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peasant
0x1c72797cd4b9b83f42e287144e334c4de347dfb6
SharpshooterHot Streak
Trader Score
Win Rate: 100.0%
ROI: 0.0%
Trades: 21
Win Rate
100.0%
21W0L21 total
No PnL history available
Not enough data for rank history
Open positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg | Current | PnL |
|---|
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31? | No | $349K | $0.49 | $0.00 | $-170K |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10? | No |
Recent Activity (21)
BoughtIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?No
+$349K@ 0.0046d ago
BoughtIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?No
+$151K@ 0.0046d ago
BoughtIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?No
+$135K@ 0.0046d ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No
+$132K@ 0.58
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17? | No | $135K | $0.56 | $0.00 | $-76K |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | No | $132K | $0.54 | $0.58 | $5K |
| Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | Yes | $105K | $0.55 | $0.82 | $28K |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $99K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-543 |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $90K | $0.02 | $0.02 | $-210 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | No | $43K | $0.73 | $0.91 | $7K |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March? | No | $30K | $0.52 | $0.80 | $8K |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | $26K | $0.48 | $0.69 | $5K |
| Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31? | Yes | $16K | $0.55 | $0.89 | $5K |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | $15K | $0.62 | $0.69 | $1K |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31? | No | $14K | $0.65 | $0.93 | $4K |
| Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | Yes | $13K | $0.65 | $0.65 | $-106 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | $9K | $0.70 | $0.79 | $765 |
| Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | No | $8K | $0.78 | $0.00 | $-6K |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | No | $5K | $0.50 | $0.43 | $-325 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March? | No | $3K | $0.60 | $0.92 | $1K |
| U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31? | Yes | $3K | $0.17 | $0.05 | $-378 |
| ICE shooter charged by March 31? | Yes | $3K | $0.25 | $0.01 | $-719 |
| Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March? | No | $2K | $0.71 | $0.94 | $477 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | $900 | $0.24 | $0.20 | $-41 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | $5 | $0.63 | $0.99 | $2 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | Yes | $0 | $0.47 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | No | $0 | $0.75 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Iran Nuke in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.15 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? | Yes | $0 | $0.85 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024? | No | $0 | $0.61 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election? | Yes | $0 | $0.84 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | $0 | $0.29 | $0.96 | $0 |
| Israel announces ceasefire by January 16? | No | $0 | $0.10 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | $0 | $0.41 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in December? | No | $0 | $0.76 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? | Yes | $0 | $0.24 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.79 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Solana hit $250 by February 28 2025? | No | $0 | $0.69 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Trump renames Gulf of Mexico to "Gulf of America" in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.40 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US military action against Iran before July? | Yes | $0 | $0.70 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.75 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | No | $0 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Fed cut interest rates 0 times in 2024? | No | $0 | $0.74 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix? | Yes | $0 | $0.27 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.11 | $0.08 | $-0 |
| Ripple above $2.40 on January 17? | No | $0 | $0.30 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix? | No | $0 | $0.38 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | No | $0 | $0.73 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump remove Jerome Powell in first 100 days? | No | $0 | $0.93 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October? | No | $0 | $0.77 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Yes | $0 | $0.19 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? | No | $0 | $0.42 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | No | $0 | $0.92 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | $0 | $0.11 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Tim Walz replaced as Democratic VP nominee? | No | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Pump.fun announces public raise sold out in the first hour? | Yes | $0 | $0.53 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will there be 150,000,000-155,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.34 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump meet with Pope Francis in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.88 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Israel invade Lebanon before November? | No | $0 | $0.63 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Mike Johnson out as Speaker before inauguration? | No | $0 | $0.68 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Gaza mass population relocation in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.15 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April? | Yes | $0 | $0.49 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.37 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with China before July? | No | $0 | $0.61 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? | No | $0 | $0.57 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US military action against Iran by Sunday? | No | $0 | $0.79 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025? | No | $0 | $0.62 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence? | No | $0 | $0.48 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July? | No | $0 | $0.79 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Major cyberattack on Iran in June? | No | $0 | $0.36 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump launch a coin before the election? | No | $0 | $0.35 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July? | No | $0 | $0.56 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Caroline Ellison sentenced to 24-35 months in prison? | Yes | $0 | $0.05 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September? | Yes | $0 | $0.31 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? | Yes | $0 | $0.60 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by next Tuesday? | Yes | $0 | $0.19 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days? | No | $0 | $0.81 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Trump declassifies JFK files in first week? | No | $0 | $0.92 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will there be 155,000,000-160,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election? | No | $0 | $0.37 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US military action against Iran before July? | No | $0 | $0.57 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? | Yes | $0 | $0.33 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14? | Yes | $0 | $0.23 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November? | Yes | $0 | $0.27 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Government shutdown end by November 30? | No | $0 | $0.10 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | Yes | $0 | $0.39 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.46 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.34 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1? | Yes | $0 | $0.37 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Record turnout in 2024 Presidential election? | No | $0 | $0.95 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Iran strike on Qatar today? | No | $0 | $0.17 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.48 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | Yes | $0 | $0.30 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Iran strike on Israel by Friday? | No | $0 | $0.18 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days? | Yes | $0 | $0.75 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.17 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later? | Yes | $0 | $0.54 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Trudeau resigns before February? | Yes | $0 | $0.95 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.42 | $1.00 | $0 |
46d ago
BoughtWill Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes
+$105K@ 0.8246d ago
BoughtWill Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes
+$99K@ 0.0146d ago
BoughtWill Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes
+$90K@ 0.0246d ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No
+$43K@ 0.9146d ago
BoughtWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?No
+$30K@ 0.8046d ago
BoughtStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No
+$26K@ 0.6946d ago
BoughtWill there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?Yes
+$16K@ 0.8946d ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No
+$15K@ 0.6946d ago
BoughtUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?No
+$14K@ 0.9346d ago
BoughtWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes
+$13K@ 0.6546d ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No
+$9K@ 0.7946d ago
BoughtUkraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?No
+$8K@ 0.0046d ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by May 31?No
+$5K@ 0.4346d ago
BoughtWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?No
+$3K@ 0.9246d ago
BoughtU.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?Yes
+$3K@ 0.0546d ago
BoughtICE shooter charged by March 31?Yes
+$3K@ 0.0146d ago
BoughtWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?No
+$2K@ 0.9446d ago