| # | Trader | PnL | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| # | Trader | PnL | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| # | Trader | PnL | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| # | Trader | PnL | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
0x96489abcb9f583d6835c8ef95ffc923d05a86825
PnL
$0
Volume
$0
Open Positions
259
No PnL history available
Not enough data for rank history
| Market | Outcome | Size | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | $797K | $34K |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | No |
| $560K |
| $82K |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | Yes | $466K | $-30K |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | No | $440K | $-41K |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | $410K | $37K |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | No | $404K | $20K |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | No | $400K | $-226K |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | $353K | $32K |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $315K | $-39K |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | Yes | $313K | $-20K |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | No | $296K | $-7K |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | $293K | $28K |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | $292K | $-8K |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | Yes | $277K | $-25K |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | No | $270K | $21K |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | Yes | $262K | $-20K |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | Yes | $254K | $-7K |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | No | $239K | $-67K |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31? | No | $238K | $52K |
| Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | No | $201K | $-95K |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | $194K | $-20K |
| Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? | No | $187K | $-64K |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? | Yes | $183K | $-5K |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | No | $183K | $-6K |
| Starmer out by March 31, 2026? | Yes | $164K | $-11K |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | $164K | $8K |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | No | $157K | $19K |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | No | $153K | $10K |
| Will "LA MUDANZA" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? | Yes | $150K | $-16K |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $144K | $-49K |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | No | $138K | $-12K |
| Iran leadership change by March 31? | Yes | $137K | $-8K |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Yes | $135K | $-5K |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | No | $116K | $-945 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026? | No | $115K | $9K |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | Yes | $109K | $1K |
| Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | $105K | $-3K |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | $104K | $16K |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? | Yes | $102K | $-4K |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | $97K | $-2K |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | Yes | $93K | $-1K |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? | No | $84K | $940 |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | Yes | $83K | $2K |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | Yes | $82K | $-3K |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | $80K | $4K |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | Yes | $78K | $-2K |
| Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $75K | $-7K |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | No | $72K | $-5K |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31? | Yes | $71K | $-4K |
| Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | No | $70K | $9K |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | Yes | $67K | $-980 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $67K | $-9K |
| Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | $65K | $-3K |
| Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | $63K | $-708 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | Yes | $63K | $-6K |
| Iran leadership change by March 13? | Yes | $60K | $-2K |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | No | $54K | $2K |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? | Yes | $50K | $1K |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | No | $48K | $-2K |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th? | Yes | $45K | $-2K |
| Will "BAILE INOLVIDABLE" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? | Yes | $44K | $-4K |
| Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17? | Yes | $44K | $-3K |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | Yes | $44K | $-687 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | Yes | $42K | $-1K |
| Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Yes | $41K | $-237 |
| Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Yes | $41K | $-237 |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Yes | $41K | $-237 |
| Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Yes | $41K | $-237 |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Yes | $41K | $-237 |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Yes | $41K | $-237 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30? | No | $40K | $8K |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | Yes | $40K | $-2K |
| Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10? | Yes | $40K | $-2K |
| Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $39K | $-207 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 28, 2026? | Yes | $37K | $-7K |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | Yes | $37K | $-725 |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million? | No | $35K | $-27K |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? | No | $34K | $4K |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | No | $33K | $-1K |
| US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026? | Yes | $32K | $-4K |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | $31K | $4K |
| US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026? | Yes | $31K | $-1K |
| Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026? | No | $31K | $6K |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 29, 2026? | Yes | $30K | $-10K |
| US x Iran ceasefire by December 31? | No | $30K | $-894 |
| Starmer out by April 30, 2026? | Yes | $26K | $-423 |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million? | No | $24K | $-10K |
| Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | No | $23K | $-15K |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30? | Yes | $22K | $-408 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31? | Yes | $22K | $-5K |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | $21K | $669 |
| Will the US strike Syria next? | Yes | $21K | $-1K |
| Will the US strike Somalia next? | No | $21K | $-2K |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | No | $20K | $-5K |
| Will "DÁKITI" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? | Yes | $18K | $-69 |
| Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $18K | $-499 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30? | No | $17K | $210 |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | $17K | $-5K |
| Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $16K | $-4K |
| Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $16K | $-174 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | Yes | $15K | $-845 |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million? | No | $15K | $-3K |
| Maduro mugshot released by January 16? | Yes | $15K | $-515 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Yes | $14K | $-30 |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million? | No | $12K | $-1K |
| Will "MONACO" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? | Yes | $12K | $-598 |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7? | Yes | $11K | $-8K |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | No | $11K | $83 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 9? | Yes | $11K | $-383 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026? | No | $10K | $-3K |
| Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by February 20? | No | $9K | $-8K |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Yes | $9K | $-33 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | $9K | $-841 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | $9K | $44 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | $9K | $44 |
| Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $9K | $-61 |
| Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $9K | $-377 |
| Will the US strike Syria next? | Yes | $9K | $-342 |
| Will "Callaita" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? | Yes | $9K | $-44 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela by March 31? | Yes | $9K | $-2K |
| Khamenei seen in public by March 3? | Yes | $8K | $-257 |
| Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Golden State Warriors? | Yes | $8K | $-712 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | Yes | $8K | $-881 |
| Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Friday? | Yes | $8K | $-2K |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million? | No | $8K | $-526 |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $16 million? | No | $7K | $-6K |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | $7K | $364 |
| Khamenei seen in public by March 4? | Yes | $7K | $-320 |
| Khamenei seen in public by March 14? | Yes | $7K | $-393 |
| Khamenei seen in public by March 2? | Yes | $7K | $-145 |
| Khamenei seen in public by March 1? | Yes | $7K | $-150 |
| Khamenei seen in public by March 7? | Yes | $6K | $-254 |
| Will Bugonia be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | $5K | $-542 |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | $5K | $320 |
| Will Wicked: For Good be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $5K | $-419 |
| US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026? | Yes | $5K | $-478 |
| Will The Secret Agent be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | $4K | $-782 |
| Will Train Dreams be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | $4K | $-889 |
| Will Weapons be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $4K | $-661 |
| Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $4K | $-251 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | Yes | $4K | $-18 |
| US strike on Mexico by December 31? | No | $3K | $232 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | No | $3K | $-391 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on January 28, 2026? | Yes | $2K | $-666 |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | No | $1K | $7 |
| Will "DtMF" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? | Yes | $1K | $-4 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31? | Yes | $1K | $-93 |
| Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $1K | $-7 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31? | No | $919 | $14 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | No | $638 | $1 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | No | $419 | $2 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei | Yes | $375 | $-232 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on January 30, 2026? | No | $165 | $-111 |
| Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $144 | $-2 |
| Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded? | No | $121 | $-38 |
| Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 9, 2026? | Yes | $110 | $-10 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | No | $85 | $0 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $50 | $-23 |
| Insurrection Act invoked by June 30? | No | $38 | $11 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by December 31? | Yes | $13 | $0 |
| Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30? | No | $0 | $-0 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31? | No | $0 | $0 |
| US strike on Mexico by March 31? | No | $0 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)? | No | $0 | $0 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | No | $0 | $0 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | No | $0 | $0 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | No | $0 | $0 |
| Will there be between 6 and 9 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026? | No | $0 | $0 |
| Will there be 22 or more US strikes on Somalia in February 2026? | No | $0 | $0 |
| Maduro mugshot released by January 9? | No | $0 | $0 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7? | No | $0 | $0 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 18, 2026? | No | $0 | $0 |
| Insurrection Act invoked by March 31? | No | $0 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 17, 2026 (ET)? | No | $0 | $0 |
| Bad Bunny video becomes most viewed SB halftime on YouTube in 1st month? | No | $0 | $0 |
| Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31? | No | $0 | $0 |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? | No | $0 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)? | No | $0 | $0 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | No | $0 | $0 |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $20 million? | No | $0 | $0 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 25, 2026? | No | $0 | $0 |
| Maduro mugshot released by January 16? | No | $0 | $0 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | $0 | $-0 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $0 | $0 |
| Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | No | $0 | $0 |
| Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair? | No | $0 | $0 |
| Odds of US strikes Iran in February over 50% by Feb 13? | No | $0 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026? | No | $0 | $0 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | No | $0 | $0 |
| Will there be between 14 and 17 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026? | No | $0 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)? | No | $0 | $0 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6? | No | $0 | $0 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | Yes | $0 | $0 |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31? | Yes | $0 | $0 |
| Insurrection Act invoked by January 31? | No | $0 | $0 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026? | No | $0 | $0 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | No | $0 | $0 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | No | $0 | $0 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31? | No | $0 | $0 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | No | $0 | $0 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | No | $0 | $0 |
| US strike on Mexico by January 31? | No | $0 | $0 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | No | $0 | $0 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | Yes | $0 | $0 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | No | $0 | $0 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | No | $0 | $0 |
| Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | No | $0 | $0 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | Yes | $0 | $-0 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | No | $0 | $0 |
| Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in less than 1 hour? | No | $0 | $0 |
| Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026? | No | $0 | $-0 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | Yes | $0 | $0 |
| Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | Yes | $0 | $-0 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0 |
| Will the US strike Iran next? | No | $0 | $0 |
| Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in over 2 hours and 30 minutes? | No | $0 | $0 |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7? | No | $0 | $0 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | Yes | $0 | $-0 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $-0 |
| Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Minnesota Timberwolves? | No | $0 | $0 |
| Starmer out by March 31, 2026? | No | $0 | $0 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | No | $0 | $0 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? | No | $0 | $0 |
| Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Chicago Bulls? | No | $0 | $0 |
| Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | No | $0 | $0 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 18, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $-0 |
| Will the US strike Somalia next? | Yes | $0 | $0 |
| Will the US strike Iran next? | No | $0 | $0 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | No | $0 | $0 |
| Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | No | $0 | $0 |
| Will there be between 14 and 17 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026? | Yes | $0 | $-0 |
| Will the US strike Somalia next? | No | $0 | $-0 |
| Will "DtMF" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? | No | $0 | $0 |
| Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes? | No | $0 | $0 |
| Insurrection Act invoked by January 31? | Yes | $0 | $-0 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | No | $0 | $0 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | No | $0 | $-0 |
| Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Miami Heat? | No | $0 | $0 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | Yes | $0 | $-0 |
| Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished? | Yes | $0 | $-0 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | No | $0 | $-0 |
| Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | No | $0 | $0 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $-0 |
| Will there be 22 or more US strikes on Somalia in February 2026? | Yes | $0 | $-0 |
| Will "NUEVAYOL" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? | Yes | $0 | $-0 |
| Will the US strike Somalia next? | Yes | $0 | $0 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | No | $0 | $-0 |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | No | $0 | $0 |
| Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished? | No | $0 | $0 |
| Will there be between 6 and 9 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026? | Yes | $0 | $-0 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0 |
| Will the US strike Somalia next? | Yes | $0 | $0 |
| Will there be 5 or fewer US strikes on Somalia in February 2026? | No | $0 | $0 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | Yes | $0 | $-0 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0 |
| Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded? | Yes | $0 | $0 |
| Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31? | Yes | $0 | $-0 |
| Will "NUEVAYOL" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? | No | $0 | $0 |