Weekly Market Digest
Top trades, whale moves, and market insights every Monday
debased
0x24c8cf69a0e0a17eee21f69d29752bfa32e823e1
@debased_PMEliteWhaleHot Streak$100K Club
Trader Score
Win Rate: 52.2%
ROI: 0.3%
Trades: 207
Win Rate
52.2%
108W99L207 total
Open Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Current | PnL |
|---|
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | Yes | $441K | $1.00 | $1.00 | $221 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $100K | $0.50 | $0.37 | $-13K |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | $100K | $0.50 | $0.63 | $13K |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | $33K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-31 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | $22K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-199 |
|
Recent Activity (50)
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes
+$1K@ 0.4722m ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes
+$6K@ 0.1422m ago
BoughtIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?No
+$2K@ 0.891h ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No
+$4K@ 0.851h ago
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | $20K | $0.98 | $0.99 | $124 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | $11K | $0.95 | $0.95 | $48 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | $11K | $0.50 | $0.00 | $-6K |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | $10K | $0.57 | $0.59 | $211 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | Yes | $10K | $0.10 | $0.10 | $32 |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Yes | $10K | $0.33 | $0.48 | $2K |
| Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)? | Yes | $9K | $0.09 | $0.00 | $-836 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Yes | $9K | $0.14 | $0.14 | $-45 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | $9K | $0.32 | $0.32 | $-9 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? | No | $9K | $0.96 | $0.96 | $56 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | $7K | $0.87 | $0.91 | $266 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31? | No | $7K | $0.10 | $0.00 | $-650 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)? | Yes | $7K | $0.12 | $0.00 | $-816 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)? | Yes | $7K | $0.12 | $0.00 | $-816 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)? | Yes | $7K | $0.12 | $0.00 | $-816 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)? | Yes | $7K | $0.12 | $0.00 | $-816 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)? | Yes | $7K | $0.12 | $0.00 | $-816 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)? | Yes | $7K | $0.12 | $0.00 | $-816 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | No | $6K | $0.97 | $0.97 | $10 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | $6K | $0.63 | $0.64 | $28 |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Yes | $6K | $0.68 | $0.52 | $-1K |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | $6K | $0.27 | $0.23 | $-272 |
| Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | $5K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $11 |
| Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | $5K | $0.00 | $0.02 | $82 |
| Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | $5K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $17 |
| Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | $5K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $14 |
| Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | $5K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $3 |
| Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | $5K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $14 |
| Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | $5K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $8 |
| Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished? | Yes | $5K | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-316 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | Yes | $5K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-18 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $5K | $0.06 | $0.05 | $-48 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | No | $4K | $0.86 | $0.86 | $37 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | $4K | $0.89 | $0.92 | $86 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | No | $3K | $0.98 | $0.99 | $42 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15? | Yes | $3K | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-183 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | Yes | $3K | $0.12 | $0.14 | $42 |
| Iran leadership change by March 31? | Yes | $3K | $0.09 | $0.07 | $-88 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | Yes | $3K | $0.08 | $0.00 | $-216 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | No | $3K | $0.50 | $0.53 | $64 |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? | No | $3K | $0.94 | $0.95 | $17 |
| Will Mi, socialisti! (Mi!) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | Yes | $3K | $-0.00 | $0.00 | $3 |
| Will the Slovenian National Party (SNS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | Yes | $3K | $-0.00 | $0.00 | $3 |
| Will New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | Yes | $3K | $-0.00 | $0.00 | $3 |
| Will the Democrats (D) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | Yes | $3K | $-0.00 | $0.00 | $3 |
| Will Our Country (ND) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | Yes | $3K | $-0.00 | $0.00 | $3 |
| Will Prerod – Party of Vladimir Prebilič (PVP) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | Yes | $3K | $-0.00 | $0.00 | $3 |
| Will Vesna – Green Party (Vesna) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | Yes | $3K | $-0.00 | $0.00 | $3 |
| Will the Pirate Party of Slovenia (PPS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | Yes | $3K | $-0.00 | $0.00 | $3 |
| Will the Social Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | Yes | $3K | $-0.00 | $0.00 | $3 |
| Will the Party of Generations (SG) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | Yes | $3K | $-0.00 | $0.00 | $3 |
| Will The Left (Levica) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | Yes | $3K | $-0.00 | $0.00 | $3 |
| Will Resni.ca (Res) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | Yes | $3K | $-0.00 | $0.00 | $3 |
| Will the Slovenian People’s Party (SLS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | Yes | $3K | $-0.00 | $0.00 | $3 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | $3K | $0.38 | $0.34 | $-83 |
