Weekly Market Digest
Top trades, whale moves, and market insights every Monday
mr.ozi✓ Verified
0x614dc8d3542c12103d2c6a3553fd761e391d1546
@MrOziPMSharpshooterHot Streak
Trader Score
Win Rate: 100.0%
ROI: 0.0%
Trades: 24
Win Rate
100.0%
24W0L24 total
No PnL history available
Not enough data for rank history
Open Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Current | PnL |
|---|
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31? | No | $110K | $0.72 | $0.98 | $28K |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | No | $105K | $0.40 | $0.40 | $-498 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | $90K | $0.64 | $0.79 | $13K |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | $42K | $0.40 | $0.45 | $2K |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | $37K | $0.57 | $0.67 | $3K |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? | No |
Recent Activity (24)
BoughtWill another country strike Iran by March 31?No
+$5K@ 0.921d ago
BoughtIran leadership change by December 31?No
+$14K@ 0.451d ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes
+$4K@ 0.421d ago
BoughtTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Yes
+$2K@ 0.491d ago
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | No | $25K | $0.72 | $0.92 | $5K |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | $20K | $0.38 | $0.57 | $4K |
| Iran coup attempt by June 30? | No | $15K | $0.66 | $0.77 | $2K |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March? | No | $15K | $0.85 | $0.97 | $2K |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | Yes | $14K | $0.64 | $0.58 | $-782 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | Yes | $13K | $0.39 | $0.19 | $-3K |
| Will France strike Iran by March 31? | No | $13K | $0.79 | $0.99 | $3K |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | $10K | $0.69 | $0.98 | $3K |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | Yes | $9K | $0.25 | $0.13 | $-1K |
| US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31? | No | $9K | $0.55 | $0.96 | $4K |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | Yes | $8K | $0.21 | $0.20 | $-67 |
| Will UAE strike Iran by March 31? | No | $5K | $0.65 | $0.93 | $1K |
| Will UK strike Iran by March 31? | No | $5K | $0.80 | $0.98 | $919 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | Yes | $4K | $0.46 | $0.48 | $77 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | $4K | $0.41 | $0.42 | $60 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Israeli troops enter Beirut by October 31? | No | $0 | $0.82 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | $0 | $0.73 | $0.84 | $0 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July? | No | $0 | $0.77 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Beyonce be the Billboard #1 pop star of the century? | Yes | $0 | $0.24 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Trump declassifies JFK files in first week? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump say "China" 3 or more times at debate? | Yes | $0 | $0.69 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by Friday? | No | $0 | $0.92 | $1.00 | $0 |
| 'Mufasa' vs. 'Sonic 3' opening weekend box office? | Sonic | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Yoon arrested by Friday? | No | $0 | $0.66 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say "Melania" during Warren, MI rally? | No | $0 | $0.85 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: July | Yes | $0 | $0.75 | $1.00 | $0 |
| U.S. forces in Gaza before July? | No | $0 | $0.89 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February? | No | $0 | $0.79 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Germany strike Iran by March 31? | No | $0 | $0.88 | $0.99 | $0 |
| Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | No | $0 | $0.80 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary? | No | $0 | $0.79 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Election certified on January 6? | Yes | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Kamala Silver Bulletin odds >60% on Friday? | No | $0 | $0.71 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Jim Jordan be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress? | No | $0 | $0.92 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran before July? | No | $0 | $0.95 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 26? | No | $0 | $0.93 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump say "trans" during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4? | No | $0 | $0.09 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in March? | No | $0 | $0.88 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.74 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.38 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | No | $0 | $0.88 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | No | $0 | $0.75 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Pennsylvania be the tipping point state? | Yes | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Jennifer Geerlings-Simons be the next president of Suriname after the election? | Yes | $0 | $0.93 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31? | No | $0 | $0.70 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Andrew Tate go to the UK before April? | No | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Israel parliament dissolved in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.60 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader? | Yes | $0 | $0.48 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | No | $0 | $0.41 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" 3 or more times during Hannity town hall? | Yes | $0 | $0.44 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Mark Zuckerberg attend presidential inauguration? | No | $0 | $0.49 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Hamas leadership out of Qatar before Trump in office? | No | $0 | $0.95 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Melania" during Crypto Summit on Friday? | No | $0 | $0.84 | $1.00 | $0 |
