Weekly market digest
Top trades, whale moves, and market insights every Monday
AllByMyseIf
0x5188fa0e8a77e87bc6a58e6781fdfc4e165cc804
SharpshooterHot Streak
Trader Score
Win Rate: 95.0%
ROI: 0.0%
Trades: 141
Win Rate
95.0%
134W7L141 total
No PnL history available
Not enough data for rank history
Open positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg | Current | PnL |
|---|
| US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | No | $637K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-1K |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during CNBC interview? | Yes |
Recent Activity (50)
SoldTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?No
$-2K@ 0.2348d ago
SoldWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes
$-9K@ 0.0948d ago
SoldUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes
$-160K@ 0.2048d ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes
+$11K@ 0.49
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | Yes | $109K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-1K |
| Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | No | $100K | $0.14 | $0.00 | $-14K |
| Will Kanye West / Ye be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | $94K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-582 |
| Will Xi Jinping be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | $90K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-2K |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | $81K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-1K |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | $68K | $0.43 | $0.47 | $3K |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | Yes | $65K | $0.08 | $0.09 | $325 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | $61K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-120 |
| Will Elon Musk be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | $55K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-1K |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | $47K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-59 |
| Will Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | $47K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-269 |
| Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | $42K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-634 |
| Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize? | No | $39K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-221 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | No | $37K | $0.38 | $0.00 | $-14K |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 18? | Yes | $35K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-589 |
| Maduro out by January 31, 2026? | No | $35K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-84 |
| Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026? | No | $33K | $0.61 | $0.00 | $-20K |
| Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | $31K | $0.11 | $0.00 | $-3K |
| Will Trump admin release any Epstein files on December 19? | No | $29K | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-2K |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th? | Yes | $27K | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-1K |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 15? | No | $27K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-298 |
| No airdrop in 2025? | Yes | $26K | $0.35 | $0.00 | $-9K |
| Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 15? | Yes | $25K | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-1K |
| Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025? | Yes | $24K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-309 |
| ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31? | Yes | $24K | $0.16 | $0.01 | $-4K |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | Yes | $24K | $0.64 | $0.65 | $88 |
| Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31? | No | $23K | $0.54 | $0.00 | $-12K |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | $22K | $0.39 | $0.39 | $-216 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? | No | $18K | $0.11 | $0.00 | $-2K |
| Will Luigi Mangione rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? | Yes | $17K | $0.20 | $0.00 | $-3K |
| Will a contestant numbered 151 - 175 win Beast Games: Season 2? | No | $16K | $0.29 | $0.00 | $-5K |
| Will Jerome Powell be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | $15K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-135 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | $14K | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-899 |
| Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more? | No | $13K | $0.22 | $0.00 | $-3K |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | Yes | $11K | $0.45 | $0.49 | $492 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | No | $11K | $0.18 | $0.00 | $-2K |
| ICE shooter charged by March 31? | Yes | $11K | $0.21 | $0.01 | $-2K |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in October? | No | $11K | $0.19 | $0.00 | $-2K |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $10K | $0.08 | $0.00 | $-792 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | No | $10K | $0.83 | $0.00 | $-8K |
| Will d4vd rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? | No | $10K | $0.74 | $0.00 | $-7K |
| Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026? | Yes | $9K | $0.78 | $0.00 | $-7K |
| Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31? | Yes | $8K | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-452 |
| Will Opinion launch a token on March 5? | No | $8K | $0.14 | $0.00 | $-1K |
| Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7? | Yes | $8K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-238 |
| Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 14, 2026? | No | $7K | $0.15 | $0.00 | $-1K |
| Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged? | Yes | $7K | $0.28 | $0.02 | $-2K |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? | No | $7K | $0.78 | $0.00 | $-5K |
| Will Trump and Mamdani not shake hands on November 21 2025? | Yes | $6K | $0.23 | $0.00 | $-1K |
| Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more? | Yes | $6K | $0.08 | $0.00 | $-492 |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31? | Yes | $6K | $0.19 | $0.00 | $-1K |
| Will Elon Musk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? | Yes | $6K | $0.21 | $0.00 | $-1K |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in November? | Yes | $6K | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-274 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by December 31? | Yes | $6K | $0.74 | $0.78 | $229 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | $5K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-100 |
| Will Sora be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 14? | Yes | $5K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-55 |
| Will Trump praise Zohran Mamdani on Friday? | No | $5K | $0.32 | $0.00 | $-2K |
| Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | $5K | $0.07 | $0.10 | $165 |
| Will Pope Francis be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings? | Yes | $5K | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-206 |
| Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November? | No | $5K | $0.13 | $0.00 | $-611 |
| Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31? | Yes | $4K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-98 |
| Will a handshake between Trump and Mamdani only be photographed on November 21 2025? | Yes | $4K | $0.21 | $0.00 | $-835 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on January 1? | Down | $4K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-4 |
| Will Kanye West / Ye rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? | Yes | $4K | $0.15 | $0.00 | $-578 |
| Will a contestant numbered 51 - 75 win Beast Games: Season 2? | Yes | $4K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-94 |
| Will Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa not shake hands on November 10 2025? | No | $4K | $0.12 | $0.00 | $-431 |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | No | $3K | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-236 |
| Will Wintermute be accused of insider trading? | Yes | $3K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-51 |
| Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | $3K | $0.13 | $0.00 | $-420 |
| Epstein client list released in 2025? | Yes | $3K | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-136 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | $3K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-45 |
| Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 30, 2026? | No | $3K | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-221 |
| Will Donald Trump issue 0 executive order in the week of October 10? | No | $3K | $0.15 | $0.00 | $-472 |
| Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in November? | Yes | $3K | $0.14 | $0.00 | $-420 |
| Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31? | No | $3K | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-156 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | No | $3K | $0.37 | $0.36 | $-25 |
| Will a contestant numbered 1 - 25 win Beast Games: Season 2? | Yes | $3K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-65 |
| Will Trump say "N Word" in January? | Yes | $3K | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-132 |
| Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31? | No | $3K | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-190 |
| Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30? | Yes | $3K | $0.16 | $0.00 | $-465 |
| Will Player 194 win Beast Games: Season 2? | Yes | $3K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-23 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Putin" at least once during Ukraine President events on December 28? | No | $3K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-4 |
| Trump and Marjorie Taylor Greene publicly reconcile by December 31? | Yes | $3K | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-183 |
| Will a contestant numbered 26 - 50 win Beast Games: Season 2? | Yes | $3K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-44 |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025? | Yes | $3K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-29 |
| Will MrBeast hit 460 Million subscribers by January 31? | No | $3K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-68 |
| Will Leavitt say "Bill" or "Clinton" during the next White House press briefing? | No | $3K | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-152 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | $2K | $0.77 | $0.66 | $-284 |
| Current shutdown longest in U.S. history? | No | $2K | $0.75 | $0.00 | $-2K |
| Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026? | No | $2K | $0.43 | $0.20 | $-570 |
| Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in October? | No | $2K | $0.27 | $0.00 | $-655 |
| Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31? | No | $2K | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-117 |
| Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026? | No | $2K | $0.20 | $0.00 | $-465 |
| Will Trump say "Israel" or "Gaza" 7+ times during Saudi PM events on November 18? | No | $2K | $0.59 | $0.00 | $-1K |
| Will "Black to the Future" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m? | No | $2K | $0.26 | $0.00 | $-572 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on November 29? | Down | $2K | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-124 |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 24? | Yes | $2K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-59 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Trump Pardon Edition | No | $2K | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-99 |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | No | $2K | $0.80 | $0.19 | $-1K |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027? | No | $2K | $0.55 | $0.81 | $533 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings? | No | $2K | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-144 |
| Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | $2K | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-149 |
