Weekly Market Digest
Top trades, whale moves, and market insights every Monday
1
11122
0x011f2d377e56119fb09196dffb0948ae55711122
EliteWhaleHot Streak$100K Club
Trader Score
Win Rate: 66.7%
ROI: 0.3%
Trades: 87
Win Rate
66.7%
58W29L87 total
Open Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Current | PnL |
|---|
| Will the Arizona Cardinals win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Recent Activity (50)
SoldTrump cabinet member out by December 31, 2026?Yes
$-2K@ 1.0041m ago
BoughtUS forces enter Iran by April 30?No
+$2K@ 0.4341m ago
SoldWill Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes
$-4K@ 0.0041m ago
SoldUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No
$-5K@ 0.9041m ago
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.43 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | $0 | $0.55 | $0.61 | $0 |
| Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025? | No | $0 | $0.59 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump be impeached in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.04 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will FDP be part of the next German government? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Nico Collins win the 2025–26 NFL OPOY? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.11 | $0.25 | $0 |
| Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in Assists? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Domantas Sabonis lead the NBA in Assists? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trae Young win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Left be part of the next German government? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Wicked: For Good be the second highest grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.90 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Elon tweet 800-849 times Feb 21-28? | No | $0 | $0.62 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.93 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Storm | St. Johns Red Storm | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Lebron James retire before July? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Miami Dolphins win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Curtis Sliwa win Staten Island? | No | $0 | $0.46 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| Will Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31? | No | $0 | $0.95 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Scott Stringer win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | $0 | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026? | No | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026? | No | $0 | $0.86 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | $0 | $0.17 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will AI be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | $0 | $0.85 | $0.93 | $0 |
| Will Scott Stringer win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | $0 | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Rudy Giuliani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | $0 | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Adrienne Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | $0 | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Zellnor Myrie win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | $0 | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship? | No | $0 | $0.56 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Anthony Davis win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Ja Morant lead the NBA in Assists? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Luca Doncic lead the NBA in scoring? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Ukraine joins NATO in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Arch Manning be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0 |
| Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | No | $0 | $0.97 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August? | No | $0 | $0.54 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Dylan Harper win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Israel strikes Iran before 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.13 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Nick Emmanwori win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Uchenna Nwosu win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Cardinals vs. Rams | Rams | $0 | $0.61 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Kyrie Irving join a new team this offseason? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Jonathan Taylor win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | Yes | $0 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 15% and 20%? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.11 | $0 |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | $0 | $0.89 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Wesley Hunt come in 3rd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | No | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | $0 | $0.88 | $0.89 | $0 |
| Will Joel Embiid win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Darius Garland lead the NBA in Assists? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.96 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | $0 | $0.98 | $0.99 | $0 |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? | No | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Drew Allar be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Dan Campbell win NFL Coach of the Year? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Kevin Durant win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Michael Bloomberg win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | $0 | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | No | $0 | $0.13 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Giannis Antetokounmpo lead the NBA in Assists? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will no new pope be elected in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? | No | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Andrew Yang win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | $0 | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Kawhi Leonard win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US government shutdown in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.76 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Carson Beck be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.41 | $0.34 | $-0 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.81 | $0.86 | $0 |
| Will Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.08 | $0.07 | $-0 |
