Weekly Market Digest
Top trades, whale moves, and market insights every Monday
9
99problems123
0x00425c692a667981118f679ef68fdc775257321e
SharpshooterHot Streak
Trader Score
Win Rate: 87.5%
ROI: 0.0%
Trades: 64
Win Rate
87.5%
56W8L64 total
No PnL history available
Not enough data for rank history
Open Positions
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg Price | Current | PnL |
|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Yes | $293K | $0.17 | $0.15 | $-5K |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | Yes | $186K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-2K |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | Yes | $164K | $0.09 | $0.00 | $-14K |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | $80K | $0.46 | $0.69 | $18K |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6? | Yes | $63K | $0.08 | $0.00 | $-5K |
| Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026? |
Recent Activity (50)
SoldUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes
$-83K@ 0.171d ago
BoughtUS forces enter Iran by April 30?No
+$11K@ 0.551d ago
BoughtTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Yes
+$4K@ 0.201d ago
SoldUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes
$-41K@ 0.171d ago
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | Yes | $62K | $0.13 | $0.18 | $4K |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | Yes | $46K | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-808 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | Yes | $43K | $0.41 | $0.46 | $2K |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | Yes | $42K | $0.15 | $0.00 | $-6K |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | No | $38K | $0.25 | $0.00 | $-9K |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | No | $36K | $0.23 | $0.00 | $-9K |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | $35K | $0.58 | $0.81 | $8K |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | Yes | $27K | $0.07 | $0.11 | $1K |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | Yes | $22K | $0.31 | $0.46 | $3K |
| Will Claude 5 be released by February 6, 2026? | Yes | $21K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-191 |
| Government shutdown on Saturday? | Yes | $21K | $0.17 | $0.00 | $-4K |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | $21K | $0.40 | $0.34 | $-1K |
| Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026? | Yes | $21K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-117 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | No | $17K | $0.43 | $0.00 | $-7K |
| Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | No | $17K | $0.24 | $0.00 | $-4K |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15? | No | $14K | $0.29 | $0.00 | $-4K |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? | Yes | $14K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-41 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026? | Yes | $12K | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-715 |
| Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026? | No | $11K | $0.40 | $0.23 | $-2K |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | $11K | $0.54 | $0.54 | $-56 |
| Duke Blue Devils vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | $11K | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-615 |
| Will GALBOT have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala? | No | $10K | $0.01 | $0.00 | $-149 |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Yes | $10K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-26 |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | Yes | $7K | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-15 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026? | Yes | $7K | $0.31 | $0.20 | $-726 |
| Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026? | Yes | $7K | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-355 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | Up | $6K | $0.08 | $0.00 | $-526 |
| Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | No | $5K | $0.12 | $0.00 | $-571 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31? | Yes | $4K | $0.06 | $0.06 | $8 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th? | Yes | $4K | $0.11 | $0.00 | $-435 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | $3K | $0.53 | $0.66 | $383 |
| Will Claude 5 not be released by February 28, 2026? | No | $3K | $0.13 | $0.00 | $-394 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Yes | $3K | $0.40 | $0.96 | $2K |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026? | Yes | $3K | $0.07 | $0.02 | $-134 |
| Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | $3K | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-168 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 6, 2026? | Yes | $2K | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-153 |
| Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Feb 20? | Yes | $2K | $0.09 | $0.00 | $-212 |
| Will Discord’s market cap be between $15B and $20B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | $2K | $0.17 | $0.03 | $-321 |
| Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | $2K | $0.22 | $0.16 | $-119 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | No | $2K | $0.88 | $0.95 | $137 |
| Will Jacob Elordi win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | $2K | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-135 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | No | $2K | $0.56 | $0.73 | $339 |
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | $1K | $0.14 | $0.56 | $536 |
| Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of February 2026? | Yes | $1K | $0.19 | $0.00 | $-238 |
| Will there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair? | Yes | $1K | $0.52 | $0.56 | $44 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31? | Yes | $1000 | $0.48 | $0.03 | $-454 |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026? | Yes | $1000 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-65 |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? | No | $980 | $0.28 | $0.71 | $424 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | No | $928 | $0.85 | $0.92 | $60 |
| Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026? | No | $900 | $0.16 | $0.19 | $27 |
| Will Discord’s market cap be $30B or greater at market close on IPO day? | Yes | $877 | $0.07 | $0.01 | $-58 |
| Will Discord’s market cap be between $25B and $30B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | $877 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-61 |
| Will Google be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026? | Yes | $859 | $0.69 | $0.00 | $-593 |
| Deel IPO before 2027? | No | $855 | $0.67 | $0.79 | $103 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | Yes | $817 | $0.30 | $0.34 | $37 |
| Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more? | Yes | $791 | $0.19 | $0.00 | $-149 |
| Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | $752 | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-45 |
| Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | Yes | $734 | $0.21 | $0.02 | $-140 |
| Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | $725 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $-2 |
| US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026? | Yes | $691 | $0.06 | $0.00 | $-38 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027? | No | $625 | $0.20 | $0.00 | $-127 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? | No | $617 | $0.57 | $0.39 | $-115 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | Yes | $589 | $0.26 | $0.57 | $183 |
| Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering? | No | $582 | $0.46 | $0.59 | $76 |
| Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas? | No | $500 | $0.09 | $0.00 | $-45 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET | Down | $500 | $0.10 | $0.00 | $-49 |
| Will Lady Gaga win 2 Grammys? | No | $367 | $0.50 | $0.00 | $-183 |
| Will Anthropic have the third-best AI model at the end of February 2026? | Yes | $354 | $0.18 | $0.00 | $-64 |
| Gemini 3.5 released by May 31? | No | $309 | $0.15 | $0.75 | $186 |
| Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election? | Yes | $287 | $0.23 | $0.42 | $56 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | $251 | $0.52 | $0.80 | $69 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | No | $249 | $0.58 | $0.99 | $102 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET | Down | $246 | $0.17 | $0.00 | $-42 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | Up | $200 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-6 |
| GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026? | Yes | $161 | $0.36 | $0.00 | $-58 |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | Yes | $133 | $0.36 | $0.00 | $-48 |
| Discord IPO before 2027? | Yes | $132 | $0.80 | $0.72 | $-10 |
| Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of March 2026? | Yes | $122 | $0.61 | $0.28 | $-40 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026? | Yes | $83 | $0.66 | $0.00 | $-55 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET | Down | $79 | $0.23 | $0.00 | $-18 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET | Down | $54 | $0.46 | $0.00 | $-25 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET | Up | $50 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | Down | $50 | $0.35 | $0.00 | $-17 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | Up | $50 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-2 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | Up | $50 | $0.07 | $0.00 | $-3 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | Up | $50 | $0.24 | $0.00 | $-12 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | Up | $49 | $0.67 | $0.00 | $-33 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | No | $49 | $0.31 | $0.00 | $-15 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET | Up | $30 | $0.29 | $0.00 | $-9 |
| SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027? | Yes | $28 | $0.85 | $0.83 | $-0 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET | Up | $27 | $0.57 | $0.00 | $-15 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET | Up | $25 | $0.10 | $0.00 | $-2 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET | Up | $25 | $0.12 | $0.00 | $-3 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | No | $24 | $0.56 | $0.88 | $8 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | Down | $20 | $0.02 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | Down | $20 | $0.03 | $0.00 | $-1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET | Up | $20 | $0.05 | $0.00 | $-1 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET | Up | $10 | $0.47 | $0.00 | $-5 |
| Gemini 3.5 released by March 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.48 | $0.01 | $-0 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | $0 | $0.63 | $0.66 | $0 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Yes | $0 | $0.93 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | Yes | $0 | $0.82 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | $0 | $0.54 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | No | $0 | $0.55 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.61 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.51 | $0.00 | $-0 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026? | No | $0 | $0.12 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.52 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.25 | $1.00 | $0 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.42 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | Yes | $0 | $0.93 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Lady Gaga win 2 Grammys? | Yes | $0 | $1.00 | $1.00 | $0 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | No | $0 | $0.79 | $1.00 | $0 |
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes
+$18K@ 0.391d ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes
+$96K@ 0.181d ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes
+$3K@ 0.421d ago
SoldUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes
$-26K@ 0.171d ago
SoldIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?Yes
$-12K@ 0.121d ago
BoughtUS-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?Yes
+$4K@ 0.062d ago
SoldUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes
$-2K@ 0.362d ago
SoldUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No
$-2K@ 0.602d ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Yes
+$2K@ 0.362d ago
SoldUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes
$-27K@ 0.202d ago
SoldUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No
$-10K@ 0.642d ago
BoughtWill Claude 5 be released by February 6, 2026?Yes
+$21K@ 0.002d ago
BoughtGovernment shutdown on Saturday?Yes
+$21K@ 0.002d ago
BoughtWill Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?Yes
+$21K@ 0.002d ago
BoughtUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?No
+$17K@ 0.002d ago
BoughtWill Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No
+$17K@ 0.002d ago
BoughtWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?No
+$14K@ 0.002d ago
BoughtWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?Yes
+$14K@ 0.002d ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No
+$13K@ 0.702d ago
BoughtWill Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?No
+$12K@ 0.232d ago
BoughtWill Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?Yes
+$12K@ 0.002d ago
BoughtDuke Blue Devils vs. Notre Dame Fighting IrishNotre Dame Fighting Irish
+$11K@ 0.002d ago
BoughtWill GALBOT have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?No
+$10K@ 0.002d ago
BoughtWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes
+$10K@ 0.002d ago
BoughtWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes
+$7K@ 0.002d ago
BoughtWill Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?Yes
+$7K@ 0.172d ago
BoughtWill Google have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes
+$7K@ 0.002d ago
BoughtBitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETUp
+$6K@ 0.002d ago
BoughtWill Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No
+$5K@ 0.002d ago
BoughtTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?Yes
+$4K@ 0.002d ago
BoughtBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No
+$3K@ 0.662d ago
BoughtWill Claude 5 not be released by February 28, 2026?No
+$3K@ 0.002d ago
BoughtWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes
+$3K@ 0.982d ago
BoughtWill Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Yes
+$3K@ 0.032d ago
BoughtWill the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes
+$3K@ 0.002d ago
BoughtWill Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 6, 2026?Yes
+$2K@ 0.002d ago
BoughtUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes
+$375K@ 0.122d ago
BoughtWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No
+$2K@ 0.932d ago
BoughtWill Jacob Elordi win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes
+$2K@ 0.002d ago
BoughtWill Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No
+$2K@ 0.732d ago
BoughtWill Discord’s market cap be between $15B and $20B at market close on IPO day?Yes
+$1K@ 0.022d ago
BoughtKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?No
+$1K@ 0.622d ago
BoughtWill Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes
+$1K@ 0.002d ago
BoughtWill Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?Yes
+$1K@ 0.162d ago
BoughtWill there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes
+$1K@ 0.442d ago
BoughtJudy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Feb 20?Yes
+$2K@ 0.002d ago