| Will Trump say "Hostage" 5+ times during Egypt summit? | No | $2K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-8 |
| Military action against Iran ends by March 31, 2026? | Yes | $2K | $0.19 | $0.16 | $-60 |
| Will a contestant numbered 101 - 125 win Beast Games: Season 2? | Yes | $2K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-39 |
| Will a contestant numbered 126 - 150 win Beast Games: Season 2? | Yes | $2K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-46 |
| Will Player 45 win Beast Games: Season 2? | Yes | $2K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-13 |
| Will Player 42 win Beast Games: Season 2? | Yes | $2K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-12 |
| Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | $2K | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-124 |
| Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | No | $2K | $0.89 | $0.00 | $-2K |
| Will Player 191 win Beast Games: Season 2? | Yes | $2K | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-115 |
| Will Trump talk to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in November? | Yes | $2K | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-106 |
| Thailand x Cambodia military engagement by November 30, 2025? | No | $1K | $0.14 | $0.00 | $-206 |
| Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025? | Yes | $1K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-17 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1? | Yes | $1K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-19 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | No | $1K | $0.24 | $0.23 | $-14 |
| Will the US add between 0 and 25k jobs in January? | Yes | $1K | $0.20 | $0.00 | $-276 |
| Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during Cabinet Meeting on December 2? | No | $1K | $0.67 | $0.00 | $-846 |
| Will Trump say "Olympic" during Panthers visit? | Yes | $1K | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-63 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico by November 30? | Yes | $1K | $0.12 | $0.00 | $-143 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July? | No | $1K | $0.40 | $0.00 | $-483 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 December 1-7? | Yes | $1K | $0.24 | $0.00 | $-261 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in November? | Yes | $1K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-2 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? | Yes | $1K | $0.17 | $0.00 | $-181 |
| Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during the America Business Forum on November 5? | No | $1K | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-33 |
| Atlas global browser market share 3%+ on December 31? | Yes | $1K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-2 |
| Will a contestant numbered 76 - 100 win Beast Games: Season 2? | Yes | $978 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-21 |
| Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 12+ times during Hungary PM events on November 7? | No | $974 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-9 |
| Will Bryan Johnson say "Don’t Die" while tripping balls? | No | $954 | $0.14 | $0.00 | $-134 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | $952 | $0.77 | $0.80 | $24 |
| Will Waymo operate in 7 cities on June 30 2026? | Yes | $932 | $0.15 | $0.02 | $-116 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 27? | No | $925 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-13 |
| Will Player 952 win Beast Games: Season 2? | Yes | $915 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-3 |
| Will Trump say "Hanukkah" this week? (December 1 - 7) | No | $909 | $0.16 | $0.00 | $-149 |
| Will Trump say "Hottest Country" during his Squawk Box appearance on August 5? | No | $874 | $0.42 | $0.00 | $-369 |
| Will Trump and Mohammed bin Salman shake hands for between 6 and 10 seconds on November 18 2025? | Yes | $750 | $0.11 | $0.00 | $-82 |
| Will Player 21 win Beast Games: Season 2? | Yes | $728 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-4 |
| Will Trump say UN / United Nations during Netanyahu events on September 29? | No | $714 | $0.20 | $0.00 | $-145 |
| Next French Prime Minister appointed by October 10? | No | $710 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-50 |
| Will Trump say Hell during Netanyahu events on September 29? | No | $704 | $0.37 | $0.00 | $-259 |
| Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 7? | No | $690 | $0.58 | $0.00 | $-397 |
| Will Santa deliver between 8,200,000,000 and 8,300,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025? | No | $676 | $0.22 | $0.00 | $-147 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist? | Yes | $663 | $0.15 | $0.00 | $-96 |
| Will Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa shake hands for less than 2 seconds on November 10 2025? | Yes | $663 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-30 |
| Will Shayne say "Polymarket" 2+ times during 60 Minutes? | No | $644 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-11 |
| US strikes Nigeria by December 31? | No | $642 | $0.90 | $0.00 | $-577 |
| Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be between $1,090,000 and $1,100,000 by February 1? | Yes | $599 | $0.08 | $0.00 | $-48 |
| Will Trump endorse Andrew Cuomo for NYC Mayor? | No | $574 | $0.13 | $0.00 | $-77 |
| Will Trump say "Pope" in November? | Yes | $554 | $0.97 | $0.00 | $-538 |
| Will Trump disparage Ahmed al-Sharaa on Monday? | Yes | $549 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-24 |
| Will Trump say "Peace" or "Shalom" 5+ times during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13? | No | $548 | $0.11 | $0.00 | $-58 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico by December 31? | Yes | $530 | $0.14 | $0.00 | $-72 |
| Will the US add between 75k and 100k jobs in September? | Yes | $511 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-17 |
| Will Trump and Mohammed bin Salman shake hands for less than 2 seconds on November 18 2025? | Yes | $510 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-2 |