| Will Hillary Clinton announce she's running for president in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will A Minecraft Movie be the third highest grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Knicks? | Yes | $0 | $0.11 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say "Davos" or "World Economic Forum" during Iowa speech? | Yes | $0 | $0.35 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Commanders win the 2026 NFC Championship? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump say 'Hamas' during the 2025 State of the Union? | Yes | $0 | $0.46 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.15 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Kleber Mendonca Filho (The Secret Agent) win Best Director at the 83rd Golden Globes? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Jon M. Chu (Wicked: For Good) win Best Director at the 83rd Golden Globes? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Josh Safdie (Marty Supreme) win Best Director at the 83rd Golden Globes? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Kathryn Bigelow (A House of Dynamite) win Best Director at the 83rd Golden Globes? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Park Chan-wook (No Other Choice) win Best Director at the 83rd Golden Globes? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Benny Safdie (The Smashing Machine) win Best Director at the 83rd Golden Globes? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Yorgos Lanthimos (Bugonia) win Best Director at the 83rd Golden Globes? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Noah Baumbach (Jay Kelly) win Best Director at the 83rd Golden Globes? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Ryan Coogler (Sinners) win Best Director at the 83rd Golden Globes? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | $0 | $0.83 | $0.91 | $0 |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.86 | $0.99 | $0 |
| Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $0.99 | $-0 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | No | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Packers vs. Cowboys | Packers | $0 | $0.53 | $0.50 | $-0 |
| Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | $0 | $0.90 | $0.99 | $0 |
| Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in his first 100 days? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.02 | $0 |
| Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Nick Sirianni win NFL Coach of the Year? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Ben Johnson win NFL Coach of the Year? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut less than $50b in federal spending in 2025? | No | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed real? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Kayshon Boutte win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 25, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Evan McPherson be the Top Fantasy Kicker of the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will AJ Barner win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Dan Quinn win NFL Coach of the Year? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| duplicate Will Pam Bondi be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Avatar 3 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Bugonia win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Paul Mescal win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? | No | $0 | $0.33 | $0.21 | $-0 |
| duplicate Will Tulsi Gabbard be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | No | $0 | $0.48 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Matt Nagy be the next Giants Head Coach? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | Yes | $0 | $0.51 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the 2026 State of the Union address be between 60 and 70 minutes long? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | Yes | $0 | $0.91 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the US strike Somalia next? | No | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $150-200b in federal spending in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Joachim Trier (Sentimental Value) win Best Director at the 83rd Golden Globes? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Jafar Panahi (It Was Just an Accident) win Best Director at the 83rd Golden Globes? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Paul Thomas Anderson (One Battle After Another) win Best Director at the 83rd Golden Globes? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Guillermo Del Toro (Frankenstein) win Best Director at the 83rd Golden Globes? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Chloe Zhao (Hamnet) win Best Director at the 83rd Golden Globes? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | No | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | $0 | $0.62 | $0.76 | $0 |
| Will Rob Rausch win The Traitors US: Season 4? | No | $0 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Ty Simpson be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election? | No | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | No | $0 | $0.20 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | $0 | $0.89 | $0.92 | $0 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on January 16, 2026 (ET)? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Yes | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded? | No | $0 | $0.11 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.89 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Lilo and Stitch be the third highest grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | $0 | $0.91 | $0.95 | $0 |
| Will the Panthers win the NFC Championship? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | $0 | $0.74 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Jason Myers win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Cooper Kupp win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the New York Knicks? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | $262K | $0.55 | $0.82 | $72K |
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $217K | $0.02 | $0.01 | $-1K |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $176K | $0.02 | $0.02 | $508 |
| Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $174K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-329 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $150K | $0.03 | $0.05 | $2K |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $141K | $0.01 | $0.02 | $458 |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $140K | $0.02 | $0.02 | $-18 |
| Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $137K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $784 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $131K | $0.05 | $0.08 | $4K |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $115K | $0.01 | $0.02 | $401 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $110K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $579 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $105K | $0.50 | $0.18 | $-34K |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $104K | $0.01 | $0.02 | $470 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $98K | $0.02 | $0.04 | $1K |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $97K | $0.01 | $0.03 | $1K |
| Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $85K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $99 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Yes | $82K | $0.07 | $0.01 | $-5K |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $80K | $0.02 | $0.04 | $2K |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $79K | $0.01 | $0.03 | $2K |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $76K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-112 |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $75K | $0.01 | $0.02 | $422 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $74K | $0.01 | $0.02 | $816 |
| Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $71K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $69 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $69K | $0.48 | $0.37 | $-8K |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $69K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $298 |
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $64K | $0.44 | $0.42 | $-1K |
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $63K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $201 |
| Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | $57K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-23 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $54K | $0.01 | $0.03 | $1K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | Yes | $53K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $128 |
| Will Dante Moore be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft? | No | $52K | $0.98 | $0.99 | $379 |
| Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $51K | $0.01 | $0.02 | $628 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $49K | $0.12 | $0.11 | $-314 |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $48K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-169 |
| Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $48K | $0.02 | $0.01 | $-393 |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $44K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-14 |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $44K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $32 |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $44K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $117 |
| Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $40K | $0.01 | $0.02 | $514 |
| Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $39K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-74 |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $38K | $0.01 | $0.02 | $415 |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $36K | $0.03 | $0.04 | $491 |
| Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $35K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-115 |
| Will Donovan Mitchell win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | $33K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-20 |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $32K | $0.04 | $0.02 | $-652 |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $31K | $0.01 | $0.02 | $396 |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $30K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $45 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | $29K | $0.65 | $0.79 | $4K |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $29K | $0.02 | $0.02 | $-162 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $26K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-22 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $24K | $0.02 | $0.06 | $1K |
| Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | $24K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-26 |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $22K | $0.01 | $0.02 | $286 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $22K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $174 |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | $21K | $0.98 | $0.98 | $42 |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $21K | $0.01 | $0.02 | $216 |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $20K | $0.01 | $0.02 | $277 |
| Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | $20K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $50 |
| Will Comcast close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | $19K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $28 |
| Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $18K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $78 |
| Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | $18K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $44 |
| Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $17K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $26 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | $17K | $0.44 | $0.36 | $-1K |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | $16K | $0.00 | $0.14 | $2K |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $16K | $0.02 | $0.02 | $44 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $16K | $0.24 | $0.24 | $2 |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | No | $16K | $0.85 | $0.89 | $515 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: Other | Yes | $16K | $0.00 | $0.01 | $23 |
| Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $15K | $0.00 | $0.01 | $41 |
| Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $13K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $87 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | $13K | $0.80 | $0.83 | $393 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026? | No | $13K | $0.95 | $0.99 | $422 |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $13K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-32 |
| Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $13K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $6 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $12K | $0.06 | $0.05 | $-175 |
| Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | $11K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $16 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $11K | $0.03 | $0.04 | $205 |
| Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | $10K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $15 |
| Will Jalen Brunson win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | $9K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-26 |
| Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | $9K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $23 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $9K | $0.03 | $0.05 | $150 |
| Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $8K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-32 |
| Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | $8K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $4 |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $8K | $0.00 | $0.01 | $32 |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $8K | $0.00 | $0.01 | $32 |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $8K | $0.00 | $0.01 | $17 |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $8K | $0.00 | $0.01 | $40 |
| Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $8K | $0.00 | $0.01 | $51 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | $8K | $0.72 | $0.75 | $244 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | $7K | $0.52 | $0.43 | $-584 |
| Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $7K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $17 |
| Will Arvell Reese be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft? | Yes | $7K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $18 |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $7K | $0.01 | $0.03 | $119 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | $7K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-72 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | No | $6K | $0.60 | $0.53 | $-468 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | No | $6K | $0.82 | $0.90 | $455 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | $6K | $0.80 | $0.92 | $673 |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $5K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $12 |
| Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $5K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-3 |
| Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $5K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $-3 |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $5K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $22 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | No | $5K | $0.15 | $0.05 | $-507 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $5K | $0.01 | $0.02 | $81 |
| LIU Sharks vs. Arizona Wildcats | LIU Sharks | $5K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-66 |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $5K | $0.02 | $0.05 | $121 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | $4K | $0.63 | $0.69 | $294 |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $4K | $0.01 | $0.02 | $56 |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | No | $4K | $0.91 | $0.95 | $166 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by December 31? | Yes | $4K | $0.75 | $0.77 | $76 |
| Will Dante Moore be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft? | No | $4K | $0.99 | $1.00 | $34 |
| Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | $3K | $0.07 | $0.07 | $3 |
| Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | $3K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $15 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | $3K | $0.46 | $0.48 | $69 |
| Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | $3K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $8 |
| Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | No | $3K | $0.88 | $0.94 | $179 |
| Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | $3K | $0.97 | $0.98 | $18 |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Yes | $3K | $0.44 | $0.48 | $136 |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $3K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $6 |
| Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | $3K | $0.97 | $0.99 | $44 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | $3K | $0.45 | $0.47 | $58 |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | $3K | $0.00 | $0.07 | $182 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | $3K | $0.80 | $0.84 | $108 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | No | $2K | $0.50 | $0.54 | $92 |
| Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | Yes | $2K | $0.25 | $0.24 | $-20 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | $2K | $0.06 | $0.02 | $-89 |
| Will Katie Britt announce a presidential run before 2027? | Yes | $2K | $0.02 | $0.10 | $188 |
| Will Caleb Downs be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft? | Yes | $2K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-1 |
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | $2K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $9 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | $2K | $0.64 | $0.58 | $-120 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | $2K | $0.49 | $0.42 | $-129 |
| Will Scream 7 have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | No | $2K | $0.99 | $1.00 | $27 |
| Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | $2K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $3 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | $2K | $0.12 | $0.09 | $-63 |
| Will Derik Queen win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? | Yes | $2K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-1 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | $2K | $0.51 | $0.68 | $313 |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | $2K | $0.01 | $0.01 | $14 |
| Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? | Yes | $2K | $0.23 | $0.24 | $32 |
| Will David Bailey be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft? | Yes | $2K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0 |
| Will Rueben Bain Jr be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft? | Yes | $2K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-2 |
| Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Yes | $1K | $0.26 | $0.51 | $366 |
| Epstein client list released by June 30? | No | $1K | $0.49 | $0.89 | $523 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | $1K | $0.70 | $0.83 | $162 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | Yes | $1K | $0.62 | $0.66 | $35 |
| Will Clavicular be Iran's next Supreme Leader by March 31st? | No | $1K | $1.00 | $1.00 | $3 |
| Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | $1K | $0.18 | $0.20 | $25 |
| Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Yes | $1K | $0.05 | $0.06 | $7 |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | $969 | $0.39 | $0.42 | $34 |
| Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | $923 | $0.12 | $0.02 | $-86 |
| Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? | Yes | $841 | $0.13 | $0.28 | $126 |
| Iran leadership change by April 30? | Yes | $805 | $0.19 | $0.23 | $28 |
| Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by March 31, 2026? | No | $800 | $0.94 | $0.99 | $40 |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $766 | $0.52 | $0.57 | $42 |
| Will Cory Booker announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Yes | $747 | $0.04 | $0.09 | $41 |
| Will Jordyn Tyson be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft? | Yes | $736 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | $717 | $0.58 | $0.83 | $180 |
| No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027 | Yes | $715 | $0.12 | $0.16 | $30 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $667 | $0.38 | $0.39 | $0 |
| Will Garrett Nussmeier be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft? | Yes | $651 | $0.00 | $0.03 | $15 |
| Will Carson Beck be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft? | Yes | $640 | $0.00 | $0.02 | $11 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? | Yes | $600 | $0.71 | $0.70 | $-3 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | $600 | $0.15 | $0.15 | $3 |
| Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide | Texas Tech Red Raiders | $599 | $0.15 | $0.00 | $-93 |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | No | $597 | $0.35 | $0.21 | $-81 |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $558 | $0.02 | $0.04 | $10 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | $531 | $0.24 | $0.15 | $-43 |
| Will Ja Morant win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | $523 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | No | $501 | $0.95 | $0.96 | $3 |
| Will the DHS shutdown end between March 28-31, 2026? | No | $500 | $0.61 | $0.77 | $79 |
| Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? | No | $481 | $0.95 | $0.97 | $9 |
| Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? | No | $463 | $0.96 | $0.99 | $12 |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | $457 | $0.94 | $0.98 | $18 |
| Will Sonny Styles be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft? | Yes | $451 | $0.00 | $0.05 | $21 |
| Will Ty Simpson be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft? | Yes | $445 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-1 |
| Will Caleb Downs be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft? | Yes | $435 | $0.00 | $0.07 | $31 |
| Will Jeremiyah Love be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft? | Yes | $435 | $0.00 | $0.09 | $39 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | No | $411 | $0.36 | $0.43 | $31 |
| Will Ty Simpson be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft? | Yes | $410 | $0.00 | $0.06 | $24 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | Yes | $409 | $0.37 | $0.55 | $74 |
| Will Francis Mauigoa be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft? | Yes | $402 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $1 |
| Will Joel Embiid win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | No | $401 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $1 |
| Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs | Gonzaga Bulldogs | $400 | $0.60 | $0.00 | $-240 |
| Lakers vs. Pistons | Lakers | $382 | $0.24 | $0.00 | $-90 |
| Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? | No | $377 | $0.85 | $0.87 | $7 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | $372 | $0.63 | $0.52 | $-43 |
| Will Jordyn Tyson be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft? | Yes | $334 | $0.00 | $0.02 | $8 |
| Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | Yes | $332 | $0.02 | $0.18 | $53 |
| Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | $300 | $0.90 | $0.95 | $16 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31? | No | $300 | $0.80 | $0.98 | $54 |
| Kristi Noem impeached in 2026? | No | $298 | $0.75 | $0.95 | $59 |
| Will the DHS shutdown end between March 24-27, 2026? | No | $233 | $0.75 | $0.89 | $32 |
| Will Spencer Fano be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft? | Yes | $228 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $1 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Elon Edition | No | $202 | $0.14 | $0.02 | $-25 |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars | Houston Cougars | $200 | $0.59 | $0.59 | $1 |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | $200 | $0.13 | $0.12 | $-3 |
| Will Dante Moore be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft? | Yes | $187 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0 |
| Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? | No | $168 | $0.94 | $0.96 | $4 |
| Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? | Yes | $135 | $0.40 | $0.41 | $1 |
| Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026? | Yes | $133 | $0.35 | $0.67 | $42 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | $120 | $0.90 | $0.85 | $-6 |
| Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? | No | $117 | $0.95 | $0.97 | $3 |
| UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies | UCLA Bruins | $100 | $0.31 | $0.00 | $-31 |
| Nipah virus in US by March 31? | No | $100 | $0.89 | $0.99 | $10 |
| Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? | Yes | $91 | $0.43 | $0.79 | $32 |
| Will Reuben Bain Jr. be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft? | Yes | $76 | $0.00 | $0.05 | $3 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | $71 | $0.31 | $0.42 | $8 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026? | Yes | $64 | $0.66 | $0.78 | $7 |
| Will Nico Iamaleava be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft? | No | $63 | $0.98 | $1.00 | $1 |
| Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child? | No | $61 | $0.67 | $0.92 | $15 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | No | $58 | $0.57 | $0.66 | $5 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | $58 | $0.08 | $0.13 | $3 |
| US recession by end of 2026? | Yes | $50 | $0.29 | $0.34 | $3 |
| Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? | No | $50 | $0.50 | $0.66 | $8 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | $42 | $0.11 | $0.15 | $2 |
| Will David Bailey be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft? | Yes | $41 | $0.01 | $0.18 | $7 |
| Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | Yes | $40 | $0.76 | $0.74 | $-1 |
| Will Fernando Mendoza be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft? | No | $29 | $0.04 | $0.03 | $-0 |
| Will US annex any territory in 2026? | No | $27 | $0.77 | $0.83 | $2 |
| Will Bad Bunny be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? | No | $25 | $0.73 | $0.78 | $1 |
| Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | $20 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | $20 | $0.16 | $0.12 | $-1 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | $19 | $0.17 | $0.13 | $-1 |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | $16 | $0.18 | $0.18 | $0 |
