk (SNDK) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $517 | $-106 |
| Will Reddit (RDDT) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $512 | $-117 |
| Will Israel strike Yemen on September 25 ET? | No | $502 | $-378 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on March 8? | Yes | $500 | $-1 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on March 8? | Yes | $500 | $-1 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,500 on March 8? | Yes | $500 | $-1 |
| Will Mercantile Bank (MBWM) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $500 | $-82 |
| Will Chubb (CB) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $500 | $-79 |
| Will there be No Shutdown? | Yes | $500 | $-64 |
| Will United Natural Foods (UNFI) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $500 | $-125 |
| Will the Republicans win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026? | No | $496 | $-5 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez applaud during Trump's State of the Union? | Yes | $490 | $-65 |
| Will the Democrats win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026? | Yes | $479 | $-5 |
| Will Donald Trump praise Vladimir Putin on Friday? | No | $474 | $-76 |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 22? | Yes | $457 | $-1 |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | No | $454 | $-16 |
| Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election by 18–21%? | Yes | $447 | $-16 |
| Will Applied Digital (APLD) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $446 | $-47 |
| Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.4B and $1.6B? | Yes | $442 | $-13 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | No | $436 | $2 |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027? | Yes | $433 | $-7 |
| Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $430 | $-87 |
| Will the Democrats win the Alabama Senate race in 2026? | Yes | $425 | $5 |
| ZachXBT investigation post over 8M views on day one? | No | $424 | $-81 |
| Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 19? | Yes | $422 | $-3 |
| Will José Antonio Kast win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election? | Yes | $409 | $-0 |
| Will MrBeast's TeamWater livestream last more than 72 hours? | Yes | $406 | $-0 |
| Will MrBeast's TeamWater livestream last between 36 and 48 hours? | Yes | $400 | $-1 |
| Will Vance visit the Middle East by March 31? | Yes | $400 | $-2 |
| Will GPT-5 be released on August 9? | Yes | $400 | $-14 |
| Will Estée Lauder Companies (EL) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $400 | $-124 |
| Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $400 | $-87 |
| Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027? | Yes | $399 | $-10 |
| Will General Motors (GM) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $394 | $-72 |
| Macron out by June 30, 2026? | Yes | $380 | $0 |
| Will between 310 and 319 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill? | Yes | $380 | $-13 |
| Will SS&C Technologies Holdings (SSNC) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $374 | $-56 |
| Will Marathon Petroleum (MPC) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $367 | $-75 |
| Will Rastriya Janamorcha win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election? | Yes | $359 | $-1 |
| Will Loktantrik Samajwadi Party Nepal win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election? | Yes | $359 | $-1 |
| Will Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $355 | $-78 |
| Will Coca-Cola (KO) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $350 | $-70 |
| Will Playboy (PLBY) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $350 | $-28 |
| Will Micron Technology (MU) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $349 | $-20 |
| Will Maxx Crosby play for Detroit Lions next? | Yes | $344 | $-14 |
| Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | $343 | $-1 |
| Will Datadog (DDOG) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $343 | $-58 |
| Han Duck-soo in jail by September 30? | Yes | $339 | $-1 |
| Will the Logan Paul Break 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m? | Yes | $335 | $-23 |
| Will Tripadvisor (TRIP) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $332 | $-66 |
| Will Gambling.com Group (GAMB) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $331 | $-74 |
| Infinex FDV above $2B one day after launch? | Yes | $321 | $-40 |
| Will Coca-Cola (KO) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $320 | $-38 |
| Will Akamai Technologies (AKAM) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $316 | $-62 |
| Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals? | No | $314 | $-2 |
| Will Snowflake (SNOW) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $313 | $-45 |
| Will Philip Morris International (PM) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $305 | $-53 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.2T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | $300 | $0 |
| Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election by 15–18%? | Yes | $300 | $-19 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | Yes | $300 | $-4 |
| Will Clorox (CLX) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $300 | $-69 |
| US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026? | No | $300 | $-30 |
| Will ICU Medical (ICUI) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $300 | $-60 |