| Will Kendrick Lamar rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? | No | $500 | $0.49 | $0.00 | $-245 |
| Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell in November? | Yes | $500 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-20 |
| Will Player 99 win Beast Games: Season 2? | Yes | $494 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-6 |
| Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be between $1,080,000 and $1,090,000 by February 1? | Yes | $431 | $0.17 | $0.00 | $-73 |
| Will Waymo operate in 6 cities on June 30 2026? | Yes | $428 | $0.12 | $0.03 | $-40 |
| Based FDV above $2B one day after launch? | Yes | $416 | $0.08 | $0.00 | $-33 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Bibi" during Syria President events on November 10? | Yes | $400 | $0.43 | $0.00 | $-172 |
| Will Leavitt say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during the next White House press briefing? | No | $400 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-19 |
| Will Trump say "Biden" at the Kennedy Center Honors event? | Yes | $391 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-16 |
| Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 5+ times during the America Business Forum on November 5? | No | $389 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-9 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? | Yes | $382 | $0.03 | $0.01 | $-6 |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during Cabinet Meeting on December 2? | No | $370 | $0.66 | $0.00 | $-245 |
| Will Stephen Miran dissent the next Fed decision? | No | $363 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-18 |
| Will Player 91 win Beast Games: Season 2? | Yes | $360 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-4 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | Yes | $350 | $0.06 | $0.05 | $-4 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the America Business Forum on November 5? | No | $350 | $0.56 | $0.00 | $-197 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in August? | Yes | $323 | $0.29 | $0.00 | $-94 |
| Lighter Airdrop before January 1? | No | $321 | $0.15 | $0.00 | $-48 |
| Will Waymo launch in New York City by June 30 2026? | No | $315 | $0.88 | $0.93 | $15 |
| Will Player 126 win Beast Games: Season 2? | Yes | $314 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-5 |
| Will Trump say "Kurd" or "Kurdish" during events with Turkish president on September 25? | Yes | $312 | $0.39 | $0.00 | $-122 |
| Will Leavitt say "ICE" during the next White House press briefing? | No | $309 | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-20 |
| Will Player 831 win Beast Games: Season 2? | Yes | $308 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-4 |
| Will Leavitt say "President" 77+ times during the next White House press briefing? | No | $300 | $0.25 | $0.00 | $-75 |
| Will Player 112 win Beast Games: Season 2? | Yes | $300 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-1 |
| Will Player 38 win Beast Games: Season 2? | Yes | $300 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-1 |
| Will Waymo launch in Miami by June 30 2026? | No | $300 | $0.12 | $0.08 | $-13 |
| Will Player 162 win Beast Games: Season 2? | Yes | $300 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-1 |
| Will Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa hug on Monday? | Yes | $289 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-9 |
| Will Sora be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 21? | Yes | $282 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-1 |
| Will Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa shake hands for between 2 and 6 seconds on November 10 2025? | Yes | $280 | $0.41 | $0.00 | $-115 |
| Will Trump say "Grocery" during Mamdani events on November 21? | No | $280 | $0.74 | $0.00 | $-208 |
| Will Player 566 win Beast Games: Season 2? | Yes | $250 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-1 |
| Will Samsung release a trifold phone by December 31? | No | $220 | $0.50 | $0.00 | $-110 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on December 27? | Down | $220 | $0.19 | $0.00 | $-42 |
| Will Cynthia Lummis attend Dick Cheney's funeral? | No | $218 | $0.51 | $0.00 | $-112 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Australia by November 30? | Yes | $207 | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-12 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | $200 | $0.96 | $0.96 | $-0 |
| Will Kanye West / Ye be the #2 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | $200 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-8 |
| Will Trump say "Obama" during events with PM of Canada on Oct 7? | Yes | $200 | $0.23 | $0.00 | $-46 |
| Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027? | No | $194 | $0.55 | $0.57 | $5 |
| Will Player 195 win Beast Games: Season 2? | Yes | $194 | $0.08 | $0.00 | $-16 |
| Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by November 30 2025? | Yes | $186 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-1 |
| Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025? | No | $182 | $0.66 | $0.00 | $-120 |
| Will Shayne say "Election" 3+ times during 60 Minutes? | No | $175 | $0.19 | $0.00 | $-33 |
| Will Trump send the national guard to San Francisco by December 31? | Yes | $170 | $0.56 | $0.00 | $-94 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027? | No | $156 | $0.71 | $0.85 | $23 |
| Will Sydney Sweeney apologize for her jeans ad in 2025? | Yes | $145 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-6 |
| Will Trump talk to Zohran Mamdani in November? | No | $141 | $0.64 | $0.00 | $-91 |
| Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%? | No | $138 | $0.45 | $0.00 | $-61 |
| Odds US strikes Iran by Feb 2 over 20% on Friday? | No | $135 | $0.13 | $0.00 | $-18 |
| Will the US lose jobs in January? | Yes | $128 | $0.15 | $0.00 | $-20 |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | Yes | $128 | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-8 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1? | Yes | $126 | $0.14 | $0.00 | $-18 |
| Trump cabinet member out by March 31, 2026? | Yes | $125 | $0.86 | $0.98 | $15 |