| U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by October 31? | No | $0 | $0.70 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Donald Trump say "alien" 5 or more times during Michigan town hall? | Yes | $0 | $0.40 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say "McDonald's" at debate? | No | $0 | $0.83 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%? | Yes | $0 | $0.39 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Israel strikes Iran before 2026? | No | $0 | $0.50 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Erdogan visit Syria by January? | No | $0 | $0.78 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.12 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Wednesday? | No | $0 | $0.87 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $0 | $0.72 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? | Yes | $0 | $0.15 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Elon Musk create a new political party in June? | No | $0 | $0.83 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence? | Yes | $0 | $0.63 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.40 | $0.02 | $-0 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.67 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US recession in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.78 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump say "border" 5 or more times during his inauguration speech? | No | $0 | $0.57 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31? | No | $0 | $0.36 | $0.96 | $0 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski win the most votes in the first round of the Polish Presidential election? | Yes | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31? | No | $0 | $0.47 | $0.96 | $0 |
| Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | No | $0 | $0.73 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $330b on March 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.74 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.69 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will RFK be a member of the Trump administration? | Yes | $0 | $0.91 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump go on Joe Rogan before election? | No | $0 | $0.37 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon before February? | No | $0 | $0.93 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Powell say "tariff" 5 or more times during January press conference? | Yes | $0 | $0.34 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.68 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Sinwar leave Gaza by October 31? | No | $0 | $0.90 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days? | No | $0 | $0.14 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Russia recognize Syrian government by March 31? | No | $0 | $0.48 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say "tax" 30 or more times during New York rally on October 27? | No | $0 | $0.54 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days? | No | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | $0 | $0.46 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Biden say "Project 2025" at DNC speech? | Yes | $0 | $0.62 | $1.00 | $0 |
| 30m Bluesky users in December? | No | $0 | $0.84 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | $0 | $0.65 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Trump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet? | Yes | $0 | $0.14 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win between 47% and 49% of the vote in the South Korea election? | Yes | $0 | $0.63 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July? | No | $0 | $0.95 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Israel invade Lebanon by Friday? | No | $0 | $0.91 | $1.00 | $0 |
| 100+ Bird Flu cases in U.S. before 2025? | No | $0 | $0.90 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Trump invokes the Insurrection Act before July? | No | $0 | $0.76 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Yoon arrested by Friday? | Yes | $0 | $0.81 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Israel announces ceasefire by January 16? | Yes | $0 | $0.91 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Palisades fire burn between 20-30k acres in total? | Yes | $0 | $0.90 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump say "Pocahontas" during Las Vegas rally on October 24? | No | $0 | $0.43 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.32 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March? | No | $0 | $0.92 | $0.99 | $0 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between 2% and 1%? | Yes | $0 | $0.24 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | Yes | $0 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say "tax" 15 or more times during Georgia speech on Oct 15? | Yes | $0 | $0.75 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say "FEMA" during Pennsylvania rally on October 9? | No | $0 | $0.31 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? | Yes | $0 | $0.68 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Belarus x Ukraine military clash by Sep 30? | No | $0 | $0.87 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Zelensky meet with Trump in September? | Yes | $0 | $0.60 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first week? | No | $0 | $0.16 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1? | Yes | $0 | $0.20 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Donald Trump say "MAGA" during Michigan town hall? | No | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by June 30? | No | $0 | $0.88 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump say "god" 4 or more times during Wisconsin rally on Oct 30? | No | $0 | $0.40 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will TikTok be banned again before May? | Yes | $0 | $0.59 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Powell say "Judge" during June Press Conference? | No | $0 | $0.89 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon before March? | No | $0 | $0.89 | $1.00 | $0 |
