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Top trades, whale moves, and market insights every Monday
mombil
0x68c24bf4a8ad4d79a6fe4b8eec6f93a02dfd1711
@mombilSharpshooterHot Streak
Trader Score
Win Rate: 98.4%
ROI: 0.0%
Trades: 62
Win Rate
98.4%
61W1L62 total
No PnL history available
Not enough data for rank history
Open Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Current | PnL |
|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Yes | $106K | $0.11 | $0.17 | $6K |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $102K | $0.04 | $0.04 | $-36 |
| Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $83K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-92 |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $78K | $0.02 | $0.02 | $8 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $67K | $0.02 | $0.02 | $-100 |
| Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Recent Activity (50)
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes
+$10K@ 0.541d ago
SoldIran leadership change by April 30?Yes
$-7K@ 0.262d ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes
+$4K@ 0.412d ago
BoughtWill Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes
+$83K@ 0.002d ago
| Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $57K | $0.01 | $0.02 | $327 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | $55K | $0.82 | $0.91 | $5K |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $55K | $0.08 | $0.08 | $33 |
| Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $50K | $0.00 | $0.01 | $75 |
| Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $50K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $25 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | $50K | $0.05 | $0.01 | $-2K |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | Yes | $43K | $0.49 | $0.54 | $2K |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $41K | $0.02 | $0.02 | $138 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | $33K | $0.28 | $0.41 | $4K |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | $30K | $0.68 | $0.80 | $3K |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $30K | $0.02 | $0.03 | $345 |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $27K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $94 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | Yes | $26K | $0.55 | $0.61 | $2K |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31? | No | $25K | $0.71 | $0.97 | $7K |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $20K | $0.14 | $0.15 | $270 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $20K | $0.07 | $0.07 | $-40 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $10K | $0.02 | $0.02 | $-30 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | Yes | $10K | $0.30 | $0.14 | $-2K |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | $9K | $0.28 | $0.20 | $-680 |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $8K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $12 |
| Will Iran strike Cyprus in March? | No | $7K | $0.70 | $0.97 | $2K |
| Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | $7K | $0.58 | $0.93 | $3K |
| Military action against Iran ends on March 26, 2026? | Yes | $7K | $0.01 | $0.02 | $8 |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Yes | $7K | $0.20 | $0.56 | $2K |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | Yes | $5K | $0.31 | $0.23 | $-410 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | Yes | $5K | $0.15 | $0.07 | $-428 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? | Yes | $5K | $0.42 | $0.28 | $-710 |
| Military action against Iran ends on March 28, 2026? | Yes | $5K | $0.01 | $0.02 | $36 |
| Will Germany strike Iran by March 31? | No | $5K | $0.87 | $0.99 | $559 |
| Venezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026? | No | $5K | $0.78 | $0.99 | $925 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Yes | $4K | $0.70 | $0.38 | $-1K |
| Military action against Iran ends on March 27, 2026? | Yes | $4K | $0.02 | $0.01 | $-8 |
| Military action against Iran ends on March 29, 2026? | Yes | $4K | $0.02 | $0.02 | $-8 |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? | No | $4K | $0.31 | $0.33 | $71 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | Yes | $4K | $0.10 | $0.33 | $840 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March? | Yes | $4K | $0.15 | $0.23 | $271 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | $3K | $0.08 | $0.06 | $-73 |
| Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI? | Yes | $3K | $0.61 | $0.54 | $-261 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | $3K | $0.31 | $0.23 | $-255 |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? | No | $3K | $0.67 | $0.93 | $716 |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $3K | $0.02 | $0.02 | $-1 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | $3K | $0.42 | $0.65 | $584 |
| Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? | No | $2K | $0.66 | $0.85 | $454 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $2K | $0.07 | $0.04 | $-61 |
| Military action against Iran ends on March 25, 2026? | Yes | $2K | $0.01 | $0.02 | $23 |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30? | No | $2K | $0.33 | $0.55 | $384 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in South Korea? | Yes | $1K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-13 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | $1K | $0.25 | $0.10 | $-175 |
| Iran coup attempt by June 30? | Yes | $1K | $0.35 | $0.23 | $-128 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | Yes | $1K | $0.62 | $0.25 | $-406 |
| U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31? | No | $1K | $0.75 | $0.95 | $213 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31? | No | $1K | $0.64 | $0.99 | $356 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | $1K | $0.81 | $0.82 | $10 |
| Will France strike Iran by March 31? | No | $948 | $0.81 | $0.99 | $165 |
| Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | $940 | $0.62 | $0.63 | $8 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | Yes | $903 | $0.09 | $0.23 | $127 |
| Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30? | No | $862 | $0.72 | $0.93 | $177 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? | Yes | $830 | $0.02 | $0.05 | $20 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? | Yes | $791 | $0.02 | $0.01 | $-5 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 40.0 on March 27, 2026? | Yes | $721 | $0.30 | $0.33 | $20 |
| Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? | Yes | $716 | $0.69 | $0.46 | $-171 |
| Will Matt Mahan advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? | No | $713 | $0.84 | $0.76 | $-62 |
| Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | $700 | $0.59 | $0.63 | $23 |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1? | Yes | $685 | $0.39 | $0.12 | $-191 |
| SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027? | Yes | $682 | $0.75 | $0.84 | $68 |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | Yes | $659 | $0.33 | $0.20 | $-89 |
| Will Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election? | Yes | $588 | $0.88 | $0.92 | $22 |
| Will any European country expel an Israeli ambassador by March 31? | No | $551 | $0.90 | $0.97 | $40 |
| US downs a Mexican cartel drone by March 31? | Yes | $530 | $0.31 | $0.04 | $-145 |
| Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | Yes | $472 | $0.70 | $0.74 | $21 |
| Will Trump say "Epic Fury" this week? (March 29) | Yes | $404 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $4 |
| Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by March 31? | Yes | $398 | $0.10 | $0.01 | $-37 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus? | Yes | $396 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $2 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Yes | $391 | $0.23 | $0.35 | $49 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026? | No | $386 | $0.31 | $0.99 | $264 |
| Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | $382 | $0.03 | $0.02 | $-5 |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2026? | No | $351 | $0.89 | $0.95 | $22 |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $332 | $0.06 | $0.05 | $-3 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? | No | $296 | $0.83 | $0.97 | $42 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31? | Yes | $285 | $0.64 | $0.01 | $-180 |
| Will Russia join the Board of Peace? | Yes | $279 | $0.68 | $0.02 | $-186 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.4 on March 27, 2026? | Yes | $261 | $0.40 | $0.41 | $3 |
| Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | $251 | $0.80 | $0.86 | $17 |
| Will Trump say "Hottest" this week? (March 29) | Yes | $238 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $2 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026? | Yes | $237 | $0.63 | $0.72 | $21 |
| Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? | Yes | $231 | $0.58 | $0.71 | $30 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026? | Yes | $221 | $0.65 | $0.81 | $34 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | Yes | $200 | $0.85 | $0.23 | $-125 |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? | Yes | $186 | $0.32 | $0.85 | $98 |
| Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | $156 | $0.87 | $0.95 | $13 |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2026? | Yes | $155 | $0.85 | $0.95 | $16 |
| Trump out as President by March 31? | No | $150 | $0.82 | $1.00 | $27 |
| Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026? | Yes | $149 | $0.85 | $0.83 | $-3 |
| ECB rate cut in 2026? | No | $146 | $0.59 | $0.80 | $29 |
| Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? | No | $144 | $0.80 | $0.90 | $14 |
| Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026? | Yes | $137 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0 |
| Will Katie Porter advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? | No | $137 | $0.75 | $0.82 | $10 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2026? | Yes | $130 | $0.41 | $0.43 | $3 |
| Kristi Noem and Corey Lewandowski confirm relationship by March 31? | Yes | $127 | $0.03 | $0.01 | $-3 |
| Will Steve Marshall be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama? | No | $119 | $0.62 | $0.86 | $29 |
| Trump cabinet member out by March 31, 2026? | Yes | $105 | $0.80 | $0.81 | $1 |
| Weed rescheduled by March 31? | Yes | $100 | $0.31 | $0.01 | $-31 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026? | Yes | $100 | $0.51 | $0.01 | $-50 |
| Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? | No | $99 | $0.90 | $0.98 | $8 |
| Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026? | Yes | $90 | $0.70 | $0.74 | $4 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)? | Yes | $87 | $0.22 | $0.08 | $-12 |
| Will Hope Scheppelman be the Republican nominee for CO-03? | No | $80 | $0.91 | $0.98 | $6 |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 47% in 2026? | No | $72 | $0.92 | $0.95 | $2 |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 48% in 2026? | No | $47 | $0.79 | $0.95 | $7 |
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition? | No | $46 | $0.54 | $0.98 | $20 |
| Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | $46 | $0.76 | $0.73 | $-1 |
| Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March? | Yes | $46 | $0.95 | $0.14 | $-37 |
| Will Thom Tillis vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve? | Yes | $38 | $0.70 | $0.87 | $6 |
| Will FC Heidenheim be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season? | No | $15 | $0.08 | $0.05 | $-1 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | Yes | $11 | $0.42 | $0.23 | $-2 |
| Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2026? | Yes | $5 | $0.89 | $0.99 | $1 |
| ECB rate hike in 2026? | Yes | $2 | $0.38 | $0.89 | $1 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | No | $1 | $0.14 | $0.14 | $-0 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | Yes | $1 | $0.51 | $0.34 | $-0 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? | No | $1 | $0.70 | $0.94 | $0 |
| Will Trump visit China by June 30? | Yes | $1 | $0.70 | $0.70 | $0 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | No | $1 | $0.64 | $0.92 | $0 |
| Will UAE strike Iran by March 31? | No | $1 | $0.14 | $0.93 | $1 |
| Iran leadership change by March 31? | Yes | $1 | $0.17 | $0.07 | $-0 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | $1 | $0.49 | $0.78 | $0 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Yes | $1 | $0.29 | $0.20 | $-0 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | $1 | $0.69 | $0.59 | $-0 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31? | Yes | $1 | $0.36 | $0.09 | $-0 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | $0 | $0.64 | $0.76 | $0 |
| Will The Left make it into the Bundestag as a Fraktion? | Yes | $0 | $0.29 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.17 | $0.13 | $-0 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.30 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary? | Yes | $0 | $0.62 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March? | Yes | $0 | $0.65 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | $0 | $0.29 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | No | $0 | $0.88 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June 23? | Yes | $0 | $0.09 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.21 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election? | No | $0 | $0.71 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Who will lead on Silver Bulletin on Friday? | Trump | $0 | $0.72 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11? | Yes | $0 | $0.14 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March? | Yes | $0 | $0.36 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Tim Walz replaced as Democratic VP nominee? | No | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.18 | $0.17 | $-0 |
