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classified
0x12d6cccfc7470a3f4bafc53599a4779cbf2cf2a8
Hot Streak
Trader Score
Win Rate: 39.2%
ROI: 0.0%
Trades: 51
Win Rate
39.2%
20W31L51 total
No PnL history available
Not enough data for rank history
Open positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg | Current | PnL |
|---|
| Will the US strike 3 countries in February 2026? | No | $187K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-187 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes |
Recent Activity (50)
BoughtNetanyahu out by March 31?No
+$2K@ 0.9949d ago
BoughtUS forces enter Iran by March 31?No
+$4K@ 0.8049d ago
SoldWill the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?No
$-5K@ 0.8549d ago
BoughtUS forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes
+$3K@ 0.46
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | $49K | $0.35 | $0.42 | $4K |
| GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026? | No | $27K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-27 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | $20K | $0.44 | $0.53 | $2K |
| Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be 2.6%? | Yes | $16K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-16 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | $15K | $0.98 | $0.98 | $88 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | No | $13K | $0.28 | $0.34 | $714 |
| GPT-5.3 released by March 15, 2026? | No | $9K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-9 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | $9K | $0.80 | $0.81 | $19 |
| Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by March 31? | No | $7K | $0.94 | $0.98 | $284 |
| Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? | No | $6K | $0.24 | $0.20 | $-221 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | No | $4K | $0.87 | $0.83 | $-177 |
| Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026? | No | $3K | $0.07 | $0.17 | $279 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | No | $2K | $0.99 | $0.99 | $3 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026? | No | $1K | $0.98 | $1.00 | $19 |
| Military action against Iran ends on March 25, 2026? | Yes | $1K | $0.00 | $0.01 | $1 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | $557 | $0.87 | $0.92 | $25 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | No | $483 | $0.76 | $0.82 | $31 |
| Iran coup attempt by June 30? | No | $472 | $0.68 | $0.75 | $33 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5? | Yes | $233 | $0.33 | $0.00 | $-77 |
| Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? | No | $199 | $0.89 | $0.79 | $-21 |
| Military action against Iran ends on March 27, 2026? | Yes | $192 | $0.00 | $0.02 | $3 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? | No | $169 | $0.61 | $0.70 | $15 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? | No | $168 | $0.13 | $0.14 | $3 |
| Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | $162 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-1 |
| Will Dan Caine be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | $162 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-1 |
| Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | $162 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-1 |
| Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | $162 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-1 |
| Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | $162 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-1 |
| Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | $162 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-1 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31? | No | $139 | $0.94 | $0.99 | $7 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6? | Yes | $105 | $0.48 | $0.00 | $-50 |
| Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Yes | $86 | $0.21 | $0.00 | $-18 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March? | No | $70 | $0.94 | $0.99 | $3 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | No | $10 | $0.81 | $0.94 | $1 |
| Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | $7 | $0.91 | $0.99 | $1 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | $7 | $0.95 | $0.87 | $-1 |
| Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | $7 | $0.93 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | $7 | $0.98 | $0.99 | $0 |
| Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | $7 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | $7 | $0.99 | $0.99 | $0 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th? | Yes | $4 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | No | $4 | $0.72 | $0.83 | $0 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026? | No | $1 | $0.94 | $0.99 | $0 |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | $0 | $0.87 | $0.87 | $0 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | No | $0 | $0.45 | $0.36 | $-0 |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.13 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025? | No | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | Yes | $0 | $0.57 | $0.63 | $0 |
| Trump out as President before GTA VI? | Yes | $0 | $0.48 | $0.53 | $0 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 5? | No | $0 | $0.80 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Browns vs. Lions | Browns | $0 | $0.16 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | No | $0 | $0.57 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 3, 2026 (ET)? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| GTA VI released in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10? | No | $0 | $0.33 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Eagles vs. Buccaneers | Eagles | $0 | $0.61 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 23-26? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30? | Yes | $0 | $0.08 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Israel strikes Iran before 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.36 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by November 30? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | No | $0 | $0.11 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 18? | No | $0 | $0.95 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.19 | $0.20 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | Yes | $0 | $0.45 | $0.52 | $0 |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.62 | $0.17 | $-0 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | No | $0 | $0.16 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31? | No | $0 | $0.74 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.24 | $0.24 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 4, 2026 (ET)? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 25, 2026 (ET)? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.75 | $0.86 | $0 |
| Iran leadership change by March 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.11 | $0.09 | $-0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)? | No | $0 | $0.94 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | Yes | $0 | $0.14 | $0.18 | $0 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela on January 7? | No | $0 | $0.92 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will MrBeast raise less than $40m by midnight? | No | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| Tyler Robinson charged in Kirk shooting? | Yes | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.44 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in September? | Yes | $0 | $0.37 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31? | No | $0 | $0.92 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30? | No | $0 | $0.88 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo? | No | $0 | $0.13 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win Staten Island? | Yes | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Cardinals vs. 49ers | 49ers | $0 | $0.51 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before August? | No | $0 | $0.93 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will France recognize Palestine in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.12 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | Yes | $0 | $0.21 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany? | Yes | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Saints vs. Seahawks | Saints | $0 | $0.23 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | No | $0 | $0.51 | $0.52 | $0 |
| Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31? | No | $0 | $0.16 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31? | No | $0 | $0.70 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Venezuela" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday? | No | $0 | $0.19 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Trump out as President in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | $0 | $0.33 | $0.32 | $-0 |
| Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.40 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.85 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 30, 2026? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | No | $0 | $0.54 | $0.56 | $0 |
| Netanyahu out by April 30? | No | $0 | $0.92 | $0.95 | $0 |
| Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.70 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election? | No | $0 | $0.87 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.42 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8? | Yes | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.63 | $0.67 | $0 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 15? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13? | No | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.23 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Eagles vs. Buccaneers | Buccaneers | $0 | $0.34 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Lee Jun-seok be elected the next president of South Korea? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Donald or Melania Trump say "Welfare" during executive order signing events on November 13? | Yes | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? | No | $0 | $0.23 | $0.29 | $0 |
| Will Israel strike Yemen on September 15 ET? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | Yes | $0 | $0.26 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | No | $0 | $0.86 | $0.81 | $-0 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.55 | $0.56 | $0 |
| Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election? | Yes | $0 | $0.05 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.87 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.20 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.23 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 22? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.15 | $0.22 | $0 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $-0.00 | $0.00 | $0 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $-0.00 | $0.00 | $0 |
| Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the first leader out in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Polish strike on Russia by September 30? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win Staten Island? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Erna Solberg become the next Prime Minister of Norway? | No | $0 | $0.95 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027? | No | $0 | $0.66 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Trump declassifies UFO files before 2027? | Yes | $0 | $0.70 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Israel strike on Damascus by August 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30? | No | $0 | $0.88 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.15 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| NATO article 5 in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.86 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Taylor Swift say "Sabrina" or "Carpenter" during Tonight Show on October 6? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will no leader be out in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 29? | Yes | $0 | $0.12 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| U.S. forces in Gaza in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.52 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump nominate no one before 2027? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.23 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.72 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Israel strike Yemen on September 11 ET? | Yes | $0 | $0.14 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on September 20? | Down | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | No | $0 | $0.65 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.07 | $0.13 | $0 |
| Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15? | Yes | $0 | $0.93 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Chiefs vs. Jaguars | Jaguars | $0 | $0.35 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Epstein blackmail evidence released in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by October 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.63 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | $0 | $0.64 | $0.58 | $-0 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 13, 1AM ET | Up | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Israel strike Yemen 2 times by September 30? | No | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 25, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.46 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.82 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30? | Yes | $0 | $0.59 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 15+? | No | $0 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Fact Check: Maduro capture staged? | No | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.13 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | No | $0 | $0.34 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.56 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | $0 | $0.83 | $0.91 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.10 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | $0 | $0.15 | $0.32 | $0 |
| US government shutdown by October 1? | No | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Iran leadership change by March 31? | No | $0 | $0.83 | $0.92 | $0 |
| Will Israel strike Yemen on September 30 ET? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.05 | $0.09 | $0 |
| Vikings vs. Steelers | Steelers | $0 | $0.40 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Another US military action against Iran before 2026? | No | $0 | $0.76 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Chargers vs. Giants | Chargers | $0 | $0.70 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| OpenAI browser by October 31? | No | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by March 14, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.44 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Geert Wilders become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | $0 | $0.36 | $0.45 | $0 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Yes | $0 | $0.17 | $0.28 | $0 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July? | No | $0 | $0.41 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Yes | $0 | $0.23 | $0.20 | $-0 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 25-30 million views on day 1? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.11 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Xi Jinping out by June 30? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.02 | $0 |
| Will the government shutdown end November 12? | No | $0 | $0.07 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | $0 | $0.62 | $0.69 | $0 |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | No | $0 | $0.52 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027? | Yes | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | No | $0 | $0.55 | $0.72 | $0 |
| Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.39 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October? | Yes | $0 | $0.10 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.31 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 2, 2026 (ET)? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the first leader out in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Anthony Albanese be the first leader out in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the first leader out in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Javier Milei be the first leader out in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the first leader out in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Giorgia Meloni be the first leader out in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.65 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 40-45 million views on day 1? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30? | No | $0 | $0.92 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15? | No | $0 | $0.91 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31? | No | $0 | $0.75 | $0.97 | $0 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.17 | $0.15 | $-0 |
| Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer? | Yes | $0 | $0.67 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31? | No | $0 | $0.35 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.42 | $0.34 | $-0 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 15+? | Yes | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by December 31? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Israel not strike Yemen by September 30 ET? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trygve Slagsvold Vedum become the next Prime Minister of Norway? | Yes | $0 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.40 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 35-40 million views on day 1? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 50-55 million views on day 1? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.60 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Israel strike Yemen on September 27 ET? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Israel strike Yemen on September 28 ET? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31? | No | $0 | $0.86 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? | Yes | $0 | $0.68 | $0.80 | $0 |
| Will MicroStrategy hold 620k+ BTC before August? | No | $0 | $0.08 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Trump out as President by March 31? | No | $0 | $0.96 | $0.99 | $0 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.68 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Starmer out in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.80 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | $0 | $0.74 | $0.81 | $0 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? | Yes | $0 | $0.62 | $0.70 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election? | No | $0 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Israel strikes Iran before September? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14? | Yes | $0 | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Netanyahu out by 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? | Yes | $0 | $0.93 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Which Bloc Wins most seats in Norway election? | Blue | $0 | $0.10 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31? | No | $0 | $0.91 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.06 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.56 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US strike on Colombia by March 31? | No | $0 | $0.83 | $0.99 | $0 |
| Will Apple release HomePod mini successor by December 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Seahawks vs. Cardinals | Cardinals | $0 | $0.44 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Government shutdown end October 10-14? | No | $0 | $0.87 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Progress Party (FrP) win 22% or more of vote in Norwegian election? | Yes | $0 | $0.41 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.31 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Military action against Iran ends on March 23, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by January 31? | No | $0 | $0.78 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | No | $0 | $0.78 | $0.88 | $0 |
| US defaults on debt in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked? | Yes | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Ali Khamenei be the first leader out in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway? | No | $0 | $0.13 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.05 | $0.11 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Which Bloc Wins most seats in Norway election? | Red | $0 | $0.86 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Israel strike Yemen on September 25 ET? | Yes | $0 | $0.12 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Kim Jong Un be the first leader out in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.10 | $0.17 | $0 |
| Will JD Vance say American Dream during the Charlie Kirk Show on Monday September 15? | Yes | $0 | $0.35 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Skye Valadez confirmed perp? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will JD Vance say Patriot/Hero 4+ times during the Charlie Kirk Show on Monday September 15? | Yes | $0 | $0.41 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai? | Yes | $0 | $-0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány? | Yes | $0 | $-0.00 | $0.00 | $0 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev? | Yes | $0 | $-0.00 | $0.00 | $0 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár? | Yes | $0 | $-0.00 | $0.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.57 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.20 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.02 | $0 |
| US strike on Colombia by January 31? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | No | $0 | $0.51 | $0.51 | $0 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.92 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | $0 | $0.45 | $0.49 | $0 |
| Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30? | No | $0 | $0.79 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | No | $0 | $0.66 | $0.88 | $0 |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13? | Yes | $0 | $0.91 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by January 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in India? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will MrBeast raise 40m on Monday September 1? | No | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Bengals vs. Broncos | Bengals | $0 | $0.20 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.91 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will UAE strike Iran by March 31? | No | $0 | $0.17 | $0.92 | $0 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 3? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.23 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | No | $0 | $0.16 | $0.41 | $0 |
| Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 22-28? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.76 | $0.84 | $0 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | $0 | $0.95 | $1.00 | $0 |
| U.S. forces in Gaza in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14? | No | $0 | $0.82 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | No | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30? | Yes | $0 | $0.90 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.19 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will GTA 6 cost $100+? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.31 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Israel strike Yemen on September 29 ET? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | Yes | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 7th? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1? | Yes | $0 | $0.64 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.70 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? | Yes | $0 | $0.32 | $0.30 | $-0 |
| Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.83 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump resign in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.93 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | No | $0 | $0.75 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Iran leadership change by March 13? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the first leader out in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Xi Jinping be the first leader out in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Gavin Newsom be the first leader out in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi be the first leader out in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | No | $0 | $0.32 | $0.43 | $0 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31? | No | $0 | $0.93 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.95 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.91 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US military action against Iran by Sunday? | No | $0 | $0.69 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway? | Yes | $0 | $0.38 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran first? | US | $0 | $0.13 | $0.50 | $0 |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| No airdrop by January 10 | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 31? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 18? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)? | No | $0 | $0.82 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $1.00 | $0 |
| No airdrop in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.81 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 29? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 26? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.96 | $0.99 | $0 |