| Will Player 31 win Beast Games: Season 2? | Yes | $122 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-1 |
| No airdrop by January 10 | Yes | $120 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-1 |
| Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during events with PM of Canada on Oct 7? | Yes | $120 | $0.33 | $0.00 | $-40 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country? | No | $119 | $0.13 | $0.97 | $100 |
| Will Trump create a tariff dividend by March 31? | No | $119 | $0.71 | $0.99 | $33 |
| Lighter Airdrop on January 2? | Yes | $112 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 42.5 on November 7 2025? | No | $106 | $0.26 | $0.00 | $-28 |
| Will Trump admin release any Epstein files on December 18? | Yes | $105 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-5 |
| Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by December 31? | Yes | $103 | $0.55 | $0.00 | $-56 |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the America Business Forum on November 5? | No | $101 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-1 |
| Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30? | Yes | $100 | $0.59 | $0.00 | $-59 |
| Will MrBeast hit 102.5 billion views by December 31? | No | $81 | $0.08 | $0.00 | $-6 |
| Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files? | No | $81 | $0.84 | $0.00 | $-68 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get 110 million or more views on week 1? | Yes | $78 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-2 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | No | $78 | $0.69 | $0.70 | $1 |
| Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files? | No | $77 | $0.87 | $0.00 | $-67 |
| Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026? | No | $70 | $0.16 | $0.00 | $-11 |
| Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" in October? | No | $69 | $0.44 | $0.00 | $-30 |
| Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in November? | Yes | $67 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1? | Yes | $64 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-1 |
| Will Stephen Hawking be named in newly released Epstein files? | No | $62 | $0.84 | $0.00 | $-52 |
| Will Trump say Bibi during Netanyahu events on September 29? | No | $61 | $0.12 | $0.00 | $-7 |
| Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 20? | No | $60 | $0.23 | $0.00 | $-14 |
| Will Joe Biden attend Dick Cheney's funeral? | No | $60 | $0.52 | $0.00 | $-31 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? | No | $54 | $0.71 | $0.97 | $14 |
| Will Trump pardon both turkeys? | Yes | $54 | $0.10 | $0.00 | $-5 |
| Will Sam Altman say "Trump" or "Election" on The Tonight Show on December 8? | Yes | $46 | $0.27 | $0.00 | $-13 |
| Will Trump say "Tariff" 7+ times during the America Business Forum on November 5? | No | $45 | $0.41 | $0.00 | $-18 |
| Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? | Yes | $38 | $0.21 | $0.35 | $5 |
| Will Trump remove his Rob Reiner post? | Yes | $37 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-3 |
| Will Jimmy Kimmel be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | $34 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-1 |
| Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down - October 15 | Down | $32 | $0.40 | $0.00 | $-13 |
| Will Sam Altman say "Sora" 3+ times on The Tonight Show on December 8? | Yes | $30 | $0.42 | $0.00 | $-13 |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during events with Turkish president on September 25? | Yes | $28 | $0.27 | $0.00 | $-7 |
| Will Player 167 win Beast Games: Season 2? | No | $22 | $0.58 | $0.00 | $-13 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during Egypt summit? | No | $20 | $0.20 | $0.00 | $-4 |
| Will Trump say "Affordability" during Mamdani events on November 21? | No | $20 | $0.67 | $0.00 | $-13 |
| Will Trump and Robert Fico only be photographed shaking hands? | Yes | $20 | $0.10 | $0.00 | $-2 |
| Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027? | Yes | $19 | $0.31 | $0.36 | $1 |
| Maduro out by December 31, 2026? | No | $19 | $0.46 | $0.00 | $-9 |
| Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31? | Yes | $16 | $0.26 | $0.02 | $-4 |
| Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in November? | No | $15 | $0.82 | $0.00 | $-12 |
| Will Sam Altman say "Nvidia" or "Bubble" on The Tonight Show on December 8? | Yes | $12 | $0.67 | $0.00 | $-8 |
| Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with PM of Canada on Oct 7? | Yes | $10 | $0.50 | $0.00 | $-5 |
| Will Trump say "Communist" during the America Business Forum on November 5? | No | $10 | $0.55 | $0.00 | $-6 |
| Trump approval Up or Down this week? | Up | $10 | $0.42 | $0.00 | $-4 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025? | Yes | $8 | $0.13 | $0.00 | $-1 |
| Will Trump make no endorsement for NYC Mayor? | Yes | $5 | $0.98 | $0.00 | $-5 |
| Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (October 27 - November 2) | No | $5 | $0.79 | $0.00 | $-4 |
| Will Taylor Swift release “The Life of a Showgirl” between September 1-15 | Yes | $5 | $0.33 | $0.00 | $-2 |
| Will Taylor Swift release “The Life of a Showgirl” before September | Yes | $5 | $0.33 | $0.00 | $-2 |
| Will MrBeast hit 480 million subscribers by December 31? | Yes | $3 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Axiom be accused of insider trading? | No | $2 | $0.68 | $0.00 | $-2 |
| U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31? | No | $1 | $0.10 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027? | Yes | $1 | $0.12 | $0.43 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.46 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | $0 | $0.19 | $0.09 | $-0 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $0.99 | $0 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $0 | $0.89 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027? | No | $0 | $0.92 | $0.91 | $-0 |