| Will S&P Global (SPGI) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $300 | $-69 |
| Will eBay (EBAY) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $300 | $-84 |
| Will the Monad public sale commitments be greater than $2B? | Yes | $295 | $-1 |
| Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? | No | $286 | $10 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? | Yes | $284 | $-44 |
| Will Waymo launch in New York City by June 30 2026? | Yes | $283 | $-6 |
| Will Yelp (YELP) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $281 | $-62 |
| Will Sprinklr (CXM) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $280 | $-36 |
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.5m barrels per day in 2026? | Yes | $271 | $6 |
| Will Charles River Laboratories (CRL) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $271 | $-69 |
| Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders announce a presidential run before 2027? | Yes | $267 | $-13 |
| Will Anheuser-Busch (BUD) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $260 | $-92 |
| Will CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $260 | $-25 |
| Will Atalanta reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals? | Yes | $255 | $-1 |
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026? | Yes | $254 | $-0 |
| Will John G. Roberts attend the 2026 State of the Union address? | No | $253 | $-13 |
| Will Humana (HUM) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $251 | $-66 |
| Will Trump drink water during the State of the Union? | Yes | $250 | $-96 |
| Will Bernie Sanders announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | $248 | $0 |
| Will Quest Diagnostics (DGX) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $240 | $-45 |
| Will Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $240 | $-84 |
| Will Trey Hendrickson play for Pittsburgh Steelers in 2026-27? | Yes | $238 | $-9 |
| Will Nasdaq (NDAQ) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $237 | $-51 |
| Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 9? | Yes | $230 | $-8 |
| Will Micron Technology (MU) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $228 | $-7 |
| Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in March? | Yes | $227 | $-19 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? | Yes | $227 | $1 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31? | Yes | $226 | $-1 |
| Anthropic CEO arrested? | Yes | $226 | $-2 |
| Will Coinbase Global (COIN) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $216 | $-71 |
| Will the Democrats win the Arkansas governor race in 2026? | Yes | $215 | $-1 |
| Will Matt Gaetz announce a presidential run before 2027? | Yes | $210 | $1 |
| Will Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $204 | $-33 |
| Will Applied Materials (AMAT) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $204 | $-37 |
| Will Maxx Crosby play for Cincinnati Bengals next? | Yes | $204 | $5 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | $202 | $-1 |
| Will KKR & Co (KKR) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $202 | $-51 |
| Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? | Yes | $200 | $-3 |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13? | No | $200 | $-26 |
| Will Marco Rubio enter Iran by June 30? | Yes | $200 | $1 |
| Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals? | No | $200 | $-7 |
| Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $200 | $-42 |
| Will General Mills (GIS) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $200 | $-20 |
| Will DocuSign (DOCU) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $200 | $-24 |
| Will JD Vance clap between 70–79 times during the State of the Union? | Yes | $200 | $-13 |
| Will PJT Partners (PJT) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $200 | $-44 |
| Will Maxx Crosby play for Philadelphia Eagles next? | Yes | $200 | $-6 |
| Will Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $200 | $-44 |
| Will MongoDB (MDB) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $200 | $-18 |
| Will Roku (ROKU) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $200 | $-52 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? | No | $200 | $3 |
| Will Trump and Mohammed bin Salman hug on Tuesday? | Yes | $198 | $-15 |
| Will Omnicom Group (OMC) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $197 | $-47 |
| Will AppLovin (APP) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $196 | $-43 |
| Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 3% and 6%? | Yes | $194 | $-4 |
| Will Breece Hall be traded? | Yes | $193 | $-7 |
| Will Waystar Holding (WAY) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $190 | $-55 |
| Will Okta (OKTA) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $190 | $-17 |
| Will Billy Mawhiney be the Democratic Nominee for SD-AL? | Yes | $189 | $-7 |
| Will United Natural Foods (UNFI) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $186 | $-22 |
| Will Maxx Crosby play for Los Angeles Rams next? | Yes | $184 | $-15 |
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31? | Yes | $181 | $-4 |
| Will Mike Pence announce a presidential run before 2027? | Yes | $180 | $-0 |
| Will Charles Schwab (SCHW) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $180 | $-28 |
| Will Circle Internet Group (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $179 | $-45 |