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | $3K | $0.36 | $0.34 | $-61 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | $2K | $0.26 | $0.15 | $-263 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by March 31, 2026? | No | $2K | $0.99 | $0.99 | $14 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | $2K | $0.53 | $0.42 | $-226 |
| Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $2K | $0.00 | $0.01 | $11 |
| Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? | Yes | $2K | $0.14 | $0.00 | $-225 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | No | $1K | $0.88 | $0.89 | $19 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | $1K | $0.74 | $0.76 | $22 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | $1K | $0.74 | $0.69 | $-61 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31? | No | $1K | $0.97 | $0.99 | $26 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | Yes | $1K | $0.47 | $0.47 | $6 |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | $1K | $0.20 | $0.57 | $411 |
| Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31? | Yes | $1K | $0.12 | $0.02 | $-112 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Yes | $957 | $0.28 | $0.30 | $19 |
| Will France strike Iran by March 31? | Yes | $951 | $0.12 | $0.01 | $-101 |
| Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | No | $858 | $0.73 | $0.92 | $160 |
| Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? | Yes | $817 | $0.08 | $0.00 | $-62 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | $791 | $0.42 | $0.46 | $32 |
| Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31? | Yes | $779 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-34 |
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | $742 | $0.15 | $0.17 | $11 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | $675 | $0.60 | $0.50 | $-68 |
| Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections? | No | $610 | $0.40 | $0.00 | $-245 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026? | Yes | $558 | $0.05 | $0.02 | $-15 |
| Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | $555 | $0.91 | $0.99 | $44 |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | Yes | $535 | $0.26 | $0.14 | $-62 |
| Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election? | Yes | $519 | $0.21 | $0.00 | $-109 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | No | $446 | $0.92 | $0.93 | $3 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | $444 | $0.51 | $0.79 | $122 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | Yes | $423 | $0.11 | $0.22 | $45 |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | No | $419 | $0.76 | $0.78 | $8 |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | $337 | $0.35 | $0.34 | $-5 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? | No | $327 | $0.82 | $0.99 | $54 |
| Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31? | No | $323 | $0.19 | $0.97 | $254 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | $268 | $0.24 | $0.24 | $1 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | No | $252 | $0.89 | $0.90 | $1 |
| Kurds declare independence from Iran? | No | $250 | $0.82 | $0.85 | $7 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | $234 | $0.78 | $0.85 | $18 |
| Will three people dissent the March Fed decision? | Yes | $221 | $0.17 | $0.00 | $-37 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | $204 | $0.62 | $0.74 | $25 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | $203 | $0.68 | $0.54 | $-29 |
| Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by March 31? | Yes | $186 | $0.21 | $0.09 | $-23 |
| Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15? | No | $125 | $0.95 | $0.98 | $4 |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 18, 2026? | No | $121 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-8 |
| Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election? | No | $68 | $0.16 | $0.00 | $-11 |
| Kurds declare independence from Iran? | Yes | $66 | $0.14 | $0.15 | $1 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 11? | No | $62 | $0.28 | $0.00 | $-17 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? | Yes | $18 | $0.06 | $0.09 | $0 |
| Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | No | $16 | $0.39 | $0.02 | $-6 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | Yes | $15 | $0.35 | $0.56 | $3 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | $13 | $0.63 | $0.66 | $0 |
| Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | Yes | $10 | $0.07 | $0.01 | $-1 |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections? | Yes | $8 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election? | No | $4 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Donald Trump be the next leader out in 2025? | Yes | $1 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump pardon Diddy in his first 100 days? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will a Democrat win California Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | $0 | $0.79 | $0.91 | $0 |
| Will a Democrat win Alabama Presidential Election? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will a Democrat win New Hampshire in the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.80 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Man City win the Premier League? | No | $0 | $0.52 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.81 | $0.86 | $0 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.66 | $0.66 | $-0 |
| Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Texans vs. Bears | Texans | $0 | $0.71 | $1.00 | $0 |
| OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.65 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Toni Kroos win the Ballon d’Or? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will a Democrat win Alaska Presidential Election? | No | $0 | $0.93 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Bournemouth vs. Arsenal end in a draw? | No | $0 | $0.76 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Leicester win on 2024-10-19? | Yes | $0 | $0.30 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Powell say "good afternoon" during January press conference? | No | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 155-214 | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and BSW form the next German Government? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | Yes | $0 | $0.14 | $0.32 | $0 |
