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DonaldinhoTrumpito
0x7523cafcee7bcf2db9a79d80e0d79b88a9a54c4c
@Ragnarok_1erSharpshooterHot Streak
Trader Score
Win Rate: 100.0%
ROI: 0.0%
Trades: 22
Win Rate
100.0%
22W0L22 total
No PnL history available
Not enough data for rank history
Open positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg | Current | PnL |
|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | $150K | $0.86 | $0.99 | $20K |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No |
Recent Activity (22)
BoughtWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No
+$150K@ 0.9946d ago
BoughtWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No
+$146K@ 0.8446d ago
BoughtWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No
+$136K@ 0.7846d ago
BoughtMiami Open: Tommy Paul vs Arthur FilsTommy Paul
+$126K@ 0.51
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | $136K | $0.78 | $0.78 | $-743 |
| Miami Open: Tommy Paul vs Arthur Fils | Tommy Paul | $126K | $0.45 | $0.51 | $7K |
| Miami Open: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Muchova | Victoria Mboko | $50K | $0.51 | $0.00 | $-25K |
| Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election? | Yes | $46K | $0.85 | $0.99 | $7K |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | No | $31K | $0.96 | $0.99 | $924 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | $30K | $0.77 | $0.83 | $2K |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31? | No | $30K | $0.80 | $0.98 | $5K |
| Miami Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff | Belinda Bencic | $30K | $0.49 | $0.00 | $-14K |
| Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegula | Jessica Pegula | $27K | $0.33 | $0.00 | $-9K |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31? | Yes | $20K | $0.56 | $0.01 | $-11K |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | No | $10K | $0.65 | $0.62 | $-300 |
| Miami Open: Ugo Humbert vs Francisco Cerundolo | Ugo Humbert | $8K | $0.51 | $0.00 | $-4K |
| Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? | No | $6K | $0.96 | $0.99 | $199 |
| Will Italy join the Board of Peace? | No | $3K | $0.91 | $0.98 | $237 |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Yes | $3K | $0.80 | $0.46 | $-1K |
| Will Jeanne Barseghian be the next mayor of Strasbourg? | No | $3K | $0.96 | $0.99 | $106 |
| Will the Rachida Dati List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election? | Yes | $2K | $0.21 | $0.00 | $-474 |
| Will France join the Board of Peace? | No | $1K | $0.90 | $0.99 | $129 |
| Will Jean-Luc Moudenc be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election? | Yes | $1K | $0.99 | $1.00 | $6 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March? | No | $1K | $0.58 | $0.85 | $295 |
| Will Catherine Trautmann be the next mayor of Strasbourg? | Yes | $875 | $0.95 | $0.99 | $35 |
| Left-Wing Wave in French Mayoral Elections? | Yes | $420 | $0.70 | $0.99 | $124 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November? | No | $0 | $0.66 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.95 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Mikie Sherrill win by 9-12%? | No | $0 | $0.92 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Biden announce resignation by July 31? | No | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Mikie Sherrill win by 6-9%? | No | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Taylor Swift Edition | Yes | $0 | $0.93 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 0 times in 2024? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump admin release any Epstein files on December 19? | Yes | $0 | $0.89 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend? | Wicked | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Iran military response by Friday? | No | $0 | $0.81 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in November? | No | $0 | $0.76 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Djamel Sedjati (ALG) win gold in 800m M? | No | $0 | $0.40 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 15, 2026 (ET)? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $0.99 | $0 |
| RFK Jr. endorses Trump during Friday address? | Yes | $0 | $0.92 | $1.00 | $0 |
| 1 Trump vs. Harris debate before election? | Yes | $0 | $0.65 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Biden wins the Popular Vote? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Iran military response by Sunday? | Yes | $0 | $0.10 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 18, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.09 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22? | Yes | $0 | $0.86 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will a Democrat win North Carolina Governor Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.84 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will António José Seguro win the second round by 40–50%? | Yes | $0 | $0.15 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | No | $0 | $0.41 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.42 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will there be another debate? | No | $0 | $0.71 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will there be 160,000,000-165,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.08 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.95 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania US Senate Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.74 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will a candidate from another party win Pennsylvania US Senate Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.42 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will turnout in the first round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be at least 53%? | Yes | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election? | No | $0 | $0.56 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Mikie Sherrill win by 12-15%? | Yes | $0 | $0.81 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will a Republican win Georgia Presidential Election? | No | $0 | $0.32 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Donald Trump say "border" 25 or more times during his North Carolina speech? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Donald Trump say "border" 15 or more times during his Michigan town hall? | Yes | $0 | $0.80 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Tim Walz resign by January 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%? | Yes | $0 | $0.22 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | No | $0 | $0.80 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 20? | Yes | $0 | $0.92 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more? | Yes | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | $0 | $0.57 | $0.34 | $-0 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.52 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election? | Yes | $0 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Kamala flips Trump on Silver's Bulletin by Sept 6? | No | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro again by December 31? | No | $0 | $0.85 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts? | Yes | $0 | $0.90 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Who will 538 predict to win the election? | Harris | $0 | $0.66 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will a Republican win Michigan US Senate Election? | No | $0 | $0.79 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Pierre-Yves Bournazel win the Paris mayor election? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Sophia Chikirou win the Paris mayor election? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.71 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will there be 155,000,000-160,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election? | No | $0 | $0.56 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will António José Seguro win the second round by 20–30%? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Winter Games 2026: Lindsey Vonn to medal? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? | Yes | $0 | $0.73 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Taylor Swift engaged in 2024? | Yes | $0 | $0.38 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump get 78-80m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.13 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Haitian" during his Pennsylvania rally? | No | $0 | $0.85 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election? | Yes | $0 | $0.22 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more? | Yes | $0 | $0.22 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first? | Yes | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will another candidate get the most votes of any 3rd party candidate? | Yes | $0 | $0.13 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Cornel West get the most votes of any 3rd party candidate? | Yes | $0 | $0.13 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Chase Oliver get the most votes of any 3rd party candidate? | Yes | $0 | $0.13 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Vermin Supreme get the most votes of any 3rd party candidate? | Yes | $0 | $0.13 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.93 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the People’s Republic of China win the most medals in the 2024 Paralympics? | Yes | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election? | No | $0 | $0.50 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? | Yes | $0 | $0.76 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.33 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will People’s Republic of China win the most gold medals at the 2024 Paralympics? | Yes | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| VP debate before election? | Yes | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | Yes | $0 | $0.70 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | No | $0 | $0.78 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| 100+ monkeypox cases in US by October 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will there be 150,000,000-155,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.49 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Rio Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderi | Darderi | $0 | $0.20 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will André Ventura win between 22% and 24% of votes in the first round? | Yes | $0 | $0.92 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.87 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour and 15 minutes? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open? | Yes | $0 | $0.52 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%? | Yes | $0 | $0.30 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Rio Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderi | Cerundolo | $0 | $0.30 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Álvaro Roberto Ramos Chaves win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election? | No | $0 | $0.88 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | No | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will António José Seguro win the second round by 10–20%? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open? | Yes | $0 | $0.32 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win 3rd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | Yes | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 50% and 52%? | Yes | $0 | $0.50 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 48% and 50%? | No | $0 | $0.12 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will António José Seguro win the second round by 0–10%? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election? | Yes | $0 | $0.89 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in over 2 hours and 30 minutes? | No | $0 | $0.92 | $1.00 | $0 |
46d ago
BoughtMiami Open: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina MuchovaVictoria Mboko
+$50K@ 0.0046d ago
BoughtWill Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?Yes
+$46K@ 0.9946d ago
BoughtWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?No
+$31K@ 0.9946d ago
BoughtWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No
+$30K@ 0.8346d ago
BoughtWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?No
+$30K@ 0.9846d ago
BoughtMiami Open: Belinda Bencic vs Coco GauffBelinda Bencic
+$30K@ 0.0046d ago
BoughtMiami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Jessica PegulaJessica Pegula
+$27K@ 0.0046d ago
BoughtWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?Yes
+$20K@ 0.0146d ago
BoughtUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No
+$10K@ 0.6246d ago
BoughtMiami Open: Ugo Humbert vs Francisco CerundoloUgo Humbert
+$8K@ 0.0046d ago
BoughtTrump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?No
+$6K@ 0.9946d ago
BoughtWill Italy join the Board of Peace?No
+$3K@ 0.9846d ago
BoughtWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes
+$3K@ 0.4646d ago
BoughtWill Jeanne Barseghian be the next mayor of Strasbourg?No
+$3K@ 0.9946d ago
BoughtWill the Rachida Dati List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election?Yes
+$2K@ 0.0046d ago
BoughtWill France join the Board of Peace?No
+$1K@ 0.9946d ago
BoughtWill Jean-Luc Moudenc be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?Yes
+$1K@ 1.0046d ago
BoughtWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?No
+$1K@ 0.8546d ago