| Will Player 174 win Beast Games: Season 2? | No | $0 | $0.90 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.44 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | No | $0 | $0.47 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in November? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked? | No | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.16 | $0.20 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.86 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.77 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with France by November 30? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in November? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31? | No | $0 | $0.45 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31? | No | $0 | $0.80 | $1.00 | $0 |
| OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? | No | $0 | $0.57 | $0.76 | $0 |
| Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Finland by Feburary 1? | No | $0 | $0.74 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 31? | No | $0 | $0.45 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? | No | $0 | $0.89 | $0.96 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.34 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with France in October? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Germany in October? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 20? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.36 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say Israel 7+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29? | No | $0 | $0.17 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 20? | No | $0 | $0.85 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7? | Yes | $0 | $0.81 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on November 12? | No | $0 | $0.95 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | $0 | $0.55 | $0.57 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.88 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30? | No | $0 | $0.16 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30? | No | $0 | $0.14 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by December 31? | No | $0 | $0.36 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump say "Department of War" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13? | No | $0 | $0.38 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | $0 | $0.61 | $0.70 | $0 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India by November 30? | No | $0 | $0.14 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will MrBeast hit 470 million subscribers by December 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.10 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say Biden 3+ times during Netanyahu events on September 29? | No | $0 | $0.60 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 31? | No | $0 | $0.12 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? | No | $0 | $0.23 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.10 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.13 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.90 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in October? | Yes | $0 | $0.12 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Waymo launch in Miami by June 30 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.70 | $0.92 | $0 |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? | No | $0 | $0.64 | $0.76 | $0 |
| Atlas global browser market share 3%+ on December 31? | No | $0 | $0.90 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Vietnam in July? | No | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.10 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | No | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | $0 | $0.28 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 31? | No | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.41 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on November 12? | Yes | $0 | $0.88 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.05 | $0.07 | $0 |
| Will Mamdani make NYC buses free by March 31? | No | $0 | $0.79 | $0.99 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.77 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | No | $0 | $0.23 | $0.23 | $0 |
| Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a human? | Yes | $0 | $0.65 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.18 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | No | $0 | $0.31 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th? | Yes | $0 | $0.74 | $0.77 | $0 |
| Will Waymo launch in Denver by June 30 2026? | No | $0 | $0.46 | $0.86 | $0 |
| Bill Clinton charged by January 31? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked? | Yes | $0 | $0.67 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Germany by Feburary 1? | No | $0 | $0.92 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | No | $0 | $0.73 | $1.00 | $0 |
| 100% tariff on China in effect by November 1? | Yes | $0 | $0.12 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will another MrBeast video get 100m+ week 1 views by November 30? | Yes | $0 | $0.16 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.61 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on November 12? | Yes | $0 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by October 31? | No | $0 | $0.78 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | No | $0 | $0.79 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.25 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Taylor Swift rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? | No | $0 | $0.86 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | $0 | $0.39 | $0.49 | $0 |
| Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be between $1,070,000 and $1,080,000 by February 1? | No | $0 | $0.63 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? | Yes | $0 | $0.31 | $0.55 | $0 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10? | No | $0 | $0.76 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | $0 | $0.33 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? | No | $0 | $0.62 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 | Yes | $0 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.24 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for France by Feburary 1? | No | $0 | $0.69 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.51 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Donald Trump say "eighth war" or "eight wars" during Ukraine President events on December 28? | No | $0 | $0.20 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30? | No | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30? | Yes | $0 | $0.71 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX? | No | $0 | $0.82 | $0.97 | $0 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30? | No | $0 | $0.18 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? | No | $0 | $0.93 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Waymo launch in Washington DC by June 30 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.48 | $0.05 | $-0 |
| 100% tariff on China in effect by November 1? | No | $0 | $0.87 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Epstein client list released in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.74 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8? | Yes | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas by June 30 2026? | No | $0 | $0.48 | $0.75 | $0 |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | No | $0 | $0.36 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with France by November 30? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump try to Fire Powell by January 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump strike a drug boat on October 28? | Yes | $0 | $0.10 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump sue the BBC? | No | $0 | $0.51 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Bill Clinton divorce by June 30? | No | $0 | $0.92 | $0.97 | $0 |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $0 | $0.13 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.47 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10? | Yes | $0 | $0.93 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1 | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31? | No | $0 | $0.69 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | $0 | $0.36 | $0.46 | $0 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $0 | $0.27 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will another company be accused of insider trading? | No | $0 | $0.77 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.35 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | Yes | $0 | $0.44 | $0.43 | $-0 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on November 12? | No | $0 | $0.94 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.12 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea by November 30? | Yes | $0 | $0.11 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Prince Andrew loses Duke of York title by December 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize? | Yes | $0 | $0.83 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | $0 | $0.78 | $0.83 | $0 |
| Trump and Marjorie Taylor Greene publicly reconcile by December 31? | No | $0 | $0.66 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31? | No | $0 | $0.09 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Nigeria by December 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.06 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 40% and 60% on November 12? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more? | No | $0 | $0.35 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in November? | No | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.95 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.69 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Polymarket mindshare hit 70%? | No | $0 | $0.17 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.19 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Jimmy Kimmel rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.43 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30? | No | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | No | $0 | $0.22 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by less than 5%? | Yes | $0 | $0.10 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Tyler Robinson rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.08 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Waymo launch in Detroit by June 30 2026? | No | $0 | $0.52 | $0.82 | $0 |
| Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch? | Yes | $0 | $0.12 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.78 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more? | No | $0 | $0.51 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | No | $0 | $0.66 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say Qatar during Netanyahu events on September 29? | No | $0 | $0.12 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.77 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.87 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the US add between 0 and 25k jobs in September? | No | $0 | $0.25 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil by November 30? | Yes | $0 | $0.74 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.73 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS? | No | $0 | $0.70 | $0.98 | $0 |
| Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday? | Yes | $0 | $0.15 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30? | No | $0 | $0.14 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | $0 | $0.88 | $0.91 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.81 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for The United Kingdom by Feburary 1? | No | $0 | $0.78 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | No | $0 | $0.71 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31? | No | $0 | $0.93 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November? | No | $0 | $0.76 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | Yes | $0 | $0.76 | $1.00 | $0 |
