Weekly Market Digest
Top trades, whale moves, and market insights every Monday
P
pako
0x71edffd0d70a1da823ff07a3c6fc81457294d338
SharpshooterHot Streak
Trader Score
Win Rate: 100.0%
ROI: 0.0%
Trades: 22
Win Rate
100.0%
22W0L22 total
No PnL history available
Not enough data for rank history
Open Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Current | PnL |
|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | $332K | $0.94 | $0.95 | $5K |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | No | $180K | $0.94 | $0.88 | $-12K |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | Yes | $110K | $0.83 | $0.86 | $4K |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1? | Up | $62K | $0.10 | $0.00 | $-6K |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | No | $54K | $0.78 | $0.89 | $6K |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? |
Recent Activity (22)
BoughtWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
+$332K@ 0.959h ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No
+$180K@ 0.889h ago
BoughtWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes
+$110K@ 0.869h ago
BoughtBitcoin Up or Down on August 1?Up
+$62K@ 0.00
| Ethereum flipped in 2026? | No | $21K | $0.80 | $0.49 | $-7K |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | No | $18K | $0.87 | $0.96 | $2K |
| Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting? | No | $16K | $0.82 | $0.90 | $1K |
| Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% or more in July? | Yes | $14K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-387 |
| Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting? | No | $11K | $0.75 | $0.98 | $3K |
| Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? | Yes | $8K | $0.19 | $0.15 | $-329 |
| Iran leadership change by March 31? | No | $6K | $0.86 | $0.94 | $433 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? | No | $5K | $0.62 | $0.79 | $825 |
| Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026? | No | $4K | $0.92 | $0.00 | $-4K |
| Crude Oil all time high by March 31? | No | $3K | $0.97 | $0.99 | $71 |
| Will the US not strike another country before 2027? | Yes | $3K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-19 |
| Will two people dissent the October Fed decision? | No | $1K | $0.83 | $0.00 | $-1K |
| Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | $1K | $0.38 | $0.30 | $-97 |
| Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | Yes | $1K | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-80 |
| Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished? | Yes | $1K | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-75 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on November 19? | Up | $1K | $0.11 | $0.00 | $-110 |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026? | Yes | $918 | $0.84 | $0.95 | $98 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | $868 | $0.38 | $0.46 | $74 |
| Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.6% by March 31? | No | $849 | $0.97 | $0.96 | $-9 |
| Will Trump say "Congo" during events with Polish president on September 3? | No | $675 | $0.49 | $0.00 | $-328 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | No | $640 | $0.76 | $0.71 | $-29 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March? | No | $613 | $0.64 | $0.00 | $-393 |
| Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in July? | Yes | $600 | $0.19 | $0.00 | $-115 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March? | No | $591 | $0.32 | $0.00 | $-189 |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | Yes | $561 | $0.36 | $0.34 | $-11 |
| Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? | Yes | $510 | $0.62 | $0.65 | $12 |
| Will Christopher Waller dissent the next Fed Decision? | Yes | $502 | $0.88 | $0.00 | $-440 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | $500 | $0.39 | $0.47 | $43 |
| Bitcoin below MicroStrategy average buy price in 2026? | No | $494 | $0.30 | $0.00 | $-148 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 3? | Up | $487 | $0.08 | $0.00 | $-39 |
| Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31? | No | $393 | $0.64 | $0.73 | $34 |
| Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in August? | Yes | $393 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-10 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March? | No | $361 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-18 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027? | No | $344 | $0.46 | $0.61 | $55 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 19? | Yes | $299 | $0.10 | $0.00 | $-30 |
| Will the August 2025 unemployment rate be 4.0%? | Yes | $291 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-4 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 20? | Yes | $253 | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-15 |
| Will one person dissent the October Fed decision? | Yes | $251 | $0.57 | $0.00 | $-143 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026? | No | $240 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-7 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027? | No | $226 | $0.36 | $0.46 | $22 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027? | No | $204 | $0.72 | $0.81 | $17 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125K in August? | Yes | $203 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-4 |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | $200 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-2 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027? | No | $177 | $0.59 | $0.54 | $-10 |
| Record crypto liquidation in 2026? | No | $156 | $0.80 | $0.82 | $3 |
| U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | No | $144 | $0.80 | $0.00 | $-115 |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $125 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027? | No | $123 | $0.75 | $0.82 | $8 |
| Will the US strike another country first? | Yes | $112 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-1 |
| Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $110 | $0.21 | $0.00 | $-23 |
| Will Trump say "Polymarket" by December 31? | Yes | $110 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-3 |
| Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? | Yes | $109 | $0.33 | $0.01 | $-35 |
| Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.5% by March 31? | No | $102 | $0.84 | $0.97 | $13 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | $100 | $0.28 | $0.15 | $-13 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025? | Yes | $100 | $0.59 | $0.00 | $-59 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 8-14? | Yes | $100 | $0.10 | $0.00 | $-10 |
| US bank failure by January 31? | No | $100 | $0.99 | $0.00 | $-99 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026? | No | $100 | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-6 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | $100 | $0.45 | $0.36 | $-9 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | $100 | $0.71 | $0.39 | $-33 |
| Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in August? | Yes | $100 | $0.17 | $0.00 | $-17 |
| Will BNB hit $1500 by December 31? | Yes | $72 | $0.30 | $0.00 | $-22 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | $65 | $0.30 | $0.26 | $-3 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $50 | $0.03 | $0.02 | $-0 |
| Aster all time high by December 31? | Yes | $50 | $0.17 | $0.00 | $-9 |
| Will Poland win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship? | Yes | $41 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-1 |
| Will the August 2025 unemployment rate be 4.1%? | Yes | $25 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-2 |
| Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025? | Yes | $20 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-1 |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025? | Yes | $19 | $0.37 | $0.00 | $-7 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: US Strike Edition | Yes | $14 | $0.55 | $0.00 | $-8 |
| U.S. Ambassador to Poland out by March 31? | No | $14 | $0.97 | $0.95 | $-0 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of February? | Yes | $13 | $0.57 | $0.00 | $-7 |
| Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31? | Yes | $10 | $0.42 | $0.00 | $-4 |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1? | Yes | $10 | $0.57 | $0.11 | $-5 |
| Bitcoin 15%+ daily candle in 2026? | No | $10 | $0.48 | $0.00 | $-5 |
| Will Netherlands win on 2025-11-14? | Yes | $10 | $0.59 | $0.00 | $-6 |
| Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? | Yes | $10 | $0.38 | $0.00 | $-4 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | Yes | $10 | $0.70 | $0.77 | $1 |
| Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | $9 | $0.68 | $0.91 | $2 |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31? | No | $8 | $0.36 | $0.00 | $-3 |
| Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31? | No | $7 | $0.95 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | $7 | $0.90 | $0.92 | $0 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | No | $6 | $0.90 | $0.92 | $0 |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? | No | $5 | $0.78 | $0.68 | $-1 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026? | Yes | $5 | $0.28 | $0.04 | $-1 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | $5 | $0.94 | $0.95 | $0 |
| Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025? | Yes | $5 | $0.85 | $0.00 | $-4 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | $5 | $0.27 | $0.33 | $0 |
| Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? | No | $5 | $0.64 | $0.82 | $1 |
| Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31? | No | $5 | $0.65 | $0.99 | $2 |
| Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.8% by March 31? | No | $5 | $0.99 | $0.97 | $-0 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026? | Yes | $5 | $0.86 | $0.78 | $-0 |
| Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31? | No | $5 | $0.95 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? | Yes | $1 | $0.25 | $0.28 | $0 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in September? | No | $0 | $0.93 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | Yes | $0 | $0.91 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by January 31, 2025? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.81 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US x Venezuela ceasefire by January 31? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Putin meet with Trump by September 30? | No | $0 | $0.17 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: January | Yes | $0 | $0.47 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.14 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| ETH flipped in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.95 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Taylor Swift rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.18 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August? | No | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.63 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Iran leadership change by March 13? | No | $0 | $0.91 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Cuba" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday? | Yes | $0 | $0.41 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? | Yes | $0 | $0.95 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? | No | $0 | $0.29 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4400 in August? | Yes | $0 | $0.76 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%? | No | $0 | $0.72 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 740k+ BTC by February 28? | Yes | $0 | $0.63 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| DeepSeek banned in US before April? | No | $0 | $0.92 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Karol Nawrocki win by over 8%? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.45 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump sue Powell by March 31? | No | $0 | $0.93 | $0.99 | $0 |
| Maduro trial scheduled by January 31? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Biden finish his term? | Yes | $0 | $0.89 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.20 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy | Yes | $0 | $0.86 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Gold close below $3200 at the end of 2025? | No | $0 | $0.86 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Atlas global browser market share 1%+ on December 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Stephen Miran dissent the next Fed decision? | Yes | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%? | Yes | $0 | $0.10 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Microstrategy's mNAV reach 2.00 by December 31? | No | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.17 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.05 | $0 |
| Will Donald Trump say "CIA" or "FBI" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday? | Yes | $0 | $0.86 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days? | Yes | $0 | $0.65 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31? | No | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March? | Yes | $0 | $0.35 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)? | Yes | $0 | $0.30 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.93 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Microstrategy's mNAV dip to 1.00 by December 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.17 | $1.00 | $0 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.92 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.91 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | $0 | $0.60 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.39 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump make no announcement by December 31 to replace Lisa Cook? | Yes | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.93 | $1.00 | $0 |
9h ago
BoughtMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No
+$54K@ 0.899h ago
BoughtWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes
+$30K@ 0.149h ago
BoughtEthereum flipped in 2026?No
+$21K@ 0.499h ago
BoughtMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No
+$18K@ 0.969h ago
BoughtFed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?No
+$16K@ 0.909h ago
BoughtWill annual inflation increase by 3.0% or more in July?Yes
+$14K@ 0.009h ago
BoughtFed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?No
+$11K@ 0.989h ago
BoughtBitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?Yes
+$8K@ 0.159h ago
BoughtIran leadership change by March 31?No
+$6K@ 0.949h ago
BoughtIran leadership change by April 30?No
+$5K@ 0.799h ago
BoughtWill Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?No
+$4K@ 0.009h ago
BoughtCrude Oil all time high by March 31?No
+$3K@ 0.999h ago
BoughtWill the US not strike another country before 2027?Yes
+$3K@ 0.009h ago
BoughtWill two people dissent the October Fed decision?No
+$1K@ 0.009h ago
BoughtWill Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?Yes
+$1K@ 0.309h ago
BoughtWill there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes
+$1K@ 0.009h ago
BoughtWill the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?Yes
+$1K@ 0.009h ago
BoughtBitcoin Up or Down on November 19?Up
+$1K@ 0.009h ago