| Will Rubrik (RBRK) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $179 | $-15 |
| Will Gani Khan win Big Brother UK Series 22? | Yes | $178 | $-3 |
| Will Trump say "Scalise" during the State of the Union address? | Yes | $178 | $-40 |
| Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $175 | $-33 |
| Will Garmin (GRMN) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $173 | $-45 |
| Will Expedia Group (EXPE) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $162 | $-24 |
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.7m barrels per day in 2026? | Yes | $162 | $1 |
| Celonis IPO before 2027? | Yes | $160 | $1 |
| Will the Republicans win the Arkansas governor race in 2026? | No | $160 | $-1 |
| Will AMC Entertainment Holdings (AMC) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $159 | $-48 |
| ZachXBT investigation post over 10M views on day one? | No | $155 | $-39 |
| Will Marex Group (MRX) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $151 | $-38 |
| Will "Predator: Badlands" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 31m and 33m? | Yes | $150 | $-49 |
| Will Ken Russell win the 2025 Miami mayoral election? | Yes | $150 | $-1 |
| Will Xavier Suarez win the 2025 Miami mayoral election? | Yes | $150 | $-1 |
| Will Emily Hewertson win Big Brother UK Series 22? | Yes | $150 | $-4 |
| Will Farida Khalifa win Big Brother UK Series 22? | Yes | $150 | $-4 |
| Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10? | Yes | $150 | $-7 |
| Jimmy Kimmel cancelled by September 30? | Yes | $150 | $-2 |
| Will "Predator: Badlands" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 29m? | Yes | $150 | $-35 |
| Will "Predator: Badlands" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 29m and 31m? | Yes | $150 | $-34 |
| Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday at least 20%? | Yes | $144 | $-1 |
| Will Robinhood Markets (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $143 | $-20 |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 8? | Yes | $142 | $-4 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | No | $140 | $4 |
| Will the Republican Party hold between 205 and 209 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | $139 | $-1 |
| Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $139 | $-25 |
| Will Fidesz-KDNP win 40-44% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election? | Yes | $138 | $22 |
| Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 10–15 seconds by February 13, 2026? | Yes | $135 | $-9 |
| Will Edna DeVries advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | Yes | $133 | $-1 |
| Will Democrats win between 60 and 64 seats in the 2025 Virginia House of Delegates election? | No | $131 | $-83 |
| Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027? | Yes | $131 | $3 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | $130 | $-1 |
| Will Shelley Hughes advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | Yes | $130 | $2 |
| Will the Democrats win the Arkansas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | $129 | $-1 |
| Will Phantom daily builder revenue hit $200k in 2025? | No | $128 | $-33 |
| Will Pfizer (PFE) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | $127 | $-22 |
| Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 25? | Yes | $126 | $-2 |
| Will State Street (STT) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $125 | $-26 |
| Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.6B and $1.8B? | Yes | $125 | $-13 |
| Will John Cornyn win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by between 6% and 9%? | Yes | $125 | $2 |
| Honduras Election: Nasralla flips Asfura by Wednesday 12 PM ET? | No | $120 | $-6 |
| Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in July? | Yes | $120 | $-13 |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 21? | Yes | $120 | $-4 |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 20? | Yes | $120 | $-4 |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 28? | Yes | $120 | $-4 |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 29? | Yes | $120 | $-4 |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 25? | Yes | $120 | $-4 |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 27? | Yes | $120 | $-4 |
| Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | $120 | $-1 |
| Will Adobe (ADBE) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $117 | $-14 |
| Will Bank of America (BAC) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $116 | $-15 |
| Will Teleflex (TFX) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $116 | $-39 |
| Will Honeywell International (HON) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $115 | $-20 |
| Will the Democrats win the Alabama governor race in 2026? | Yes | $113 | $2 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) close above $300 end of November? | Yes | $113 | $-18 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $430-$435 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21? | Yes | $113 | $-9 |
| Will Mike Tomlin be the next coach fired? | Yes | $108 | $-2 |
| Will Colgate-Palmolive (CL) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $108 | $-38 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 1.5% and 2.0%? | Yes | $106 | $-12 |
| Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | $106 | $-28 |
| Will Lockheed Martin (LMT) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $106 | $-20 |
