Weekly Market Digest
Top trades, whale moves, and market insights every Monday
aenews2
0x44c1dfe43260c94ed4f1d00de2e1f80fb113ebc1
@aenewsEliteWhaleHot Streak$100K Club
Trader Score
Win Rate: 54.5%
ROI: 1.0%
Trades: 22
Win Rate
54.5%
12W10L22 total
Rank History
#34↑13 places
Open Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Current | PnL |
|---|
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | Yes | $800K | $1.00 | $1.00 | $2K |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | No | $118K | $0.84 | $0.90 | $6K |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | No | $15K | $0.98 | $0.99 | $200 |
| Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 13m? | Yes | $11K | $0.30 | $0.00 | $-3K |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026? | No | $9K | $0.98 | $1.00 | $137 |
| Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%? |
Recent Activity (22)
SoldWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No
$-3K@ 0.4722h ago
SoldWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No
$-3K@ 0.5323h ago
SoldWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No
$-3K@ 0.4723h ago
BoughtWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes
+$325K@ 1.00
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | $4K | $0.50 | $0.48 | $-42 |
| U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31? | Yes | $4K | $0.26 | $0.03 | $-882 |
| Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m? | No | $4K | $0.52 | $0.00 | $-2K |
| Will "The Bride!" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 18m? | Yes | $3K | $0.30 | $0.00 | $-919 |
| Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%? | Yes | $3K | $0.19 | $0.74 | $2K |
| Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass? | Yes | $3K | $0.75 | $0.74 | $-39 |
| Will "The Bride!" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m? | Yes | $2K | $0.39 | $0.00 | $-898 |
| Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? | No | $2K | $0.69 | $0.81 | $246 |
| Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m? | Yes | $1K | $0.22 | $0.00 | $-319 |
| Will "The Bride!" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m? | Yes | $1K | $0.25 | $0.00 | $-315 |
| Will Trump say "Nancy" or "Pelosi" this week? (March 22) | Yes | $1K | $0.13 | $0.00 | $-154 |
| Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? | No | $1K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-4 |
| Will "Hoppers" 3rd Weekend Box Office be greater than 21m? | Yes | $602 | $0.21 | $0.00 | $-126 |
| Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | Yes | $500 | $0.21 | $0.18 | $-17 |
| Will "Hoppers" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 29m and 32m? | Yes | $433 | $0.10 | $0.00 | $-43 |
| Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | No | $395 | $0.59 | $0.99 | $156 |
| Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 54m? | Yes | $329 | $0.22 | $0.00 | $-72 |
| Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 38m and 42m? | Yes | $329 | $0.22 | $0.00 | $-72 |
| Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 54m? | Yes | $329 | $0.22 | $0.00 | $-72 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | $231 | $0.35 | $0.40 | $11 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 11? | No | $154 | $0.82 | $0.00 | $-127 |
| Will "Hoppers" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 16.5m and 18m? | No | $59 | $0.88 | $0.00 | $-52 |
| Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30? | No | $29 | $0.41 | $0.85 | $13 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 54°F or higher on March 11? | Yes | $24 | $0.10 | $0.00 | $-2 |
| Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? | Yes | $5 | $0.53 | $0.54 | $0 |
| Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026? | No | $5 | $0.82 | $0.00 | $-4 |
| Will Avatar: Fire and Ash be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15? | Yes | $3 | $0.08 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | Yes | $1 | $0.10 | $0.48 | $0 |
| Will Trump say "Nancy" or "Pelosi" this week? (March 22) | No | $0 | $0.51 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | $0 | $0.79 | $0.83 | $0 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | $0 | $0.79 | $0.91 | $0 |
| Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.90 | $0.97 | $0 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | $0 | $0.59 | $0.69 | $0 |
| Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 46m and 50m? | Yes | $0 | $0.18 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | $0 | $0.47 | $0.47 | $0 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | No | $0 | $0.71 | $0.90 | $0 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.04 | $0 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | $0 | $0.37 | $0.30 | $-0 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.25 | $0.10 | $-0 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | $0 | $0.47 | $0.47 | $0 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | $0 | $0.95 | $0.96 | $0 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | No | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026? | No | $0 | $0.05 | $0.03 | $-0 |
| Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.05 | $0 |
| Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 16m? | Yes | $0 | $0.30 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX? | No | $0 | $0.86 | $0.96 | $0 |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | $0 | $0.79 | $0.84 | $0 |
| Will 150 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.91 | $0.99 | $0 |
| Will 'Moana 2' gross more than $180m on 5-day opening weekend? | Yes | $0 | $0.69 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary? | Yes | $0 | $0.45 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will "Captain America" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $64m? | Yes | $0 | $0.33 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say "Censor" or "Censorship" during Elon interview? | No | $0 | $0.33 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will 300 or more house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill? | Yes | $0 | $0.32 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | No | $0 | $0.91 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024? | Yes | $0 | $0.75 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross less than $75m opening weekend? | Yes | $0 | $0.25 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will there be more than 25 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will June 2024 have a temperature increase of between 1.23°C and 1.29°C? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Gavin Newsom be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Michelle Obama be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | No | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 53°F or higher on March 17? | No | $0 | $0.50 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Trump found guilty in hush money case? | Yes | $0 | $0.95 | $1.00 | $0 |
| RFK Jr. endorses Trump before November? | Yes | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Michelle Obama be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will April 2024 show an increase of between 1.26°C-1.31°C? | No | $0 | $0.32 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | No | $0 | $0.68 | $1.00 | $0 |