| 1 Trump vs. Harris debate before election? | No | $0 | $0.70 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Socialist Party of Albania win the most seats in the next Albanian election? | Yes | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday? | No | $0 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Yoon arrested by January 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.58 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Iran declare war on Israel before July? | No | $0 | $0.90 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Microphones muted during ABC debate? | No | $0 | $0.21 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say "border" 15 or more times at debate? | Yes | $0 | $0.38 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Donald Trump say "fake news" during Michigan town hall? | No | $0 | $0.16 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon before July? | No | $0 | $0.73 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Eric Adams out as NYC mayor by March 31? | No | $0 | $0.63 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran first? | Israel | $0 | $0.72 | $0.50 | $-0 |
| Will Trump claim he crashed the market on purpose? | No | $0 | $0.90 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Is the Cybertruck manifesto real? | Yes | $0 | $0.87 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Jerome Powell say "Trump" during the March meeting? | No | $0 | $0.90 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday? | No | $0 | $0.70 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in his first 100 days? | No | $0 | $0.86 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump increase tariffs on Canada before May? | No | $0 | $0.70 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump end USAID in first 100 days? | No | $0 | $0.88 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Liberals win majority in Canadian election? | No | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Kamala flips Trump on Silver's Bulletin by Sept 6? | No | $0 | $0.89 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? | Yes | $0 | $0.67 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Putin meet with Trump by September 30? | Yes | $0 | $0.45 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Elon register the America Party in July? | No | $0 | $0.35 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | No | $0 | $0.74 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Donald Trump say "border" 25 or more times during his Pennsylvania rally? | No | $0 | $0.35 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the SPD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election? | Yes | $0 | $0.61 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Liverpool vs. Manchester United end in a draw? | Yes | $0 | $0.18 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July? | Yes | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%? | No | $0 | $0.92 | $1.00 | $0 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.24 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July? | Yes | $0 | $0.49 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Eric Adams out as NYC mayor before 2025? | No | $0 | $0.45 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump pardon 1,500 or more Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days? | No | $0 | $0.76 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump say "American dream" 3 or more times during Las Vegas rally on October 24? | No | $0 | $0.49 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Elon say "Mars" during Baier interview on Thursday? | No | $0 | $0.79 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Yoon arrested by January 31? | No | $0 | $0.23 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Trump imposes tariff on semiconductors by December 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.65 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | No | $0 | $0.81 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Mike Waltz leave the Trump administration first? | Yes | $0 | $0.83 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June? | Yes | $0 | $0.43 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Tyreek Hill sue the cops? | No | $0 | $0.82 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump say "border" 30+ times during his Wisconsin speech? | Yes | $0 | $0.50 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | Yes | $0 | $0.76 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Mark Kelly be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | Yes | $0 | $0.29 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.58 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? | Yes | $0 | $0.57 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Ethereum above $3,400 on January 31? | No | $0 | $0.26 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Assad leaves Syria before 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.79 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | No | $0 | $0.37 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" on The Joe Rogan Experience? | No | $0 | $0.75 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.39 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say "Puerto Rico" during Pennsylvania rally on Oct 29? | No | $0 | $0.58 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | Yes | $0 | $0.39 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu attend presidential inauguration? | No | $0 | $0.91 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | No | $0 | $0.78 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates? | No | $0 | $0.55 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during New York rally on October 27? | No | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30? | No | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Pakistan air/missile strike on Indian soil by Friday? | Yes | $0 | $0.68 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%? | Yes | $0 | $0.79 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026? | No | $0 | $0.16 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say "Garbage" during Macon, GA rally? | No | $0 | $0.16 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.84 | $1.00 | $0 |
