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Trader ImJustKen — PolyTracker
ImJustKen✓ Verified
0x9d84ce0306f8551e02efef1680475fc0f1dc1344
@Domahhhh Get embed widgetEliteWhaleHot Streak$100K Club
Trader Score
Win Rate: 88.9%
ROI: 0.6%
Trades: 9
Open Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Current | PnL |
|---|
| Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $1.9M | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-32K |
| Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $1.5M | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-35K |
| Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $1.4M | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-33K |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $1.4M | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-33K |
| Will Trump nominate Marc Sumerlin as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $1.4M | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-33K |
| Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair? |
Recent Activity (9)
BoughtWill the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes
+$2K@ 0.004h ago
BoughtWill the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes
+$1K@ 0.005h ago
BoughtWill SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026?No
+$3K@ 0.9913h ago
BoughtWill the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes
+$1K@ 0.00
| Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $1.3M | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-33K |
| Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $1.3M | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-33K |
| Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $1.3M | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-33K |
| Will Trump nominate Larry Lindsey as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $1.3M | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-33K |
| Will Trump nominate David Zervos as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $1.3M | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-33K |
| Will Trump nominate Philip Jefferson as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $1.3M | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-33K |
| Will Trump nominate Arthur Laffer as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $1.3M | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-33K |
| Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $1.2M | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-32K |
| Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $1.1M | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-30K |
| Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $1.1M | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-30K |
| Will Trump nominate Bill Pulte as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $1.1M | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-30K |
| Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $1.1M | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-30K |
| Will Trump nominate no one before 2027? | Yes | $1.1M | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-30K |
| Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $1.1M | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-30K |
| Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $1.1M | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-30K |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $1.1M | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-30K |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $740K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-19K |
| Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more? | Yes | $344K | $0.19 | $0.00 | $-65K |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | No | $339K | $0.96 | $0.99 | $10K |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $271K | $0.02 | $0.02 | $1K |
| Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more? | No | $245K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-4K |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | Yes | $198K | $0.08 | $0.00 | $-14K |
| US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026? | Yes | $122K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-488 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | $114K | $0.05 | $0.14 | $11K |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | Yes | $102K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-4K |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Yes | $98K | $0.17 | $0.01 | $-16K |
| Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $93K | $0.01 | $0.02 | $1K |
| Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $91K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $167 |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $89K | $0.01 | $0.02 | $737 |
| Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $86K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $427 |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | Yes | $76K | $0.22 | $0.00 | $-17K |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $76K | $0.02 | $0.04 | $1K |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | $74K | $0.49 | $0.33 | $-12K |
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $70K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $1 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $70K | $0.01 | $0.02 | $1K |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | No | $70K | $0.45 | $0.00 | $-31K |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | Yes | $65K | $0.21 | $0.14 | $-5K |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | No | $64K | $0.28 | $0.00 | $-18K |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $64K | $0.02 | $0.04 | $1K |
| US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026? | Yes | $62K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-2K |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $61K | $0.03 | $0.08 | $3K |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $55K | $0.01 | $0.02 | $365 |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? | Yes | $55K | $0.28 | $0.00 | $-15K |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026? | No | $54K | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-3K |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | $53K | $0.03 | $0.27 | $13K |
| Will Hashem Hosseini Bushehri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $52K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-296 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | Yes | $52K | $0.43 | $0.34 | $-5K |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $49K | $0.05 | $0.05 | $-250 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31? | Yes | $48K | $0.32 | $0.00 | $-15K |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Yes | $48K | $0.84 | $0.51 | $-16K |
| Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $47K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $188 |
| Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished? | Yes | $44K | $0.11 | $0.00 | $-5K |
| Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $41K | $0.09 | $0.00 | $-4K |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15? | No | $36K | $0.27 | $0.00 | $-10K |
| Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $35K | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-2K |
| Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | $35K | $0.46 | $0.00 | $-16K |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31? | No | $35K | $0.17 | $0.00 | $-6K |
| Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | Yes | $34K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-885 |
| Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? | No | $33K | $0.42 | $0.40 | $-790 |
| Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $32K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-741 |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $30K | $0.01 | $0.02 | $466 |
| Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM? | Yes | $30K | $0.08 | $0.00 | $-3K |
| Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | Yes | $28K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-814 |
| Will Lee Zeldin be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | Yes | $28K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-806 |
| Will Jamieson Greer be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | Yes | $28K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-806 |
| Will John Ratcliffe be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | Yes | $28K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-806 |
| Will Linda McMahon be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | Yes | $28K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-806 |
| Will Brooke Rollins be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | Yes | $28K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-806 |
| Will Kelly Loeffler be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | Yes | $28K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-806 |
| Will Sean Duffy be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | Yes | $28K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-806 |
| Will Scott Turner be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | Yes | $28K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-806 |
| Will J.D. Vance be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | Yes | $28K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-806 |
| Will Susie Wiles be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | Yes | $28K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-806 |
| Will Mike Waltz be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | Yes | $28K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-806 |
| Will Doug Collins be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | Yes | $28K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-806 |
| Will Chris Wright be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | Yes | $28K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-806 |
| Will Marco Rubio be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | Yes | $28K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-806 |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | Yes | $28K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-806 |
| Will Scott Bessent be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | Yes | $28K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-806 |
| Will Howard Lutnick be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | Yes | $27K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-787 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | No | $26K | $0.39 | $0.34 | $-1K |
| Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | Yes | $26K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-763 |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | Yes | $26K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-760 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $25K | $0.20 | $0.18 | $-513 |
| Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $25K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $77 |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $25K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $127 |
| Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $25K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $2 |
| Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $25K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $2 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $25K | $0.01 | $0.24 | $6K |
| Will Russell T. Vought be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | Yes | $25K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-741 |
| Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $24K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-682 |
| Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $24K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-21 |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | No | $24K | $0.69 | $0.00 | $-17K |
| Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | $24K | $0.02 | $0.01 | $-118 |
| Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | No | $24K | $0.12 | $0.00 | $-3K |
| Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | Yes | $23K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-705 |
| Will Pete Hegseth be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | Yes | $23K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-705 |
| Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | Yes | $23K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-705 |
| Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $23K | $-0.00 | $0.00 | $75 |
| Will Dwayne Johnson win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $22K | $-0.00 | $0.00 | $86 |
| Will Jesse Plemons win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $22K | $-0.00 | $0.00 | $86 |
| Will Daniel Day-Lewis win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $22K | $-0.00 | $0.00 | $86 |
| Will Colin Farrell win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $22K | $-0.00 | $0.00 | $86 |
| Will George Clooney win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $22K | $-0.00 | $0.00 | $86 |
| Will Jeremy Allen White win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $22K | $-0.00 | $0.00 | $86 |
| Will Paul Mescal win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $22K | $-0.00 | $0.00 | $86 |
| Will Brendan Fraser win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $22K | $-0.00 | $0.00 | $86 |
| Will Hugh Jackman win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $22K | $-0.00 | $0.00 | $86 |
| Will Channing Tatum win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $22K | $-0.00 | $0.00 | $86 |
| Will Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | $20K | $0.05 | $0.05 | $117 |
| Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $20K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-276 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | No | $20K | $0.80 | $0.00 | $-16K |
| Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $19K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-380 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $19K | $0.02 | $0.02 | $-79 |
| Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more? | Yes | $19K | $0.17 | $0.00 | $-3K |
| US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | No | $18K | $0.18 | $0.00 | $-3K |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4? | Yes | $17K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-551 |
| Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more? | Yes | $17K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-330 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026? | No | $17K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-392 |
| Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more? | Yes | $17K | $0.40 | $0.00 | $-7K |
| Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | No | $17K | $0.49 | $0.00 | $-8K |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | No | $16K | $0.41 | $0.00 | $-7K |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? | No | $15K | $0.39 | $0.81 | $7K |
| Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $15K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-60 |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $14K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-50 |
| Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $14K | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-594 |
| Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | $13K | $0.08 | $0.01 | $-892 |
| Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | No | $13K | $0.25 | $0.00 | $-3K |
| Will Wunmi Mosaku win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $13K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-283 |
| Will Mohsen Qomi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $13K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-25 |
| Will Ahmad Vahidi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $13K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-25 |
| Will Khalil Mobasher Kashani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $13K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-25 |
| Will Maryam Rajavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $13K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-25 |
| Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $13K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-25 |
| Will Mohammad Yasrebi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $13K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-25 |
| Will Mohammad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $13K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-25 |
| Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $13K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-25 |
| Will Hassan Shariatmadari be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $13K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-25 |
| Will Massoud Rajavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $13K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-25 |
| Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $13K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-25 |
| Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $13K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-25 |
| Will Mohsen Araki be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $13K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-25 |
| Will Sadegh Mahsouli be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $13K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-25 |
| Will Mohammad-Reza Modarresi Yazdi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $13K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-25 |
| Will Saeed Jalili be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $13K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-25 |
| Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $13K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-25 |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $13K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-25 |
| Will Navid Shomali be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $13K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-25 |
| Will Abbas Araghchi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $13K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-25 |
| Will Reza Pirzadeh be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $13K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-25 |
| Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $13K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-25 |
| Will Mohammad Hadi Ghazanfari Khansari be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $13K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-25 |
| Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $13K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-25 |
| Will Ahmad Khatami be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $13K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-25 |
| Will Ali Motahari be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $13K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-25 |
| Will Nasir Hosseini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $13K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-25 |
| Will Mustafa Hijri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $13K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-25 |
| Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $12K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-73 |
| Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | $12K | $0.50 | $0.00 | $-6K |
| Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $12K | $0.26 | $0.00 | $-3K |
| Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | $11K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-78 |
| Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31? | No | $11K | $0.34 | $0.00 | $-4K |
| No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 | Yes | $11K | $0.11 | $0.16 | $571 |
| Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | $11K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-29 |
| Venezuela election scheduled by January 31, 2026? | Yes | $11K | $0.13 | $0.00 | $-1K |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | $11K | $0.66 | $0.84 | $2K |
| Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 3, 2026? | Yes | $10K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-10 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | $10K | $0.66 | $0.66 | $12 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $10K | $0.01 | $0.06 | $531 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: Other | Yes | $10K | $0.00 | $0.01 | $25 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | No | $10K | $0.52 | $0.00 | $-5K |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026? | Yes | $10K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-209 |
| Iran Strike on Israel by February 28? | No | $9K | $0.10 | $0.00 | $-957 |
| Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $9K | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-677 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | $9K | $0.81 | $0.84 | $328 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026? | No | $9K | $0.49 | $0.00 | $-5K |
| Will Uchenna Nwosu win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | Yes | $9K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-9 |
| Will Rhamondre Stevenson win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | Yes | $9K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-9 |
| Will Rashid Shaheed win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | Yes | $9K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-9 |
| Will Nick Emmanwori win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | Yes | $9K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-9 |
| Will Ernest Jones win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | Yes | $9K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-9 |
| Will Andres Borregales win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | Yes | $9K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-9 |
| Will Devon Witherspoon win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | Yes | $9K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-9 |
| Will Leonard Williams win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | Yes | $9K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-9 |
| Will Drake Maye win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | Yes | $9K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-9 |
| Will Marcus Jones win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | Yes | $9K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-9 |
| Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | Yes | $9K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-9 |
| Will Christian Gonzalez win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | Yes | $9K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-9 |
| Will Hunter Henry win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | Yes | $9K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-9 |
| Will Stefon Diggs win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | Yes | $9K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-9 |
| Will TreVeyon Henderson win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | Yes | $9K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-9 |
| Will Mack Hollins win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | Yes | $9K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-9 |
| Will Jason Myers win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | Yes | $9K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-9 |
| Will Kayshon Boutte win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | Yes | $9K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-9 |
| Will Byron Murphy win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | Yes | $9K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-9 |
| Will Jake Bobo win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | Yes | $9K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-9 |
| Will Coby Bryant win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | Yes | $9K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-9 |
| Will DeMarcus Lawrence win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | Yes | $9K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-9 |
| Will AJ Barner win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | Yes | $9K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-9 |
| Will Milton Williams win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | Yes | $9K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-9 |
| Will Cooper Kupp win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | Yes | $9K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-9 |
| Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | $9K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-7 |
| Will AV (Green Alliance) win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election? | Yes | $9K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-153 |
| U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31? | No | $9K | $0.92 | $0.97 | $416 |
| Weed rescheduled by March 31? | No | $9K | $0.73 | $0.99 | $2K |
| Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | $9K | $0.05 | $0.06 | $33 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026? | Yes | $9K | $0.35 | $0.00 | $-3K |
| Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | $9K | $0.71 | $0.00 | $-6K |
| Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | Yes | $8K | $0.06 | $0.07 | $0 |
| Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | $8K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-14 |
| Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | $8K | $0.22 | $0.00 | $-2K |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | No | $8K | $0.86 | $0.90 | $294 |
| Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | $8K | $0.02 | $0.01 | $-119 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | $8K | $0.16 | $0.15 | $-38 |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $8K | $0.04 | $0.02 | $-146 |
| Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | $7K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-50 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $7K | $0.03 | $0.11 | $578 |
| Will Israel strike 1 country in 2026? | Yes | $7K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-222 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $7K | $0.02 | $0.01 | $-55 |
| Insurrection Act invoked by January 31? | Yes | $7K | $0.10 | $0.00 | $-743 |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $7K | $0.00 | $0.01 | $66 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | $7K | $0.45 | $0.64 | $1K |
| Will Israel strike 2 countries in 2026? | Yes | $6K | $0.15 | $0.00 | $-978 |
| Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30? | No | $6K | $0.19 | $0.00 | $-1K |
| Starmer out by March 31, 2026? | Yes | $6K | $0.13 | $0.01 | $-753 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7? | Yes | $6K | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-316 |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026? | Yes | $6K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-6 |
| Will The Secret Agent win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $6K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-28 |
| Will Marty Supreme win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $6K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-28 |
| Will Hamnet win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $6K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-28 |
| US strike on Mexico by March 31? | No | $6K | $0.88 | $0.99 | $637 |
| Iran Strike on Israel by December 31? | No | $6K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-65 |
| Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more? | Yes | $6K | $0.10 | $0.00 | $-562 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026? | Yes | $6K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $8 |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Yes | $6K | $0.14 | $0.48 | $2K |
| Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more? | Yes | $6K | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-341 |
| Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | $6K | $0.04 | $0.04 | $8 |
| Will Avatar: Fire and Ash win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | $5K | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-329 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5? | Yes | $5K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-85 |
| Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 30, 2026? | Yes | $5K | $0.17 | $0.00 | $-873 |
| SBF released from custody in 2026? | Yes | $5K | $0.13 | $0.10 | $-113 |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | $5K | $0.04 | $0.01 | $-140 |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1? | No | $5K | $0.52 | $0.90 | $2K |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 2? | Yes | $5K | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-265 |
| Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more? | Yes | $5K | $0.17 | $0.00 | $-785 |
| Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026? | Yes | $4K | $0.25 | $0.01 | $-1K |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6? | Yes | $4K | $0.14 | $0.00 | $-638 |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | Yes | $4K | $0.69 | $0.68 | $-51 |
| Theo James announced as next James Bond? | Yes | $4K | $0.02 | $0.01 | $-41 |
| Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond? | Yes | $4K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-85 |
| James Collier announced as next James Bond? | Yes | $4K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-82 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 7? | Yes | $4K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-48 |
| Will BAILE INoLVIDABLE by Bad Bunny be the Billboard #1 song for the week of February 21? | Yes | $4K | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-198 |
| Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond? | Yes | $4K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-79 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | No | $4K | $0.57 | $0.00 | $-2K |
| Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | Yes | $4K | $0.14 | $0.06 | $-347 |
| Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond? | Yes | $4K | $0.03 | $0.05 | $84 |
| Jack Lowdon announced as next James Bond? | Yes | $4K | $0.02 | $0.01 | $-58 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $4K | $0.12 | $0.00 | $-470 |
| Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? | No | $4K | $0.80 | $0.58 | $-876 |
| Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | Yes | $4K | $0.76 | $0.76 | $-24 |
| US strikes Iran by March 12, 2026? | No | $4K | $0.13 | $0.00 | $-517 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | $4K | $0.22 | $0.20 | $-99 |
| Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by February 28? | No | $4K | $0.57 | $0.00 | $-2K |
| Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | Yes | $4K | $0.04 | $0.02 | $-65 |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $4K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-3 |
| Will Man I Need by Olivia Dean be the Billboard #1 song for the week of February 21? | Yes | $4K | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-174 |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | $4K | $0.03 | $0.12 | $352 |
| Will Hamnet win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $4K | $0.10 | $0.00 | $-367 |
| James Norton announced as next James Bond? | Yes | $4K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-73 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? | No | $4K | $0.17 | $0.68 | $2K |
| Will Ja Morant win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | $4K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-26 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | Yes | $4K | $0.47 | $0.45 | $-97 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | $3K | $0.51 | $0.41 | $-342 |
| New pandemic in 2026? | No | $3K | $0.84 | $0.88 | $145 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | No | $3K | $0.82 | $0.48 | $-1K |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $3K | $0.03 | $0.02 | $-24 |
| Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on February 13? | No | $3K | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-235 |
| Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? | No | $3K | $0.84 | $0.89 | $140 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | $3K | $0.74 | $0.83 | $291 |
| Tom Holland announced as next James Bond? | Yes | $3K | $0.03 | $0.01 | $-77 |
| Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | $3K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-21 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | $3K | $0.77 | $0.66 | $-323 |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $3K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-3 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? | No | $3K | $0.58 | $0.73 | $439 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | Yes | $3K | $0.04 | $0.01 | $-90 |
| Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? | Yes | $3K | $0.88 | $0.92 | $105 |
| New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? | No | $3K | $0.58 | $0.35 | $-597 |
| Stripe IPO before 2027? | No | $3K | $0.84 | $0.88 | $101 |
| Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30? | No | $3K | $0.85 | $0.94 | $245 |
| Will SpaceX IPO by March 31, 2026? | No | $3K | $0.97 | $0.99 | $55 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | $3K | $0.85 | $0.42 | $-1K |
| Fact Check: Maduro capture staged? | Yes | $3K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $8 |
| US strike on Cuba by March 31? | No | $3K | $0.95 | $0.99 | $95 |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | $3K | $0.83 | $0.84 | $38 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026? | No | $3K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-13 |
| Will Trump sue Trevor Noah by March 31? | No | $3K | $0.85 | $0.98 | $342 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | $3K | $0.89 | $0.78 | $-285 |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? | No | $3K | $0.27 | $0.32 | $111 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? | No | $3K | $0.92 | $0.95 | $89 |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $3K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-7 |
| Tom Lee charged by December 31? | No | $3K | $0.87 | $0.91 | $85 |
| Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | $3K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $3 |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $3K | $0.32 | $0.00 | $-805 |
| Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? | No | $2K | $0.56 | $0.21 | $-832 |