| Trump out as President in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.95 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Shōgun wins Best Drama Series? - Emmys | No | $0 | $0.08 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Democrats win popular vote by 0-1%? | Yes | $0 | $0.11 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Harry Kane win the Ballon d’Or? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Seahawks vs. Dolphins | Seahawks | $0 | $0.66 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Arsenal beat Tottenham? | Yes | $0 | $0.41 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| TikTok sale announced by March 31? | Yes | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Swell airdrop by September 30? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? | Yes | $0 | $0.30 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Biden say "Drop out" during July 11 press conference? | No | $0 | $0.59 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump be Speaker by July 1? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Israel x Turkey military clash in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will MAGA reach $1b first? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say "border czar" at debate? | No | $0 | $0.17 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Matt Gaetz be expelled from Congress before May? | No | $0 | $0.93 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" at his rally? | No | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Rams vs. 49ers | Rams | $0 | $0.27 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Fernando Filoni be the next pope? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| SBF sentenced to life? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Mark Kelly be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.86 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Biden say "Old" at DNC speech? | No | $0 | $0.20 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Ilya join Apple? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Biden senile during the debate? | Yes | $0 | $0.20 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024? | Yes | $0 | $0.48 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Aston Villa beat Ipswich Town? | No | $0 | $0.50 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Kamala get more votes than Biden? | Yes | $0 | $0.32 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | No | $0 | $0.67 | $0.70 | $0 |
| China coup attempt in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Man City win on 2024-10-20? | Yes | $0 | $0.74 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Pennsylvania be the tipping point state? | Yes | $0 | $0.33 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee? | No | $0 | $0.71 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Bills vs. Cardinals | Cardinals | $0 | $0.27 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will $MOODENG be listed first on Binance? | No | $0 | $0.45 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Baldassare Reina be the next pope? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Chelsea beat Brighton? | Yes | $0 | $0.56 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Obama say "Muslim" at DNC speech? | Yes | $0 | $0.17 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say "Barron" during the X space? | Yes | $0 | $0.42 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the NDA win 376-400 seats? | No | $0 | $0.28 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? | Yes | $0 | $0.85 | $1.00 | $0 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 6-7%? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2024? | No | $0 | $0.93 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Kamala Harris wins a solid red state? | Yes | $0 | $0.18 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump win 7 swing states? | Yes | $0 | $0.19 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the fight go the distance? | No | $0 | $0.63 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.93 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump say "Comrade Kamala" at debate? | No | $0 | $0.58 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Texans vs. Jaguars | Jaguars | $0 | $0.29 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by October 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Tyson vs. Paul - knockout in first 10 seconds? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Who will drink water first at the debate? | Trump | $0 | $0.45 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize? | Yes | $0 | $0.19 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Tottenham vs. Arsenal end in a draw? | No | $0 | $0.73 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Apple invest in OpenAI in 2024? | No | $0 | $0.41 | $1.00 | $0 |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 0-4 | Yes | $0 | $0.09 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will AC Milan win the UEFA Champions League? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican VP nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Aston Villa beat Ipswich Town? | Yes | $0 | $0.50 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Fridolin Ambongo Besungu be the next pope? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump pardon SBF in his first 100 days? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Democratic sweep? | Yes | $0 | $0.83 | $1.00 | $0 |
| U.S. military action against Iran by August 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Chase bank explosion an inside job? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Netherlands vs. England - Who will advance? | England | $0 | $0.55 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Michelle Obama be D-nom for VP on Election Day? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary >15% | Yes | $0 | $0.16 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Eric Adams out as NYC mayor by Friday? | Yes | $0 | $0.25 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Gina Raimondo be D-nom for VP on Election Day? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will a Democrat win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.82 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Ethereum ETF approved in 2024? | No | $0 | $0.75 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will BTC hit $100,000 in March? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Ansem vs. Barney | Ansem | $0 | $0.49 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 8-14? | No | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 Republican VP nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | No | $0 | $0.51 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 215+ | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Dolphins vs. Bills | Bills | $0 | $0.43 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Marine Le Pen next Prime Minister of France? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election? | Yes | $0 | $0.08 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Dani Carvajal win the Ballon d’Or? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump win 1 swing state? | Yes | $0 | $0.08 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Slovakia Presidential Election: Will Štefan Harabin win? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Slovakia Presidential Election: Will Igor Matovič win? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Slovakia Presidential Election: Will Ján Kubiš win? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| 草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)? | 女人 (Woman) | $0 | $0.56 | $0.50 | $-0 |