| Will Thom Tillis vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve? | Yes | $11 | $0.85 | $0.90 | $1 |
| Tennessee State Tigers vs. Iowa State Cyclones | Tennessee State Tigers | $10 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will V.J. Edgecombe win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? | Yes | $1 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will something else than the listed options occur in respect to Fed Chair confirmation and rates? | Yes | $1 | $0.02 | $0.04 | $0 |
| Will Mike Pence announce a presidential run before 2027? | No | $0 | $0.92 | $0.92 | $-0 |
| Will Sungjae Im win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | $0 | $0.06 | $0.99 | $0 |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Rockets draft Cooper Flagg in the 2025 NBA Draft? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.29 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Ole Miss win the 2026 College Football National Championship? | No | $0 | $0.85 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.87 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Kawhi Leonard win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut less than 50k employees in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.24 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0 |
| Will Marcus Jones win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | No | $0 | $0.99 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Cuomo endorse Eric Adams? | Yes | $0 | $0.25 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.25 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | $0 | $0.96 | $0.98 | $0 |
| Iran Strike on Israel by February 28? | Yes | $0 | $0.71 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will F1 win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Supreme Court vacancy in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.18 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Mikie Sherrill win by 6-9%? | Yes | $0 | $0.12 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Stefon Diggs win the Super Bowl LX MVP? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.12 | $0.10 | $-0 |
| Will Trump audit Ukraine aid before May? | Yes | $0 | $0.54 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.08 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.01 | $0.01 | $0 |
| Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? | No | $0 | $0.91 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Jurassic World: Rebirth be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | $0 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win Queens in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election? | Yes | $0 | $0.94 | $1.00 | $0 |
| March Madness: 10 first round upsets? | Yes | $0 | $0.10 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Israel invade Syria in 2024? | No | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in Assists? | Yes | $0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 6, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-0 |
SoldWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes
$-15K@ 0.1841m ago
SoldWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No
$-15K@ 0.8241m ago
BoughtUS forces enter Iran by March 31?No
+$1K@ 0.8441m ago
SoldWill Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes
$-4K@ 0.001h ago
Bought2026 Balance of Power: OtherYes
+$2K@ 0.011h ago
BoughtWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No
+$2K@ 0.818h ago
BoughtWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No
+$2K@ 0.819h ago
BoughtWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?No
+$5K@ 0.989h ago
BoughtWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No
+$1K@ 0.8110h ago
BoughtWill Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes
+$1K@ 0.0111h ago
BoughtWill Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes
+$2K@ 0.0112h ago
BoughtWill Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes
+$2K@ 0.0114h ago
Bought2026 Balance of Power: OtherYes
+$2K@ 0.0014h ago
BoughtWill Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes
+$3K@ 0.0115h ago
BoughtWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No
+$1K@ 0.8115h ago
BoughtWill Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes
+$2K@ 0.0116h ago
Bought2026 Balance of Power: OtherYes
+$3K@ 0.0116h ago
BoughtWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No
+$4K@ 0.8116h ago
BoughtWill Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes
+$2K@ 0.0117h ago
BoughtWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes
+$3K@ 0.4317h ago
SoldWill John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes
$-1K@ 0.5417h ago
SoldWill Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes
$-5K@ 0.0117h ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No
+$3K@ 0.7917h ago
SoldWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes
$-4K@ 0.0117h ago
SoldWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes
$-6K@ 0.0118h ago
BoughtWill Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes
+$1K@ 0.0118h ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No
+$5K@ 0.7718h ago
SoldWill Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes
$-2K@ 0.0019h ago
BoughtWill Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes
+$2K@ 0.0119h ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No
+$3K@ 0.8319h ago
BoughtUS forces enter Iran by March 31?No
+$1K@ 0.7720h ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by December 31?Yes
+$4K@ 0.7620h ago
BoughtWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes
+$5K@ 0.1221h ago
SoldWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes
$-31K@ 0.0122h ago
SoldWill Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes
$-1K@ 0.0122h ago
SoldWill Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes
$-14K@ 0.0222h ago
BoughtWill Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes
+$5K@ 0.0122h ago
BoughtWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No
+$10K@ 0.8223h ago
BoughtWill Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?No
+$6K@ 0.9823h ago
BoughtWill Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes
+$1K@ 0.001d ago
SoldWill Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes
$-2K@ 0.011d ago
SoldWill Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes
$-2K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtWill Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes
+$3K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtWill Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes
+$3K@ 0.011d ago
SoldWill Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes
$-2K@ 0.001d ago
BoughtWill Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes
+$14K@ 0.011d ago