| 2 Trump vs. Harris debates before election? | Yes | $0 | $0.29 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.70 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | No | $0 | $0.58 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump say "Olympic" or "Olympics" during the 2026 State of the Union address? | No | $0 | $0.10 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| RFK Jr. endorses Trump during Friday address? | No | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Jake Paul fight Logan Paul next? | No | $0 | $0.73 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates? | Yes | $0 | $0.93 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31? | No | $0 | $0.43 | $0.92 | $0 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | No | $0 | $0.66 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump say "American dream" 3 or more times during Las Vegas rally on October 24? | Yes | $0 | $0.54 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Maduro out before September? | No | $0 | $0.86 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Elon say "DOGE" 7+ times during Baier interview on Thursday? | No | $0 | $0.68 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say "Marxist" at debate? | Yes | $0 | $0.66 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.34 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say "Aurora" during Univision town hall? | Yes | $0 | $0.39 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.54 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say "Pocahontas" during Las Vegas rally on October 24? | Yes | $0 | $0.61 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Kamala Harris say "McDonald's" during her North Carolina rally? | No | $0 | $0.91 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will JD Vance say "fire" or "fired"" during the debate? | Yes | $0 | $0.10 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April? | Yes | $0 | $0.74 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump and Harris debate before election? | No | $0 | $0.14 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Kamala flips Trump on Silver Bulletin by Sept 30? | No | $0 | $0.39 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election? | No | $0 | $0.72 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Ukraine hold Kursk through Aug 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.79 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Warren, MI rally? | No | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Taylor" or "Swift" during his Michigan town hall? | No | $0 | $0.74 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump say "border" 30 or more times during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4? | Yes | $0 | $0.08 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election? | Yes | $0 | $0.19 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Crimean bridge hit before October? | No | $0 | $0.83 | $1.00 | $0 |
| South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested before April? | No | $0 | $0.76 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump say "illegal alien" during North Carolina town hall? | No | $0 | $0.36 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Kamala Harris say "border" 3 or more times during her Wisconsin rally? | No | $0 | $0.89 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump say "Helene" during North Carolina rally October 22? | Yes | $0 | $0.73 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump say "Kamala" in his speech after the election is called? | No | $0 | $0.15 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Putin meet with Trump before July? | No | $0 | $0.70 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet? | No | $0 | $0.56 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July? | Yes | $0 | $0.91 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Pavel Durov released in August? | No | $0 | $0.79 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Volodymyr Zelensky attend presidential inauguration? | No | $0 | $0.92 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will voter turnout in the 2025 Canadian federal election be greater than 21m? | No | $0 | $0.91 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Andy Beshear be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | Yes | $0 | $0.12 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran first? | US | $0 | $0.33 | $0.50 | $0 |
| Conservatives win majority in Canadian election? | No | $0 | $0.95 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Sinn Féin win the most seats in the 2024 Irish general election? | No | $0 | $0.84 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump say 'China' 5+ times during the 2025 State of the Union? | No | $0 | $0.65 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Kamala Harris say "McDonald's" during her Wisconsin rally? | No | $0 | $0.66 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Biden say "Folks" three or more times at DNC speech? | Yes | $0 | $0.41 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by August 5? | No | $0 | $0.88 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump say 'Panama' during the 2025 State of the Union? | Yes | $0 | $0.58 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $115K on August 4? | No | $0 | $0.41 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.49 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? | Yes | $0 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency? | Yes | $0 | $0.45 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? | No | $0 | $0.91 | $1.00 | $0 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 1.5-1.75%? | Yes | $0 | $0.44 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say "missile defense shield" during Colorado rally on October 11? | No | $0 | $0.24 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump post about Laura Loomer by Sunday? | No | $0 | $0.74 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Trump imposes 40% tariff on China in first 100 days? | No | $0 | $0.60 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.13 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump impose tariffs on the EU in the first 100 days? | No | $0 | $0.14 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say "Hitler" during Pennsylvania rally on Oct 29? | No | $0 | $0.85 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump and Harris debate before election? | Yes | $0 | $0.95 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Crypto/Bitcoin" during his Michigan town hall? | No | $0 | $0.92 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.64 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump say "hispanic" 3 or more times during Las Vegas rally on October 24? | Yes | $0 | $0.54 