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.16 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump audit Ukraine aid before May? | Yes | $0 | $0.60 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strike on Mexico by March 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.11 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more? | No | $0 | $0.77 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Napoli finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season? | Yes | $0 | $0.82 | $0.96 | $0 |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Yes | $0 | $0.47 | $0.43 | $-0 |
| Trump takes Panama Canal in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.15 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the SPD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election? | Yes | $0 | $0.57 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Biden finish his term? | Yes | $0 | $0.91 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? | Yes | $0 | $0.29 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.65 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the U.S. remove HTS from terror list before March? | No | $0 | $0.84 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.40 | $0.68 | $0 |
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | $0 | $0.49 | $0.02 | $-0 |
| Will UAE strike Iran by March 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.59 | $0.07 | $-0 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | $0 | $0.56 | $0.45 | $-0 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Will Levi be Trump's Attorney General? | Yes | $0 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.29 | $0.15 | $-0 |
| Will Jay Clayton be Trump's Attorney General? | Yes | $0 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Yes | $0 | $0.23 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Iran leadership change by March 31? | No | $0 | $0.67 | $0.93 | $0 |
| Will Robert Habeck be the next Chancellor of Germany? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | Yes | $0 | $0.65 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | Yes | $0 | $0.14 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | Yes | $0 | $0.69 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.17 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump remove FBI director Christopher Wray? | Yes | $0 | $0.64 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Biden announce resignation by July 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Inter finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season? | Yes | $0 | $0.75 | $0.99 | $0 |
| Will there be another debate? | Yes | $0 | $0.18 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | $0 | $0.34 | $0.79 | $0 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | No | $0 | $0.64 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the government shutdown end November 15? | No | $0 | $0.95 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Bills vs. Chiefs | Chiefs | $0 | $0.40 | $1.00 | $0 |
| New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? | Yes | $0 | $0.47 | $0.55 | $0 |
| Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.92 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | No | $0 | $0.47 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say "Farmer" during tariff event on April 2? | Yes | $0 | $0.52 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.39 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress? | Yes | $0 | $0.65 | $1.00 | $0 |
| TikTok sale announced by June 19? | Yes | $0 | $0.19 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.87 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31? | No | $0 | $0.60 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.33 | $0.04 | $-0 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist? | No | $0 | $0.71 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31? | No | $0 | $0.69 | $1.00 | $0 |
| TikTok banned in the US before May 2025? | No | $0 | $0.55 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024? | Yes | $0 | $0.54 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.59 | $0.02 | $-0 |
| Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.10 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.17 | $0.11 | $-0 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | $0 | $0.46 | $0.35 | $-0 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | $0 | $0.67 | $0.53 | $-0 |
| Will Harris lead in RCP by 0-0.4 on Nov 4? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Pope Leo visit Ukraine first? | Yes | $0 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Gavin Newsom be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the government shutdown end November 12? | No | $0 | $0.41 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? | Yes | $0 | $0.21 | $0.21 | $0 |
| TikTok sale announced in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.70 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump claim he crashed the market on purpose? | Yes | $0 | $0.14 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the EU impose tariffs on the U.S. before May? | Yes | $0 | $0.68 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in January 2026? | No | $0 | $0.16 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will there be 150,000,000-155,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.59 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the U.S. recognize Syrian government by March 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.22 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump create a tariff dividend by March 31? | No | $0 | $0.84 | $0.99 | $0 |
| Trudeau no confidence motion passes in 2024? | Yes | $0 | $0.21 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? | Yes | $0 | $0.19 | $0.32 | $0 |
| Will Cornyn flip Paxton for Texas Rep Senate Primary Winner by Jan 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.13 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.0 and 41.4 on March 6, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.90 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Circle IPO in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.23 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | No | $0 | $0.60 | $0.96 | $0 |