| Will Mircea Geoană win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2024? | No | $0 | $0.59 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days? | Yes | $0 | $0.09 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say "doge" or "Dogecoin" during his inauguration speech? | No | $0 | $0.89 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Benfica win the UEFA Champions League? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | Yes | $0 | $0.35 | $0.35 | $0 |
| Will Arsenal beat Leicester City? | No | $0 | $0.17 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Iran Nuke by July 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day? | No | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Brooklyn Nets win the Eastern Conference? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections? | Yes | $0 | $0.87 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 2 times in 2024? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Shark Cat reach $1b first? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will HOBBES reach $1b first? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Garland releases Biden-Hur tape by August 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will another team win La Liga? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Elon Musk buy MSNBC? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Hillary Clinton be D-nom for VP on Election Day? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Girona win La Liga 2023-24? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| New Pope in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.62 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| JD & Usha Vance divorce before election? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Kamala say "McDonald's" at debate? | Yes | $0 | $0.13 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Fact Check: Was it a real gun? | No | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Biden resign before the election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Aleo airdrop in Q1 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | Yes | $0 | $0.13 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Biden say "MAGA" at DNC speech? | No | $0 | $0.52 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| China coup attempt in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will anyone audibly fart during tariff event on April 2? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Anna Kanopatskaya win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Ansem vs. Bitboy - Crypto Fight Night | Ansem | $0 | $0.38 | $0.50 | $0 |
| Will RB Leipzig win the UEFA Champions League? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say "Springfield" during his Nevada rally? | No | $0 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Vikings vs. 49ers | Vikings | $0 | $0.31 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Spain win Eurovision 2024? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34 | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Barcelona win against PSG? | Yes | $0 | $0.24 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will US attack Yemen in 2023? | Yes | $0 | $0.36 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Manchester City wins the Premier League? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Trump and Biden shake hands at first debate? | Yes | $0 | $0.40 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Israel invade Lebanon before March? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Biden say "Resign" at DNC speech? | Yes | $0 | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Nasrallah remains leader of Hezbollah through August? | No | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.95 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Trump Admin confirms Aliens exist in first 100 days? | No | $0 | $0.95 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Ipswich Town vs. Aston Villa end in a draw? | No | $0 | $0.73 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Josh Shapiro be D-nom for VP on Election Day? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Dragan Primorac be the next President of Croatia? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.02 | $-0 |
| Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden? | No | $0 | $0.47 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Brighton beat Chelsea? | Yes | $0 | $0.21 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Hillary Clinton announce presidential run before DNC? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Japan wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Biden drop out on July 21? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Pavel Durov released before October? | No | $0 | $0.16 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Japan wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Chelsea wins the Premier League? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump win 3 swing states? | No | $0 | $0.89 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Red Star Belgrade win the UEFA Champions League? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say "Springfield" at debate? | No | $0 | $0.73 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Ethena crash in 2024? | Yes | $0 | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say "drill baby drill" at debate? | Yes | $0 | $0.33 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Wisconsin be the tipping point state? | Yes | $0 | $0.14 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US national Solana reserve in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.82 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Club Brugge win the UEFA Champions League? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Valencia CF win La Liga? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Jets vs. Patriots | Jets | $0 | $0.70 | $1.00 | $0 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%? | Yes | $0 | $0.11 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Spain win the 2024 Euros? | No | $0 | $0.66 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Katie Britt win the 2024 Republican VP nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will another player win the Ballon d'Or? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| [Single Market] Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | No | $0 | $0.89 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Elon tweet 55-64 times? | Yes | $0 | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Miami Heat win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump be Speaker by October 1? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Biden confirmed to have Parkison's by July 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Manchester United finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Kamala Harris divorce in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.87 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Walz say "debate" at DNC speech? | No | $0 | $0.47 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US national XRP reserve in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.67 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.22 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.59 | $1.00 | $0 |
| West Ham United wins the Premier League? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Reform wins the most seats in next UK election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Priti Patel be next UK prime minister? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Ethena USDe flips USDC market cap in 2024? | Yes | $0 | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.17 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, R House | Yes | $0 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will RC Celta de Vigo win La Liga? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will US leave NATO by June 30? | No | $0 | $0.92 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | Yes | $0 | $0.13 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Trump nominates Tulsi Gabbard to Cabinet? | No | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Biden be impeached by March 31, 2024? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | Yes | $0 | $0.17 | $0.09 | $-0 |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will a Republican win Ohio Presidential Election? | No | $0 | $0.10 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Kamala Harris say "Context" during DNC speech? | No | $0 | $0.65 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Ethereum all time high in 2024? | Yes | $0 | $0.60 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| OpenAI public release of search product by Friday? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will another candidate win? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will someone else be inaugurated? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Southampton vs. Leicester end in a draw? | No | $0 | $0.72 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.93 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Nawaz Sharif be next prime minister of Pakistan? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Tucker Carlson be arrested before April? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Israel military response against Iran in October? | No | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Nottingham Forest wins the Premier League? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Monaco win the UEFA Champions League? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will TREMP reach $1b first? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| France wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Packers vs. Colts | Packers | $0 | $0.40 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Tottenham beat Arsenal? | No | $0 | $0.67 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days? | Yes | $0 | $0.40 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency? | No | $0 | $0.60 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Giants vs. Cowboys | Giants | $0 | $0.33 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | Yes | $0 | $0.19 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Haiti intervention in March? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will another woman be the Democratic Presidential Nominee? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-07? | Yes | $0 | $0.64 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be between 11–11.5m? | Yes | $0 | $0.17 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Hamas lose power in Gaza before February? | Yes | $0 | $0.39 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will J.B. Pritzker be D-nom for VP on Election Day? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2024? | No | $0 | $0.79 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Israel announces ceasefire by January 17? | Yes | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump say "Weird" during Elon interview? | No | $0 | $0.55 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump say "abortion" at debate? | No | $0 | $0.17 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024? | Yes | $0 | $0.09 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Wolves beat Liverpool? | No | $0 | $0.89 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Falcons vs. Chiefs | Falcons | $0 | $0.39 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Turkiye win Group F? | No | $0 | $0.82 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will a Republican win Maryland Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Israel announces ceasefire by Sunday? | Yes | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 Republican Presidential Nomination? | No | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will there be 155,000,000-160,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.58 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Andrés Ojeda win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election? | Yes | $0 | $-0.02 | $0.00 | $0 |