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress? | Yes | $0 | $0.67 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Donald Trump say "MAGA" 3+ times during Pennsylvania rally? | Yes | $0 | $0.45 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024? | No | $0 | $0.87 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Kamala flips Trump on Silver Bulletin by Sept 30? | Yes | $0 | $0.83 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.76 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.67 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Iran Strike on Israel by February 28? | No | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days? | Yes | $0 | $0.76 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains? | Yes | $0 | $0.69 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| TikTok sale announced in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.76 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31? | No | $0 | $0.89 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Who will gain more in polls after the debate? | Trump | $0 | $0.12 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say "Hitler" on The Joe Rogan Experience? | No | $0 | $0.93 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Biden at the beach for 5+ workdays in September? | No | $0 | $0.89 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Israel declares war on Iran in October? | No | $0 | $0.82 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in his first 100 days? | No | $0 | $0.74 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on April 4? | No | $0 | $0.57 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.28 | $0.18 | $-0 |
| Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | No | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with France before July? | No | $0 | $0.74 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Trump and Harris agree to Sept 10 debate? | No | $0 | $0.76 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US national XRP reserve in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.43 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump apologize to Elon by Monday? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election? | Yes | $0 | $0.79 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump say "tampon" during his Arizona rally? | Yes | $0 | $0.73 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Mass arrests at DNC? | No | $0 | $0.43 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump say "Kamala" 35 or more times during Pennsylvania rally on October 9? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Donald Trump say "border" 25 or more times during his North Carolina rally? | Yes | $0 | $0.46 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | Yes | $0 | $0.59 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy be a member of the Trump administration? | No | $0 | $0.76 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump say "Kamala" 8 or more times during Hannity interview? | No | $0 | $0.62 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump say "America" five or more times in his speech after the election is called? | Yes | $0 | $0.72 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| South Korean President impeached by Friday? | Yes | $0 | $0.41 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Trump gets more black voters than in 2020? | No | $0 | $0.24 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | No | $0 | $0.63 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say "border" 30+ times during his Wisconsin speech? | No | $0 | $0.30 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31? | No | $0 | $0.70 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024? | Yes | $0 | $0.15 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Yoon in jail before August? | No | $0 | $0.19 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Polish snap election called in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.76 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" during North Carolina rally October 22? | Yes | $0 | $0.82 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.18 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Crypto/Bitcoin" during his Georgia speech? | No | $0 | $0.91 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | $0 | $0.71 | $0.84 | $0 |
| Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts? | Yes | $0 | $0.83 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June 23? | No | $0 | $0.26 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| India-Pakistan declare war before June? | No | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will LSDP win the most seats in the 2024 Lithuania legislative election? | Yes | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Michelle Obama speak at the DNC? | Yes | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Friday? | No | $0 | $0.91 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? | Yes | $0 | $0.88 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 26? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Jerome Powell say "inflation" 50 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference? | Yes | $0 | $0.47 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by Friday? | No | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| TikTok banned in the US before May 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.87 | $1.00 | $0 |