| U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.20 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US government shutdown in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.40 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be 45.0–45.4% on August 29? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.36 | $0.51 | $0 |
| Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before July? | Yes | $0 | $0.14 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.39 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the CDU/CSU win 30-35% of the vote in the German election? | No | $0 | $0.49 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.20 | $0.11 | $-0 |
| Will Mike Davis be Trump's Attorney General? | Yes | $0 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | $0 | $0.68 | $0.98 | $0 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on November 12? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 4+ times at Fort Bragg on Friday? | Yes | $0 | $0.47 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | $0 | $0.37 | $0.39 | $0 |
| Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2025? | No | $0 | $0.22 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | Yes | $0 | $0.23 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | Yes | $0 | $0.11 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet? | Yes | $0 | $0.27 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days? | No | $0 | $0.41 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the CDU/CSU win by more than 12%? | No | $0 | $0.79 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.56 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in January? | No | $0 | $0.16 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.11 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany? | No | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump say "Persian" this week? | No | $0 | $0.77 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Government shutdown end by October 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.23 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| James Comey indicted before October? | Yes | $0 | $0.33 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.62 | $0.71 | $0 |
| Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.22 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | No | $0 | $0.73 | $0.88 | $0 |
| Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March? | No | $0 | $0.57 | $0.85 | $0 |
| Will the CDU/CSU win 30-35% of the vote in the German election? | Yes | $0 | $0.49 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | Yes | $0 | $0.11 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30? | No | $0 | $0.32 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March? | Yes | $0 | $0.59 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.26 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will another woman be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days? | Yes | $0 | $0.23 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the CDU/CSU win 20-25% of the vote in the German election? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden? | Yes | $0 | $0.14 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Another US military action against Iran by Monday? | Yes | $0 | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will someone else be inaugurated? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | Yes | $0 | $0.05 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Mexico tariffs on China in effect before July? | Yes | $0 | $0.62 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? | No | $0 | $0.54 | $0.21 | $-0 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the CDU/CSU win 35-40% of the vote in the German election? | Yes | $0 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner? | Yes | $0 | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on August 15? | Yes | $0 | $0.42 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in October? | Yes | $0 | $0.55 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Kilmar Abrego Garcia released from custody before July? | No | $0 | $0.31 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair? | No | $0 | $0.85 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.11 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.45 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will AC Milan win the UEFA Champions League? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| TikTok sale announced by October 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.59 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 1.5%-2.0%? | No | $0 | $0.47 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| RFK Jr. endorses Trump during Friday address? | Yes | $0 | $0.82 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the CDU/CSU win more than 34% of the vote in the German election? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Jesus Christ return in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Trudeau out in 2024? | Yes | $0 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Shopify (SHOP) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Trump uses a recess appointment for Cabinet? | No | $0 | $0.72 | $1.00 | $0 |
| JD Vance replaced as Republican VP nominee? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the SPD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election? | Yes | $0 | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Pete Hegseth as Secretary of Defense? | Yes | $0 | $0.79 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump debate Kamala on Sept 10? | Yes | $0 | $0.82 | $1.00 | $0 |
| OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.44 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump pardon himself in his first 100 days? | No | $0 | $0.87 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31? | No | $0 | $0.73 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump announce Michelle Bowman as next Fed Chair in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" by April 4? | No | $0 | $0.69 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? | No | $0 | $0.64 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump meet Pope Leo XIV before August? | No | $0 | $0.65 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Robert Giuffra be Trump's Attorney General? | Yes | $0 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30? | Yes | $0 | $0.16 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will another man be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.88 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Aleo airdrop by September 30? | Yes | $0 | $0.19 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | Yes | $0 | $0.48 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 200% and 300% on April 30? | No | $0 | $0.66 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.38 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | Yes | $0 | $0.21 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US recession in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.54 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the U.S. abandon Syrian base before April 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.13 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024? | No | $0 | $0.18 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Aftyn Behn win TN-7 Special Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.11 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15? | Yes | $0 | $0.13 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Ethereum hit $4,500.00 by March 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| 3 Trump vs. Harris debates before election? | Yes | $0 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the AfD win less than 20% of the vote in the German election? | Yes | $0 | $0.18 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Mike Waltz out of Trump administration before May? | No | $0 | $0.77 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Ethereum above $2,600 on October 25? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | Yes | $0 | $0.64 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Debate finish by 10:30 PM? | Yes | $0 | $0.15 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will all of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1? | Yes | $0 | $0.16 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will CME self certify a sports contract in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.23 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.76 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the next James Bond be British? | No | $0 | $0.85 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.85 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.51 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | $0 | $0.59 | $0.38 | $-0 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July? | Yes | $0 | $0.28 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI? | No | $0 | $0.08 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Houthis agree to end attacks on shipping before June? | No | $0 | $0.14 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May? | Yes | $0 | $0.27 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in October? | No | $0 | $0.73 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize? | Yes | $0 | $0.63 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump remove Harvard's Intl Student ban before July? | No | $0 | $0.74 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days? | No | $0 | $0.53 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump and Putin shake hands for 10 seconds or more? | No | $0 | $0.75 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo? | Yes | $0 | $0.39 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Edmundo González win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election? | No | $0 | $0.92 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Canada in July? | No | $0 | $0.60 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days? | Yes | $0 | $0.39 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.20 | $0.09 | $-0 |
| Will Edmundo González win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election? | Yes | $0 | $0.18 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July? | Yes | $0 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the 2026 State of the Union address last 100 minutes or longer? | No | $0 | $0.23 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Panthers win Super Bowl 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Renate Reinsve be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the AfD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $25-30b one day after launch? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US military action against Iran by Friday? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Michelle Obama be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.10 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Nicușor Dan win by more than 12%? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump send the national guard to Chicago by December 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.63 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during tariff event on April 2? | Yes | $0 | $0.49 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump strike a drug boat on October 28? | No | $0 | $0.40 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15? | Yes | $0 | $0.31 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Iran declare war on Israel by Friday? | Yes | $0 | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the CDU/CSU win less than 26% of the vote in the German election? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will FDP be part of the next German government? | Yes | $0 | $0.16 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump remove tariff on Mexico before March? | No | $0 | $0.26 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Brazil join the Board of Peace? | Yes | $0 | $0.16 | $0.02 | $-0 |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.09 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi? | Yes | $0 | $0.14 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US x Iran nuclear talks resume before July? | Yes | $0 | $0.32 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Andy Beshear be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | Yes | $0 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on August 15? | No | $0 | $0.82 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Nicolae Ciucă win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Trump imposes 40% tariff on China in first 100 days? | No | $0 | $0.73 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July? | Yes | $0 | $0.74 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the AfD win between 24% and 26% of the vote in the German election? | Yes | $0 | $0.08 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Jets win Super Bowl 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and FDP form the next German Government? | Yes | $0 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Circle IPO in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.63 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.21 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.62 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Curtis Sliwa get less than 10% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election? | No | $0 | $0.73 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31? | No | $0 | $0.77 | $0.96 | $0 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30? | Yes | $0 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the next German election? | No | $0 | $0.95 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Andrew Bailey be Trump's Attorney General? | Yes | $0 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | No | $0 | $0.68 | $0.52 | $-0 |
