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S
SP888
0x5d05b1f588780423488a09d9aefeb64df54d6320
SharpshooterHot Streak
Trader Score
Win Rate: 81.3%
ROI: 0.0%
Trades: 32
Win Rate
81.3%
26W6L32 total
No PnL history available
Not enough data for rank history
Open Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Current | PnL |
|---|
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | No | $4.0M | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-2K |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | Yes | $48K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $31 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 7? | Yes | $3K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-17 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14? | Yes | $3K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-32 |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? | Yes | $2K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-14 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | No |
Recent Activity (32)
SoldWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No
$-750K@ 0.0042m ago
BoughtWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No
+$50K@ 0.002h ago
SoldNetanyahu out by March 31?Yes
$-9K@ 0.013h ago
BoughtWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No
+$100K@ 0.003h ago
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | No | $1K | $0.49 | $0.54 | $55 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6? | Yes | $1K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-4 |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026? | Yes | $1K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-8 |
| US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026? | No | $918 | $0.75 | $0.79 | $34 |
| Will the DHS shutdown end between March 28-31, 2026? | Yes | $776 | $0.09 | $0.23 | $109 |
| Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026? | Yes | $732 | $0.56 | $0.67 | $79 |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? | Yes | $500 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-2 |
| Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more? | No | $410 | $0.77 | $0.77 | $-2 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | No | $406 | $0.88 | $0.90 | $6 |
| Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30? | Yes | $401 | $0.29 | $0.13 | $-64 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | Yes | $299 | $0.14 | $0.10 | $-12 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | $289 | $0.56 | $0.66 | $28 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31? | Yes | $264 | $0.35 | $0.09 | $-71 |
| Will Trump nationalize elections? | Yes | $250 | $0.19 | $0.23 | $10 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | $244 | $0.16 | $0.15 | $-3 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | $210 | $0.58 | $0.69 | $24 |
| Fact Check: Maduro capture staged? | Yes | $200 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-1 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | $180 | $0.11 | $0.15 | $8 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | Yes | $166 | $0.08 | $0.07 | $-0 |
| GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026? | No | $140 | $0.67 | $0.56 | $-17 |
| Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more? | Yes | $100 | $0.44 | $0.23 | $-21 |
| Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 27, 2026? | Yes | $96 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-1 |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026? | Yes | $75 | $0.17 | $0.31 | $11 |
| Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? | Yes | $75 | $0.47 | $0.61 | $11 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | Yes | $68 | $0.44 | $0.45 | $0 |
| Maduro trial scheduled by January 31? | Yes | $66 | $0.51 | $0.00 | $-33 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | Yes | $64 | $0.48 | $0.47 | $-1 |
| Will the State of the Union address be delayed? | Yes | $60 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-4 |
| Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | $53 | $0.51 | $0.60 | $5 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | $50 | $0.48 | $0.56 | $4 |
| Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4? | Yes | $50 | $0.60 | $0.67 | $3 |
| Tulsi Gabbard out by March 31? | Yes | $50 | $0.10 | $0.03 | $-4 |
| Kristi Noem impeached in 2026? | Yes | $50 | $0.16 | $0.05 | $-6 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | No | $40 | $0.64 | $0.71 | $3 |
| Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack? | Yes | $40 | $0.25 | $0.02 | $-9 |
| Will the DHS shutdown last 48 days or more? | No | $39 | $0.63 | $0.40 | $-9 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: February | Nothing | $37 | $0.76 | $0.00 | $-28 |
| Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026? | No | $35 | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-2 |
| U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? | Yes | $35 | $0.25 | $0.14 | $-4 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June? | Yes | $34 | $0.64 | $0.71 | $2 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 26? | Down | $34 | $0.74 | $0.00 | $-25 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | $31 | $0.13 | $0.10 | $-1 |
| Will Real Madrid advance to the round of 16? | No | $30 | $0.09 | $0.00 | $-3 |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? | Yes | $27 | $0.28 | $0.33 | $1 |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency? | Yes | $26 | $0.19 | $0.31 | $3 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027? | Yes | $25 | $0.22 | $0.15 | $-2 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31? | Yes | $23 | $0.45 | $0.03 | $-10 |
| Epstein client list released by June 30? | Yes | $21 | $0.24 | $0.11 | $-3 |
| Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in February 2026? | Yes | $20 | $0.15 | $0.00 | $-3 |
| Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? | Yes | $19 | $0.23 | $0.01 | $-4 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 11? | No | $19 | $0.63 | $0.00 | $-12 |
| Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? | Yes | $17 | $0.20 | $0.24 | $1 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 26? | Down | $15 | $0.65 | $0.00 | $-10 |
| Will Trump visit China by June 30? | Yes | $15 | $0.68 | $0.72 | $1 |
| North Korea missile test/launch by March 31? | No | $14 | $0.34 | $0.79 | $6 |
| Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? | No | $12 | $0.09 | $0.11 | $0 |
| US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026? | Yes | $12 | $0.42 | $0.00 | $-5 |
| North Korea missile test/launch by March 31? | No | $12 | $0.32 | $0.00 | $-4 |
| H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? | No | $12 | $0.86 | $0.89 | $0 |
| Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam? | No | $11 | $0.20 | $0.05 | $-2 |
| Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30? | Yes | $11 | $0.13 | $0.03 | $-1 |
| Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | No | $11 | $0.61 | $0.98 | $4 |
| 100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30? | No | $10 | $0.90 | $0.95 | $1 |
| Markwayne Mullin confirmed as DHS Secretary by March 31, 2026? | No | $10 | $0.35 | $0.00 | $-3 |
| Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027? | No | $10 | $0.45 | $0.58 | $1 |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | Yes | $7 | $0.74 | $0.80 | $0 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | No | $6 | $0.71 | $0.91 | $1 |
| Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28? | No | $6 | $0.45 | $0.00 | $-3 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | $6 | $0.85 | $0.92 | $0 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | No | $6 | $0.47 | $0.45 | $-0 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | $5 | $0.61 | $0.82 | $1 |
| Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)? | No | $5 | $0.85 | $0.92 | $0 |
| Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)? | No | $5 | $0.14 | $0.00 | $-1 |
| GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026? | Yes | $5 | $0.35 | $0.45 | $0 |
| Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | Yes | $5 | $0.28 | $0.02 | $-1 |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026? | No | $5 | $0.74 | $0.78 | $0 |
| Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple? | Yes | $5 | $0.59 | $0.41 | $-1 |
| Will BRICS add a new member in 2026? | Yes | $5 | $0.42 | $0.41 | $-0 |
| Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31? | No | $5 | $0.62 | $0.94 | $2 |
| Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? | Yes | $5 | $0.79 | $0.88 | $0 |
| Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings? | No | $5 | $0.57 | $0.14 | $-2 |
| Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in January? | Yes | $5 | $0.32 | $0.00 | $-2 |
| Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first? | $3,000 | $5 | $0.53 | $0.56 | $0 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June? | Yes | $5 | $0.65 | $0.30 | $-2 |
| Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? | No | $4 | $0.16 | $0.13 | $-0 |
| Federal Judge rules against Operation Metro Surge by Friday? | Yes | $3 | $0.31 | $0.00 | $-1 |
| Will Rand Paul vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026? | No | $3 | $0.35 | $0.92 | $2 |
| Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 14, 2026? | No | $3 | $0.38 | $0.00 | $-1 |
| Did a crypto hedge fund blow up? | Yes | $2 | $0.33 | $0.40 | $0 |
| Will John Fetterman vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026? | No | $2 | $0.85 | $0.43 | $-1 |
| Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in January? | No | $2 | $0.50 | $0.00 | $-1 |
| Trump announces new drug boat strike by March 7, 2026? | Yes | $2 | $0.49 | $0.00 | $-1 |
| Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 6, 2026? | No | $2 | $0.53 | $0.00 | $-1 |
| Machado wears a dress or skirt during next Trump meeting? | Yes | $2 | $0.42 | $0.00 | $-1 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31? | Yes | $1 | $0.67 | $0.07 | $-1 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March? | No | $1 | $0.73 | $0.78 | $0 |
| Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? | No | $1 | $0.75 | $0.64 | $-0 |
| Will a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31? | Yes | $1 | $0.77 | $0.98 | $0 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027? | Yes | $1 | $0.20 | $0.20 | $-0 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Yes | $1 | $0.09 | $0.10 | $0 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | No | $1 | $0.74 | $0.83 | $0 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Crypto Edition | No | $1 | $0.18 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| Will any Premier League club reach 90 points? | No | $1 | $0.81 | $0.96 | $0 |
| Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? | No | $1 | $0.58 | $0.99 | $0 |
| US recession by end of 2026? | Yes | $1 | $0.26 | $0.34 | $0 |
| Will Congress pass any tariffs by March 31? | No | $1 | $0.86 | $0.99 | $0 |
| Will the government shutdown last 2 days or more? | Yes | $0 | $0.61 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the DHS shutdown end between February 28-March 3, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.12 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Trump announces new drug boat strike by March 14, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.30 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | $0 | $0.86 | $0.91 | $0 |
| Will Phan Van Giang be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party? | Yes | $0 | $0.11 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15? | Yes | $0 | $0.55 | $0.50 | $-0 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31? | No | $0 | $0.17 | $0.99 | $0 |
| GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by March 31, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.72 | $0.98 | $0 |
| Trump approval Up or Down this week? | Up | $0 | $0.39 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.43 | $0.33 | $-0 |
| Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam? | Yes | $0 | $0.98 | $0.95 | $-0 |
| Will Ron Johnson vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.30 | $0.75 | $0 |
| Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more? | No | $0 | $0.20 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February? | Yes | $0 | $0.48 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.47 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Yes | $0 | $0.78 | $0.25 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.58 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 29, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January? | No | $0 | $0.61 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June? | No | $0 | $0.23 | $0.70 | $0 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | Yes | $0 | $0.20 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| Will Trump talk to María Corina Machado in January? | Yes | $0 | $0.91 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | No | $0 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the DHS shutdown end between March 24-27, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.16 | $0.11 | $-0 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.27 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9? | No | $0 | $0.72 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the DHS shutdown end between March 8-11, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Kristi Noem out by March 31? | No | $0 | $0.67 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | Yes | $0 | $0.69 | $0.09 | $-0 |
| Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize? | No | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Xavi Hernandez be the next Chelsea manager? | No | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the DHS shutdown end between February 20-23, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.35 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.20 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Solana reach $130 in February? | Yes | $0 | $0.17 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | Yes | $0 | $0.07 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | No | $0 | $0.62 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China? | No | $0 | $0.67 | $0.41 | $-0 |
| U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | Yes | $0 | $0.50 | $0.04 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by March 11, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.53 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Iran leadership change by March 13? | No | $0 | $0.89 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31? | No | $0 | $0.59 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize? | Yes | $0 | $0.77 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.56 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.38 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump try to Fire Powell by January 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.17 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.13 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by Feb 28? | No | $0 | $0.66 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 13? | No | $0 | $0.48 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? | Yes | $0 | $0.38 | $0.02 | $-0 |
| Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.90 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by March 10, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.53 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.52 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | $0 | $0.62 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 10? | No | $0 | $0.66 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the DHS shutdown end between March 4-7, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.54 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | Yes | $0 | $0.35 | $0.20 | $-0 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in February? | Yes | $0 | $0.15 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Machado wears a dress or skirt during next Trump meeting? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the DHS shutdown end between March 12-15, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the government shutdown last 2 days or more? | Yes | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31? | No | $0 | $0.66 | $0.92 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.66 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.73 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.37 | $0.17 | $-0 |
| Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more? | Yes | $0 | $0.08 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the DHS shutdown end between February 16-19, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February? | Yes | $0 | $0.36 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump meet with Machado by January 16? | No | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.23 | $0.11 | $-0 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March? | Yes | $0 | $0.11 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | Yes | $0 | $0.77 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the DHS shutdown end between March 16-19, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by March 12, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.51 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the DHS shutdown end between March 20-23, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.65 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by March 13, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.48 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | Yes | $0 | $0.74 | $0.12 | $-0 |
| Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 27, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.55 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Solana reach $120 in February? | Yes | $0 | $0.39 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.19 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | No | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | No | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.53 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31? | No | $0 | $0.52 | $0.97 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.62 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March? | Yes | $0 | $0.26 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| Will USD reach 1.5M Iranian rials by January 31? | No | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31? | No | $0 | $0.55 | $0.98 | $0 |
| Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Iran leadership change by March 13? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.39 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 12? | No | $0 | $0.54 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by December 31? | No | $0 | $0.12 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Department of Homeland Security receive full-year funding by February 13, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31? | No | $0 | $0.26 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more? | No | $0 | $0.16 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.20 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will there be no US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.14 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more? | Yes | $0 | $0.89 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will no government funding bill be passed by January 31, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the DHS shutdown end between February 20-23, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the DHS shutdown end between February 24-27, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.86 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will no government funding bill be passed by January 31, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.65 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the DHS shutdown end before February 16, 2026? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 30, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.91 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party? | Yes | $0 | $0.87 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the DHS shutdown end between February 16-19, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the DHS shutdown end between February 28-March 3, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 28, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the DHS shutdown end between February 24-27, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 26, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 22, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 31, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.88 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 23, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.95 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will more than 10 Senate Democrats vote in favor of the next government funding bill? | Yes | $0 | $0.85 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 21, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.95 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
BoughtWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No
+$50K@ 0.004h ago
BoughtNetanyahu out by March 31?Yes
+$9K@ 0.014h ago
BoughtNetanyahu out by March 31?Yes
+$1K@ 0.015h ago
BoughtWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No
+$50K@ 0.005h ago
BoughtWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No
+$300K@ 0.006h ago
SoldNetanyahu out by March 31?Yes
$-30K@ 0.016h ago
BoughtWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No
+$200K@ 0.0010h ago
BoughtWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No
+$200K@ 0.0011h ago
BoughtNetanyahu out by March 31?Yes
+$11K@ 0.0112h ago
BoughtWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No
+$2.6M@ 0.0012h ago
BoughtWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No
+$222K@ 0.0013h ago
BoughtWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No
+$599K@ 0.0014h ago
BoughtWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No
+$2K@ 0.0015h ago
BoughtNetanyahu out by March 31?Yes
+$5K@ 0.0116h ago
BoughtWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No
+$370K@ 0.0016h ago
SoldWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No
$-460K@ 0.0017h ago
SoldWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No
$-119K@ 0.0018h ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No
+$1K@ 0.4718h ago
SoldNetanyahu out by March 31?Yes
$-41K@ 0.0118h ago
BoughtUS forces enter Iran by March 7?Yes
+$3K@ 0.0019h ago
BoughtNetanyahu out by March 31?Yes
+$102K@ 0.0119h ago
BoughtWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No
+$595K@ 0.0019h ago
BoughtUS strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?Yes
+$1K@ 0.0019h ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Yes
+$1K@ 0.0019h ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No
+$2K@ 0.5419h ago
BoughtUS strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?Yes
+$2K@ 0.0019h ago
BoughtIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No
+$2K@ 0.5619h ago
BoughtUS forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes
+$3K@ 0.0019h ago