| U.S. military action against Iran in 2024? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%? | Yes | $0 | $0.22 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say "Venezuela" 3 or more times during Arizona rally on October 13? | Yes | $0 | $0.79 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Lee Jun-seok win 3rd place in the South Korean presidential election? | Yes | $0 | $0.90 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Israel military action against Iraq by Sunday? | Yes | $0 | $0.08 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.37 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Israel invade Syria in 2024? | No | $0 | $0.67 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Comrade Kamala" 3 or more times during Michigan town hall? | No | $0 | $0.26 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025? | No | $0 | $0.65 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.32-1.36ºC in March 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.52 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Donald Trump say "border" 15 or more times during his Pennsylvania rally? | No | $0 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Israel military response against Iran by Friday? | No | $0 | $0.49 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Trump takes Panama Canal in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.12 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k today? | No | $0 | $0.92 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election? | No | $0 | $0.69 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Russia use a nuclear weapon in 2024? | No | $0 | $0.95 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump visit Springfield in September? | No | $0 | $0.83 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump say "Israel" at debate? | Yes | $0 | $0.82 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump nominate Tulsi Gabbard for Secretary of Veterans Affairs? | Yes | $0 | $0.37 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before June? | Yes | $0 | $0.70 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April? | No | $0 | $0.65 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | Yes | $0 | $0.58 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate? | No | $0 | $0.71 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first? | Yes | $0 | $0.60 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense? | Yes | $0 | $0.83 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Michel Barnier out as prime minister of France in 2024? | No | $0 | $0.09 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 24? | No | $0 | $0.86 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | No | $0 | $0.85 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Prince Andrew be named in Epstein files? | No | $0 | $0.21 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" 4 or more times during Nevada rally on Oct 31? | No | $0 | $0.22 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will stranded astronauts leave the ISS in 2024? | No | $0 | $0.45 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Axiom be accused of insider trading? | No | $0 | $0.64 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say "debate" during Michigan rally? | No | $0 | $0.10 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Kanye launch a coin in February? | No | $0 | $0.65 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump say "tampon" during Wisconsin speech October 1? | No | $0 | $0.71 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Pennsylvania be the tipping point state? | No | $0 | $0.10 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence? | No | $0 | $0.51 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Kamala positive favorability by Friday? | No | $0 | $0.42 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Yes | $0 | $0.14 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump impose tariffs on Denmark in the first 100 days? | No | $0 | $0.81 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? | No | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | Yes | $0 | $0.25 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Lex interview? | Yes | $0 | $0.69 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Live audience at Trump/Harris debate? | No | $0 | $0.80 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2025? | No | $0 | $0.71 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen before July? | Yes | $0 | $0.77 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will there be a US Government shutdown? | No | $0 | $0.84 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.78 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency? | Yes | $0 | $0.27 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| 1 Trump vs. Harris debate before election? | Yes | $0 | $0.73 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will RFK Jr. win <1% of the popular vote? | Yes | $0 | $0.73 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Donald Trump say "alien" 5 or more times during Pennsylvania rally? | Yes | $0 | $0.30 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Kamala say "Israel" during her Nevada speech? | No | $0 | $0.88 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.61 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Elise Stefanik be out as Ambassador to the United Nations in Trump's first 100 days? | No | $0 | $0.35 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on February 28? | No | $0 | $0.79 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway? | Yes | $0 | $0.85 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US national Solana reserve in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.47 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | No | $0 | $0.91 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump say "Comrade Kamala" 3+ times during his Wisconsin speech? | Yes | $0 | $0.29 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31? | No | $0 | $0.85 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump issue less than 10 executive orders on Day 1? | Yes | $0 | $0.10 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Kamala Harris say "Gouge "or "Gouging" 5 or more times during Friday speech? | Yes | $0 | $0.42 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Israel withdraw from Philadelphi corridor by March 8? | No | $0 | $0.80 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? | Yes | $0 | $0.15 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump visit Springfield in September? | Yes | $0 | $0.47 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Houthis agree to end attacks on shipping before July? | Yes | $0 | $0.53 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump say 'trans' during the 2025 State of the Union? | Yes | $0 | $0.30 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the next US Speaker be elected in one ballot? | Yes | $0 | $0.08 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US kicks trans members out of military before July? | Yes | $0 | $0.84 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%? | Yes | $0 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Beirut