Weekly Market Digest
Top trades, whale moves, and market insights every Monday
H
HotChili
0x216509be5332c6037105b4f871966eb97240f598
Get embed widgetEliteSharpshooterWhaleHot Streak
Trader Score
Win Rate: 84.9%
ROI: 0.0%
Trades: 53
Win Rate
84.9%
45W8L53 total
Open Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Current | PnL |
|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | $700K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $350 |
| Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | $89K | $0.00 | $0.01 | $312 |
| Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Yes | $30K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-447 |
| Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | $10K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-5 |
| Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | $8K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $21 |
| Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? |
Recent Activity (50)
SoldWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
$-23K@ 0.0025m ago
SoldWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
$-24K@ 0.001h ago
SoldWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
$-10K@ 0.002h ago
SoldWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
$-26K
| Will LGD Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? | Yes | $4K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $9 |
| Will Nongshim RedForce win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? | Yes | $4K | $0.00 | $0.04 | $147 |
| Will Scream 7 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | $4K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-16 |
| Will KT Rolster win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? | Yes | $2K | $0.01 | $0.02 | $25 |
| Will EDward Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? | Yes | $2K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-9 |
| Will ThunderTalk Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? | Yes | $2K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-16 |
| Will Ultra Prime win the LPL 2026 season? | Yes | $2K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-17 |
| Will Oh My God win the LPL 2026 season? | Yes | $2K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-12 |
| Will Royal Never Give Up win the LPL 2026 season? | Yes | $2K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-17 |
| Will Ninjas in Pyjamas win the LPL 2026 season? | Yes | $2K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-14 |
| Will Team WE win the LPL 2026 season? | Yes | $2K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-9 |
| Will Freecs win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? | Yes | $2K | $0.00 | $0.01 | $13 |
| Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | $1K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $4 |
| Will Rennes win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1? | Yes | $1K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-1 |
| Will LNG Esports win the LPL 2026 season? | Yes | $1K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-4 |
| Will a team from CBLOL (Brazil) win LoL Worlds 2026? | Yes | $1K | $0.00 | $0.02 | $22 |
| Will Bryce Reeves be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | Yes | $1K | $0.29 | $0.01 | $-277 |
| Will a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026? | Yes | $618 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $4 |
| Will Project Hail Mary have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | $614 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-2 |
| Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $565 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | $433 | $0.02 | $0.01 | $-7 |
| Will a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026? | Yes | $388 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $1 |
| Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | $288 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $1 |
| Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026? | Yes | $124 | $0.01 | $0.08 | $9 |
| Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $100 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Bonk Guy mindshare all time high by March 31? | Yes | $70 | $0.05 | $0.15 | $7 |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $60 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| CZ mindshare all time high by March 31? | Yes | $39 | $0.03 | $0.02 | $-0 |
| Theo FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | $20 | $0.51 | $0.99 | $10 |
| Will BRION win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? | Yes | $10 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets | Pittsburgh Pirates | $6 | $0.20 | $0.38 | $1 |
| Will DRX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? | Yes | $5 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $5 | $0.01 | $0.02 | $0 |
| Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $5 | $0.01 | $0.02 | $0 |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $5 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $5 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $5 | $0.01 | $0.02 | $0 |
| Arthur_0x mindshare all time high by March 31? | Yes | $2 | $0.05 | $0.09 | $0 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Minnesota Twins | Tampa Bay Rays | $1 | $0.20 | $1.00 | $1 |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $1 | $0.02 | $0.04 | $0 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | No | $0 | $0.51 | $0.52 | $0 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.39 | $0 |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | $0 | $0.69 | $0.45 | $-0 |
| Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.07 | $0.07 | $0 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.10 | $0 |
| Orioles vs. Braves | Orioles | $0 | $0.25 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.12 | $0 |
| Twins vs. Rays | Rays | $0 | $0.51 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Michelle Obama be D-nom for VP on Election Day? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Elon tweet 110–124 times May 30–June 6? | Yes | $0 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Lucknow Super Giants vs. Royal Challengers Bangalore | Lucknow Super Giants | $0 | $0.40 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.28 | $0 |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.03 | $0 |
| Rockets vs. Spurs | Spurs | $0 | $0.43 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.17 | $0 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | $0 | $0.16 | $0.09 | $-0 |