| No one announced as next James Bond? | Yes | $2K | $0.44 | $0.63 | $431 |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? | No | $2K | $0.66 | $0.64 | $-49 |
| Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? | Yes | $2K | $0.22 | $0.13 | $-217 |
| Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | Yes | $2K | $0.20 | $0.20 | $12 |
| Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $2K | $0.14 | $0.00 | $-317 |
| Odds of Khamenei out by February over 50% in January? | Yes | $2K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-54 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | $2K | $0.78 | $0.45 | $-744 |
| Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? | Yes | $2K | $0.02 | $0.02 | $3 |
| Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 30, 2026? | No | $2K | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-78 |
| Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? | No | $2K | $0.89 | $0.92 | $59 |
| Will Wildflower (Billie Eilish) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Yes | $2K | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-116 |
| Will the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026? | Yes | $2K | $0.91 | $0.94 | $57 |
| Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? | Yes | $2K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-26 |
| Will Myles Garrett win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? | Yes | $2K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-26 |
| Will Jonathan Taylor win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? | Yes | $2K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-26 |
| Will Christian McCaffrey win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? | Yes | $2K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-26 |
| Will Jared Goff win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? | Yes | $2K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-26 |
| Will Micah Parsons win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? | Yes | $2K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-26 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026? | No | $2K | $0.36 | $0.00 | $-741 |
| Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? | No | $2K | $0.75 | $0.79 | $82 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Yes | $2K | $0.34 | $0.34 | $10 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026? | Yes | $2K | $0.36 | $0.78 | $807 |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? | No | $2K | $0.83 | $0.79 | $-78 |
| Will Body by Don Toliver be the Billboard #1 song for the week of February 21? | Yes | $2K | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-87 |
| Will Josh Allen win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? | Yes | $2K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-35 |
| Will Bugonia win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $2K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-41 |
| Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | Yes | $2K | $0.05 | $0.09 | $82 |
| Will APT (Rosé and Bruno Mars) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Yes | $2K | $0.16 | $0.00 | $-292 |
| Will Sinners win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $2K | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-117 |
| Will Jordan Love win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? | Yes | $2K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-24 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | No | $2K | $0.77 | $0.96 | $343 |
| Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | No | $2K | $0.88 | $0.00 | $-2K |
| Will the Democrats win the Maryland governor race in 2026? | Yes | $2K | $0.94 | $0.94 | $3 |
| Will LeBron James win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | $2K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-24 |
| Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond? | No | $2K | $0.89 | $0.96 | $122 |
| Tim Walz in jail by December 31? | No | $2K | $0.92 | $0.94 | $42 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | No | $2K | $0.90 | $0.78 | $-203 |
| Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? | No | $2K | $0.71 | $0.73 | $47 |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | Yes | $2K | $0.70 | $0.82 | $203 |
| Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? | Yes | $2K | $0.71 | $0.71 | $14 |
| Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026? | Yes | $2K | $0.91 | $0.86 | $-76 |
| Will Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Yes | $2K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-32 |
| Will Delroy Lindo win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $2K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-10 |
| Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | $2K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-2 |
| Will Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Yes | $2K | $0.14 | $0.00 | $-224 |
| Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? | No | $2K | $0.93 | $0.94 | $8 |
| Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? | Yes | $2K | $0.04 | $0.07 | $39 |
| US recession by end of 2026? | Yes | $2K | $0.28 | $0.34 | $101 |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | No | $2K | $0.89 | $0.81 | $-124 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31? | No | $2K | $0.86 | $0.97 | $179 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? | No | $2K | $0.93 | $0.91 | $-29 |
| Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? | No | $2K | $0.84 | $0.90 | $86 |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $2K | $0.04 | $0.01 | $-51 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by April 30, 2026? | Yes | $2K | $0.15 | $0.00 | $-233 |
| OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? | No | $2K | $0.76 | $0.77 | $16 |
| Will Cindy Hyde-Smith be the Republican nominee for Senate from Mississippi? | No | $2K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-8 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027? | No | $2K | $0.83 | $0.89 | $86 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | $2K | $0.34 | $0.46 | $185 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | $2K | $0.10 | $0.09 | $-23 |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | No | $2K | $0.91 | $0.93 | $23 |
| Will APT (Rosé and Bruno Mars) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Yes | $2K | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-70 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $2K | $0.01 | $0.02 | $15 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $2K | $0.01 | $0.02 | $28 |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $2K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $4 |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $2K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $2K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $4 |
| Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $2K | $0.01 | $0.02 | $20 |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $2K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $7 |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $2K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $6 |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $2K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $6 |
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $2K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $6 |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $2K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $1 |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $2K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $2K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $1 |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $2K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $9 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $2K | $0.01 | $0.03 | $39 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $2K | $0.01 | $0.02 | $28 |
| Big Game: National Anthem O/U 119.5 seconds | Over | $2K | $0.31 | $0.00 | $-467 |
| Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026? | Yes | $2K | $0.91 | $0.93 | $25 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by February 28? | Yes | $2K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-45 |
| Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | $1K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-25 |
| Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? | Yes | $1K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-23 |
| Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility? | No | $1K | $0.33 | $0.00 | $-486 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | Yes | $1K | $0.74 | $1.00 | $377 |
| Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? | Yes | $1K | $0.74 | $0.41 | $-482 |
| Will Paolo Banchero win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | $1K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-24 |
| US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31? | No | $1K | $0.52 | $0.91 | $539 |
| Will Marty Supreme win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $1K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-21 |
| Will Trae Young win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | $1K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-24 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026? | Yes | $1K | $0.17 | $0.11 | $-77 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison? | Yes | $1K | $0.14 | $0.13 | $-25 |
| Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | $1K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-33 |
| Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | $1K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-23 |
| 2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds under 10% by March 31? | Yes | $1K | $0.02 | $0.02 | $3 |
| Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded? | No | $1K | $0.21 | $0.00 | $-278 |
| Will Shemar Stewart be the 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year? | Yes | $1K | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-61 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | $1K | $0.64 | $0.64 | $5 |
| Will CR win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election? | Yes | $1K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-20 |
| Will Tyler Shough be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year? | Yes | $1K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-28 |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by March 31, 2026? | No | $1K | $0.96 | $0.99 | $36 |
| Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond? | Yes | $1K | $0.03 | $0.01 | $-27 |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | Yes | $1K | $0.14 | $0.01 | $-152 |
| 2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds under 10% by March 31? | No | $1K | $0.94 | $0.98 | $50 |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | $1K | $0.71 | $0.48 | $-260 |
| Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | $1K | $0.04 | $0.19 | $175 |
| Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | $1K | $0.05 | $0.03 | $-25 |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? | No | $1K | $0.94 | $0.95 | $12 |
| Will The Fate Of Ophelia by Taylor Swift be the Billboard #1 song for the week of February 21? | Yes | $1K | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-53 |
| Will Treg Taylor win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | $1K | $0.02 | $0.21 | $216 |
| Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? | No | $1K | $0.93 | $0.94 | $10 |
| Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | No | $1K | $0.20 | $0.00 | $-227 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | $1K | $0.02 | $0.04 | $30 |
| Will the Republicans win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026? | Yes | $1K | $0.07 | $0.02 | $-60 |
| Will the Democrats win the New Mexico Senate race in 2026? | No | $1K | $0.07 | $0.04 | $-44 |
| Will Tim Walz resign by June 30? | Yes | $1K | $0.06 | $0.03 | $-37 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | $1K | $0.78 | $0.58 | $-222 |
| Will Elle Fanning win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $1K | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-44 |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? | Yes | $1K | $0.16 | $0.13 | $-39 |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | No | $1K | $0.72 | $0.83 | $133 |
| Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | No | $1K | $0.38 | $0.00 | $-420 |
| Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more? | No | $1K | $0.90 | $0.77 | $-148 |
| Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? | Yes | $1K | $0.92 | $0.90 | $-27 |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | $1K | $0.06 | $0.07 | $11 |
| U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31? | No | $1K | $0.63 | $0.94 | $329 |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | $1K | $0.81 | $0.70 | $-122 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | $1K | $0.67 | $0.53 | $-152 |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $1K | $0.31 | $0.00 | $-332 |
| Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026? | Yes | $1K | $0.89 | $0.88 | $-20 |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina governor race in 2026? | No | $1K | $0.93 | $0.88 | $-53 |
| Will James Parkin win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | $1K | $0.02 | $0.01 | $-15 |
| Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | $1K | $0.03 | $0.02 | $-10 |
| Will Matt Heilala win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | $1K | $0.02 | $0.01 | $-16 |
| Will Edna DeVries win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | $1K | $0.02 | $0.10 | $83 |
| Will Click Bishop win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | $1K | $0.02 | $0.02 | $-6 |
| Will Lisa Murkowski win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | $1K | $0.02 | $0.05 | $29 |
| Will Shelley Hughes win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | $1K | $0.02 | $0.04 | $23 |