airport close by August 5? | No | $0 | $0.88 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Mark Carney lose his seat? | No | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Israel military action against Iran in April? | No | $0 | $0.88 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump say "frack" or "fracking" during Georgia rally on October 23? | Yes | $0 | $0.88 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Beyoncé perform at the DNC? | No | $0 | $0.60 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump say "China" 10 or more times during Pennsylvania rally on October 9? | No | $0 | $0.92 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Russia capture Siversk before May? | No | $0 | $0.85 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on February 28? | Yes | $0 | $0.88 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Rick Scott be the next Senate Majority Leader? | No | $0 | $0.42 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Who will gain more in polls after the debate? | Kamala | $0 | $0.82 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Kamala photographed with a gun before the election? | No | $0 | $0.92 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | No | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Fact Check: Did the U.S. hit Iranian spy ship? | No | $0 | $0.95 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Was Trump hacked? | No | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump say "Teleprompter" during North Carolina rally on October 21? | Yes | $0 | $0.62 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024? | No | $0 | $0.75 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.36 | $1.00 | $0 |
| GOP wins popular vote by less than 1.5%? | Yes | $0 | $0.83 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Milton make landfall as a category 3? | Yes | $0 | $0.50 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump say "Afghanistan" during Hannity town hall? | Yes | $0 | $0.75 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.56 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address? | No | $0 | $0.77 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump say "hurricane" 3 or more times during Colorado rally on October 11? | No | $0 | $0.33 | $1.00 | $0 |
| 4+ Trump vs. Harris debates before election? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Crimean bridge hit before September? | No | $0 | $0.89 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | Yes | $0 | $0.25 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Bernie Sanders votes to confirm Tulsi Gabbard? | No | $0 | $0.87 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Harris publicly support tax on unrealized gains? | No | $0 | $0.33 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Donald Trump say "border" 10 or more times during Michigan town hall? | Yes | $0 | $0.73 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Israel announces ceasefire by January 17? | Yes | $0 | $0.93 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Putin go on Lex Fridman before March? | No | $0 | $0.89 | $1.00 | $0 |
| No Trump vs. Harris debates before election? | Yes | $0 | $0.08 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | No | $0 | $0.89 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump say 'DEI' or 'diversity, equity, and inclusion' during the 2025 State of the Union? | Yes | $0 | $0.66 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Frans Timmermans become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands? | Yes | $0 | $0.34 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Trump deploys Marines to LA protests by Friday? | No | $0 | $0.19 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July? | Yes | $0 | $0.56 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.50 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump say "Border" 30 or more times during North Carolina rally October 22? | No | $0 | $0.62 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say "tax" 10 or more times on The Joe Rogan Experience? | No | $0 | $0.66 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US military action against Iran before July? | No | $0 | $0.39 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Yoon released from custody before April? | No | $0 | $0.20 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say "Kamala" 25 or more times during North Carolina rally on October 21? | Yes | $0 | $0.30 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before July? | No | $0 | $0.74 | $1.00 | $0 |
| U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15? | Yes | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate? | Kamala | $0 | $0.82 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Pavel Durov released in August? | Yes | $0 | $0.91 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | Yes | $0 | $0.22 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 31? | No | $0 | $0.29 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Yoon arrested by July 15? | Yes | $0 | $0.84 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Kamala lead in RCP by 1-1.4 on Sept 27? | Yes | $0 | $0.12 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump announce U.S. purchasing crypto on Friday? | Yes | $0 | $0.13 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Jordan strike Iran by March 31? | No | $0 | $0.91 | $0.98 | $0 |