| Manchester City wins the Premier League? | Yes | $0 | $0.10 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | Yes | $0 | $0.49 | $0.26 | $-0 |
| Will Joe Rogan attend presidential inauguration? | Yes | $0 | $0.80 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.45 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July? | No | $0 | $0.11 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say "TikTok" at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21? | Yes | $0 | $0.48 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Israel announces end of military operations against Iran before July? | Yes | $0 | $0.58 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the CDU/CSU win by 10-12%? | Yes | $0 | $0.29 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will EU increase sanctions on Russia before July? | No | $0 | $0.08 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.88 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in October? | No | $0 | $0.30 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will 'Kraven the Hunter' gross between $16-19m on 3-day opening weekend? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| German government files appeal to ban AfD in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.81 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.21 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days? | Yes | $0 | $0.60 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.28 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 26? | Yes | $0 | $0.13 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Iran x Israel conflict ends by Friday? | Yes | $0 | $0.17 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.46 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Israel strike Syria on July 17? | Yes | $0 | $0.77 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | No | $0 | $0.69 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | Yes | $0 | $0.44 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will a Democrat win Texas US Senate Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.22 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Yemen by January 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.72 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.16 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12? | Yes | $0 | $0.22 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Another Houthi strike on Israel before July? | Yes | $0 | $0.57 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.77 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the SPD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election? | No | $0 | $0.85 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April? | Yes | $0 | $0.44 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Matt Van Epps win TN-7 Special Election? | No | $0 | $0.11 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the CDU/CSU win by 8-10%? | Yes | $0 | $0.25 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30? | No | $0 | $0.87 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump impose tariffs on Denmark in the first 100 days? | Yes | $0 | $0.13 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | No | $0 | $0.77 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? | No | $0 | $0.87 | $0.96 | $0 |
| US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.67 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Trump tariff on EU alcohol before May? | No | $0 | $0.40 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.11 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Nicolas Maduro Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election? | No | $0 | $0.19 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October? | Yes | $0 | $0.09 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.31 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| New Trump tariffs by Friday? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say "Economy" during Fed chair announcement? | No | $0 | $0.11 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Xi visit the US before July? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Mitch McConnell retire before July? | No | $0 | $0.56 | $1.00 | $0 |
| FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election? | Yes | $0 | $0.33 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Israel strikes Iran before 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.44 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick for Treasury Secretary? | Yes | $0 | $0.12 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Iran strike Turkey in March? | No | $0 | $0.51 | $0.94 | $0 |
| Will the CDU/CSU win less than 26% of the vote in the German election? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 20-30%? | Yes | $0 | $0.21 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Zircuit airdrop by September 30? | Yes | $0 | $0.51 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Magnificent 7 shrinks below 30% of S&P 500 in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.18 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.56 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.28 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say "Syria" during events with Turkish president on September 25? | No | $0 | $0.25 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Mark Kelly be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? | No | $0 | $0.48 | $0.50 | $0 |
| Will Ken Paxton be Trump's Attorney General? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | No | $0 | $0.18 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the government shutdown end November 12? | Yes | $0 | $0.82 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Kamala lead in RCP by 1-1.4 on Oct 4? | Yes | $0 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.34 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.92 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Nothing Ever Happens | No | $0 | $0.17 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Elon Musk win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days? | No | $0 | $0.49 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Kamala Harris announce California Governor run before July? | No | $0 | $0.53 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | No | $0 | $0.74 | $0.62 | $-0 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15? | Yes | $0 | $0.28 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 29? | No | $0 | $0.46 | $1.00 | $0 |