| Mariners vs. Blue Jays | Blue Jays | $0 | $0.20 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-30? | Yes | $0 | $0.11 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.11 | $0 |
| Will there be no coalition by October 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | No | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Wolves vs. Manchester City end in a draw? | Yes | $0 | $0.18 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Twins vs. Rays | Twins | $0 | $0.25 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.23 | $0 |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Elon tweet 140–154 times May 30–June 6? | Yes | $0 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 1 Winner | T1 | $0 | $0.01 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on May 31? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-09-13? | Yes | $0 | $0.11 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Nuggets vs. Bucks | Bucks | $0 | $0.53 | $1.00 | $0 |
| White Sox vs. Dodgers | White Sox | $0 | $0.25 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.07 | $0 |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.04 | $0 |
| Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 70-72%? | Yes | $0 | $0.08 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.95 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 740+ tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.92 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.95 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.90 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.90 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.90 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| U.S. forces seize another oil ship by January 24, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.17 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Utah vs. Predators | Predators | $0 | $0.18 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will The Weeknd be the top Spotify artist for 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on May 31? | No | $0 | $0.20 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.05 | $0 |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| Will Union Berlin win on 2025-08-31? | Yes | $0 | $0.12 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2 | Dubois | $0 | $0.16 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will the Florida Panthers win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Yes | $0 | $0.50 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Royal Challengers Bangalore vs. Sunrisers Hyderabad | Sunrisers Hyderabad | $0 | $0.25 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET | Down | $0 | $0.70 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Yankees vs. Mets | Yankees | $0 | $0.25 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Giants vs. Diamondbacks | Diamondbacks | $0 | $0.25 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Angels vs. Blue Jays | Angels | $0 | $0.25 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.15 | $0 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114,000 and $116,000 on October 26? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Nationals vs. Brewers | Nationals | $0 | $0.34 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will a Democrat win Nebraska US Senate Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Elon tweet 200–214 times May 30–June 6? | Yes | $0 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds | Cincinnati Reds | $0 | $0.20 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles | Toronto Blue Jays | $0 | $0.39 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland? | Yes | $0 | $0.50 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Angels vs. Blue Jays | Angels | $0 | $0.36 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Elon tweet 95–109 times May 30–June 6? | Yes | $0 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Rockies vs. Dodgers | Rockies | $0 | $0.23 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.70 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2? | No | $0 | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | No | $0 | $0.73 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Lee Jun-seok win between 5% and 8% of the vote in the South Korea election? | Yes | $0 | $0.10 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will the Red Bloc win by 4–7 seats? | Yes | $0 | $0.06 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Cardinals vs. Cubs | Cardinals | $0 | $0.40 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Invictus Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Twins vs. Guardians | Guardians | $0 | $0.60 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Brewers vs. Cubs | Brewers | $0 | $0.44 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Weibo Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.03 | $0 |
| Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Athletics vs. Rays | Athletics | $0 | $0.25 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.37 | $0.24 | $-0 |
| Will Wolves win on 2025-09-13? | Yes | $0 | $0.12 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be more than 72%? | Yes | $0 | $0.08 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Cardinals vs. Cubs | Cardinals | $0 | $0.25 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | $0 | $0.95 | $0.97 | $0 |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | $0 | $0.96 | $0.90 | $-0 |
| Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $0.99 | $0 |
| Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | $0 | $0.91 | $0.97 | $0 |
| Dodgers vs. Reds | Reds | $0 | $0.38 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Blue Jays vs. Yankees Series Winner | Yankees | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the top 3 players drafted be Ward, Hunter, and Abdul Carter? | No | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 4-8%? | Yes | $0 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2025 World Series? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.07 | $0 |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker? | No | $0 | $0.40 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.06 | $0 |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.05 | $0 |
| Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0 |
| Will Elon tweet 170–184 times May 30–June 6? | Yes | $0 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | $0 | $0.76 | $0.98 | $0 |
| Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.09 | $0 |
| Will the HBO documentary identify Wei Dai as Satoshi? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Elon tweet 125–139 times May 30–June 6? | Yes | $0 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Benson Kipruto win the 2025 Men's New York City Marathon? | No | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0 |
| Royal Challengers Bangalore vs. Sunrisers Hyderabad | Sunrisers Hyderabad | $0 | $0.25 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.02 | $-0 |
| Will JD Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.14 | $0 |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 45-50% of the vote in the South Korea election? | Yes | $0 | $0.07 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.17 | $0 |
| Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $0.98 | $0 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 24? | Yes | $0 | $0.21 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by over 12%? | Yes | $0 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Rockies vs. Brewers | Rockies | $0 | $0.25 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $0 | $0.33 | $0.36 | $0 |
| Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Angers win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Royals vs. Mariners | Mariners | $0 | $0.25 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | $0 | $0.03 | $0.29 | $0 |
| Will the Labor Party win by 40 or more seats? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Peter Dutton lose his seat? | Yes | $0 | $0.32 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Jacob Fearnley vs Andrey Rublev | Fearnley | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.04 | $0 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $0 | $0.38 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will France win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | No | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Starmer out before July? | Yes | $0 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Linea airdrop in Q2 2025? | No | $0 | $0.61 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 13? | Up | $0 | $0.40 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Zelensky wear suit next Trump meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.25 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Rockies vs. Red Sox | Rockies | $0 | $0.25 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Brewers vs. Nationals | Brewers | $0 | $0.57 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.02 | $0 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | No | $0 | $0.63 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Tigers vs. White Sox | White Sox | $0 | $0.42 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Lee Jun-seok win between 11% and 14% of the vote in the South Korea election? | Yes | $0 | $0.10 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will 1 QB, 1 DB, 1 EDGE, 1 OT, and 1 RB, be taken with the first 5 picks of the 2025 NFL Draft? | No | $0 | $0.55 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 50-55% of the vote in the South Korea election? | Yes | $0 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0 |
| Will Elon tweet 80–94 times May 30–June 6? | Yes | $0 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks | High Point Panthers | $0 | $0.20 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| Phillies vs. Giants | Giants | $0 | $0.43 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Red Sox vs. Nationals | Nationals | $0 | $0.25 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Sharks vs. Stars | Sharks | $0 | $0.19 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | $0 | $0.58 | $0.61 | $0 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.21 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Mariners vs. Tigers | Mariners | $0 | $0.30 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will the HBO documentary identify Gavin Wood as Satoshi? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Estonia win Eurovision 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Raptors vs. Pacers | Raptors | $0 | $0.57 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Rockies vs. Reds | Rockies | $0 | $0.25 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will egg prices be between $5.25 and $5.50 in April? | No | $0 | $0.70 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Burnley FC win on 2025-09-14? | Yes | $0 | $0.08 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Reds vs. Red Sox | Red Sox | $0 | $0.25 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| XRP all time high by December 31? | No | $0 | $0.02 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Elon tweet 150–174 times May 23–30? | Yes | $0 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Liverpool vs. Bournemouth end in a draw? | Yes | $0 | $0.14 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Elon tweet 155–169 times May 30–June 6? | Yes | $0 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Adrienne Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Rudy Giuliani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will CeeDee Lamb win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will RFK Jr. win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Karol Nawrocki win by over 8%? | Yes | $0 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Diamondbacks vs. Tigers | Tigers | $0 | $0.54 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Lee Jun-seok win more than 14% of the vote in the South Korea election? | Yes | $0 | $0.10 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Phillies vs. Dodgers Series Winner | Phillies | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Neither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Panthers win Super Bowl 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 250 times August 15–August 22? | No | $0 | $0.50 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Pirates vs. Mariners | Pirates | $0 | $0.50 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%? | Yes | $0 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Sunderland win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Elon tweet 250–274 times August 15–August 22? | Yes | $0 | $0.50 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| FDA approves PharmaTher Holdings’ Ketamine? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 22? | Yes | $0 | $0.13 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Tigers vs. Nationals | Nationals | $0 | $0.33 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Thunder vs. 76ers | Thunder | $0 | $0.35 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Red Sox vs. Yankees | Red Sox | $0 | $0.26 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.13 | $0 |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.02 | $0 |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.03 | $0 |