| EU dissolves before 2027? | No | $0 | $0.96 | $0.96 | $-0 |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | Yes | $0 | $0.20 | $0.18 | $-0 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.04 | $-0 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31? | No | $0 | $0.95 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? | No | $0 | $0.39 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | Yes | $0 | $0.31 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Israel by December 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.13 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 29? | Yes | $0 | $0.12 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? | No | $0 | $0.83 | $0.37 | $-0 |
| Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31? | No | $0 | $0.32 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say "NATO" during events with President of Finland on Oct 9? | No | $0 | $0.11 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1? | No | $0 | $0.61 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2025? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.58 | $0.99 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.38 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.49 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1? | No | $0 | $0.64 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump strike a drug boat on October 28? | No | $0 | $0.81 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump say "Polymarket" by December 31? | No | $0 | $0.91 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist? | No | $0 | $0.13 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump visit the Western Wall by October 31? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in November? | Yes | $0 | $0.76 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 55 million views on day 1 | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 30? | No | $0 | $0.48 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Santa deliver between 8,100,000,000 and 8,200,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.87 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? | Yes | $0 | $0.64 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Axiom be accused of insider trading? | Yes | $0 | $0.32 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Meteora be accused of insider trading? | No | $0 | $0.78 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more? | No | $0 | $0.51 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 29, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.91 | $1.00 | $0 |
48d ago
BoughtWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes
+$71K@ 0.0948d ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by June 30?Yes
+$24K@ 0.6848d ago
SoldWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No
$-75K@ 0.9948d ago
BoughtUS forces enter Iran by December 31?No
+$3K@ 0.3648d ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by December 31?Yes
+$6K@ 0.7848d ago
SoldUS forces enter Iran by March 31?No
$-4K@ 0.8348d ago
SoldUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes
$-45K@ 0.2148d ago
SoldTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Yes
$-54K@ 0.1948d ago
BoughtBackpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?No
+$2K@ 0.0048d ago
BoughtTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?No
+$2K@ 0.2348d ago
BoughtUS forces enter Iran by April 30?No
+$68K@ 0.4848d ago
BoughtWill Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes
+$42K@ 0.0049d ago
BoughtWill Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes
+$47K@ 0.0049d ago
BoughtWill Xi Jinping be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes
+$90K@ 0.0049d ago
BoughtBank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes
+$47K@ 0.0049d ago
BoughtTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Yes
+$54K@ 0.2049d ago
BoughtWill Kanye West / Ye be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes
+$94K@ 0.0049d ago
BoughtWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during CNBC interview?Yes
+$172K@ 0.0049d ago
BoughtWill Monad perform an airdrop by December 15? No
+$27K@ 0.0049d ago
BoughtNo airdrop in 2025?Yes
+$26K@ 0.0049d ago
BoughtWill Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 15?Yes
+$25K@ 0.0049d ago
BoughtWill the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?Yes
+$24K@ 0.0049d ago
BoughtICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?Yes
+$24K@ 0.0249d ago
BoughtWill Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?No
+$23K@ 0.0049d ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes
+$22K@ 0.3949d ago
BoughtWill Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?No
+$18K@ 0.0049d ago
BoughtTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?Yes
+$27K@ 0.0049d ago
BoughtWill Trump admin release any Epstein files on December 19?No
+$29K@ 0.0049d ago
BoughtWill Elon Musk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes
+$55K@ 0.0049d ago
BoughtWill Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? Yes
+$31K@ 0.0049d ago
BoughtWill Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?No
+$33K@ 0.0049d ago
BoughtBank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes
+$61K@ 0.0049d ago
BoughtWill another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No
+$100K@ 0.0049d ago
BoughtWill Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in October?No
+$11K@ 0.0049d ago
BoughtWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes
+$10K@ 0.0049d ago
BoughtUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No
+$10K@ 0.0049d ago
BoughtWill d4vd rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?No
+$10K@ 0.0049d ago
BoughtWill Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?Yes
+$9K@ 0.0049d ago
BoughtWill Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?Yes
+$8K@ 0.0049d ago
BoughtWill Opinion launch a token on March 5?No
+$8K@ 0.0049d ago
BoughtWill Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?Yes
+$8K@ 0.0049d ago
BoughtWill Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 14, 2026?No
+$7K@ 0.0049d ago
BoughtMinneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?Yes
+$7K@ 0.0249d ago
BoughtUS strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?No
+$7K@ 0.0049d ago
BoughtWill Trump and Mamdani not shake hands on November 21 2025?Yes
+$6K@ 0.0049d ago
BoughtICE shooter charged by March 31?Yes
+$11K@ 0.0349d ago