| Will Larry Ellison be richest person on December 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 19? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.56 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.91 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.44 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran in January 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.64 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 22? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)? | No | $0 | $0.95 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Gold close between $4800 and $4900 at the end of 2025? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 28? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025? | No | $0 | $0.82 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump nominate no one before 2027? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland? | Yes | $0 | $-0.00 | $0.00 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | No | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 23? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025? | No | $0 | $0.55 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Gold close between $4100 and $4200 at the end of 2025? | No | $0 | $0.93 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 27? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.28 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.08 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 27, 2026 (ET)? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 1, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 25? | No | $0 | $0.92 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Lighter Airdrop on January 2? | No | $0 | $0.90 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran first? | Israel | $0 | $0.79 | $0.50 | $-0 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10? | No | $0 | $0.82 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Lighter Airdrop on January 6? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 22? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30? | Yes | $0 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the next leader out in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.84 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 28? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 4? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 14? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 7? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on November 29? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 3? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 11? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on November 26? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 21? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 23? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on November 30? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 15? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on November 25? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 12? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 1? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on November 24? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 16? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 8? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on November 27? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on November 28? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 20? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 6? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 13? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 5? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 9? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 17? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 2? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 10? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.71 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 28, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $0 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the US not strike Iran by March 31, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 24? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.40 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 28, 2026 (ET)? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.66 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will UAE strike Iran by March 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.66 | $0.08 | $-0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 1, 2026 (ET)? | No | $0 | $0.95 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 29? | No | $0 | $0.90 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.67 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Claude 5 not be released by February 28, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.37 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| No airdrop in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.24 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia? | Yes | $0 | $-0.00 | $0.00 | $0 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 27, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $0 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $0 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 24? | No | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
49d ago
SoldWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No
$-11K@ 0.9849d ago
SoldWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No
$-12K@ 0.9849d ago
BoughtUS forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes
+$5K@ 0.4649d ago
SoldWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No
$-1K@ 0.4749d ago
BoughtUS forces enter Iran by March 31?No
+$2K@ 0.8149d ago
SoldWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No
$-3K@ 0.6949d ago
SoldWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No
$-8K@ 0.9849d ago
SoldWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No
$-2K@ 0.6849d ago
BoughtUS forces enter Iran by March 31?No
+$3K@ 0.8149d ago
SoldWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No
$-2K@ 0.5049d ago
BoughtUS forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes
+$4K@ 0.4349d ago
BoughtUS forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes
+$4K@ 0.4249d ago
SoldIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Yes
$-6K@ 0.7249d ago
BoughtUS forces enter Iran by December 31?No
+$3K@ 0.4049d ago
BoughtWill the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?No
+$5K@ 0.8849d ago
SoldUS forces enter Iran by December 31?No
$-11K@ 0.4049d ago
BoughtWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No
+$21K@ 0.9849d ago
BoughtWill the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?No
+$3K@ 0.9049d ago
SoldWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No
$-5K@ 0.6749d ago
SoldIran leadership change by December 31?Yes
$-4K@ 0.5749d ago
SoldWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No
$-5K@ 0.6749d ago
SoldIran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?Yes
$-6K@ 0.7249d ago
BoughtWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes
+$2K@ 0.4449d ago
SoldWill the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?No
$-2K@ 0.9049d ago
SoldWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No
$-1K@ 0.5449d ago
SoldWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No
$-3K@ 0.6649d ago
SoldUS forces enter Iran by December 31?No
$-3K@ 0.4149d ago
SoldWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No
$-1K@ 0.6549d ago
SoldUS forces enter Iran by March 31?No
$-1K@ 0.8649d ago
SoldUS forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes
$-1K@ 0.4949d ago
SoldWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No
$-2K@ 0.4849d ago
SoldUS forces enter Iran by December 31?No
$-4K@ 0.3849d ago
SoldWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No
$-2K@ 0.6649d ago
BoughtUS forces enter Iran by March 31?No
+$1K@ 0.8149d ago
BoughtWill the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?No
+$3K@ 0.8949d ago
SoldUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No
$-2K@ 0.8549d ago
BoughtUS forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes
+$2K@ 0.5349d ago
BoughtUS forces enter Iran by December 31?No
+$22K@ 0.3649d ago
SoldWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No
$-6K@ 0.5249d ago
BoughtIran leadership change by December 31?Yes
+$12K@ 0.5549d ago
SoldUS forces enter Iran by December 31?No
$-4K@ 0.2349d ago
SoldWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No
$-3K@ 0.6349d ago
BoughtUS forces enter Iran by December 31?No
+$10K@ 0.2149d ago
SoldUS forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes
$-2K@ 0.7949d ago
SoldWill the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?No
$-2K@ 0.8349d ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No
+$2K@ 0.8949d ago