| iPhone 16 pro costs $1,399 or more before July? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked? | No | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Evidence released proving JFK assassination was an inside job by Feb 10? | No | $0 | $0.80 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will TikTok be banned again before May? | No | $0 | $0.82 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.30 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Israel x Syria security agreement by September 30? | Yes | $0 | $0.20 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states? | No | $0 | $0.70 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the CDU/CSU win between 30% and 32% of the vote in the German election? | Yes | $0 | $0.40 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will BSW be part of the next German government? | No | $0 | $0.92 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2024? | Yes | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Trump negative approval before April? | Yes | $0 | $0.45 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the AfD win more than 26% of the vote in the German election? | No | $0 | $0.82 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Trump imposes 40% tariff on China in first 100 days? | Yes | $0 | $0.40 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Greens win over 15% of vote in German election? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election? | No | $0 | $0.49 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4? | No | $0 | $0.62 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 14? | No | $0 | $0.28 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.54 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Congress passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.53 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Olaf Scholz be the next Chancellor of Germany? | No | $0 | $0.93 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $1.00 | $0 |
| EU sanctions on Iran by September 30? | No | $0 | $0.68 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Jared Kushner be a member of the Trump administration? | No | $0 | $0.50 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump's approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on December 5, 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Government shutdown end by November 7? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024? | Yes | $0 | $0.08 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? | Yes | $0 | $0.78 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on November 12? | No | $0 | $0.71 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during Taoiseach events? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the AFD be part of the next German government? | No | $0 | $0.91 | $1.00 | $0 |
BoughtWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes
+$78K@ 0.022d ago
BoughtWill Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes
+$67K@ 0.022d ago
BoughtWill Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes
+$62K@ 0.012d ago
BoughtWill Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes
+$57K@ 0.022d ago
BoughtWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No
+$55K@ 0.912d ago
BoughtWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes
+$55K@ 0.082d ago
BoughtWill Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes
+$50K@ 0.012d ago
BoughtWill Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes
+$50K@ 0.002d ago
BoughtWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
+$50K@ 0.012d ago
BoughtWill Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes
+$41K@ 0.022d ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes
+$33K@ 0.482d ago
BoughtWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No
+$30K@ 0.782d ago
BoughtWill Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes
+$30K@ 0.032d ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes
+$30K@ 0.362d ago
BoughtWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes
+$27K@ 0.012d ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Yes
+$26K@ 0.572d ago
BoughtWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?No
+$25K@ 0.972d ago
BoughtWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes
+$20K@ 0.152d ago
BoughtWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes
+$20K@ 0.072d ago
BoughtIran leadership change by April 30?Yes
+$12K@ 0.282d ago
BoughtWill Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes
+$10K@ 0.022d ago
BoughtIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?Yes
+$10K@ 0.142d ago
BoughtWill 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes
+$9K@ 0.202d ago
BoughtWill Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes
+$8K@ 0.012d ago
BoughtWill Iran strike Cyprus in March?No
+$7K@ 0.972d ago
BoughtWill Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?No
+$7K@ 0.932d ago
BoughtMilitary action against Iran ends on March 26, 2026?Yes
+$7K@ 0.012d ago
BoughtWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes
+$7K@ 0.562d ago
BoughtKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes
+$5K@ 0.302d ago
BoughtKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Yes
+$5K@ 0.072d ago
BoughtMilitary action against Iran ends on March 28, 2026?Yes
+$5K@ 0.022d ago
BoughtWill Germany strike Iran by March 31?No
+$5K@ 0.992d ago
BoughtVenezuela election scheduled by March 31, 2026?No
+$5K@ 0.992d ago
BoughtWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes
+$4K@ 0.382d ago
BoughtMilitary action against Iran ends on March 27, 2026?Yes
+$4K@ 0.012d ago
BoughtMilitary action against Iran ends on March 29, 2026?Yes
+$4K@ 0.032d ago
BoughtJerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?No
+$4K@ 0.332d ago
BoughtWill OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes
+$4K@ 0.342d ago
BoughtWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?Yes
+$4K@ 0.172d ago
BoughtWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes
+$3K@ 0.042d ago
BoughtRussia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?Yes
+$3K@ 0.542d ago
BoughtZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Yes
+$3K@ 0.232d ago
BoughtWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No
+$3K@ 0.892d ago
BoughtWill Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes
+$3K@ 0.022d ago
BoughtWill OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes
+$3K@ 0.652d ago
BoughtWill Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?No
+$2K@ 0.852d ago