Weekly Market Digest
Top trades, whale moves, and market insights every Monday
C
Crampus
0xa416a5c03381c90b94e4c1881b0494281e3e025e
Hot Streak
Trader Score
Win Rate: 100.0%
ROI: 0.0%
Trades: 5
Win Rate
100.0%
5W0L5 total
No PnL history available
Not enough data for rank history
Open Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Current | PnL |
|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | $29K | $0.84 | $0.84 | $144 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $7K | $0.09 | $0.08 | $-53 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | Yes | $4K | $0.08 | $0.07 | $-5 |
| Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026? | Yes | $2K | $0.05 | $0.04 | $-7 |
| Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? | No | $1K | $0.38 | $0.20 | $-262 |
| Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? |
Recent Activity (5)
BoughtWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No
+$29K@ 0.8417h ago
BoughtWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes
+$7K@ 0.0817h ago
BoughtWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes
+$4K@ 0.0717h ago
BoughtWill any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?Yes
+$2K@ 0.04
| Will DOGE audit the IRS before May? | No | $0 | $0.91 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff before July? | No | $0 | $0.86 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Trump trade deal before June? | Yes | $0 | $0.82 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump & Elon reduce the deficit in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.34 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| NYC congestion pricing repealed before July? | No | $0 | $0.78 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Canada tariffs on China in effect before July? | No | $0 | $0.79 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Kilmar Abrego Garcia released from custody before July? | No | $0 | $0.89 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Yes | $0 | $0.32 | $0.20 | $-0 |
| Trump announces additional funding cuts to Harvard before June? | Yes | $0 | $0.24 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Doge ETF approved by July 31? | No | $0 | $0.81 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Earthquake 7.0 or above in April? | No | $0 | $0.78 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on May 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Luís Montenegro be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election? | Yes | $0 | $0.79 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump create External Revenue Service before July? | Yes | $0 | $0.25 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Bitcoin above $85,000 on April 25? | No | $0 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Democratic Alliance win the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese legislative election? | Yes | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | No | $0 | $0.74 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump try and fire Powell before June? | Yes | $0 | $0.18 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election? | Yes | $0 | $0.68 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US military action against Iran before July? | Yes | $0 | $0.46 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.47 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days? | Yes | $0 | $0.15 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before June? | No | $0 | $0.66 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | $0 | $0.39 | $0.32 | $-0 |
| Trump removes income tax on individuals making <$150k? | Yes | $0 | $0.11 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Houthis agree to end attacks on shipping before June? | No | $0 | $0.73 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | Yes | $0 | $0.37 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US recession in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.60 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Anthony Albanese be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election? | Yes | $0 | $0.84 | $1.00 | $0 |
| X relaunches Vine before July? | No | $0 | $0.82 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump pardon himself in his first 100 days? | Yes | $0 | $0.10 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.02 | $0 |
| Will Trump create a DOGE dividend in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.81 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | Yes | $0 | $0.11 | $0.09 | $-0 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.21 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| Will Trump cut taxes on high earners in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.82 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | Yes | $0 | $0.43 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will George Simion win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election? | Yes | $0 | $0.87 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.33 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump Media invest in Ethereum before July? | No | $0 | $0.84 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days? | Yes | $0 | $0.74 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump & Elon reduce the deficit in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.77 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will a Republican win New Jersey Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump announce withdrawal from Syria before July? | No | $0 | $0.76 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | No | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Trump's birthright citizenship ban unblocked before July? | No | $0 | $0.84 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | $0 | $0.17 | $0.09 | $-0 |
| Will Trump remove municipal bond tax exemption in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.80 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election? | No | $0 | $0.67 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Japan prime minister Ishiba out before July? | No | $0 | $0.87 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Rumeysa Ozturk be deported before July? | No | $0 | $0.79 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | Yes | $0 | $0.70 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Conor McGregor win the Irish Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.39 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July? | Yes | $0 | $0.24 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US-China trade deal before June? | No | $0 | $0.80 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Trump abolishes the Federal Income Tax in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.29 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? | Yes | $0 | $0.84 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump audit Ukraine aid before May? | No | $0 | $0.73 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.31 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.48 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.82 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? | No | $0 | $0.86 | $0.93 | $0 |
| US-EU trade deal before June? | No | $0 | $0.73 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will any country leave NATO in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.11 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Canada lower tariffs on the U.S. before June? | No | $0 | $0.81 | $1.00 | $0 |
17h ago
BoughtWill the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?No
+$1K@ 0.2017h ago