| Will U win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election? | Yes | $1K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-5 |
| Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? | No | $1K | $0.89 | $0.91 | $15 |
| Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? | No | $1K | $0.73 | $0.73 | $1 |
| Will Joel Embiid win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | $1K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-23 |
| Will Devin Booker win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | $1K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-23 |
| Will Anthony Davis win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | $1K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-23 |
| Will Jalen Brunson win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | $1K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-23 |
| Will Kawhi Leonard win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | $1K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-23 |
| Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | $1K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-23 |
| Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | $1K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-23 |
| Will Stephen Curry win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | $1K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-23 |
| Will Kevin Durant win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | $990 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-22 |
| Iran coup attempt by June 30? | Yes | $975 | $0.27 | $0.23 | $-35 |
| Will Luther Burden be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year? | Yes | $960 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-18 |
| Will Dylan Sampson be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year? | Yes | $959 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-18 |
| Will Daniel Jones win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? | Yes | $954 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-12 |
| Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026? | Yes | $952 | $0.94 | $0.94 | $-0 |
| Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? | No | $947 | $0.26 | $0.32 | $54 |
| Will Microsoft acquire TikTok? | No | $947 | $0.93 | $0.77 | $-151 |
| Don Lemon sentenced to prison? | No | $947 | $0.88 | $0.90 | $13 |
| Will Shedeur Sanders be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year? | Yes | $939 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-19 |
| Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026? | Yes | $932 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-23 |
| Will US GDP growth in 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%? | Yes | $929 | $0.33 | $0.00 | $-307 |
| Will Jalen Milroe be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year? | Yes | $919 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-18 |
| Will Elijah Arroyo be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year? | Yes | $919 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-18 |
| Will Quinn Ewers be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year? | Yes | $919 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-18 |
| Will Colston Loveland be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year? | Yes | $919 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-18 |
| Will Jalen Royals be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year? | Yes | $919 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-18 |
| Will Elic Ayomanor be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year? | Yes | $919 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-18 |
| Will RJ Harvey be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year? | Yes | $919 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-18 |
| Will Jack Bech be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year? | Yes | $919 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-18 |
| Will Jaydon Blue be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year? | Yes | $919 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-18 |
| Will Will Howard be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year? | Yes | $919 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-18 |
| Will Harrold Fannin Jr. be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year? | Yes | $919 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-18 |
| Will Travis Hunter be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year? | Yes | $919 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-34 |
| Will CD win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election? | No | $907 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $56 |
| Will Sentimental Value win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $888 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-13 |
| U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31? | No | $884 | $0.17 | $0.00 | $-150 |
| Will Mayhem (Lady Gaga) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Yes | $882 | $0.16 | $0.00 | $-141 |
| Will Quinshon Judkins be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year? | Yes | $878 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-17 |
| Insurrection Act invoked by March 31? | No | $857 | $0.77 | $0.99 | $188 |
| Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | Yes | $850 | $0.88 | $0.87 | $-5 |
| Will Cameron Ward be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year? | Yes | $833 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-22 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | $830 | $0.69 | $0.80 | $87 |
| Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | $810 | $0.37 | $0.20 | $-139 |
| Will Send Help be the highest grossing movie this weekend? | No | $793 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-4 |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | Yes | $787 | $0.72 | $0.66 | $-54 |
| Will the Democrats win the Alabama Senate race in 2026? | No | $786 | $0.93 | $0.93 | $-3 |
| Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | $778 | $0.02 | $0.10 | $64 |
| Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Yes | $768 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-54 |
| Will Matthew Golden be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year? | Yes | $768 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-16 |
| Will Bo Nix win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? | Yes | $766 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-10 |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | No | $766 | $0.78 | $0.76 | $-18 |
1d ago
BoughtWill the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes
+$1K@ 0.001d ago
SoldXi Jinping divorce before 2027?Yes
$-1K@ 0.021d ago
BoughtWill Iowa State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Yes
+$19K@ 0.062d ago
BoughtWill China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Yes
+$2K@ 0.062d ago
BoughtFannie Mae IPO before 2027?No
+$2K@ 0.802d ago