| Will Chelsea beat Brighton? | No | $0 | $0.44 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Drift airdrop by June 30? | No | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023? | No | $0 | $0.62 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Israel target an Iranian nuclear facility? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Kamala flips a 2020 Trump state? | No | $0 | $0.57 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Feyenoord win the UEFA Champions League? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Vikings vs. Texans | Vikings | $0 | $0.45 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals? | No | $0 | $0.73 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Tom Tugendhat be next UK prime minister? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Biden drop out by Friday? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Biden be impeached by March 31, 2024? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | $0 | $0.63 | $0.65 | $0 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April? | No | $0 | $0.95 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.85 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the match between Leicester City and Bournemouth end in a draw? | Yes | $0 | $0.25 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Saints vs. Panthers | Panthers | $0 | $0.35 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will there be another debate? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Sparta Prague win the UEFA Champions League? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Athletic Bilbao win La Liga? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will AC Milan beat Liverpool? | Yes | $0 | $0.16 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days? | No | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Democrats nominate Prez candidate by August 7? | Yes | $0 | $0.95 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Bayer Leverkusen win the UEFA Champions League? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Washington Wizards win the Eastern Conference? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 1-4 | Yes | $0 | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers win the Premier League? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump win 5 swing states? | No | $0 | $0.81 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024? | Yes | $0 | $0.23 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104 | Yes | $0 | $0.19 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Crystal Palace vs. Manchester United end in a draw? | No | $0 | $0.73 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Bengals vs. Commanders | Bengals | $0 | $0.75 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will a candidate from another party win Oregon Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 23? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will BTC or ETH reach all-time high first? | ETH | $0 | $0.31 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Girona win La Liga 2023-24? | No | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trygve Slagsvold Vedum become the next Prime Minister of Norway? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Trump in jail before inauguration? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Euro 2024: Favorite fails to advance beyond group stage? | Yes | $0 | $0.25 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| DeepSeek banned in US before July? | No | $0 | $0.85 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Commanders vs. Giants | Giants | $0 | $0.46 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.78 | $0.88 | $0 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the Eastern Conference? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the HBO documentary identify Elon Musk as Satoshi? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Newcastle beat Manchester City? | Yes | $0 | $0.17 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Candidates seated at ABC debate? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Monkeypox pandemic in 2024? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Ion Chicu win the 2024 Moldova presidential election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Biden vs. Trump Debate Winner - CNN Poll | Biden | $0 | $0.71 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Champions League: Arsenal vs Bayern Munich | Bayern | $0 | $0.55 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Sweden join NATO by January 31? | No | $0 | $0.74 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Crystal Palace wins the Premier League? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024? | Yes | $0 | $0.88 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? | Yes | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Kim Moon-soo win 3rd place in the South Korean presidential election? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| [Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | No | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Aston Villa wins the Premier League? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | No | $0 | $0.86 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Manchester City beat Newcastle? | No | $0 | $0.38 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Ukraine aid package in February? | No | $0 | $0.95 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Trump sentenced to between 24 and 35 months prison time? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Villarreal CF win La Liga? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg be the Democratic Presidential Nominee? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will another candidate win the 2024 Moldova presidential election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Charlotte Hornets win the Eastern Conference? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump win Tennessee Republican Primary? | No | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will SPÖ win the most seats in the 2024 Austrian legislative election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will a Trump family member win the 2024 Republican VP nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election? | Republican | $0 | $0.54 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Cowboys vs. Ravens | Cowboys | $0 | $0.48 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul? | Yes | $0 | $0.86 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Democrats win popular vote by 5-6%? | Yes | $0 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Dolphins vs. Jaguars | Jaguars | $0 | $0.37 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Brighton beat Chelsea? | No | $0 | $0.77 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Bayer Leverkusen win the Europa League? | No | $0 | $0.53 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Hunter Biden in jail before election day? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Stuttgart win the UEFA Champions League? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Kamala flips Trump on Silver Bulletin by Sept 30? | Yes | $0 | $0.57 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Liverpool vs. Bournemouth end in a draw? | Yes | $0 | $0.14 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will another candidate win the 2024 Uruguay presidential election? | Yes | $0 | $-0.02 | $0.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump say "China" 5 or more times on The Joe Rogan Experience? | No | $0 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Bologna win the UEFA Champions League? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Swell airdrop by June 30? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Stade Brestois win the UEFA Champions League? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: September | No | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Who will advance: Barcelona or PSG? | Barcelona | $0 | $0.44 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Croatia win the 2024 Euros? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Another Israeli military action against Iran before the election? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Bears vs. Rams | Bears | $0 | $0.59 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024? | Yes | $0 | $0.34 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Byron Donalds win the 2024 Republican VP nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Champions League: Man City vs Real Madrid | Madrid | $0 | $0.26 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Martin Shkreli jail in 2024? | Yes | $0 | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Mark Kelly be the Democratic Presidential Nominee? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer be D-nom for VP on Election Day? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| 4+ Trump vs. Harris debates before election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Satoshi Nakamoto's identity not be proven in 2024? | Yes | $0 | $0.87 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.41 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Samuel Doria Medina win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | No | $0 | $0.90 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Cardinals vs. Lions | Lions | $0 | $0.58 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025 | Yes | $0 | $0.85 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Kylian Mbappe win the Ballon d’Or? | Yes | $0 | $0.11 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64 | Yes | $0 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| France wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will a Democrat win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election? | No | $0 | $0.15 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Beyoncé perform at the DNC? | Yes | $0 | $0.08 | $0.00 | $-0 |
BoughtIran leadership change by March 31?Yes
+$2K@ 0.071h ago
BoughtWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes
+$22K@ 1.001h ago
SoldUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes
$-5K@ 0.531h ago
SoldUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes
$-3K@ 0.241h ago
SoldKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?No
$-2K@ 0.941h ago
SoldKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?Yes
$-2K@ 0.071h ago
SoldWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No
$-440K@ 0.632h ago
SoldWill J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes
$-440K@ 0.372h ago
BoughtWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Yes
+$389K@ 1.002h ago
SoldNetanyahu out by June 30?Yes
$-4K@ 0.102h ago
SoldNetanyahu out by April 30?No
$-2K@ 0.962h ago
SoldWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No
$-3K@ 0.972h ago
SoldWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?No
$-3K@ 0.662h ago
SoldWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
$-3K@ 0.032h ago
SoldNetanyahu out by June 30?No
$-3K@ 0.902h ago
SoldNetanyahu out by April 30?Yes
$-2K@ 0.042h ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No
+$1K@ 0.472h ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes
+$2K@ 0.282h ago
SoldWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No
$-5K@ 0.793h ago
BoughtWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes
+$2K@ 0.323h ago
BoughtWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes
+$1K@ 0.324h ago
SoldWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No
$-1K@ 0.795h ago
SoldWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No
$-1K@ 0.796h ago
BoughtNetanyahu out by June 30?No
+$1K@ 0.906h ago
BoughtWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
+$3K@ 0.036h ago
SoldWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No
$-2K@ 0.797h ago
BoughtNetanyahu out by June 30?Yes
+$1K@ 0.107h ago
SoldWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No
$-2K@ 0.798h ago
BoughtNetanyahu out by June 30?No
+$1K@ 0.908h ago
BoughtNetanyahu out by April 30?Yes
+$1K@ 0.048h ago
BoughtNetanyahu out by June 30?Yes
+$2K@ 0.109h ago
SoldUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes
$-5K@ 0.179h ago
SoldWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No
$-8K@ 0.7910h ago
BoughtWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
+$2K@ 0.9510h ago
BoughtNetanyahu out by June 30?Yes
+$1K@ 0.1010h ago
BoughtTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?No
+$2K@ 0.5710h ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes
+$1K@ 0.1710h ago
BoughtNetanyahu out by June 30?Yes
+$2K@ 0.1011h ago
SoldIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?Yes
$-5K@ 0.1211h ago
SoldUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No
$-2K@ 0.6911h ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes
+$2K@ 0.5111h ago
SoldUS forces enter Iran by March 31?No
$-2K@ 0.8511h ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes
+$5K@ 0.1711h ago
SoldUS forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes
$-2K@ 0.1211h ago
SoldUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes
$-2K@ 0.3211h ago
BoughtTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Yes
+$1K@ 0.1711h ago