| Will BC NDP win the most seats in the 2024 British Columbia general election? | No | $0 | $0.10 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say "god" 3 or more times during Georgia rally on October 23? | Yes | $0 | $0.82 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | Yes | $0 | $0.34 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say "unrealized" during Pennsylvania rally on October 26? | Yes | $0 | $0.59 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Israel military response against Iran in October? | No | $0 | $0.54 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? | No | $0 | $0.57 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX? | No | $0 | $0.42 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump remove Sriram before inauguration? | No | $0 | $0.90 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Hezbollah enters Israel in August? | No | $0 | $0.83 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Kamala Harris say "Ceasefire" during DNC speech? | No | $0 | $0.58 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| World Chess Championship 2024 Winner | Ding | $0 | $0.37 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Israel invade Syria in 2024? | Yes | $0 | $0.90 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be more than 72%? | Yes | $0 | $0.49 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say "missile defense shield" during New York rally on October 27? | Yes | $0 | $0.87 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Georgia speech on Oct 15? | No | $0 | $0.93 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during Hannity town hall? | No | $0 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say "Detroit" during Michigan rally on October 25? | No | $0 | $0.14 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say "Elon" during Michigan rally on October 18? | Yes | $0 | $0.88 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will there be 150,000,000-155,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.12 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Yoon arrested by Friday? | No | $0 | $0.88 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.81 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days? | No | $0 | $0.49 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.26 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea before April? | Yes | $0 | $0.33 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Kamala positive favorability by Friday? | Yes | $0 | $0.63 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Donald Trump say "border" 25 or more times during his Pennsylvania rally? | Yes | $0 | $0.52 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Curtis Sliwa win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | $0 | $0.15 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say "Tren de Aragua" during Michigan rally on October 18? | Yes | $0 | $0.53 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.61 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? | Yes | $0 | $0.77 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Biden skips Kamala's DNC speech? | Yes | $0 | $0.86 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | No | $0 | $0.61 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by August 31? | No | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | No | $0 | $0.71 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | Yes | $0 | $0.44 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.42 | $1.00 | $0 |
| South Korean President impeached by Friday? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Next Israel x Hamas ceasefire in September? | No | $0 | $0.91 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump say "Biden" during his presser with Ireland PM? | Yes | $0 | $0.55 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | Yes | $0 | $0.22 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say "Venezuela" 3 or more times during Arizona rally on October 13? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Iran military response by Monday? | Yes | $0 | $0.79 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say "Elon" during North Carolina rally on Nov 3? | No | $0 | $0.14 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | No | $0 | $0.75 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | No | $0 | $0.88 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump impose tariffs on France in the first 100 days? | No | $0 | $0.71 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Nancy Pelosi speak at the DNC? | Yes | $0 | $0.82 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024? | No | $0 | $0.82 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will India invade Pakistan before July? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will there be a US Government shutdown? | Yes | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? | Yes | $0 | $0.15 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Bernie Sanders endorses Kamala as Dem Nominee? | No | $0 | $0.65 | $1.00 | $0 |
| 1,000+ Measles cases in U.S. before May? | No | $0 | $0.93 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.65 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump say "Border" 20 or more times during North Carolina rally October 22? | No | $0 | $0.20 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US-China trade deal before June? | Yes | $0 | $0.80 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.52 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election? | Yes | $0 | $0.33 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump end Department of Education in first 100 days? | No | $0 | $0.82 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | No | $0 | $0.52 | $0.00 | $-0 |
BoughtWill Trump visit China by April 30?Yes
+$8K@ 0.221d ago
BoughtWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No
+$37K@ 0.672d ago
BoughtWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?No
+$33K@ 0.932d ago
BoughtIran leadership change by December 31?No
+$27K@ 0.462d ago
BoughtWill another country strike Iran by March 31?No
+$20K@ 0.922d ago
BoughtUS forces enter Iran by April 30?No
+$20K@ 0.562d ago
BoughtIran coup attempt by June 30?No
+$15K@ 0.742d ago
BoughtWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?No
+$15K@ 0.972d ago
BoughtIran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?Yes
+$14K@ 0.592d ago
BoughtTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Yes
+$13K@ 0.262d ago
BoughtWill France strike Iran by March 31?No
+$13K@ 0.992d ago
BoughtWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No
+$10K@ 0.982d ago
BoughtIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?Yes
+$9K@ 0.152d ago
BoughtUS announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?No
+$9K@ 0.962d ago
BoughtWill UAE strike Iran by March 31?No
+$5K@ 0.932d ago
BoughtWill UK strike Iran by March 31?No
+$5K@ 0.982d ago
BoughtTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Yes
+$2K@ 0.462d ago
BoughtWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No
+$90K@ 0.792d ago
BoughtUS forces enter Iran by December 31?No
+$105K@ 0.412d ago
BoughtWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?No
+$110K@ 0.972d ago