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.02 | $0 |
| Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.02 | $0 |
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Fantasy Football: Fields vs. Rodgers - Week 1 | Rodgers | $0 | $0.08 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Vinicius Junior join a Saudi club? | Yes | $0 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| OpenSea airdrop before July? | Yes | $0 | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will another candidate be D-nom for VP on Election Day? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $100 end of November? | No | $0 | $0.15 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be between 68-70%? | Yes | $0 | $0.08 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Twins vs. Rays | Rays | $0 | $0.25 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Orioles vs. Rangers | Rangers | $0 | $0.25 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Cardinals vs. Pirates | Pirates | $0 | $0.25 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $-0.01 | $0.00 | $0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $-0.01 | $0.00 | $0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $-0.01 | $0.00 | $0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $-0.01 | $0.00 | $0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $-0.01 | $0.00 | $0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $-0.01 | $0.00 | $0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $-0.01 | $0.00 | $0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $-0.01 | $0.00 | $0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $-0.01 | $0.00 | $0 |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-14? | Yes | $0 | $0.10 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.05 | $0 |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.02 | $-0 |
| Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $0.98 | $-0 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting? | No | $0 | $0.11 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Yankees vs. Twins | Twins | $0 | $0.21 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Blue Jays vs. Rays | Rays | $0 | $0.21 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on May 16? | Up | $0 | $0.50 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 8-11%? | Yes | $0 | $0.06 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 72-73°F on July 8? | No | $0 | $0.51 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner engaged in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.30 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Yankees vs. Marlins | Yankees | $0 | $0.51 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Anthony Richardson win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer be D-nom for VP on Election Day? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in January? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Royals vs. Marlins | Royals | $0 | $0.25 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Elon tweet 215–229 times May 30–June 6? | Yes | $0 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by February 28, 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.05 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11? | Down | $0 | $0.38 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 8-12%? | Yes | $0 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during Norway PM events on April 24? | No | $0 | $0.34 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | $0 | $0.84 | $0.85 | $0 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: Other | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Kamala Harris be D-nom for VP on Election Day? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| MLS: Will Houston vs. LA Galaxy end in a draw? | Yes | $0 | $0.14 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.09 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will HNP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-08-31? | Yes | $0 | $0.13 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Yankees vs. Blue Jays | Blue Jays | $0 | $0.25 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | $0 | $0.78 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Rays vs. Blue Jays | Rays | $0 | $0.21 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0 |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will any other Republican Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will FARTCOIN be listed on Robinhood before June? | Yes | $0 | $0.20 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Atalanta beat Roma? | No | $0 | $0.47 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will a 3rd party candidate win the popular vote or the Presidency? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Joe Biden be D-nom for VP on Election Day? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump announce Roger W. Ferguson Jr. as next Fed Chair in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Fulham wins the Premier League? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Nikki Haley win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Lorient win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trevor Lawrence win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Arsenal FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw? | Yes | $0 | $0.31 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Cardinals vs. Cubs | Cubs | $0 | $0.21 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Arsenal vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw? | Yes | $0 | $0.18 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.02 | $0 |
| Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.02 | $0 |
| Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.03 | $0 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.04 | $0 |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.03 | $0 |
| Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will the Browns win Super Bowl 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Altay Esports (BO3) | Altay Esports | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Elon tweet 175–199 times May 23–30? | Yes | $0 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Brian Rast win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? | No | $0 | $0.92 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 10? | Up | $0 | $0.47 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will the HBO documentary identify Jed McCaleb as Satoshi? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| 2025 September hottest on record? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Italian Citizenship Residency Requirement Referendum | Yes | $0 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals? | No | $0 | $0.86 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | No | $0 | $0.92 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | No | $0 | $0.86 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | No | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals? | No | $0 | $0.50 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Pirates vs. Mariners | Mariners | $0 | $0.50 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Pirates vs. Twins | Twins | $0 | $0.61 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the HBO documentary identify Shinichi Mochizuki as Satoshi? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Matthew Stafford win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0 |
| Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| Will Barack Obama attend Pope Francis' funeral? | Yes | $0 | $0.22 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Boxing: Will Dubois win by Decision? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) | Weibo Gaming | $0 | $0.10 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 World Series? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Knicks vs. 76ers | 76ers | $0 | $0.15 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the HBO documentary identify Craig Wright as Satoshi? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Red Bloc win by 16 or more seats? | Yes | $0 | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.02 | $0 |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series? | Yes | $0 | $0.50 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.02 | $0 |
| Reds vs. Nationals | Reds | $0 | $0.54 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 56°F or below on May 8? | No | $0 | $0.40 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Gujarat Titans vs. Chennai Super Kings | Chennai Super Kings | $0 | $0.25 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET | Up | $0 | $0.85 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Jayden Daniels start Week 1 for Commanders? | No | $0 | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Spread: Bulls (-2.5) | Pelicans | $0 | $0.54 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the HBO documentary identify David Kleiman as Satoshi? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-11? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Union Berlin win the 2025–26 Bundesliga? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
@ 0.00
3h ago
SoldWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
$-33K@ 0.004h ago
SoldWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
$-28K@ 0.005h ago
SoldWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
$-33K@ 0.006h ago
SoldWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
$-108K@ 0.007h ago
BoughtWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
+$141K@ 0.008h ago
BoughtWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
+$4K@ 0.009h ago
BoughtWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
+$53K@ 0.0010h ago
BoughtWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
+$24K@ 0.0011h ago
BoughtWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
+$14K@ 0.0012h ago
BoughtWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
+$2K@ 0.0013h ago
BoughtWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
+$7K@ 0.0018h ago
BoughtWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
+$2K@ 0.0019h ago
BoughtWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
+$13K@ 0.0020h ago
BoughtWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
+$17K@ 0.0021h ago
BoughtWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
+$33K@ 0.0022h ago
BoughtWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
+$7K@ 0.0023h ago
BoughtWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
+$29K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
+$26K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
+$41K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
+$76K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
+$83K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
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BoughtWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
+$6K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
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BoughtWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
+$17K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
+$5K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
+$6K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
+$2K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
+$1K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
+$3K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
+$4K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
+$2K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
+$3K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
+$2K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
+$2K@ 0.002d ago
BoughtWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
+$1K@ 0.002d ago
BoughtWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
+$16K@ 0.002d ago
BoughtWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
+$3K@ 0.002d ago
BoughtWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
+$11K@ 0.002d ago
BoughtWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
+$40K@ 0.002d ago
BoughtWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
+$37K@ 0.002d ago
BoughtWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
+$49K@ 0.002d ago
BoughtWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
+$82K@ 0.002d ago
BoughtWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
+$46K@ 0.002d ago
BoughtWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
+$4K@ 0.002d ago
BoughtWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes
+$14K@ 0.002d ago
Trader HotChili — PolyTracker