| GPT-5.4 released by March 5? | No | $105 | $-45 |
| Will HubSpot (HUBS) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $104 | $-20 |
| Will Tyson Foods (TSN) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $102 | $-19 |
| Will Hinge Health (HNGE) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $100 | $-26 |
| Will Neogen (NEOG) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | $100 | $-36 |
| Will Israel not strike Yemen by September 23 ET? | Yes | $100 | $-3 |
| Will Atmos Energy (ATO) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $100 | $-20 |
| Will Borderlands 4 win Better With Friends at the 2025 Steam Awards? | Yes | $100 | $-3 |
| Will Byrna Technologies (BYRN) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $100 | $-22 |
| Will Amazon.com (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $100 | $-20 |
| Will Kraft Heinz (KHC) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $100 | $-31 |
| Will Datadog Inc (DDOG) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $98 | $-11 |
| Will Ally Financial (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $96 | $-17 |
| Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026? | Yes | $95 | $0 |
| Will Asana (ASAN) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $93 | $-11 |
| Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 26? | Yes | $90 | $-1 |
| Will CME Group (CME) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $88 | $-15 |
| Will Victoria's Secret (VSCO) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $87 | $-13 |
| Will Nancy Nocerino win Big Brother UK Series 22? | Yes | $83 | $-2 |
| Will Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | Yes | $83 | $-1 |
| Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | $83 | $-1 |
| Will US Foods Holding (USFD) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $80 | $-22 |
| Will Shake Shack (SHAK) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $79 | $-28 |
| Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by April 30? | Yes | $78 | $1 |
| Will Cole Palmer win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | $77 | $-0 |
| Will Allbirds (BIRD) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $68 | $-21 |
| Will Richardson Electronics (RELL) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $68 | $-5 |
| Will Cigna Group (CI) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $66 | $-11 |
| Will Hank Kroll advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | Yes | $66 | $-1 |
| Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026? | No | $60 | $0 |
| Will James Parkin advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | Yes | $58 | $0 |
| Will Campbell's (CPB) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $58 | $-6 |
| Will the DHS shutdown last 80 days or more? | No | $57 | $1 |
| Will Jake Merrick win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? | Yes | $55 | $-1 |
| Will Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $55 | $-10 |
| Will Trey Hendrickson play for Washington Commanders in 2026-27? | Yes | $55 | $-3 |
| Stripe IPO before 2027? | Yes | $52 | $0 |
| Will "Rental Family" score at least 87 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | No | $52 | $-30 |
| Will Virtu Financial (VIRT) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $50 | $-10 |
| Will Salesforce (CRM) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $50 | $-6 |
| Will Amplitude (AMPL) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $50 | $-10 |
| Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $50 | $-17 |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $540 end of November? | Yes | $49 | $-5 |
| Will "Predator: Badlands" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | No | $49 | $-31 |
| Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31? | Yes | $49 | $-0 |
| Freddie Mac IPO before 2027? | Yes | $48 | $0 |
| Will Waymo launch in Denver by June 30 2026? | Yes | $46 | $1 |
| Will the DHS shutdown last 80 days or more? | Yes | $45 | $0 |
| Will SBF tweet again by Wednesday? | No | $44 | $-0 |
| Will Otis Worldwide (OTIS) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $40 | $-8 |
| Will JD Vance say "Six Seven" in Wisconsin on Thursday? | Yes | $36 | $-4 |
| Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 4,000 in 2026? | Yes | $35 | $-1 |
| Will Ryan Walters replace Markwayne Mullin as United States Senator from Oklahoma? | Yes | $33 | $-1 |
| Will Charles McCall replace Markwayne Mullin as United States Senator from Oklahoma? | Yes | $33 | $-1 |
| Will Moog (MOG.A) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $31 | $-4 |
| Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026? | Yes | $30 | $-9 |
| Will East West Bancorp (EWBC) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $30 | $-7 |
| Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in July? | No | $30 | $-22 |
| Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Yes | $29 | $1 |
| Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? | Yes | $28 | $7 |
| Kash Patel out by June 30? | Yes | $27 | $-0 |
| Will Truist Financial (TFC) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $26 | $-6 |
| Will Palantir Technologies (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $25 | $-7 |
| Will Franklin Resources (BEN) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $24 | $-7 |
| Will Moody's (MCO) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $24 | $-3 |
| Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the fifth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | No | $22 | $-18 |
| Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 0-3%? | No | $22 | $-1 |
| Will Virgin Galactic Holdings (SPCE) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $20 | $-3 |
| Will GoPro (GPRO) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | $20 | $-12 |
| Will Pierpaolo Piccioli be named the next creative director of Versace? | Yes | $20 | $-1 |
| Will Jalen Carter be traded? | Yes | $19 | $-0 |
| Will Coursera (COUR) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $18 | $-3 |
| Will Tesla reach $548 in November? | Yes | $17 | $-2 |
| Will JD Vance's remarks not air? | Yes | $16 | $-0 |
| Will between 7500-8000 US flights be delayed on March 24? | Yes | $15 | $-2 |
| Will the DHS shutdown last 52 days or more? | No | $15 | $5 |
| SAVE America Act becomes law by June 30, 2026? | Yes | $13 | $-0 |
| Will FTI Consulting (FCN) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $12 | $-2 |
| Will 3M (MMM) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $11 | $-1 |
| ZachXBT investigation post over 12M views on day one? | No | $10 | $-3 |
| Will Palantir (PLTR) close above $200 end of November? | Yes | $10 | $-2 |
| Will eBay (EBAY) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $7 | $-1 |
| Will "Good Fortune" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m? | Yes | $6 | $-3 |
| Will monthly inflation be between 1.2% and 1.4% in September? | Yes | $5 | $-0 |
| Will Mark Stewart Greenstein be the Democratic nominee for CT-01? | Yes | $5 | $-0 |
| Will Trump sue Powell by September 30? | Yes | $5 | $-0 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina"? | Yes | $5 | $-0 |
| Will Trump send the national guard to Chicago by December 31? | No | $5 | $-2 |
| Will between 5000-5500 US flights be delayed on March 24? | Yes | $5 | $-0 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $520 end of November? | Yes | $5 | $-1 |
| Will Avatar 3 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | $4 | $-0 |
| MicroStrategy purchases >5000 BTC August 12-18? | Yes | $4 | $-0 |
| Will Travis Kelce be the #2 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | $4 | $-0 |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of November 10 above $275? | Yes | $4 | $-0 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | $4 | $0 |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of November 10 above $215? | No | $4 | $-0 |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $260 end of November? | Yes | $4 | $-0 |
| Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election by 21–24%? | Yes | $4 | $-1 |
| Will Team Spirit win the 2025 Dota 2 Esports World Cup Tournament? | No | $4 | $-3 |
| Will Duke Rodriguez win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election? | No | $4 | $-1 |
| Winter Games 2026: Norway (-6.5) vs. USA (+6.5) gold medals? | Norway | $4 | $-1 |
| Will Ja'Marr Chase be the Top Fantasy Wide Receiver for the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season? | Yes | $4 | $-1 |
| Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28? | Yes | $4 | $-1 |
| Will Leonard Jackson advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? | No | $4 | $0 |
| Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%? | No | $4 | $-2 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | Yes | $4 | $1 |
| Will Glacier Bancorp (GBCI) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | $4 | $-3 |
| Axiom daily fees above $5M in 2025? | Yes | $4 | $-1 |
| Zohran Mamdani arrested before September? | Yes | $4 | $-0 |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $210 on March 9? | No | $4 | $-1 |
| Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? | Yes | $4 | $0 |
| Yoon out of custody by July 31? | Yes | $4 | $-0 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1? | Yes | $3 | $-1 |
| Will The Fate of Ophelia by Taylor Swift be the #1 searched song on Google this year? | Yes | $3 | $-1 |
| Will Playboi Carti release another album before August? | Yes | $3 | $-0 |
| Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? | No | $3 | $0 |
| Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 10? | Yes | $3 | $0 |
| Will ServisFirst Bancshares (SFBS) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | $3 | $-2 |
| Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the second best domestic opening weekend in 2025? | No | $3 | $-2 |
| India unbans TikTok by December 31? | Yes | $3 | $-0 |
| Will the Utah Jazz win more than 18.5 regular season games in 2025–26? | No | $3 | $-1 |
| Ghislaine Maxwell released from custody in 2025? | Yes | $3 | $-0 |
| Will Apple acquire Mistral by September 30? | Yes | $3 | $-0 |
| Will Super Bowl LX have less than 116M viewers? | Yes | $3 | $-0 |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone in 2025? | Yes | $3 | $-0 |
| Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah receive between 30,000 and 40,000 votes in the 2025 Honduran presidential election? | Yes | $3 | $-0 |
| Will The Alabama Solution win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $3 | $-0 |
| Will Hedi Slimane be named the next creative director of Versace? | Yes | $3 | $-0 |
| Will Scott Schlagel be the Democratic Nominee for SD-AL? | Yes | $3 | $0 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026? | Yes | $3 | $-0 |