Weekly Market Digest
Top trades, whale moves, and market insights every Monday
A
anoin123
0x96489abcb9f583d6835c8ef95ffc923d05a86825
SharpshooterHot Streak
Trader Score
Win Rate: 84.0%
ROI: 0.0%
Trades: 350
Win Rate
84.0%
294W56L350 total
No PnL history available
Not enough data for rank history
Open Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Current | PnL |
|---|
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | $816K | $0.73 | $0.85 | $101K |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | No | $505K | $0.76 | $0.86 | $55K |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | Yes | $466K | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-30K |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | No | $463K | $0.38 | $0.34 | $-15K |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | $417K | $0.90 | $0.99 | $37K |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | No |
Recent Activity (50)
BoughtNetanyahu out by April 30?No
+$3K@ 0.9628m ago
BoughtKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No
+$1K@ 0.7028m ago
BoughtWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No
+$2K@ 0.7828m ago
BoughtWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No
+$5K@ 0.6928m ago
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | No | $393K | $0.53 | $0.53 | $-821 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | $344K | $0.68 | $0.79 | $35K |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $315K | $0.12 | $0.00 | $-39K |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | Yes | $307K | $0.21 | $0.14 | $-23K |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | $284K | $0.57 | $0.69 | $34K |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | Yes | $262K | $0.41 | $0.34 | $-20K |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | No | $254K | $0.47 | $0.42 | $-11K |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | No | $251K | $0.86 | $0.89 | $7K |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | Yes | $251K | $0.22 | $0.14 | $-22K |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | $251K | $0.74 | $0.66 | $-20K |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | No | $239K | $0.28 | $0.00 | $-67K |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | Yes | $232K | $0.59 | $0.56 | $-7K |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | $221K | $0.47 | $0.46 | $-3K |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31? | No | $216K | $0.75 | $0.99 | $52K |
| Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | No | $201K | $0.47 | $0.00 | $-95K |
| Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? | No | $187K | $0.34 | $0.00 | $-64K |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? | Yes | $168K | $0.70 | $0.70 | $-180 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | No | $167K | $0.40 | $0.34 | $-9K |
| Starmer out by March 31, 2026? | Yes | $158K | $0.08 | $0.01 | $-11K |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | $156K | $0.86 | $0.92 | $8K |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | No | $152K | $0.82 | $0.88 | $9K |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | No | $152K | $0.78 | $0.85 | $11K |
| Will "LA MUDANZA" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? | Yes | $150K | $0.11 | $0.00 | $-16K |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $144K | $0.34 | $0.00 | $-49K |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Yes | $135K | $0.05 | $0.01 | $-5K |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | No | $132K | $0.10 | $0.02 | $-11K |
| Iran leadership change by March 31? | Yes | $126K | $0.15 | $0.07 | $-11K |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026? | No | $113K | $0.91 | $0.99 | $9K |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | Yes | $109K | $0.76 | $0.77 | $868 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | No | $106K | $0.76 | $0.70 | $-6K |
| Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | $105K | $0.04 | $0.01 | $-3K |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? | Yes | $102K | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-4K |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | $92K | $0.70 | $0.67 | $-4K |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | Yes | $92K | $0.46 | $0.45 | $-1K |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | $87K | $0.36 | $0.50 | $12K |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | Yes | $82K | $0.66 | $0.68 | $1K |
| Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $75K | $0.10 | $0.00 | $-7K |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | Yes | $72K | $0.06 | $0.03 | $-2K |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | Yes | $71K | $0.45 | $0.41 | $-3K |
| Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | No | $70K | $0.87 | $0.98 | $8K |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | $69K | $0.72 | $0.78 | $4K |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | Yes | $67K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-980 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $67K | $0.13 | $0.00 | $-9K |
| Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | $65K | $0.05 | $0.01 | $-3K |
| Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | $63K | $0.02 | $0.01 | $-613 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | Yes | $63K | $0.09 | $0.00 | $-6K |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | No | $63K | $0.70 | $0.70 | $323 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31? | Yes | $60K | $0.14 | $0.09 | $-3K |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? | No | $60K | $0.95 | $0.96 | $588 |
| Iran leadership change by March 13? | Yes | $60K | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-2K |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | Yes | $54K | $0.41 | $0.45 | $2K |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? | Yes | $49K | $0.83 | $0.83 | $33 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | No | $46K | $0.86 | $0.90 | $1K |
| Will "BAILE INOLVIDABLE" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? | Yes | $44K | $0.09 | $0.00 | $-4K |
| Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17? | Yes | $44K | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-3K |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | Yes | $42K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-1K |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Yes | $41K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-237 |
| Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Yes | $41K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-237 |
| Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Yes | $41K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-237 |
| Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Yes | $41K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-237 |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Yes | $41K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-237 |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Yes | $41K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-237 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10? | Yes | $40K | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-2K |
| Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $39K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-207 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30? | No | $38K | $0.63 | $0.77 | $5K |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 28, 2026? | Yes | $37K | $0.18 | $0.00 | $-7K |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | Yes | $37K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-725 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? | No | $36K | $0.61 | $0.79 | $6K |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | Yes | $35K | $0.50 | $0.55 | $2K |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million? | No | $35K | $0.77 | $0.00 | $-27K |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | No | $33K | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-1K |
| US x Iran ceasefire by December 31? | No | $33K | $0.27 | $0.23 | $-1K |
| US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026? | Yes | $32K | $0.12 | $0.00 | $-4K |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | $31K | $0.71 | $0.84 | $4K |
| US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026? | Yes | $31K | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-1K |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 29, 2026? | Yes | $30K | $0.35 | $0.00 | $-10K |
| Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026? | No | $29K | $0.59 | $0.79 | $6K |
| Starmer out by April 30, 2026? | Yes | $25K | $0.10 | $0.07 | $-558 |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million? | No | $24K | $0.43 | $0.00 | $-10K |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | No | $24K | $0.93 | $0.93 | $-120 |
| Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | No | $23K | $0.66 | $0.00 | $-15K |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th? | Yes | $23K | $0.32 | $0.32 | $-97 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | $22K | $0.29 | $0.24 | $-990 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31? | Yes | $22K | $0.22 | $0.00 | $-5K |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30? | Yes | $21K | $0.42 | $0.45 | $535 |
| Will the US strike Syria next? | Yes | $21K | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-1K |
| Will the US strike Somalia next? | No | $21K | $0.12 | $0.00 | $-2K |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | $20K | $0.45 | $0.52 | $1K |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | No | $20K | $0.26 | $0.00 | $-5K |
| Will "DÁKITI" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? | Yes | $18K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-69 |
| Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $18K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-499 |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | $17K | $0.32 | $0.00 | $-5K |
| Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $16K | $0.22 | $0.00 | $-4K |
| Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $16K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-174 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Yes | $15K | $0.18 | $0.14 | $-613 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | Yes | $15K | $0.06 | $0.01 | $-814 |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million? | No | $15K | $0.19 | $0.00 | $-3K |
| Maduro mugshot released by January 16? | Yes | $15K | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-515 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Yes | $14K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-23 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30? | No | $12K | $0.96 | $0.97 | $99 |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million? | No | $12K | $0.10 | $0.00 | $-1K |
| Will "MONACO" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? | Yes | $12K | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-598 |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7? | Yes | $11K | $0.73 | $0.00 | $-8K |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | No | $11K | $0.99 | $0.99 | $43 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 9? | Yes | $11K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-383 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026? | No | $10K | $0.27 | $0.00 | $-3K |
| Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by February 20? | No | $9K | $0.85 | $0.00 | $-8K |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Yes | $9K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-24 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | $9K | $0.45 | $0.36 | $-749 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | Yes | $9K | $0.65 | $0.66 | $44 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | Yes | $9K | $0.60 | $0.57 | $-219 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by December 31? | Yes | $9K | $0.77 | $0.78 | $44 |
| Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $9K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-61 |
| Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $9K | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-377 |
| Will the US strike Syria next? | Yes | $9K | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-342 |
| Will "Callaita" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? | Yes | $9K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-44 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela by March 31? | Yes | $9K | $0.20 | $0.01 | $-2K |
| Khamenei seen in public by March 3? | Yes | $8K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-257 |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | $8K | $0.83 | $0.88 | $431 |
| Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Golden State Warriors? | Yes | $8K | $0.09 | $0.00 | $-712 |
| Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Friday? | Yes | $8K | $0.30 | $0.00 | $-2K |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | Yes | $8K | $0.12 | $0.00 | $-881 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | Yes | $8K | $0.50 | $0.47 | $-193 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | $8K | $0.37 | $0.34 | $-201 |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million? | No | $8K | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-526 |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $16 million? | No | $7K | $0.79 | $0.00 | $-6K |
| Khamenei seen in public by March 4? | Yes | $7K | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-320 |
| Khamenei seen in public by March 14? | Yes | $7K | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-393 |
| Khamenei seen in public by March 2? | Yes | $7K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-145 |
| Khamenei seen in public by March 1? | Yes | $7K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-150 |
| Khamenei seen in public by March 7? | Yes | $6K | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-254 |
| Will Bugonia be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | $5K | $0.10 | $0.00 | $-542 |
| Will Wicked: For Good be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $5K | $0.09 | $0.00 | $-419 |
| US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026? | Yes | $5K | $0.25 | $0.15 | $-478 |
| Will The Secret Agent be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | $4K | $0.18 | $0.00 | $-782 |
| Will Train Dreams be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | $4K | $0.21 | $0.00 | $-889 |
| Will Weapons be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $4K | $0.16 | $0.00 | $-661 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | $4K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $2 |
| Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $4K | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-251 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | Yes | $4K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-18 |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? | No | $3K | $0.71 | $0.80 | $301 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | No | $3K | $0.52 | $0.56 | $118 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | No | $3K | $0.14 | $0.00 | $-389 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on January 28, 2026? | Yes | $2K | $0.27 | $0.00 | $-666 |
| Will "DtMF" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? | Yes | $1K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-4 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31? | Yes | $1K | $0.30 | $0.23 | $-86 |
| Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $1K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-7 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | No | $662 | $0.99 | $0.99 | $1 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | Yes | $375 | $0.62 | $0.00 | $-232 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | No | $290 | $0.40 | $0.45 | $14 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | $197 | $0.47 | $0.48 | $3 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on January 30, 2026? | No | $165 | $0.67 | $0.00 | $-111 |
| Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $144 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-2 |
| Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded? | No | $121 | $0.31 | $0.00 | $-38 |
| Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 9, 2026? | Yes | $110 | $0.09 | $0.00 | $-10 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | No | $85 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $50 | $0.45 | $0.00 | $-23 |
| Insurrection Act invoked by June 30? | No | $38 | $0.58 | $0.88 | $11 |
| Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30? | No | $0 | $0.22 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31? | No | $0 | $0.86 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US strike on Mexico by March 31? | No | $0 | $0.87 | $0.99 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)? | No | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.77 | $0.86 | $0 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.93 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will there be between 6 and 9 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026? | No | $0 | $0.79 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will there be 22 or more US strikes on Somalia in February 2026? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Maduro mugshot released by January 9? | No | $0 | $0.76 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 18, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Insurrection Act invoked by March 31? | No | $0 | $0.67 | $0.99 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 17, 2026 (ET)? | No | $0 | $0.95 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Bad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month? | No | $0 | $0.92 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31? | No | $0 | $0.82 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? | No | $0 | $0.46 | $0.67 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $20 million? | No | $0 | $0.92 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 25, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Maduro mugshot released by January 16? | No | $0 | $0.87 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | $0 | $0.94 | $0.86 | $-0 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $0 | $0.45 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | No | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Odds of US strikes Iran in February over 50% by Feb 13? | No | $0 | $0.89 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | No | $0 | $0.87 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will there be between 14 and 17 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.91 | $1.00 | $0 |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.70 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Insurrection Act invoked by January 31? | No | $0 | $0.85 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.87 | $0.99 | $0 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31? | No | $0 | $0.74 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | No | $0 | $0.90 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US strike on Mexico by January 31? | No | $0 | $0.92 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | Yes | $0 | $0.92 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.95 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | No | $0 | $0.77 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.42 | $0.66 | $0 |
| Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | No | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | No | $0 | $0.61 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in less than 1 hour? | No | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | Yes | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026? | No | $0 | $0.62 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.44 | $0.64 | $0 |
| Will the US strike Iran next? | No | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in over 2 hours and 30 minutes? | No | $0 | $0.92 | $1.00 | $0 |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7? | No | $0 | $0.83 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | Yes | $0 | $0.21 | $0.13 | $-0 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.15 | $0.14 | $-0 |
| Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Minnesota Timberwolves? | No | $0 | $0.86 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Starmer out by March 31, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.70 | $0.99 | $0 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Chicago Bulls? | No | $0 | $0.93 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the US strike Somalia next? | Yes | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 18, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.08 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the US strike Iran next? | No | $0 | $0.89 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will there be between 14 and 17 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.37 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the US strike Somalia next? | No | $0 | $0.13 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will "DtMF" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes? | No | $0 | $0.88 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Insurrection Act invoked by January 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.09 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.48 | $0.56 | $0 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | No | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Miami Heat? | No | $0 | $0.92 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | No | $0 | $0.66 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | No | $0 | $0.95 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.10 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will "NUEVAYOL" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will there be 22 or more US strikes on Somalia in February 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the US strike Somalia next? | Yes | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.71 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.24 | $0.14 | $-0 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | No | $0 | $0.70 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will there be between 6 and 9 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.19 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished? | No | $0 | $0.93 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.11 | $0.14 | $0 |
| Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in February 2026? | No | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the US strike Somalia next? | Yes | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.58 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded? | Yes | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will "NUEVAYOL" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? | No | $0 | $0.90 | $1.00 | $0 |
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Yes
+$9K@ 0.571h ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Yes
+$9K@ 0.671h ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by December 31?Yes
+$8K@ 0.781h ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes
+$8K@ 0.141h ago
BoughtTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?Yes
+$15K@ 0.291h ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes
+$6K@ 0.241h ago
BoughtNetanyahu out by April 30?No
+$3K@ 0.961h ago
BoughtTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Yes
+$14K@ 0.411h ago
BoughtKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No
+$2K@ 0.691h ago
BoughtTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?Yes
+$3K@ 0.771h ago
BoughtIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Yes
+$4K@ 0.701h ago
BoughtTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes
+$14K@ 0.561h ago
BoughtTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Yes
+$7K@ 0.141h ago
BoughtUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?Yes
+$2K@ 0.352h ago
BoughtNetanyahu out by April 30?No
+$1K@ 0.962h ago
BoughtIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Yes
+$2K@ 0.722h ago
BoughtTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Yes
+$1K@ 0.182h ago
BoughtUS forces enter Iran by December 31?No
+$7K@ 0.352h ago
BoughtUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?Yes
+$1K@ 0.353h ago
BoughtNetanyahu out by April 30?No
+$2K@ 0.963h ago
BoughtIran leadership change by March 31?Yes
+$1K@ 0.073h ago
BoughtStarmer out by March 31, 2026?Yes
+$6K@ 0.013h ago
BoughtUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?Yes
+$1K@ 0.354h ago
BoughtNetanyahu out by April 30?No
+$2K@ 0.964h ago
BoughtKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No
+$4K@ 0.694h ago
BoughtIran leadership change by March 31?Yes
+$2K@ 0.074h ago
BoughtTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Yes
+$6K@ 0.194h ago
BoughtNetanyahu out by March 31?No
+$7K@ 0.995h ago
BoughtNetanyahu out by April 30?No
+$2K@ 0.965h ago
BoughtIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No
+$1K@ 0.685h ago
BoughtUS forces enter Iran by December 31?No
+$10K@ 0.385h ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes
+$6K@ 0.516h ago
BoughtNetanyahu out by April 30?No
+$2K@ 0.966h ago
BoughtIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No
+$2K@ 0.686h ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes
+$7K@ 0.367h ago
BoughtWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No
+$2K@ 0.697h ago
BoughtTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?Yes
+$1K@ 0.338h ago
BoughtTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes
+$3K@ 0.578h ago
BoughtUS forces enter Iran by April 30?No
+$3K@ 0.498h ago
BoughtUS forces enter Iran by March 31?No
+$9K@ 0.868h ago
BoughtUS forces enter Iran by December 31?No
+$2K@ 0.399h ago
BoughtRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes
+$2K@ 0.159h ago
BoughtUS forces enter Iran by April 30?No
+$2K@ 0.499h ago
BoughtUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?Yes
+$1K@ 0.359h ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes
+$7K@ 0.289h ago
BoughtIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No
+$2K@ 0.519h ago