| DNC open convention? | No | $0 | $0.75 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will 'Dune: Part Two' gross between $250m-300m by May 15? | Yes | $0 | $0.86 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| August temperature increase by between 1.15-1.19°C? | Yes | $0 | $0.24 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Gavin Newsom be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | No | $0 | $0.90 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Elon Musk buy MSNBC? | No | $0 | $0.86 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by at least 3%? | No | $0 | $0.87 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Trump sentenced to community service? | No | $0 | $0.75 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before September? | Yes | $0 | $0.10 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad Schimel | Crawford | $0 | $0.85 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will a Democrat win Montana US Senate Election? | No | $0 | $0.78 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.27-1.31ºC in March 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.25 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.58 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Biden say "Old" at DNC speech? | No | $0 | $0.50 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Biden announce resignation by July 31? | No | $0 | $0.90 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Nancy Pelosi call on Biden to drop out? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| No Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | No | $0 | $0.63 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" during Elon interview? | No | $0 | $0.37 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump post 11-15 times this week? | No | $0 | $0.19 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Obama endorse Kamala by tomorrow? | Yes | $0 | $0.29 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Democratic Blitz primary? | No | $0 | $0.63 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" during RNC speech? | Yes | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Ethereum ETF begins trading by July 26? | Yes | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump and Harris debate before election? | Yes | $0 | $0.88 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say "Censor" or "Censorship" during Elon interview? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Mark Cuban be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will J. B. Pritzker be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will William McRaven be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will another woman be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Hillary Clinton be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | No | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | Yes | $0 | $0.05 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Santa deliver between 8,100,000,000 and 8,200,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.17 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Santa deliver between 8,300,000,000 and 8,400,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.17 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the October 2024 temperature increase be greater than 1.40°C? | Yes | $0 | $0.19 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US military action against Iran by Saturday? | Yes | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Donald Trump win the New Hampshire Republican Primary? | No | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will a Democrat win North Carolina Presidential Election? | No | $0 | $0.55 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $350b on June 30? | Yes | $0 | $0.69 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Ukraine hits Moscow by Sept 30? | No | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Mark Kelly be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | Yes | $0 | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will a Republican win Nevada US Senate Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m? | Yes | $0 | $0.25 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | No | $0 | $0.81 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Kamala president by Friday? | No | $0 | $0.91 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m? | Yes | $0 | $0.25 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15? | No | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump win the South Carolina Primary by between 10-20% of the vote? | Yes | $0 | $0.16 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Comrade Kamala" 3 or more times during his Uniondale rally? | Yes | $0 | $0.57 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| September temperature increase by between 1.35-1.40°C? | Yes | $0 | $0.20 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| New York AG seizes Trump’s assets in March? | Yes | $0 | $0.18 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will there be no new Prime Minister of France? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will 'Mufasa: The Lion King' gross more than $70m on 3-day opening weekend? | Yes | $0 | $0.25 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary 7.5-10% | No | $0 | $0.75 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his Nevada rally? | No | $0 | $0.86 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will 'Mufasa: The Lion King' gross less than $52m on 3-day opening weekend? | Yes | $0 | $0.79 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Michelle Obama be the Democratic Presidential Nominee? | No | $0 | $0.93 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the EU impose tariffs on the U.S. before May? | Yes | $0 | $0.24 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Is $DJT real? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the December 2024 temperature increase be between 1.30-1.34°C? | Yes | $0 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Barack Obama be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross more than $105m opening weekend? | Yes | $0 | $0.36 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Andy Beshear be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | Yes | $0 | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the October 2024 temperature increase be less than 1.17°C? | Yes | $0 | $0.19 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Nigel Farage win election to UK parliament? | Yes | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Helene make landfall at category 4 or stronger? | No | $0 | $0.72 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| TikTok banned in the US by June 30? | No | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will RFK Jr. drop out before September? | Yes | $0 | $0.91 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Trump mentioned fewer than 50 times at the DNC today? | No | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Nikki Haley win the New Hampshire Republican Primary? | No | $0 | $0.93 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will a Republican win Wisconsin US Senate Election? | No | $0 | $0.25 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 143m and 157m? | Yes | $0 | $0.29 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump mention Border the most in South Carolina speech? | No | $0 | $0.28 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will a Democrat win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election? | No | $0 | $0.81 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | $0 | $0.08 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Katie Porter get first place in the California Senate Primary? | Yes | $0 | $0.11 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will another candidate get first place in the California Senate Primary? | Yes | $0 | $0.12 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| 'Deadpool & Wolverine' over $600m by Labor Day? | Yes | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? | Yes | $0 | $0.62 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will a Republican win Wisconsin US Senate Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.91 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| [Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | No | $0 | $0.12 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by June 30? | Yes | $0 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Kamala flips Trump on Silver's Bulletin by Sept 6? | Yes | $0 | $0.62 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross between $85m and $95m opening weekend? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Mike Pompeo be a member of the Trump administration? | No | $0 | $0.80 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will 'Deadpool & Wolverine' gross between $110m and $130m opening weekend? | Yes | $0 | $0.25 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will someone else place 2nd in the 2024 Iowa Caucus? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump place 2nd in the 2024 Iowa Caucus? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will a Trump family member win the 2024 Republican VP nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2024 Republican VP nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Mike Pence win the 2024 Republican VP nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say "Tesla" during Elon interview? | No | $0 | $0.33 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Chiefs vs. Ravens | Chiefs | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Nikki Haley drop out before Super Tuesday? | No | $0 | $0.92 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the December 2024 temperature increase be less than 1.20°C? | Yes | $0 | $0.32 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi? | No | $0 | $0.83 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m? | Yes | $0 | $0.13 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Republicans have between 215 and 219 seats in House after election? | Yes | $0 | $0.22 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Josh Shapiro be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | No | $0 | $0.35 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 Republican VP nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.20-1.24ºC in January 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.25 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce Andrew Yang as running mate? | Yes | $0 | $0.08 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will global temperature increase by less than 1.20ºC in January 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.25 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will 'Smile 2' gross $21-24m opening weekend? | Yes | $0 | $0.33 | $1.00 | $0 |
| 2025 September second hottest on record? | Yes | $0 | $0.92 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the government shutdown end November 13? | No | $0 | $0.72 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | No | $0 | $0.92 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will RFK drop out before November? | Yes | $0 | $0.82 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Beryl hit US as a hurricane? | No | $0 | $0.23 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election? | No | $0 | $0.33 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Biden drops out by July 4? | No | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Bieber Baby: Boy or Girl? | Girl | $0 | $0.11 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Luigi Mangione be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will a candidate from another party win Florida US Senate Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.45 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will 'Dune: Part Two' gross more than $300m by May 15? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m? | Yes | $0 | $0.25 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Marianne Williamson win the New Hampshire Democratic primary? | Yes | $0 | $0.33 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.75 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? | No | $0 | $0.68 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will 'Lilo & Stitch' gross less than $140m opening weekend? | Yes | $0 | $0.33 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| August temperature increase by between 1.20-1.24°C? | Yes | $0 | $0.30 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will there be less than 16 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season? | Yes | $0 | $0.30 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| August temperature increase greater than 1.29°C? | No | $0 | $0.69 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will 'Dune: Part Two' gross between $90m-100m opening weekend? | Yes | $0 | $0.25 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Another Israeli military action against Iran before the election? | Yes | $0 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Byron Donalds win the 2024 Republican VP nomination? | No | $0 | $0.81 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Deadpool & Wolverine' over $200m opening weekend? | Yes | $0 | $0.89 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 480m and 520m by January 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.24 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| August temperature increase by less than 1.15°C? | Yes | $0 | $0.24 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary >15% | Yes | $0 | $0.13 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Global heat increase greater than 1.30°C for 2024? | Yes | $0 | $0.10 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will 'Deadpool & Wolverine' gross less than $110m opening weekend? | Yes | $0 | $0.25 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will 'Deadpool & Wolverine' gross between $130m and $150m opening weekend? | Yes | $0 | $0.25 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the October 2024 temperature increase be between 1.17-1.22°C? | Yes | $0 | $0.19 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2024 Republican VP nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Putin remain President of Russia through March? | Yes | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Biden drops out by July 4? | Yes | $0 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 167m and 177m? | Yes | $0 | $0.32 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Global heat increase between 1.25°C and 1.27°C for 2024? | Yes | $0 | $0.20 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will 'Inside Out 2' gross between $99-108m opening weekend? | Yes | $0 | $0.16 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? | No | $0 | $0.25 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.32 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March? | Yes | $0 | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will there be less than 16 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season? | No | $0 | $0.56 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Trump sentenced to no prison time? | No | $0 | $0.21 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.12 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will May 2024 show an increase between 1.03°C-1.09°C | Yes | $0 | $0.15 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will 'Inside Out 2' gross more than $108m opening weekend? | Yes | $0 | $0.37 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross between $75m and $85m opening weekend? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.36 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say "China" 10 or more times during Pennsylvania rally on October 19? | No | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Doug Burgum win the 2024 Republican VP nomination? | No | $0 | $0.83 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will WIF hit $1 by March 15? | No | $0 | $0.89 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.12 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Was Iggy Azalea hacked? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| RFK Jr. endorses Trump during Friday address? | No | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Robinhood be accused of insider trading? | No | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Santa deliver between 7,900,000,000 and 8,000,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.17 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Santa deliver more than 8,400,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will "Five Nights at Freddy's 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 42m? | Yes | $0 | $0.33 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Santa deliver fewer than 7,900,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.17 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be greater than 50m? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be between 57m and 62m? | Yes | $0 | $0.30 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will "How to Make a Killing" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 2.5m and 3m? | No | $0 | $0.91 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by less than 1%? | Yes | $0 | $0.51 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the US strike Somalia next? | Yes | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| 草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)? | 男人 (Man) | $0 | $0.31 | $0.50 | $0 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | No | $0 | $0.93 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will "I Can Only Imagine 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 8.5m? | No | $0 | $0.91 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 17, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be greater than 67m? | Yes | $0 | $0.11 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Lady Gaga win 3 Grammys? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 45m and 50m? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election? | No | $0 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will "I Can Only Imagine 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 10m? | Yes | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31? | No | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day? | No | $0 | $0.49 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | No | $0 | $0.23 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump and Zelenskyy’s handshake last 2–6 seconds? | Yes | $0 | $0.52 | $1.00 | $0 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will "I Can Only Imagine 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 8.5m? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election? | Yes | $0 | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds? | Yes | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be less than 57m? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will December 2025 be the 2nd hottest on record? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 20-30%? | No | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | Yes | $0 | $0.20 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.85 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.17 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m? | Yes | $0 | $0.26 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | $0 | $0.73 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m? | No | $0 | $0.84 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Axiom be accused of insider trading? | No | $0 | $0.66 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | No | $0 | $0.95 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will "How to Make a Killing" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 6.5m? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m? | Yes | $0 | $0.30 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election? | Yes | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Meteora be accused of insider trading? | No | $0 | $0.82 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will December 2025 be the 4th or lower hottest on record? | Yes | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 90m? | Yes | $0 | $0.44 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m? | Yes | $0 | $0.49 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election? | No | $0 | $0.70 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.24 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will a Democrat win Nevada US Senate Election? | No | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Axiom be accused of insider trading? | Yes | $0 | $0.25 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the November 2024 temperature increase be less than 1.20°C? | Yes | $0 | $0.25 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m? | Yes | $0 | $0.23 | $0.00 | $-0 |
1d ago
BoughtWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes
+$352K@ 1.001d ago
BoughtWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes
+$21K@ 1.001d ago
BoughtWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?No
+$1K@ 1.001d ago
BoughtWill Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?No
+$8K@ 0.991d ago
SoldAWS service disrupted by March 31?Yes
$-1K@ 1.001d ago
SoldWill "Hoppers" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 16.5m?No
$-2K@ 1.001d ago
BoughtWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes
+$94K@ 1.001d ago
BoughtAWS service disrupted by March 31?Yes
+$1K@ 0.971d ago
SoldWill SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?No
$-6K@ 1.001d ago
BoughtWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No
+$3K@ 0.531d ago
SoldWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes
$-2K@ 0.471d ago
SoldWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No
$-8K@ 0.471d ago
SoldUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes
$-20K@ 0.412d ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes
+$15K@ 0.362d ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes
+$6K@ 0.332d ago
BoughtWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No
+$3K@ 0.482d ago
BoughtWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes
+$2K@ 0.472d ago
SoldWill Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)No
$-167K@ 1.002d ago